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Posted by Miningman on Thursday, April 16, 2020 11:59 PM

David K. -- What no comment on my Covid in Sask. , Covid in Canada, Covid reasearch at Univ of Saskatoon and Univ of Regina. Covid in Finland!!! Even one in Finnish. Even Quadrotriticale stuff for fun! 

Apr. 16, ( today) at 1:18 

please note with a keen eye.... all links ! 

AND... don't overlook my post on Classic on the 'Fateful Trip, Passengers of Destiny' thread, today Apr 16 @ 8:25 pm . It's found/ posted just for you. ..

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Posted by Miningman on Thursday, April 16, 2020 11:36 PM

22 Million Americans have lost their jobs in the past 4 weeks. Widely reported across all media. 

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, April 16, 2020 9:25 PM

Flintlock76

You find out who  screwed up after  the problem's fixed.  If corrective measures are called for then  you apply them.  Fixing the problem takes priority.

I got the 15,000 figure on-line yesterday from multiple news sources, not any one source.  If they were all wrong I would have had no way of knowing.  

"Esquire" wasn't one of them.  Neither was "Fox News."

Last I heard of "Esquire" they were a slightly risque' magazine for the "man-about-town."  I never figured them for a news source.  

And charlie, we have to remember one thing.  If I recall right in one of your other posts you said you were retired?  So am I.  And if you're like me you made sure your financial needs were going to be taken care of before you pulled the plug. 

So whatever happens, both you and I are fine.  But I'm terribly concerned about those 22 million people out there who aren't  fine, and who can't be left hanging forever.  

 

"Pulling the plug" seems like an expression terribly misplaced given the context of these times.  I am retired as a professor but still maintain a part-time clinical practice (neuropsychological evaluations and diagnostic workups. 

What's the reference of 22 million? 

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Posted by Convicted One on Thursday, April 16, 2020 4:25 PM

Overmod
Perhaps interestingly, the official Indiana statistics indicate only 49 deaths in the period from March 28 and April 14, which is not at all what the television station's cleverly-smoothed curve indicates.

If I follow you correctly that 49 number is for deaths that have occured during that time frame that have only been reported during the past 24 hours (as explained in the heading immediately above it) which I admit seems like an odd way to report it. 

If you look elsewhere on that same page, the state reported only 57 covid 19 deaths total as of 3/28....with well over 450 now. Perhaps their odd way of presenting the data was  confusing?

Here is a screenshot from the site you linked to, explaining what I am saying

 

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Posted by Euclid on Thursday, April 16, 2020 4:20 PM

Flintlock76

Euclid, what you've described is more like the aftermath of a nuclear war, and yes, if one of those things happened the results would be exactly as you describe.

Or it could happen if that super-volcano under Yellowstone National Park blows up.

Things aren't good, but they're not that  bad.  We as a society are a lot stronger than that.  We'll get through this.  

 

We are not strong at all if everybody stays home and gets paid by the government for doing nothing for months on end.  We either open it up or it stays closed, and there will never come a time when the all clear will be given.  I don't know how much it will take to collapse the economy, but when that happens, it happes like a collapse and there is little warning.  The collapse just begins and then goes viral.  Nobody advocating keeping the lockdowns in place will give any opinion as to how long we can remain shut down.  None at all.  How much of a chance do we want to take?  Nobody answers. 

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Posted by Flintlock76 on Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:37 PM

Miningman

Errr....China conducted nuclear weapons test yesterday!  Tactical stuff apparently. 

 

Eh, they've got 'em, they test 'em from time to time.  So do we.

As a matter of fact when my brother was flying helicopters for the Air Force he used to do overflights of the Nevada nuclear test ranges.  This was back in the 80's when all the tests were underground.

He said that was something to see, with the shock waves traveling all over the surface!  He's never seen any film of an underground test that did it any justice, you have to see it to believe it.

