Trains.com

An Over-reaction? Locked

31801 views
1479 replies
1 rating 2 rating 3 rating 4 rating 5 rating
  • Member since
    August 2005
  • From: At the Crossroads of the West
  • 11,013 posts
Posted by Deggesty on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 2:27 PM

charlie hebdo

Elderly casualty: Casualty

 

This sounds like malicious mischief.

Johnny

  • Member since
    September 2013
  • 6,199 posts
Posted by Miningman on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 2:40 PM

2024!!!!!

Abstract

It is urgent to understand the future of severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. We used estimates of seasonality, immunity, and cross-immunity for betacoronaviruses OC43 and HKU1 from time series data from the USA to inform a model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. We projected that recurrent wintertime outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 will probably occur after the initial, most severe pandemic wave. Absent other interventions, a key metric for the success of social distancing is whether critical care capacities are exceeded. To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022. Additional interventions, including expanded critical care capacity and an effective therapeutic, would improve the success of intermittent distancing and hasten the acquisition of herd immunity. Longitudinal serological studies are urgently needed to determine the extent and duration of immunity to SARS-CoV-2. Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024.

  • Member since
    September 2017
  • 5,636 posts
Posted by charlie hebdo on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 2:42 PM

Deggesty

 

 
charlie hebdo

Elderly casualty: Casualty

 

 

 

This sounds like malicious mischief.

 

 

The motive was unknown for damaging the two DC-3s on Cape Cod. 

  • Member since
    September 2003
  • 21,669 posts
Posted by Overmod on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 3:46 PM

charlie hebdo
Is this TOS the same as the updated forum rules?

No; that's Brian channelling Jeffrey Wimberley.  People keep adding and deleting special 'rules' like the ban on discussing graffiti, hoboes, and moderation actions... usually for some ad hoc reason or personal preference.

The actual TOS -- and it varies by site -- is the one that used to be linked from the right-hand top menu, and is now almost impossible to actually navigate to (despite being invoked in the boilerplate in all the general Trains Magazine categories!)  Much of this has gone unrevised while rules and wretched overmoderation have been changed over the years; it certainly isn't viewed as important, and we've seen action taken against people for 'violations' either not in the TOS or arbitrarily interpreted.  At some point some CYA language regarding 'banned' users' rights to material they posted was introduced, which essentially reinforces that moderators can leave or remove any material they see fit to leave or remove, but can't edit (or selectively remove) any part of a particular post.

 

I don't think we'll necessarily see any improvement in the situation when the 'new' forum experience is finally rolled out, either, although I seriously think it should be (if the advertisers are to get their best value out of a well-regulated community of marks).

  If so,  there is nothing about the OP having any special privileges.  But there are several rules about things like political topics and use of copyright material that much of Klepper's postings (and that of others) violates repeatedly.  [/quote]

  • Member since
    January 2019
  • From: Henrico, VA
  • 9,728 posts
Posted by Flintlock76 on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 4:08 PM

Convicted One

 

 
Miningman
https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1249715841618362369

 

Thanks, a bit of a shocker.

I believe there could be some validity as to the toxic environment we maintain in our bodies  likewise being toxic to the bugs that torment us.

I have in years past assembled considerable anecdotal experience that suggests exactly that. Two day cures for even the nastiest flu that I ever had, as well as lesser bugs.

 

It has been postulated that, while growing up in a filthy environment isn't something to be desired, growing up in an environment that's too clean  isn't necessarily all that good either.  It's been said the bodys immune system is like a muscle that needs to be excercised on a regular basis, no exercise, it atrophys, just as a muscle will.

Or so they say.  I don't know. 

I suppose there's historic evidence for this if not scientific evidence.  It was noted by US Army doctors, up to and including the First World War, that young men who came from the cities were as a rule much heathier and less prone to disease than young men from rural communities.  It was an easy one to figure out, men from the cities having come from areas of heavy population density had already caught and survived any communicable disease that was out there, the country boys not so much, since they came from areas without that same population density.  

  • Member since
    January 2019
  • From: Henrico, VA
  • 9,728 posts
Posted by Flintlock76 on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 4:09 PM

charlie hebdo

Elderly casualty: Casualty

 

Probably a couple of punks with too much time on their hands.   Angry

God help 'em if any classic aircraft fans get their hands on 'em!

  • Member since
    April 2007
  • 4,557 posts
Posted by Convicted One on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 4:30 PM

Flintlock76
It's been said the bodys immune system is like a muscle that needs to be excercised on a regular basis, no exercise, it atrophys, just as a muscle will.

