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CSX vs. Amtrak 91 at Cayce, SC

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Posted by Euclid on Friday, February 9, 2018 2:09 PM

BaltACD

 

 
BigJim
 
Euclid
What is your estimate for the stopping distance for #91 with an emergency application, at the location of the collision, assuming it was an engine and eight cars, and traveling at 56 mph?

I did not have enough time running AMTRAK equipment to even venture a guess.

 

A whole lot more than the estimated 250 foot sight line, in any event.

 

Why 250 feet?  That number is my estimate for distance to switch points when their position became visible.  I think that is a fair minimum.  Then add 659 feet from switch to point of collision impact:  250 + 659 = 909 feet.  I speculate that 909 is enough distance to reduce speed from 56 mph to 35 mph.  Of course, we have to deduct a bit of reaction time/distance.  I would also like to verify how that 659 feet was measured.  I suspect it may be from the fouling point of the switch to the point of impact.  If so, you could add another 125 feet or so to arrive at the total distance available for stopping the nine car train moving 56 mph.  

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Posted by zugmann on Friday, February 9, 2018 2:11 PM

Euclid
That number is my estimate for distance to switch points when their position became visible

How did you arrive at this estimate?

 

 

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by Anonymous on Friday, February 9, 2018 2:33 PM

BigJim
But not as much as the news media would have you think. It is remarkable how quickly they can stop!

I don't know if the following chart gives an usefull estimate.
www.caltrain.com/assets/_engineering/engineering-standards-2/Drawings/5000s/SD-5006.pdf

The chart gives braking distances for Caltrans trains for signalling purposes. So the results are not the shortest max. service brake applications but contain a safety margin. The given braking distance for 56 mph is 3270 ft.

Now we miss a ratio of max. service application and emergency braking distances.
Regards.

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Posted by Euclid on Friday, February 9, 2018 3:01 PM

zugmann

 

 
Euclid
That number is my estimate for distance to switch points when their position became visible

 

How did you arrive at this estimate?

 

 

 

 

Just based on recollections of watching switch points.  What is your estimate?

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Posted by zugmann on Friday, February 9, 2018 3:09 PM

Euclid
Just based on recollections of watching switch points. What is your estimate?

When did you watch switch points? And from where? 

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Friday, February 9, 2018 4:13 PM

Some one please  clarify.  It was stated that 91 waited about 10 - 20 minutes at the north end of the signal suspension for a track warrant.  Is that correct ?

If so was that because the dispatcher was waiting for the release of the track warrant by the CSX crew ?

How long did it take 91 when released to reach the collision point ?

What  did the CSX crew do after they released their warrant ?

The CSX loco recorders if survived may have some indications of what occurred by the CSX crew ?  

Observed a signal bungalow at the end of the curve from the north.  Any idea what its function could be ?  Any possibility that it has been put there to verify switch positions of the switches just to the south ?i 

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Posted by Overmod on Friday, February 9, 2018 4:15 PM

Volker, have you looked in the table provided in the TSB report that NDG cited in String Lining.  There are data there that might be used to derive a starting place for 'corrections' based on 91's braking ratios, speed profile, etc.

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Posted by Saturnalia on Friday, February 9, 2018 4:18 PM

zugmann

 

 
Euclid
Just based on recollections of watching switch points. What is your estimate?

 

When did you watch switch points? And from where? 

 

Apparently being an academic makes you an expert inquirer on any potential subject so long as you can ask a billion questions of and seek a billion possible solutions to problems that have no actual solution. 

Or, you could just listen to the actual authorities on these issues. We have legions of train operating folks on here and yet some ignore their experience and wisdom. 

Maybe, just maybe, we've found a case where academics will never know more than the people who do that job on a daily basis. 

But that won't ever stop them. It's tiring to read and detracts from the real discussion and insight that comes from listening to the people who actually DO THIS JOB. They're the authority on this issue, and way more worthwhile to listen to than those who seem hell-bent on ensuring the thread goes on forever with their propositions and academic reasoning.

I'm no railroad operating man but I know enough and have heard enough listening to them that I bet a certain somebody here would probably be crapping their pants if they ever had to run a real freight or passenger train - when propositions are worthless and mistakes can kill.  

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Posted by Anonymous on Friday, February 9, 2018 4:23 PM

Overmod
Volker, have you looked in the table provided in the TSB report that NDG cited in String Lining.

No I haven't. I didn't follow that thread.
Regards; Volker

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Friday, February 9, 2018 4:35 PM

Saturnalia
 
zugmann

 

 
Euclid
Just based on recollections of watching switch points. What is your estimate?

 

When did you watch switch points? And from where? 

 

 

 

Apparently being an academic makes you an expert inquirer on any potential subject so long as you can ask a billion questions of and seek a billion possible solutions to problems that have no actual solution. 

Or, you could just listen to the actual authorities on these issues. We have legions of train operating folks on here and yet some ignore their experience and wisdom. 