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Posted by Miningman on Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:29 PM
Cover image expansion
Excerpt from Science, April 17
The number to watch in the next phase may no longer be the actual number of cases per day, but what epidemiologists call the effective reproduction number, or R, which denotes how many people the average infected person infects in turn. If R is above 1, the outbreak grows; below 1 it shrinks. The goal of the current lockdowns is to push R well below 1. Once the pandemic is tamed, countries can try to loosen restrictions while keeping R hovering around 1, when each infected person on average infects one other person, keeping the number of new cases steady.
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Posted by Miningman on Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:25 PM

Errr....China conducted nuclear weapons test yesterday!  Tactical stuff apparently. 

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Posted by Flintlock76 on Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:19 PM

Euclid, what you've described is more like the aftermath of a nuclear war, and yes, if one of those things happened the results would be exactly as you describe.

Or it could happen if that super-volcano under Yellowstone National Park blows up.

Things aren't good, but they're not that  bad.  We as a society are a lot stronger than that.  We'll get through this.  

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Posted by Miningman on Thursday, April 16, 2020 3:02 PM

Dystopian vision, a society bereft of reason. The dream becomes a dystopian nightmare. 

Everyone in the hills with canned beans and shotguns.

We shouldn't have scrapped steam.. what goes around comes around. 

 

 

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Posted by Euclid on Thursday, April 16, 2020 2:26 PM

Flintlock76

And charlie, we have to remember one thing.  If I recall right in one of your other posts you said you were retired?  So am I.  And if you're like me you made sure your financial needs were going to be taken care of before you pulled the plug. 

So whatever happens, both you and I are fine.  But I'm terribly concerned about those 22 million people out there who aren't  fine, and who can't be left hanging forever.  

If the economy collapses, nobody is going to be fine.  It won’t matter how financially prepared you are.  We are not talking about an economic slowdown.

With an economic collapse comes a collapse of government and a collapse of law and order.  As this develops, all private property will be nationalized and seized to run the collapsing government for as long as possible. But that will be the last gasp of order.  Next it will be anarchy like a civil war being fought over food, shelter, and personal survival. 

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, April 16, 2020 2:05 PM

76: Right. 

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Posted by Flintlock76 on Thursday, April 16, 2020 1:25 PM

Glad you brought up Finland Miningman, they had some fine steam locomotives up there!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Finnish_locomotives#Steam_locomotives  

I'm sick of talking about coronavirus.  I (we) need a break.

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Posted by York1 on Thursday, April 16, 2020 1:24 PM

charlie hebdo
As to Michigan,  it's part of yet another right wing maneuver that may defy our constitution.

 

I'm not sure what you meant by "defy our constitution".

York1 John       

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Posted by Miningman on Thursday, April 16, 2020 1:18 PM

Ask and you shall receive :

Covid in Saskatchewan 

https://www.saskatchewan.ca/government/health-care-administration-and-provider-resources/treatment-procedures-and-guidelines/emerging-public-health-issues/2019-novel-coronavirus/cases-and-risk-of-covid-19-in-saskatchewan

https://www.google.ca/search?q=covid+19+saskatchewan&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-ca&client=safari

Covid in Canada 

https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection.html?&utm_campaign=gc-hc-sc-coronaviruspublicedu2021-2021-0001-9762248618&utm_medium=search&utm_source=google-ads-99837326356&utm_content=text-en-428935858540&utm_term=%2Bcovid

Covid Research in Saskatchewan 

https://news.usask.ca/articles/colleges/2020/agbio-cwrc-commits-over-9.6-million-to-usask-crop-development-centre-for-wheat-research.php

https://www.cbc.ca/news/health/coronavirus-covid-19-vido-intervac-saskatchewan-vaccine-1.5508114

https://globalnews.ca/video/6720831/coronavirus-outbreak-covid-19-vaccine-research-continues-at-university-of-saskatchewan

 

Quadrotriticale ( because why not )

https://memory-alpha.fandom.com/wiki/Quadrotriticale

https://www.stonebrewing.com/beer/stone-stochasticity-project/stone-stochasticity-project-quadrotriticale#ageGatePassed

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Quadrotriticale

Finland!!