Hypothetically, if it was discovered that some societal taboo actually killed the virus and restored the person to functional health in just a few days... do you think the authorities  would alter policy to relax the  prohibition of the taboo? I don't want to venture into the realm that might make  the forum police believe I was trying to promote illicit activity, so just use your imagination.

  • Member since
    July 2010
  • From: Louisiana
  • 2,310 posts
Posted by Paul of Covington on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 4:57 PM

Flintlock76
It has been postulated that, while growing up in a filthy environment isn't something to be desired, growing up in an environment that's too clean isn't necessarily all that good either.

   Those of you about my age will probably remember images back in the fifties of rows of kids with polio lying in iron lungs.  There was a program, I think on PBS, that said polio had been around for a long time, but with horses, chickens and other livestock around most households, the virus was more prevalent, and children were exposed to it at an early age.  The immune system could cope with it in infants and the very young, but this capability was lost later in life.  With the automobile and other changes in lifestyle, exposure to the virus was less likely, and when it did occur later in life, the results were devastating.  I thought it ironic that sanitation was a major contributor to the problem.

_____________ 

  "A stranger's just a friend you ain't met yet." --- Dave Gardner

  • Member since
    January 2014
  • 8,221 posts
Posted by Euclid on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 5:45 PM

Convicted One
 
Flintlock76
It's been said the bodys immune system is like a muscle that needs to be excercised on a regular basis, no exercise, it atrophys, just as a muscle will.

 

Hypothetically, if it was discovered that some societal taboo actually killed the virus and restored the person to functional health in just a few days... do you think the authorities  would alter policy to relax the  prohibition of the taboo?

 

I doubt it. 

  • Member since
    July 2006
  • 1,530 posts
Posted by NKP guy on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 6:29 PM

Flintlock76
On a more positive note, I just looked at a chart put out by the CDC that indicates smokers are less susceptible to COVID-19 than non-smokers.

   Can you please provide a link to that chart?  This is counter-intuitive.

 

 

  • Member since
    January 2019
  • From: Henrico, VA
  • 9,728 posts
Posted by Flintlock76 on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 6:49 PM

NKP guy

 

 
Flintlock76
On a more positive note, I just looked at a chart put out by the CDC that indicates smokers are less susceptible to COVID-19 than non-smokers.

 

   Can you please provide a link to that chart?  This is counter-intuitive.

 

 

 

I know!  It surprised the hell out of me too!

Anyway, here's the link, scroll down through it for the US stats.

https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1249715841618362369  

Through the courtesy of Miningman, I don't do the Twitter.  

Anyway, you know what we smokers say:

"I'm gonna die someday, I might as well have a say in it!"   

And:

"Smoking takes ten years off your life?  So what?  They're the worst ten years of your life anyway!"   Wink

  • Member since
    May 2003
  • From: US
  • 25,292 posts
Posted by BaltACD on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 7:34 PM

NKP guy
 
Flintlock76
On a more positive note, I just looked at a chart put out by the CDC that indicates smokers are less susceptible to COVID-19 than non-smokers. 

   Can you please provide a link to that chart?  This is counter-intuitive.

Everything I have been hearing is that covid-19 hits smokers harder as their lungs are in nominally worse shape than non-smokers.  They 'may' not contract it as easily as non-smokers (I have see no data one way or the other) but having contracted it, it is supposedly deadlier to smokers than non-smokers.

The deadly effects of covid-19 affect the respiratory system.

Never too old to have a happy childhood!

              

  • Member since
    May 2015
  • 1,836 posts
Posted by 243129 on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 7:38 PM

Flintlock76

 

 
243129

David Klepper, are you an Israeli citizen? If not, why not become one and contribute to the cause you admire and espouse so fervently?

 

 

 

 

Let's not have any of that.  I'm the one who started this thread, if it gets nasty I'll have it shut down.  Play nice people.

On a more positive note, I just looked at a chart put out by the CDC that indicates smokers are less susceptible to COVID-19 than non-smokers.

Light 'em up boys!  Wink

 

Any of what? I asked a valid question. If he is so enamored of Israel and Israelis why not become a citizen and help the religion of your ancestry.  I will add however that a railroad-themed forum is not the venue for espousing the prodigiousness of ones 'adopted' country.

