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GM closing nine plants

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:16 AM
Moraine and Doraville are NS served. I guess the impact depends a bit on where the production gets shifted to.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by richardy on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:34 AM
They have been telling us for years that OKC would close and the last word was 2007. I don't know for sure but it seems the plant will go idle first, that is probably the early 2006 date. Either way it will have some impact on BNSF and the local employees.
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Posted by TomDiehl on Monday, November 21, 2005 9:14 AM
There was a map of the current railroad traffic from auto plants and their suppliers in Trains about a year or so ago.

Guess that will have to be updated.
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Posted by SALfan on Monday, November 21, 2005 11:23 AM
Did anyone else notice that the map had South Carolina highlighted, presumably to correspond with the Doraville plant? Doraville is in Georgia (just outside Atlanta), not SC. Looks like "McPaper" needs to crack open a geography book once in a while.
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 11:27 AM
I told you that if Unions keep trying to get higher wages and benifits people would lose their jobs. Sad [sigh]
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 11:40 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

I told you that if Unions keep trying to get higher wages and benifits people would lose their jobs. Sad [sigh]


It's not entirely about the unions. It's about American auto industries not being able to compete with the Japanese, Germans, and whoever else exports their garbage to us. We wanted cheap this and cheap that, well now we got it!
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Posted by nanaimo73 on Monday, November 21, 2005 11:51 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Jim_White

QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

I told you that if Unions keep trying to get higher wages and benifits people would lose their jobs. Sad [sigh]


It's not entirely about the unions. It's about American auto industries not being able to compete with the Japanese, Germans, and whoever else exports their garbage to us. We wanted cheap this and cheap that, well now we got it!


The perception out here is that Hondas and Toyotas are designed better.
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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Monday, November 21, 2005 11:57 AM
In the 1970's, the Japanese manufacturers had a deserved reputation for better quality than American manufacturers, especially in fit and finish. The quality gap has since been closed but the original reputation persists.

Lotus has obviously never appreciated the difference between union and non-union wages, unless he intends to support a family on a Wal-Mart wage scale.
The daily commute is part of everyday life but I get two rides a day out of it. Paul
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 12:09 PM
Paul,

Businesses have to think of wages as a cost, like steel. A company is not going to over pay for supplies; neither are they going to pay for high wages. Now because of it (and other factors) none of these people have jobs, a lot of good those unions did, and are earning nothing instead. The money to pay people more has to come from somewhere, in this case the price of the car. If you are in such favor of Unions I suggest you always pay the highest price for everything, since odds are that has the most Union people to pay. Raising wages, be it minimum wage, or by unions, is like inflation, it really doesn't get anyone any more money, since the people earn more, but also pay more for goods. Unions had their place historically, but have outlived most of their usefulness, becoming collections places for a certain political party, in fact did you know that the ACLU was founded by communist?
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Posted by TomDiehl on Monday, November 21, 2005 12:52 PM
Right in that report I can see another bad management idea being put forth again: early retirements. Although this may soten the blow to the people taking the early out, it also means the company will be paying them a retirement salary for a longer period of time, a period where they will contribute nothing to the company's output of products or services. This idiocy has a lot to do with their current financial situation, they started this in the '70's as a way to downsize. Now it's coming back to bite them in the financial butt. The article refers to them as "legacy costs." On top of that, they're proposing doing MORE of the same this time around, but I guess they don't care that the same thing will happen in about another 10 or 15 years. After all, the current BOD and big wheels will be retired with their "golden parachutes."

Was I the only one that noticed that there's no mention of cutting any of the multimillion dollar salaried big wheels that made these bad decisions in the first place? I guess they'll just reward themselves with big bonuses for firing all these people and saving the company so much money.
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Posted by Scoobie9669 on Monday, November 21, 2005 1:58 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by TomDiehl

Was I the only one that noticed that there's no mention of cutting any of the multimillion dollar salaried big wheels that made these bad decisions in the first place? I guess they'll just reward themselves with big bonuses for firing all these people and saving the company so much money.