Maybe, just maybe, we've found a case where academics will never know more than the people who do that job on a daily basis. 

But that won't ever stop them. It's tiring to read and detracts from the real discussion and insight that comes from listening to the people who actually DO THIS JOB. They're the authority on this issue, and way more worthwhile to listen to than those who seem hell-bent on ensuring the thread goes on forever with their propositions and academic reasoning.

I'm no railroad operating man but I know enough and have heard enough listening to them that I bet a certain somebody here would probably be crapping their pants if they ever had to run a real freight or passenger train - when propositions are worthless and mistakes can kill.  

 

Yes

I hope you mean academic as in theoretical or hypothetical and not as relating to higher education or being scholarly.

 

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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Posted by Overmod on Friday, February 9, 2018 5:36 PM

Streak, we're likely going to have to wait for the next preliminary NTSB report to know any of that in a reasonable way.  About the only thing that is indisputably clear is the EO 24 violation, because overt events confirm it.  That is far from 'explaining' what happened, though -- and we need the detailed results of the interviews, or an intelligent synopsis of them, before we can do anything more than rank supposition.

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Posted by Euclid on Friday, February 9, 2018 5:45 PM

Saturnalia

 

 
zugmann

 

 
Euclid
Just based on recollections of watching switch points. What is your estimate?

 

When did you watch switch points? And from where? 

 

 

 

Apparently being an academic makes you an expert inquirer on any potential subject so long as you can ask a billion questions of and seek a billion possible solutions to problems that have no actual solution. 

Or, you could just listen to the actual authorities on these issues. We have legions of train operating folks on here and yet some ignore their experience and wisdom. 

Maybe, just maybe, we've found a case where academics will never know more than the people who do that job on a daily basis. 

But that won't ever stop them. It's tiring to read and detracts from the real discussion and insight that comes from listening to the people who actually DO THIS JOB. They're the authority on this issue, and way more worthwhile to listen to than those who seem hell-bent on ensuring the thread goes on forever with their propositions and academic reasoning.

I'm no railroad operating man but I know enough and have heard enough listening to them that I bet a certain somebody here would probably be crapping their pants if they ever had to run a real freight or passenger train - when propositions are worthless and mistakes can kill.  

 

I don't think zugmann is an acedemic.

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Posted by zugmann on Friday, February 9, 2018 5:47 PM

Euclid
I don't think zugmann is an acedemic.

Gonnna insult my mother too, while you're at it? Go right ahead - she's dead and won't mind.

 

I don't know what your definition of "academic" is, but I do have a college degree.

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by Electroliner 1935 on Friday, February 9, 2018 6:17 PM

zugmann
I don't know what your definition of "academic" is, but I do have a college degree.

In?

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Posted by zugmann on Friday, February 9, 2018 6:18 PM

Electroliner 1935
In?

a drawer.

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by Electroliner 1935 on Friday, February 9, 2018 6:23 PM

zugmann

It's in a drawer.

Q

Clever will get you many places. What discipline and from what College, please. I wish I could learn more about Bucky but he does not want to tells anything about himself

 

 

zugmann
It's in a drawer.
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Posted by zugmann on Friday, February 9, 2018 6:24 PM

Nah, not important.  Nothing that would impress you.  Hell it doesn't even impress me.  I don't really consider myself an academic, tbh.

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by Electroliner 1935 on Friday, February 9, 2018 6:27 PM

zugmann

Nah, not important.  Nothing that would impress you.  Hell it doesn't even impress me.  I don't really consider myself an academic, tbh.

Ahh, another EUCLID. I thought better of you. 

 

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Posted by zugmann on Friday, February 9, 2018 6:39 PM

Electroliner 1935
Ahh, another EUCLID. I thought better of you.

Think what you want.  I don't care.

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by tree68 on Friday, February 9, 2018 6:42 PM

Electroliner 1935
Ahh, another EUCLID. I thought better of you. 

Ahh - but there is a difference - Zug has bona fide railroad experience.  

I've got two associates degrees - they're in a drawer, too (or are they in the cupboard over the closet?).  But I also hold a railroad engineer's card, which is far more relevant here.

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Posted by SD70Dude on Friday, February 9, 2018 7:21 PM

Electroliner 1935
zugmann

Nah, not important.  Nothing that would impress you.  Hell it doesn't even impress me.  I don't really consider myself an academic, tbh.

Ahh, another EUCLID. I thought better of you. 

At least Zug can use the forum software properly when quoting people.  Just sayin

Greetings from Alberta

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Posted by Randy Stahl on Friday, February 9, 2018 8:31 PM

I have railroad experience, some of it isn't very nice.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Friday, February 9, 2018 10:42 PM

aother site says 91 & 92 / 10th will operate normal route.  Guess that the 6 days of backup auto deliveries can start moving toward the site ? 

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Posted by ruderunner on Saturday, February 10, 2018 6:51 AM

Saturnalia

 

 
zugmann

 

 
Euclid
Just based on recollections of watching switch points. What is your estimate?