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1102255/cumulative-coronavirus-cases-in-finland/

Finland the real deal.

https://thl.fi/fi/web/infektiotaudit-ja-rokotukset/ajankohtaista/ajankohtaista-koronaviruksesta-covid-19

 

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Posted by Flintlock76 on Thursday, April 16, 2020 1:08 PM

OK, one last time.  It goes like this:

"We've got a problem!"

"What is it?"

"It's THIS!"

"OK, how do we fix it?"

"Like THIS!" 

"Good! Do it!"

"Oh boy!  It's fixed!  We can relax now!"

Then, and ONLY then:

"Right, how did this happen, and how do we keep it from happening again?"

And that's how we did it in the Corps, and at Copy Van / Copy Systems, and the sucessor companies.  Worked for us.

That's the last I'll say about it.  

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, April 16, 2020 12:56 PM

76: I Googled and got several,  some paywalled so I posted ABC.  The Esquire link was not about exaggerating crowdsize, though that has been a Trump tactic from the beginning. 

Maybe in your Marines the cause of the problem isn't needed,  but in science and other real life applications such as successful businesses, the NTSB,  and other military branches it is.  You can't solve a problem unless you determine cause,  which includes source.  Ever hear of human error? 

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Posted by Convicted One on Thursday, April 16, 2020 12:40 PM

Overmod
COVID-19 deaths, in Italy and now increasingly here, are being counted in ways that artificially inflate, sometimes substantially, the actual 'deaths' caused directly by SARS-CoV-2, now, apparently, often without actually testing to see if the virus was or is present

Yeah, I've considered that aspect as well.  Just this week there was an obit in the local paper announcing the passing of my 9th grade english teacher., He was 93.  Listed as losing his battle with covid 19.   Hard to imagine they proved covid 19 as solely the cause.

I have  noticed that aged language arts instructors tend to have obituaries that read like a charm.  Probably a little more than just random chance behind that.

 But at the same time, in normal years dealing with normal influenza, I don't recall governors, mayors, and hospital administrators crying "Mayday!!" either.  Granted, that is not  scientific proof sufficient to silence the most virulent naysayer's skepticism, but it does lend some credibility to the notion that these  are "special" times. And I do believe the death count of the current event would be even  higher without the  isolation measures in place.

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Posted by Flintlock76 on Thursday, April 16, 2020 12:36 PM

You find out who  screwed up after  the problem's fixed.  If corrective measures are called for then  you apply them.  Fixing the problem takes priority.

I got the 15,000 figure on-line yesterday from multiple news sources, not any one source.  If they were all wrong I would have had no way of knowing.  

"Esquire" wasn't one of them.  Neither was "Fox News."

Last I heard of "Esquire" they were a slightly risque' magazine for the "man-about-town."  I never figured them for a news source.  

And charlie, we have to remember one thing.  If I recall right in one of your other posts you said you were retired?  So am I.  And if you're like me you made sure your financial needs were going to be taken care of before you pulled the plug. 

So whatever happens, both you and I are fine.  But I'm terribly concerned about those 22 million people out there who aren't  fine, and who can't be left hanging forever.  

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, April 16, 2020 12:00 PM

I would hope you learned in the military as well as business that in order to fix a problem, it is essential to find out what went wrong and who screwed up. 

As to Michigan,  it's part of yet another right wing maneuver that may defy our constitution.  Tea Party 2.0

More like 3000-4000, with 150 at the capital lawn, according to many reputable news sources

Clearly reliable,  extensive testing is needed to open up the USA safely before a vaccine comes. 

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Posted by Flintlock76 on Thursday, April 16, 2020 11:29 AM

Look at it this way.

If what Governor Whitmer did was right, and it all comes out fine in the end, she'll be a heroine and all the rough spots will be forgotten.

But if she was wrong and events prove she over-reacted and made a bad situation worse then she'll pay the penalty at the polls, either in a general election or by a primary challenge from members of her own party.