The sad part about this is if they (big guns) would take a pay cut or get layoff they could save the plants and some (or maybe all) of the employees.
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Posted by Scoobie9669 on Monday, November 21, 2005 1:59 PM
Just image on how much of an impact this will couse to the communities that these plants are in?
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 2:13 PM
The UAW for many yrs has been the most powerful of any industry union. Their members have enjoyed totally 100% covered health care costs by their employer for a long time. This is the sign of a very powerful collective bargin process by the union. Now it appears this is coming to an end. I have no problem, at wages like you make in an auto plant, (some union positions pay well over what rr jobs pay) for a10-15% out of pocket monthly cost to pay for health care. This is a very expensive cost for any employer and by paying a small percentage yourself, people will really be thankful for what they have and not take it for granted.
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Posted by edblysard on Monday, November 21, 2005 3:03 PM
The current Union contract was negotiated over a decade ago...its not like the Unions got up last week and said we demand this and this...
Place the blame exactly where it belongs...GM Management made bad decisions, produced a so-so product, sat on their fannys as their US competition made big changes in the type of car they built, and how they go about building them.

GM knew years ago how much it would be paying out in all those “union” perks and such….its not like they don’t have accountants and such.

Same unions work at Ford and Chrysler, and those two are not in the toilet...
As for foreign autos...most of your Toyotas and Hondas are made right here, in Tennessee and Kentucky, and Toyota is building a plant here in Texas.
All built by American auto workers, all paying those extreme union wages.

Ford and Chrysler both took a look at what they would be paying out in retirement, benefits and such well over a decade ago, and decided to buy out who they could right then, and replace them with robotics and automated manufactures, then streamlined how they build cars, introduced new designs, and instituted quality controls that makes GM’s look so shabby by comparison.

Honda and Toyota, Nissan, most of the established "foreign" makers also got their quality control way better than GM over a decade ago...my neighbor is still driving his 1975 Datsun B1500 pick up…well over 300 thousand miles on it.

So, two of the big three paid attention when they should have, one of them decided that business as usual was the way to go...
Daimler Chrysler is blowing GM away, Ford Trucks out sell GM...Go figure whose management teams were on the ball and looked ahead, and whose were more worried about their green fees than their business...

I mean, my god, who in their right mind would buy Fiat?

Ed


QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

I told you that if Unions keep trying to get higher wages and benifits people would lose their jobs. Sad [sigh]

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Posted by bobwilcox on Monday, November 21, 2005 3:12 PM
It is amazing that GM is going to take over three year to make these cuts. They are not facing bankruptcy in three years but this year.
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 3:14 PM
Ed, the voice of intellect, fact and reason. You are such a jerk ruining that little queen Lotuses anti Union rhetoric wtih fact. Lotus, put a sock in it. By the responses you get, can you not see that more than a few of us think that you are a little dork. Go away!
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Posted by JoeKoh on Monday, November 21, 2005 3:57 PM
yes gm has screwed up big time and they now have the federal govt looking in their books too.I just hope the retirees dont loose their money and the other workers can keep working to feed thier families.
stay safe
joe

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Posted by AztecEagle on Monday, November 21, 2005 4:00 PM
I Agree With You Guys.Yes,I Think That There's A Lot Of Union B.S. Involved,But There's Just Way Too Much Management B.S. as Well.If They'd Quit Giving Out All These Bonuses To Upper Management,Maybe A Lot More Companies Wouldn't Be Going Broke!!
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Posted by eastside on Monday, November 21, 2005 4:09 PM
Not exactly a bolt from the blue. The sales of highly profitable SUVs masked GM’s deterioration for the past several years. Now that sales of SUVs have tanked along with total market share, GM is suddenly faced with its day of reckoning.