  • Member since
    August 2005
  • From: At the Crossroads of the West
  • 11,013 posts
Posted by Deggesty on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 7:46 PM

Quoting 243129 ". If he is so enamored of Israel and Israelis why not become a citizen and help the religion of your ancestry. " In previous posts, he has told us he is a citizen of Israel. Also, from what he has posted, he is an Orthodox Jew. 

Why do you think he is not a citizen of Israel?

Johnny

  • Member since
    May 2015
  • 1,836 posts
Posted by 243129 on Tuesday, April 14, 2020 8:24 PM

Deggesty
In previous posts, he has told us he is a citizen of Israel.

Where? On this thread?

  • Member since
    August 2004
  • From: The 17th hole at TPC
  • 2,283 posts
Posted by n012944 on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 4:47 AM

243129

 

 
Deggesty
In previous posts, he has told us he is a citizen of Israel.

 

Where? On this thread?

 

It doesn't matter.

An "expensive model collector"

  • Member since
    September 2017
  • 5,636 posts
Posted by charlie hebdo on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 10:00 AM

Many people who move to Israel are able to have dual citizenship with the US and do so. Perhaps he did. It's legal.

  • Member since
    April 2007
  • 4,557 posts
Posted by Convicted One on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 10:28 AM

NKP guy
 This is counter-intuitive.

Well, if you have a nice tarry pair of lungs, perhaps it's hard for the virus to get a foothold in such a hostile environment.

Just as the non-smokers who pitch such a fit over the blue clouds near building entrances.

"Completely unsurvivable" to hear them tell their story.

  • Member since
    June 2002
  • 20,096 posts
Posted by daveklepper on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 1:37 PM

1.  Yes, I am a dual citizen, and 2. I am concerned about both countries' welfare, and 3. I am a USA Army Veteran, and 4. moved from Reform to Orthodox in 1970, age 38.  Am now 88.  Also a vegeetarian.  Reasons? Not on this website. Contact daveklepper@yahoo.com

Subject: MTA Announces Partnership With Northwell Health-GoHealth
Urgent Care to Provide COVID-19 Testing for Heroic MTA Workers


Press ReleaseApril 15, 2020
MTA Announces Partnership With Northwell Health-GoHealth Urgent Care
to Provide COVID-19 Testing for Heroic MTA Workers
Nation’s Largest Transportation Agency Teams Up With State’s Largest
Healthcare Provider in Latest Move to Protect Front Line MTA Workers
The Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) today announced that
it has joined forces with Northwell Health-GoHealth Urgent Care to
provide prioritized COVID-19 testing to symptomatic frontline MTA
workers at its urgent care facilities throughout the New York
metropolitan region. The new partnership with the state’s largest
healthcare provider marks the latest in a series of aggressive health
and safety measures taken by the MTA to protect its vital frontline
workforce and limit the spread of the COVID-19 at no cost to MTA
employees.
Under the new partnership, Northwell Health-GoHealth Urgent Care will
provide priority testing to symptomatic transportation workers a rate
of up to 50 tests per day or 350 per week. The partnership between the
MTA and Northwell Health-GoHealth Urgent Care is similar to the
partnership the organization has with the NYPD and FDNY. The agreement
expands the range of options available to MTA employees, who are still
able to go to their primary care physician or other medical provider
at no cost to the employee.
“We remain relentlessly committed to doing everything we possibly can
to keep our frontline workers safe,” said MTA Chairman and CEO Patrick
J. Foye. “We will continue working to identify any and all solutions
we can deploy to help protect our employees. The region simply cannot
function without the essential and heroic workers of this pandemic.”
“As the largest employer of healthcare workers in the state, we
understand how vital it is to have a functioning mass transit system
during this time of unprecedented challenges,” said Northwell Health
President and CEO Michael J. Dowling. “Untold numbers of our own
employees depend on mass transit to get to work each day. Our
relationship with the MTA is a mutually essential one and we look
forward to partnering together in the days and weeks to come to make
sure that MTA workers can get tested at our more than 50 urgent care
locations around the region.”
Northwell Health-GoHealth Urgent Care centers throughout the city,
Long Island and Westchester County began testing vital first
responders from city agencies this week. Northwell Health-GoHealth
will be reaching out to MTA workers who have identified themselves as
symptomatic to the MTA COVID-19 hotline and arranging appointments for
a range of comprehensive medical exams and diagnostic tests, including
testing for COVID-19 beginning Friday, April 17.
Northwell Health-GoHealth Urgent Care locations are located at 52
locations throughout the region and are open from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. on
weekdays and 9 a.m.-5 p.m. on weekends. For more information, visit
http://Gohealthuc.com/nyc <http://gohealthuc.com/nyc>.