I don't know enough about what's going on in Michigan to even begin to comment on the situation, but I would remind all that COVID-19 is a truly unique situation, and it's no-ones fault, playing the blame game is counter-productive and a waste of everyone's time, even though it's human nature to look for a scapegoat when disaster strikes.

Some political leaders can rise to challenges better than others, but they all try their best.  Some are leaders, some are just administrators, some ride a rising tide into office and don't have a problem until a true crisis hits and finds them wanting.  Some never have to face a crisis and some get more than their share.  Life's unfair.

Fix the problem, not the blame.  Nothing else works.  I learned that in the military and had the lesson reenforced in the private sector.  

PS:  If the last I've read is true there were 15,000 people involved in the Michigan protest.  That's a lot of people.  

PPS:  Additional food for thought.  30,000 people here in the US are reported to have died from coronavirus.  Tragic indeed, and I can't and won't minimise it.

But on the other hand, last week 5.2 million applied for unemployment, making a total of 22 million for the country so far.  What do we say to the unemployed?  It's the new normal?  Get used to it?

There's no easy answers here, only reasoned compromises and solutions. 

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, April 16, 2020 11:21 AM

Euclid: You or I could see if there are any polls on Whitmer.  Also look at the data on Covid-19 in MI.  Here's an example of the GOP view of the situation,  at least that of a House Hoosier. 

 

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Posted by Euclid on Thursday, April 16, 2020 10:32 AM

charlie hebdo
 
Euclid

 

 
charlie hebdo
 
Euclid

 

 
Convicted One
I can't imagine what these people who are trying to rush the reopening of te country can even be thinking.

 

 

People in Michigan feel that it is unnecessary to lock down the entire state just because Detroit has exploded with the virus.  They draw that conclusion because after watching the virus tear through Detroit, they see that the spread seems to be stalling out when it gets into areas of lower population density everywhere outside of Detroit.  So they want the Governor to keep Detroit locked down if she feels it is necessary, but let the rest of the State get back to making a living.  I have a feeling that the Governor would never consider such a proposal.  I believe she would think it unfair to Detroit.

 

 

 

Meanwhile Trump has resumed the tactic of distraction from his failure in managing the crisis by attacking the WHO and China,  even lying once again about who pays the tariffs.  Hint: It's not China. 

And why did  you say "the people of Michigan" when it was only a small group of Trumpists?

 

 

 

I have heard him recently say that China pays the tariffs, and I am amazed that he and Navarro apparently believe that.

 

To your last point, I said:  "People in Michigan," not "The people of Michigan."  I have no idea how many people or who they support for President.

 

 

 

People or the people implies a large portion of the population of Michiganders.  Better to say "some people" or a "group of people." As to being Trumpists,  look at some signs and hats in some of the photos. Some swastikas were also seen. 

Trump is not especially well-educated or read.  However,  he is using this untrue statement repeatedly as a tactic to divert attention and mobilize his clueless base against an external "enemy."  I doubt if he or Peter actually think tariffs are paid by the foreign source when we know they are paid by the importer here who passes them on the end users - us.  It's an old tactic, to use a perceived foreign enemy as a target,  often used historically by incompetent leaders. It's being done by China currently in their domestic agitprop. 

 

I have no idea how many people in Michigan oppose the lockdowns.  Do you know the number?  Do you know that the ones filmed protesting are the only ones opposing the lockdowns?  All I know is that there is some opposition in Michigan to the Goverernor's lockdown.  They tend to feel she is overreaching.  The dispute is widely discussed on the radio with news and interviews over the last several days. The oppostion states that it is not necessary to apply the lockdown universally across the State when the degree of spread varies so widely. 

There is also a perceived uneveness in how Governor Whitmer is applying the lockdown rules, and it suggests a political agenda on her part being carried out under the guise of the lockdown.   

 

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Posted by daveklepper on Thursday, April 16, 2020 10:27 AM

Thanks, Charlie, for that comment:

On another matter, when I'm told about projects that will produce results

"one or two years," I ignore them.