GM has a highly profitable financing operation (GMAC) and foreign auto operations are doing moderately well. Its Buick operation China, which sells entirely to the internal market, has been notably successful. Despite this, for the 3 quarters so far this year, GM has lost $3.8 billion, mostly attributable to domestic auto sales.

The reaction of business analysts to GM’s announcement seems to be pretty tepid. Most seem to feel that it’s a minimal first step that doesn’t address its core problems: pension costs and neglecting to diversify its product base (e.g. hybrids). GM is coming to market in 2006 with a bunch of new models -- you guessed it -- SUVs planned years ago. The huge cutbacks in the ‘90s, under an agreement with its unions, loaded GM with about 3 retirees per active employee. The immediate effect of the closures will bring that ratio to about 6 retirees per employee. I’m not certain that any corporation can remain viable for long under such an enormous burden.

Cutting management and management benefits will save a few tens of millions, but we’re talking of many billions that GM must cut. A mere gesture, IMO.
QUOTE: Originally posted by bobwilcox

It is amazing that GM is going to take over three year to make these cuts. They are not facing bankruptcy in three years but this year.
At the rate GM is burning through its cash, I’d give it closer to two-and-half years, unless it takes some pretty drastic steps. The PBGC is another stellar example that no good deed goes unpunished, especially when it comes to acts of government. Congress meant to save, at least partially (note), worker pensions, but the unintended effect was that it also gave corporations additional incentive for entering bankruptcy, sooner rather than later. The PBGC is broke already. How do you think taxpayers will react when they realize they’ve been left holding the bag?
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Posted by AztecEagle on Monday, November 21, 2005 4:14 PM
Lotus;Quit Listening To All The Windbags On Talk Radio and Get Out Here In The Real World!!!You Seem To Have The Mindset That "Unions Have Outlived Their Usefullness.If We'd Just Let The Free Market Take Matters In Hand,Why Everything'll Be Just Nice and Bright and Sunshiny!!".Long Ago and Far Away,I Figured Out That That Conservatives,Like Liberals,Tend To Live In Their Little Ivory Towers and Beleive Everything Theyr'e Told And Follow In Lock Step!!Do Charles Manson;Jim Jones;David Koresh and Hersh Applewhite Come Into Mind??You Know,Some Of Us Ain't Gonna Drink The Poisoned Kool Aid or Shoot It Out With The Feds Just Because "Fearless Leader"Says It's So!!Attention Both Sides:Bill O'Reilly and Rush Limbaugh Ain't Looking Out For You!!Neither Are Al Franken and The Nameless Yammemers On Air America!!!Just emember,When Some Coroparate Raider Buys Your Companyand Moves It To China,Don't Come Begging To The Rest of Us For A Morsel of Food While Wer'e Bundling By The Fire In Some Hobo Jungle!!If You Beleive In The Coroporate Survival of the Fittest,Then Don't Be Sad When You Die By The Corporate Survival of the Fittest!!! John T.Patterson.Wasting Technology Since 2001."When The Legend Becomes Truth,Print The Legend."-John Ford.
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Posted by garr on Monday, November 21, 2005 4:20 PM
Ed,

Wasn't the last UAW contract actually negotiated with Chrysler? And, as has historically been done, GM and Ford agreed to the terms of this negotiation. IIRC, the three US automakers rotate on the UAW contract negotiations and the two automakers not in on the negotiations agree to the terms reached.

Fuel prices were the catalyst in the GM problems. What we are seeing today was eventually going to happen, just not as fast. WSJ reports say that GM's problems of today actually started 5 decades ago. One big problem was GM management not saying no to union demands of 100% insurance coverage for current and retired employees. Each GM vehicle has around $1,500 of its sale price going to health care costs. Ford's and Chrysler's is a little less, IIRC, $1,100 to $1,300 per vehicle and Toyota's only in the $400 range per vehicle.

