QUOTE: Originally posted by PNWRMNM FM The carriers went to 131, 132-136 pound rail before they introduced 286K cars. There is no basis in fact to claim that 286K cars are forcing heavier rail on main tracks, and therefore no marginal investment to support heavier cars on routes that handle significant traffic. Your apriori (existing in the mind independent of experience)hypothesis was flawed at its conception. Mac
QUOTE: Originally posted by jeaton As bad as they might want track for heavy cars, the rate of generation of capital is not going to allow the Class 1's or anybody else to put in track any faster than heavy weight cars go into operation. And you may be a tad under on the replacement rates for cars for bulk materials. It is possible that half the fleet consist of such cars and at 10,000 cars per year replacement would span 75 years.
QUOTE: Now if you can design a car with a 75 year life, get going, because I guarantee that you will sell a bunch and you if you like you can even equip them with 5 axle trucks.
"We have met the enemy and he is us." Pogo Possum "We have met the anemone... and he is Russ." Bucky Katt "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." Niels Bohr, Nobel laureate in physics
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal beaulieu, Let's go back to the topic question for a moment. To paraphrase, the topic starter asked about the cost of upgrading rail, presumably to handle heavier axle loads (although he makes the same fallacious generalization as the "rail professionals" of the need for upgrading rail for heavier cars, when in fact the specificity of rail wear is due to increased axle loads, not necessarily heavier cars which are more affective on track structures such as bridges). My question to you is this: Don't you think it is more expensive to upgrade the nation's entire rail inventory for HAL cars than it would be to manufacture LAL three axle trucks for all new heavy haul car orders? Because that is the gist of the issue. Our nation is at the brink of losing most of our shortline network simply due to the fact that railroad decision makers have decided to stubbornly bull ahead with HAL to increase load factor, when the technology now exists to commercialize track friendly three axle trucks to accompli***his same goal without the need to overupgrade or alternatively abandon the shortline network. Yes, I wish I had access to some cost figures for installing three axle trucks on all new heavy haul cars built from here on out, so we would have something to compare to the $7 billion figure touted to upgrade our nation's shortline network for HAL cars (not to mention the untold billions probably needed to upgrade and/or maintain the Class I mainlines for HAL over and above that which would have been needed to maintain a LAL sufficient network). Until and if some other TRAINS contributor can come through with such numbers, logical thought does follow that it would have been less expensive to upgrade to three axle trucks for all new heavy haul car orders rather than having to upgrade the tens of thousands of miles of track across the nation. Also, even though you'd need 50% more braking equipment on three axle trucks than two axle trucks, the wear on those brakes would be 33% less. More brakes cost more money, but more brakes also spread the wear more evenly. More brakes means more stopping power. As for radial steering (or some variation thereof), one thing is for sure - whether you have radial two axle trucks or three axle trucks, you would never hear a single flange squealing around curves when such trucks have the radial steering. And one more thing - having LAL's via three axle trucks for heavy haul cars would also mitigate the effects of flat spots on wheels. 40 tons weighing down on a single axle with a flat spotted wheel will cause much more damage to the rail than 25 tons.
QUOTE: Originally posted by PNWRMNM FM We are still waiting for something beyond unsubstantiated opinions and guesses. Mac
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal Well, first of all no one is confusing my opinions with the HAL article, because the HAL article didn't even touch on the spread axle alternative. I'm not sure how you can infer that as my presentation of the article's data. Speaking of sliding in opinions, your statements that the three axle truck would cost "significantly" more is purely subjective, because we don't have any actual cost comparison numbers to analyze. Yes, three 25 ton axles would cost more than two 39 ton axles, but not by much, maybe 25% more, because each 25 ton axle presumably costs less than each 39 ton axle. The use of independent suspension would also raise the costs of trucks, but that would apply to two axle trucks that might use independent suspension as well as three axle trucks. The trade-off comes in greater ride quality for the load.
QUOTE: And you should also point out that the 125 ton truck is much heavier than the 70 ton truck and therefore also increases the light weight of the car, yet because it allows for larger revenue lading it increases the load factor. That same line of reason also would apply to the three axle truck, e.g. the greater the accumulated gross weight limit the greater the increase in lading potential.
QUOTE: And I am suprised you include the "increase in rail and flange wear" argument (due to the longer wheelbase of a three axle truck) in the same sentence as the reference to the radial steering, because it is precisely the radial steering that would reduce rail and flange wear, and in fact would make a three axle truck less wearsome to the rail and flanges than a standard three piece two axle truck. Therefore, if the truck has radial steering, the length of the wheelbase is meaningless in regard to rail and flange wear. It may even be that the savings in rail and flange wear from using radial steering would offset the maintenance costs of radial steering technologies.
QUOTE: And we well soon start to see radial steering mechanisms used on two axle trucks. The RailRunner technology already employs radial steering on it's two axle trucks. The bottom line is that a three axle truck at 25 tons per axle would allow for lighter (and thus less expensive) rail and rail components than the proposed 39 ton axle. HAL is for the birds.