But some good news supplied by Reuters News Service and rewritten for brevity:

A 106-year-old great-grandmother, Connie Titchen, from Birmingham, possibly thr oldest patient in Britain to recover from Coronavirus, left the hospital after just under three weeks, receiving a clean bill of health by medics at the City Hospital.  She saud:  “I feel very lucky that I've fought off this virus m I can't wait to see my family."
As Titchen left, she was cheered by the hospital's masked health workers.
She was admitted to the hospital in mid-March with suspected pneumonia and diagnosed with COVID-19 soon afterward. Her granddaughter Alex Jones, 40, said Titchen had always been physically active:  “She has always cooked for herself too, although she likes a cheeky McDonald's every now and then. I haven't told her they are closed.  I think the secret of her old age is that she is physically active and very independent. She had a hip operation back in December and within 30 days she was walking again. She really is amazing and I know all the family can't wait to see her. She has quite a few fans!"
Nurse Kelly Smith, who  had resposibilty for Titchen, said: "It's been fantastic to see Connie recover. She is amazing and we've been doing our best to nurse her back to health.  We were really pleased when she was given the all clear. It's nice to see patients leave our ward after having beaten this virus."
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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, April 16, 2020 10:10 AM

David K: Thanks for the briefer post.  Remote vital signs monitoring is good,  but not a substitute for diagnostic tests for viral load and antibodies.  Much of the radar tests can be done right now with Fitbit-type devices hooked up to  a monitor through Bluetooth. 

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Posted by daveklepper on Thursday, April 16, 2020 9:06 AM

Government tests 4D radar imaging to detect coronavirus symptoms
The sensors are suitable for placement in homes, hospitals, factories, public transportation hubs and border crossings.
APRIL 16, 2020 15:55 
Edited for brevity, information from Jerusalem Post
 
The Defense Ministry is collaborating with an Israeli start-up, Yehud-based Vayyar Imaging, specializing in four-dimensional radar imaging to remotely detect and monitor early-stage coronavirus symptoms,
working with the Defense Ministry’s MAFAT (Defense Research & Development Directorate) and the Naval Medical Institute, to adapt "intelligent sensors" developed by the company for remote detection and monitoring of vital signs indicating symptoms of COVID-19, by
monitoring pulse, heart rate variability and respiratory rate without the need for touch.
Tests of two monitoring systems equipped with Vayyar sensors, carried out by a national emergency team set up by the Defense Ministry, successfully analyzed the vital data of patients. Vayyar director of marketing Malcolm Berman:
"Vayyar is using its sensor technology to help combat the spread of infection and also enable safety solutions for when social distancing restrictions begin to soften. Our health monitoring systems can provide touchless, remote monitoring of early-stage symptoms while decreasing face-to-face interaction and can be used in a variety of environments.  Within hospitals, intelligent sensors can monitor symptoms without exposing personnel or contaminating equipment. Sensors can also be placed in medical centers and emergency rooms for fast, contact-free screening, its sensors can work in ‘any environmental condition,’ unaffected by line-of-sight and weather conditions, and promise greater privacy protection than camera-based monitoring solutions.  A major challenge being faced globally is flattening the curve. Strategies being employed such as social distancing can be supported through systems that provide remote monitoring to detect pulse, heart rate variability and respiratory rate to help monitor patients in hospitals as well as people at homes and in places of business. We have harnessed the versatile nature of our sensor's capabilities in these areas and fine-tuned them to serve these needs.”
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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, April 16, 2020 8:49 AM

Euclid

 

 
charlie hebdo
 
Euclid

 

 
Convicted One
I can't imagine what these people who are trying to rush the reopening of te country can even be thinking.

 

 

People in Michigan feel that it is unnecessary to lock down the entire state just because Detroit has exploded with the virus.  They draw that conclusion because after watching the virus tear through Detroit, they see that the spread seems to be stalling out when it gets into areas of lower population density everywhere outside of Detroit.  So they want the Governor to keep Detroit locked down if she feels it is necessary, but let the rest of the State get back to making a living.  I have a feeling that the Governor would never consider such a proposal.  I believe she would think it unfair to Detroit.