I am as close to middle of the road on the pro/anti union/management debate that one can get. I own my own company and am its only employee. My customers are both union and nonunion companies and I enjoy working with both. But my one question from your post is, in those decade+ ago negotiations, wouldn't it have been better for the unions to bend on the health care premiums so that more people would have stayed employeed at Ford and Chyrsler?

I believe GM's 0% marketing campiagn had a lot to do with America's economic recovery after 9/11. And I am proud to say that I have only bought US made autos.

I am 43 years old and have only had 3 vehicles in my life. The first 2 were GM, both of which went well over 200,000 miles, and my current, bought new, '96 Ford Explorer with 210,000 miles on the odometer. None of these three vehicles had anything but routine maintenance done to them. For those who say foriegn brands' quality is best, my wife's 2001 Lexus had its master seal replaced at 60,000 miles.

Jay
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 4:26 PM
Merry *(&*@##$@!!!ing christmas GM workers [V] They should at least let them work until after the holidays, i mean these people have familys...[V]
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Posted by edblysard on Monday, November 21, 2005 4:39 PM

Eastside...
How true.
Even if GM tanked all of its upper management, and banked their salaries, bonuses and such, it would make such a minuscule dent as to almost be un-noticeable.

The real problem isn’t salaries, both management and union... but the basic way GM does business.
They are so stratified and hidebound that even if they did come up with a world beater in design, something like this century's version of the Vette, they still couldn’t get it in production for 4 to 5 years, too late to make a difference.

Not to toot the horn of my car, but take Chrysler's concept car, the Dodge Magnum.
Built as a one off based on the 300, for a trade show, it sparked enough interest that Daimler Chrysler put it into production at Brampton, Ontario...marketed it through their fleet and truck sales, (its called a multi purpose utility vehicle) even though its a station wagon.
Its sales accounted for 1/4 of Daimler Chryslers American sales...so they added another line to the LX platform, the Charger.
Predictions are the LX platform, Magnum, 300s and the Charger will keep Chrysler in the black for the next 3 to 5 years.

All in less than 3 years, from concept to sales floor.

GM can’t do that.

Ford has, take the Mustang, old name, brand new car underneath.
From concept to sales, in about 3 years also.
Prototype unveiled in 2002, sales began last quarter 2004.

GM failed to recognize that the auto business had to adapt to a new set of technologies and a new type of consumer...nor did they make plans to capture any of them.

Ed



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Posted by edblysard on Monday, November 21, 2005 4:48 PM
Jay,
I agree, had the unions had access to the same data as the auto makers, and applied a little common sense, both sides would have realized this was coming.
I also agree that the makers should have bargained harder, and offered less.
But at the time, based on what they were looking at on the surface, it was good, so...

Not a 100% Union fan either, although I do think they serve a good purpose, and I do belong to the UTU.

But both sides bear some of the "blame”, had they worked together this could have been stopped.

GM has been top heavy for a long time.
Iacocca made sure Chrysler wasn’t.

Ford has been quietly modernizing their plants for over a decade, and allowing natural attrition to pare down their work force.

Yes, I think the last contract was negotiated by Chrysler...

Ed

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Posted by Junctionfan on Monday, November 21, 2005 5:01 PM
GM makes me mad. This garbage is just another reason why St.Catharines' economy is going down hill. They closed down the foundary in St.Catharines which recieved awards for efficiency; they pretty much reduced all the jobs at the Ontario Street plant and I don't even know what is up with the Welland Avenue plant-looks barren to me.

The government gave GM basically a bribe to thrive in St.Catharines which was our major thing and in return, we got zilch. Some ROI indeed.

I think St.Catharines needs to start finding more industries and tell GM to go screw themselves so the workers won't get their hopes up for their layoffs to be only temperary. This way those workers can get a decent job hopefully in their trade, and hopefully gain some job security too-something they would not be used to as of late.