QUOTE: Originally posted by beaulieu QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal QUOTE: Originally posted by jeaton And the cost figures to prove your assertion are found where? Start with TRAINS March 2006 issue, the HAL article. Then use a comparative check of the load factor numbers provided by the author with a similar hypothesis plugging in the six axle concept. You can plug and play any number of hypothetical combinations. Try this one for size. According to the article, the 4 axle 286k car increases lading by "10 to 15 percent" over the 4 axle 263k car, while "weight on the rail grows by only 8.75 percent". Although not specifically mentioned in the article, the 286k has roughly 35 tons on each axle while the 263k has roughly 33 tons on each axle, and they are using 36" and 33" wheels respectively. With a six axle 300k car using 28" wheels and 25 tons per axle, you get the same "10 to 15 percent" lading increase over the 263k car, but actual weight on the rail decreases by 33 percent! The article also states that shortlines and regionals represent 30% of the rail network, and would need $7 billion to upgrade their tracks for the 35 -39 ton axles. From that you can infer that it has cost the other 70% of the rail network roughly $24 billion to upgrade their tracks for the 35 - 39 ton axles. $30+ billion total, soley for HAL! I can bet you it wouldn't cost a fraction of that if they had instead gone spread axle on their new higher lading freight car purchases/leases. I like the way that you slide in your own opinions as though they were part of the article Dave. The three axle truck you suggest using, would cost significantly more than a larger two axle truck, would be heavier (increasing the empty weight of the car), would have a longer wheelbase even with the smaller wheels (increasing flange and rail wear) or if a radial design would require more maintenance and be much more expensive.
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal QUOTE: Originally posted by jeaton And the cost figures to prove your assertion are found where? Start with TRAINS March 2006 issue, the HAL article. Then use a comparative check of the load factor numbers provided by the author with a similar hypothesis plugging in the six axle concept. You can plug and play any number of hypothetical combinations. Try this one for size. According to the article, the 4 axle 286k car increases lading by "10 to 15 percent" over the 4 axle 263k car, while "weight on the rail grows by only 8.75 percent". Although not specifically mentioned in the article, the 286k has roughly 35 tons on each axle while the 263k has roughly 33 tons on each axle, and they are using 36" and 33" wheels respectively. With a six axle 300k car using 28" wheels and 25 tons per axle, you get the same "10 to 15 percent" lading increase over the 263k car, but actual weight on the rail decreases by 33 percent! The article also states that shortlines and regionals represent 30% of the rail network, and would need $7 billion to upgrade their tracks for the 35 -39 ton axles. From that you can infer that it has cost the other 70% of the rail network roughly $24 billion to upgrade their tracks for the 35 - 39 ton axles. $30+ billion total, soley for HAL! I can bet you it wouldn't cost a fraction of that if they had instead gone spread axle on their new higher lading freight car purchases/leases.
QUOTE: Originally posted by jeaton And the cost figures to prove your assertion are found where?
QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal The article also states that shortlines and regionals represent 30% of the rail network, and would need $7 billion to upgrade their tracks for the 35 -39 ton axles. From that you can infer that it has cost the other 70% of the rail network roughly $24 billion to upgrade their tracks for the 35 - 39 ton axles. I see what you're saying Dave, but I'm not sure I agree with your mathmatecal inference. To relate $7billion to upgrade 30% of the rail network as meaning the other 70% will take $24billion, is to say that the 70% of trackage is in the same condition as the 30%. I hope to believe that UP's transcon is in a little better shape than The Ellis & Eastern, which hauls gravel through my town. That little detail could sku the mathmatics a little.[:)]
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal The article also states that shortlines and regionals represent 30% of the rail network, and would need $7 billion to upgrade their tracks for the 35 -39 ton axles. From that you can infer that it has cost the other 70% of the rail network roughly $24 billion to upgrade their tracks for the 35 - 39 ton axles.
QUOTE: I can't figure out why the 6 wheel truck hasn't been perfected to the point at which it becomes viable in this context.
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Larry Resident Microferroequinologist (at least at my house) Everyone goes home; Safety begins with you My Opinion. Standard Disclaimers Apply. No Expiration Date Come ride the rails with me! There's one thing about humility - the moment you think you've got it, you've lost it...
QUOTE: Originally posted by edbenton Since you are looking at roughly 30 million a mile to lay all new trackager and ballast figure on roughly 6 mil a mile rough guess remember there is no need to put down new subroadbed and ballast just redoing the track figure on the rough guess of 6 mil a mile. That 30 mil a mile comes from what it is costing the BNSF to double track the transcon.
QUOTE: Originally posted by jeaton Given that railroads have cost reduction as one of the higher priorities, it would appear that the answer to your question is "yes".
QUOTE: Originally posted by jeaton So what WAS the cost of this tri-axle designed compared to the standard two axle truck.
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