The MTA has been a national leader among transportation agencies in
taking aggressive action to battle the COVID-19 pandemic since the
early days of its arrival in New York. The organization has
distributed millions of pieces of personal protective equipment,
including 2.7 million pairs of gloves and nearly 750,000 masks, since
March 1 <https://gcc01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Furldefense.proofpoint.com%2Fv2%2Furl%3Fu%3Dhttp-3A__www.mta.info_press-2Drelease_mta-2Dheadquarters_mta-2Dcontinues-2Ddistribute-2Dn95-2Dmasks-2Dand-2Dother-2Dppe-2Dheroic-2Dworkforce%26d%3DDwMF-g%26c%3Dvq5m7Kktb9l80A_wDJ5D-g%26r%3D2OO_YK3HShjWBHpwgOUKedaS_yDNJJh5Z1cSZhBHibU%26m%3DHJTRS0Ly3wmb8aLyg9Rs_ffri7vb25VYv5cDC4wi-RQ%26s%3DBeSGZ1btyvYWsadTDFBQNTmr73LPGm660eOI8b-gpt4%26e%3D&data=02%7C01%7Ctminton%40mtahq.org%7Ceb0dab4bde45423beb9208d7e132b200%7C79c07380cc9841bd806b0ae925588f66%7C0%7C0%7C637225480167066941&sdata=JRCMhM%2F%2Fr1ks5sMJ1XMLVvat5XWJENbT88jXTK6T3E0%3D&reserved=0>.
In order to protect employees, the MTA also disregarded federal
guidance and began handing out masks to all employees before the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention later issued new guidance
recommending all Americans wear masks. The MTA continues its
comprehensive disinfecting efforts systemwide with trains and buses
being disinfected nightly, with the entire fleets for all agencies –
more than 8,000 train cars and 5,000 buses – completed every 72 hours
or less, since March 2

The MTA has also implemented rear-door boarding and eliminated cash
transactions to prevent person-to-person contact to ensure the
of operating employees. The MTA launched the nation-leading
“Temperature Brigade” on March 24 and later expanded the force to 22
locations testing tens of thousands of employees across New York City
Transit, Metro-North and Long Island Rail Road. The MTA is also
working to install plexiglass barriers at work locations across all 28
bus depots to further protect employees. The health and safety of the
MTA’s employees and customers continues to be the agency’s top
priority.

 

  • Member since
    June 2002
  • 20,096 posts
Posted by daveklepper on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 2:23 PM

 

 

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said on Wednesday that hospitalizations due to the novel coronavirus declined for a second day and that his state's healthcare system has stabilized to the point that it could give ventilators to other states.
 
Cuomo, speaking at a daily briefing, also disclosed an outline of how he would begin to reopen businesses, starting with the most essential businesses and those where the risk of infection spread was smallest.
 
  • Member since
    June 2002
  • 20,096 posts
Posted by daveklepper on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 2:42 PM

The following is edited for brevity.  The URL is:

https://www.jpost.com/HEALTH-SCIENCE/Israel-under-lockdown

The Israeli Government will convene a special hearing on Thursday at 3 p.m. to discuss the country’s exit strategy, a plan to gradually remove the restrictions that have been placed on the public to help stop the spread of the novel coronavirus

 
The Health Ministry believes that returning to work and daily life can be done only when the country sees 30 to 50 new patients per day. As of Wednesday, there were still hundreds of new patients being diagnosed with the novel coronavirus every day. The ministry argues that if the country opens too hastily, all its work to reduce infection and “flatten the curve” will be undone.
 
On the flip side, the Finance Ministry argues that the economy cannot take much more of the current restrictions. More than a million people are out of work and the unemployment rate is 26.1%. The ministry argues that Israel should move fast, or the economy may not be able to rebound.
 
Over recent weeks, the National Security Council (NSC) has been presented with plans by the Finance and Health ministries and teams of academicians, scientists, mathematicians, economists and others – many of which are at odds with one another – and has considered all these plans. 
 
Over the holiday, several Arab villages in northern Israel were identified as having a high number of infected people. Residents were asked to stay home by the Health Ministry on Wednesday. 
 
The epicenter of the outbreak is the 12,234 resident-strong Dir el-Assad, where 23 people tested positive, in addition to another four from Nahf, three from Ba'ana and one from Majd al-Kroum.
 