As for railroading goes. In St.Catharines, this doesn't effect a thing. All plants stopped rail service sometime in the early 90s that I can remember. The spur to the Ontario Street plant was removed thanks to some idiots in city council and Welland Avenue plant I don't think ever recieved rail despite being so close to a spur. The foundary stopped getting rail service because of CN (before Harrison). For some reason, the railroad decided to want to stop shipping them coke and autobox cars.
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Posted by Big_Boy_4005 on Monday, November 21, 2005 5:08 PM
Actually, unless GM reduces the number of total vehicles it produces, the railroads may see little net loss in shipping revenue. Parts still need to reach assembly plants, no matter the country of origin. And finished automobiles still have to be shipped to dealers.

The railroads might actually benefit, having to move freight further than under the current arrangement.
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Posted by CrazyDiamond on Monday, November 21, 2005 6:09 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by garr

I am 43 years old and have only had 3 vehicles in my life. The first 2 were GM, both of which went well over 200,000 miles, and my current, bought new, '96 Ford Explorer with 210,000 miles on the odometer. None of these three vehicles had anything but routine maintenance done to them. For those who say foriegn brands' quality is best, my wife's 2001 Lexus had its master seal replaced at 60,000 miles.


I am 34 years old, am on my 3rd GM truck, and I can tell you I will never buy another GM vehicle ever again. I have nothing but continous troubles with these things. My latest truck, is 1997 GMC Sierra, 90,000KM, and I baby this thing. I have had the following go wrong with it:
#1 Front wheel alighnment 7 times, (never been 4x4ing either)
#2 Two sets of front tires destroyed
#3 Front wheel bearing replaced
#4 Gear shift defective from factory
#5 Tail gate defective from factory, when lower it rubbed the bumper and in weeks wore off the paint.
#6 Intake manifold coolant leak
#7 Front end transfer case leak
#8 Power steering troubles, dealership can't find problem.
#9 Charging system troubles.
#10 Wiper motor failure.

But what really poisioned me....was the fact the experts at GM Goodwrench cannot fix my vehicle in the fist visit. I got to make at least 2 or sometime three trips to get it right.

Now, my wifes Honda Civic.....1995, over 200,000 KM.....one muffler replaced....and they did it right the first time.

.....I'm not the only one who knows this....the market knows this, and that is why their sales have plumeted, and now need huge discount sales to move their vechicles. What really saddens me, is that I actually love driving my GM truck...I am really confortable in it, I like the vehicle....I just hate its high maintence requirements and crappy service.......its cost me too much. [V]

How will this affect us? Will, one could argue that this will put a lot of people out of work, and this will cool the economy a little, and this will see less people buying less stuff, which means less freight being moved, which means a few less trains! Who knows?!
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 6:28 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by ironken

Ed, the voice of intellect, fact and reason. You are such a jerk ruining that little queen Lotuses anti Union rhetoric wtih fact. Lotus, put a sock in it. By the responses you get, can you not see that more than a few of us think that you are a little dork. Go away!

Ed, and I are not a total disagreement here; and the facts are not in disagreement with what I said either. Naturally it is a very complex issue, I was just pointing out one of the prominent reasons, bad management, high benefits (from the unions perhaps), and of course a lousy product, are still very much to blame. Also the unions haven't ruined any other car companies, since most autos factories are not outsourced, most are built like Honda, as mentioned right here in the good ole US because of shipping costs, so outsourcing isn't a problem. But, it should also deserves to be mentioned that something is up when a company starts to pay so much in benefits (part of wages). I had foreseen trouble for GM back when the employee discount kept getting stretched out; a warning sign that the company needed money. Aztec Eagle, I was only wondering, unions have their place, I will grant that; but could you please explain the flaws in my statement. Ed, I thank you for keeping a level head, were you just testing me last time?