 

 

 

Meanwhile Trump has resumed the tactic of distraction from his failure in managing the crisis by attacking the WHO and China,  even lying once again about who pays the tariffs.  Hint: It's not China. 

And why did  you say "the people of Michigan" when it was only a small group of Trumpists?

 

 

 

I have heard him recently say that China pays the tariffs, and I am amazed that he and Navarro apparently believe that.

 

To your last point, I said:  "People in Michigan," not "The people of Michigan."  I have no idea how many people or who they support for President.

 

People or the people implies a large portion of the population of Michiganders.  Better to say "some people" or a "group of people." As to being Trumpists,  look at some signs and hats in some of the photos. Some swastikas were also seen. 

Trump is not especially well-educated or read.  However,  he is using this untrue statement repeatedly as a tactic to divert attention and mobilize his clueless base against an external "enemy."  I doubt if he or Peter actually think tariffs are paid by the foreign source when we know they are paid by the importer here who passes them on the end users - us.  It's an old tactic, to use a perceived foreign enemy as a target,  often used historically by incompetent leaders. It's being done by China currently in their domestic agitprop. 

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Posted by daveklepper on Thursday, April 16, 2020 8:32 AM

i do not put zingers in my reports.  I discuss activities of adversaries when responding to accusations, but since I've given all the necessary answers already and it is clear that at least one accusor won't read my factual answers anyway, accusations are now answered by just a few words and my email address for any further discussion. 

And fairness requires you to note my posting any positive information concerning advisaries' approaches to the Cononavirus problem that I find.  Example:  Abbas' approval of the low-cost ventilator developed at El Kuds University.

There is a detailed discussion of San Francisco Muni's approach to Cononavirus available at:

https://www.sfmta.com/blog/muni-prepares-deliver-essential-trips-only

I am not competent to do a summary, or to edit for brevity, and it is far longer than any of my posts.  The comments and discussion that follow are also important in my opinion.  No rail service is being provided; only buses are running, with a very skelitan system, that discussion indicates some feel is inadequate.

You may wish to approach the MUNI blog through the website of the Market Street Railway Association (I'm a member) at  www.streetcar.org

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Posted by Euclid on Thursday, April 16, 2020 7:21 AM

BaltACD
 
Euclid
 
BaltACD

There has not been enough testing to know what we don't know. 

What is it that we have to know before we restart the economy?

 

Who has the virus, who is passing the virus and who is 'immune' to the virus - if science doesn't come up with a vaccine to prevent the fatal effects of contracting the virus.

In the absense of 'herd immunity' the effects of the virus on the population at large will overwhelm the healthcare system wherever the virus strikes.  To date we have no scientifically proven treatment for the virus.

 

I understand and agree that that is needed.  Ideally all of that would be necessary before lifting the lockdowns.  HOWEVER: Achieving this goal of entirely weeding out the virus from our population will take a lot of time.  Do we just keep the economy shut down and pay people to stay home indefinitely for months or years?  If that is not an option, what do you do?

The IMF is already predicting the biggest downturn since the Great Depression, and that happens if we return to work now.  It is understandable to put lives before jobs, but ultimately, the two are linked with lives being dependent on jobs.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/us/politics/coronavirus-economy-recession-depression.html

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Posted by BaltACD on Thursday, April 16, 2020 7:08 AM

Overmod
...

Perhaps interestingly, the official Indiana statistics indicate only 49 deaths in the period from March 28 and April 14, which is not at all what the television station's cleverly-smoothed curve indicates.  I also note, although this appears to be unremarked officially, that the case rate increase is slowing down, which may indicate that the various heroic social-distancing mechanisms are working.  

Bad counting works both ways - inflating and deflating the real numbers.  The source of the 'raw' numbers have to be evaluated with the message they are trying to prove with the numbers they are posting.

Never too old to have a happy childhood!

              

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