Joint List Health Committee head MK Ahmed Tibi said Wednesday afternoon that he had reached an agreement with Magen David Adom head Eli Bin and Dir el-Assad council head Ahmed Dabbah to open a drive-in coronavirus testing facility in the village.
 
Dr. Tibi reportedly asked the village's residents to call MDA and get tested in case symptoms appear. "We have all joined to combat the spread of coronavirus," he said, calling on citizens to "follow the Health Ministry's instructions, stay home and avoid gatherings."
 
In general, the Health Ministry conducted more than 11,501 tests on April 14 - the most coronavirus tests taken in a single day since the start of the pandemic. The day before it took 10,401.
 
A shipment of reagents to conduct 10,000 coronavirus checks and 50,000 personal protective suits for medical professionals landed in Israel from South Korea on Wednesday, according to the Defense Ministry. 
 
The additional tests are reflected in the number of people diagnosed with the novel virus. As of Wednesday night, the country’s death toll hit 130 people.
 
A total of 12,501 cases of the coronavirus have been confirmed by the Health Ministry, including 180 patients in serious condition, 133 requiring ventilation. Some 2,563 individuals have recovered from the virus.
 
Wolfson Medical Center in Holon confirmed that among those infected is an eight-day-old baby, who was born at Hadassah Medical Center on Mount Scopus in Jerusalem. The baby was brought to Wolfson because he had a high fever, but he is currently in good medical condition.  His mother is also infected. 
 
 

 

A total of 12,501 cases of the coronavirus have been confirmed by the Health Ministry, including 180 patients in serious condition, 133 requiring ventilation. Some 2,563 individuals have recovered from the virus.
 
Wolfson Medical Center in Holon confirmed that among those infected is an eight-day-old baby, who was born at Hadassah Medical Center on Mount Scopus in Jerusalem. The baby was brought to Wolfson because he had a high fever, but he is currently in good medical condition.  His mother is also infected. 
 
Wednesday night marked the end of Passover, which is usually celebrated by many with the festival of Mimouna, a traditional Moroccan post-holiday greeting that has become popular across communities in Israel. In order to prevent people from gathering to celebrate both, the government placed the country under a general lockdown: intercity travelling was banned, as well as travelling between Jerusalem pre-defined neighborhoods until 5 a.m. on Thursday. 
 
Moreover, supermarket bread departments and bakeries were asked to stay closed. 
 
Police reported many Israelis who broke restrictions over the holiday on Wednesday. Police reported that 3,029 tickets were administered. 
 
Still, a Passover-like lockdown is likely to be implemented again for Memorial Day through the end of Israeli Independence Day
 
Leon Sverdlov contributed to this report.
  • Member since
    April 2007
  • 4,557 posts
Posted by Convicted One on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 2:48 PM

I see where the daily death toll  in the USA due to the virus was 2,405 on Tuesday. The highest single daily toll yet.

I can't imagine what these people who are trying to rush the reopening of te country can even be thinking.

  • Member since
    June 2002
  • 20,096 posts
Posted by daveklepper on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 3:02 PM

Does any reader have access to the USA Recovered number?

Note now deaths in Israel are avout 5% of the recovered.  Were 10%.

  • Member since
    September 2013
  • 6,199 posts
Posted by Miningman on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 3:14 PM

Convicted One-- They think that the 'peak' is now and it's down hill from here. Listening to them is quite dizzying. I really don't think they know nearly as much as they would like. People are getting antsy, Governors are getting totalitarian like in Michigan. A Michigan resident cannot go to their cottages up North, but out of state residents can. You can use a canoe but not a motorboat! It goes on and on and where does it end. 

If we wait to open our countries until the last case there will be no country left to open up to.

On a further note I am inspired by a certain poster and will henceforth and forthwith post the twice daily 3 page report from the Government of Saskatchewan, covering all seven sub areas. That'll be a dozzie!

Also the research results from the Univ. of Saskatoon, Univ. of Regina and the Innovation Centre.

Might as well throw in the latest on Quadrotriticale and other wheat research. ... because we all want to know right?

Should I include all the rest of Canada? I think I should.

No body every talks about Finland... think I'll throw in Finland. 

 

 

  • Member since
    January 2019
  • From: Henrico, VA
  • 9,728 posts
Posted by Flintlock76 on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 3:46 PM

Convicted One

I see where the daily death toll  in the USA due to the virus was 2,405 on Tuesday. The highest single daily toll yet.