 

When did you watch switch points? And from where? 

 

 

 

Apparently being an academic makes you an expert inquirer on any potential subject so long as you can ask a billion questions of and seek a billion possible solutions to problems that have no actual solution. 

Or, you could just listen to the actual authorities on these issues. We have legions of train operating folks on here and yet some ignore their experience and wisdom. 

Maybe, just maybe, we've found a case where academics will never know more than the people who do that job on a daily basis. 

But that won't ever stop them. It's tiring to read and detracts from the real discussion and insight that comes from listening to the people who actually DO THIS JOB. They're the authority on this issue, and way more worthwhile to listen to than those who seem hell-bent on ensuring the thread goes on forever with their propositions and academic reasoning.

I'm no railroad operating man but I know enough and have heard enough listening to them that I bet a certain somebody here would probably be crapping their pants if they ever had to run a real freight or passenger train - when propositions are worthless and mistakes can kill.  

 

 

So, what is a real world estimate of the sight distance?

Let's pretend for right now that this is straight level track, dark but clear. We can account for the curve from there.

Y'all are spending the time to claim Euclid doesn't know what he's saying but I haven't seen any other estimates

Modeling the Cleveland and Pittsburgh during the PennCentral era starting on the Cleveland lakefront and ending in Mingo junction

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Posted by Randy Stahl on Saturday, February 10, 2018 7:12 AM

Maybe 10 car lenghtx in the dark, 15-20 car lengths in day light

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Posted by tree68 on Saturday, February 10, 2018 7:22 AM

ruderunner
Y'all are spending the time to claim Euclid doesn't know what he's saying but I haven't seen any other estimates.

Sorry, I don't usually have a tape measure with me to verify how far I am from a switch when I can see the points.

Remember that the gap between the stock rail and the open points is only a couple of inches.  If you're rolling down the railroad at speed it can be tough to see from any distance.

That said, I'd say a hundred yards or so.  My eyes aren't as sharp as they used to be - although still well within the FRA requirements.  Someone with "eagle eyes" might be able to spot it further out.

As for Bucky, he just admitted he likes to pull everyone's chain.  I'll just leave that there.

 

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Posted by ruderunner on Saturday, February 10, 2018 7:26 AM

so assuming passenger cars at roughly 85' werew looking at an 850 foot sight distance correct?

Or if you're referring to 40' boxcars then 400'.

That gives the engineer significantly more time to react, still not enough to prevent the collision but enough to minimize the impact by a significant amount.

That doesn't account for the curve reducing the sight distance. One can do the math to determine the actual sight distance reduction due to the curve but at this point Euclid doesn't seem too far off with his 250' estimate.

Thanks for the actual answer Randy.

Larry, 100 yards is 300 feet, less than one carlength difference from the estimate.

Modeling the Cleveland and Pittsburgh during the PennCentral era starting on the Cleveland lakefront and ending in Mingo junction

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Posted by tree68 on Saturday, February 10, 2018 7:36 AM

ruderunner
so assuming passenger cars at roughly 85' werew looking at an 850 foot sight distance correct? Or if you're referring to 40' boxcars then 400'.

Most freight folks these days think in terms of a 50 foot car, so that would put it around 500 feet, more or less.

No one has questioned the 250' figure.  Only how much braking can occur in the three seconds that would elapse between seeing a misaligned switch and then reaching it at near 60 MPH.

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Posted by edblysard on Saturday, February 10, 2018 8:51 AM

tree68

 

 
ruderunner
so assuming passenger cars at roughly 85' werew looking at an 850 foot sight distance correct? Or if you're referring to 40' boxcars then 400'.

 

Most freight folks these days think in terms of a 50 foot car, so that would put it around 500 feet, more or less.

No one has questioned the 250' figure.  Only how much braking can occur in the three seconds that would elapse between seeing a misaligned switch and then reaching it at near 60 MPH.

 

The fastest an emergence brake application will occur is the speed of sound.

23 17 46 11

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Posted by Euclid on Saturday, February 10, 2018 8:58 AM

As I said, I think 250 feet is a fair minimum, and it could be up to 500 feet or more.  At night, an open switch shows a prominent black shadow in contrast to the headlight gleam on the rails.  That shadow stands out because it diverges where the curved stock rail passes the open switch point.  I have never measured the site distance, but on a railroad track, things look closer than they actually are.  

Even in a curve, 250 feet is not going to bend very far, and is unlikely to cut off the view of the points.

I want to clarify something.  Many times here, people have made the comment that you are not going to slow down much in 250 feet.  Yes, ideally, the safest approch will allow you to stop before going into an open switch.  But we are talking about braking in this particular collsion, and that involves the opjective of how much the train can be slowed in 909 feet.  

As it was, the train slowed 6 mph in that distance; from 56 mph to 50 mph.  Instead of going into emergency at 909 feet, it went into emergency at approximately 229 feet from the collision.  

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