I can't imagine what these people who are trying to rush the reopening of te country can even be thinking.

 

They're thinking about the economy.  And it does bear thinking about.

The problem is no-one can say with any certainty just when the pandemic will be truly over and done with.  While I have the greatest respect for the medical professionals it seems that concerning COVID-19 where you have five of them together you get six opinions.  Speaking rhetorically, of course.  Are they all right, are they all wrong, are some right and some wrong?  Who knows?  Do they know?  Personally, I'm hoping the medical professionals my sister works with are correct in assuming that COVID-19, as bad as it is, will behave the same as any of the flu viruses they've had to deal with in the past and abate with the longer days, increased sunlight and its UV component, which have knocked down flu strains pretty reliably in the past.

Now this is when those we've elected to govern us have to step up to the plate and make decisions none of them ever expected to make.  Do we wait two months, four months, six months, a year, until we're absolutely sure?  How much can the economies of all fifty states stand a lockdown and slowdown of commerce until the whole economy collapses?  And it's not just us, it's the rest of the effected world as well. 

Sooner or later the hard, teeth-clenching decision's going to have to be made to assume the risk and get the economy moving again.  It won't be an easy one, I understand that, but it's going to have to be made.  

Welcome to the real world of high command.

  • Member since
    April 2007
  • 4,557 posts
Posted by Convicted One on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 4:21 PM

For years I have quite  honestly been in disbelief with the way western culture has come to exaggerate the value of human life. Just think of the standard narrative for a typical wrongful death lawsuit for an example of what I am saying. The recriminations of the plaintiff and the cost inflicted by their "wanton disregard" etc etc etc.

But now, we are seeing a quantum shift where the worshipers of the high church of Capitalism are now trying to convince us that their priorities merit a "plan B" where certain segments of society be regarded as "expendable" towards some greater common good?

 

Really?

  • Member since
    April 2007
  • 4,557 posts
Posted by Convicted One on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 4:37 PM

I saw a claim by a local reporter  the other day that Covid 19 deaths thus far in Indiana are already  twice the total amount of flu related deaths the state typically records during an entire 7 month flu season.

And that is with the shelter in place requirement in effect...imagine where we'd be without restriction?

  • Member since
    September 2003
  • 21,669 posts
Posted by Overmod on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 5:42 PM

Convicted One
I saw a claim by a local reporter  the other day that COVID-19 deaths thus far in Indiana are already  twice the total amount of flu related deaths the state typically records during an entire 7-month flu season.

This being the phrase that is likely operative here.  I'd want to see substantiation of both statistics indicated before even beginning to assess if this is 'factual' or not.

  • Member since
    January 2014
  • 8,221 posts
Posted by Euclid on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 6:24 PM

Convicted One
I can't imagine what these people who are trying to rush the reopening of te country can even be thinking.

People in Michigan feel that it is unnecessary to lock down the entire state just because Detroit has exploded with the virus.  They draw that conclusion because after watching the virus tear through Detroit, they see that the spread seems to be stalling out when it gets into areas of lower population density everywhere outside of Detroit.  So they want the Governor to keep Detroit locked down if she feels it is necessary, but let the rest of the State get back to making a living.  I have a feeling that the Governor would never consider such a proposal.  I believe she would think it unfair to Detroit.

  • Member since
    April 2007
  • 4,557 posts
Posted by Convicted One on Wednesday, April 15, 2020 7:03 PM

Overmod
This being the phrase that is likely operative here.  I'd want to see substantiation of both statistics indicated before even beginning to assess if this is 'factual' or not.

Our local newspaper appears to be at war with non-paying online users, stuff appears and vanishes on a whim, I guess trying to get us to pay up. I was unable to locate the source I saw a couple days ago. But it was just a blanket statement accompanying a scoreboard type tally of then current numbers, so even at best I doubt it would have satisfied you.

I did find the following, which if one accepts the data reported,... appears to support that claim

From an Indianapolis TV station second graph down depicts average flu deaths last 4 years

 

From the Indiana dept of heath reflecting current conditions with 436  cov19 deaths statewide

 I am aware that there is a broad opportunity to dismiss the numbers if one is so inclined..."small sample size"  "no access to raw data" etc etc yada yada, but that's the best I can do.

Join our Community!

Our community is FREE to join. To participate you must either login or register for an account.

Search the Community

Newsletter Sign-Up

By signing up you may also receive occasional reader surveys and special offers from Trains magazine.Please view our privacy policy