If my ideas are so absurd they should be easy to disprove, and have hold water like a sieve, but mine ideas are fairly reasonable. I am not against all union, but people can strike without an organization telling them to, the management of such a thing doesn't have to be union, thought they were/are quite good at it. Not to try and drag us too par off the subject, as I too am wondering very much how this will effect the railroads, I will give you this quote to ponder out of a book I once read. The book, What Would Thomas Jefferson Think About This? by Richard J. Maybury, who has been called the “new Tom Paine” by some. In the book he takes the statist dogma most people take for granted and applies, logic, basic economics, and quotes and letters from the founding fathers; while pondering this please keep in mind this is a short excerpt from a book, it is very simple and may not apply to every case, I just thought I would share it with you people.



Unions Saved Workers

Satist Viewpoint
Businesses refused to grant higher wages or better working conditions to workers until the workers formed unions and forced these changes.

The Other Side of the Story
Unions did not bring better lighting to the factories, Thomas Edison did. A hundred years ago the new systems of scientific management found that workers produced more when they had better lighting, ventilation and other amenities. A soon as these were invented, the more progressive businesses began using them to gain a competitive advantage over the less progressive businesses.
Unions do raise wages, but in doing so they also cause more unemployment. An expensive is a worker likely to be replaced by a machine or some other innovation. If the wages are forced up very much, the firm might even close down and move out of the country.
A worker with a $50,000 hydraulic backhoe can dig more ditches and earn higher wages than one with a $20 shovel. The only way to achieve a real, lasting improvement in wages and working conditions is to accumulate the tools, training, raw materials and other factors to be more productive. Unions have little to do with it, but they take the credit.
The best – some would say the only – real protection for workers is a free market in which employers must bid against others for labor. Competition. Good workers will have a choice about taking their wages in the form of cash or in the form of health plans, pensions of other benefits. Bad worker will have the choice of either earning bad wages or becoming better workers.
Unions have been helpful to workers, this is true. But the help has been exaggerated. If all the costs, hidden and as well as unhidden, were weighed against benefits, the results would likely not be encouraging.

Now I am not blaming the unions wholly for the GM’s trouble, I have seen management run companies into the ground, and still earn millions of dollars. Look at what happened to Albertson’s, or HP, I won’t ever buy another piece of HP equipment.

Crazy Diamond, customer service is the boon to many a business.
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Posted by Big_Boy_4005 on Monday, November 21, 2005 6:36 PM
Gee, I've got over 209,000 miles on my 93 GMC Sierra. The only major work was rings and valves at about 115K, and 2 trannys, for which they are notorious. The rest has been routine. Maybe I'm just lucky. I've never owned a non GM car, but I also never bought a new one.[;)]

This one is only my sixth vehicle in 28 years, and two of them were with me for over 10 years each.
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Posted by CrazyDiamond on Monday, November 21, 2005 7:03 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

Look at what happened to Albertson#8217;s, or HP, I won#8217;t ever buy another piece of HP equipment.


At the risk of getting this wrong....do you mean HP the computer company? Hewlett Packard?
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 7:25 PM
Yep, I do. We have a Color LaserJet office printer. It is a lemon, it works about half the time. HP used to be a very innovative company but one of the CEOs (can't quite remember the name) ruined their reputation, for me at least.
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Posted by vsmith on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:10 PM
OMG Im going to AGREE with James on something..HP's SUCK.

Just wait till you try to get that thing fixed, I'll tell ecactly what will happen, they wont!
My HP6110 all-in-one stopped, took it to a guy who said its an internal software problem, called HP who told me they dont repair them, they will only replace them if they are still under warrenty ( whats that like 90 days? ) otherwise you can arrainge what they call a " trade in or trade up" which is a fancy way of saying I'm going to have to pay for a big chunk of the replacment costs. SHEEEE-IIIIIT !!! They build a crap product that last until the warrenty is long gone, then ***s outs and i get hit with the big bite.

Now I dont know whether to take the replacement the POS or just lick my wounds and get something else. Of course , the whole world is make of crap now and I have no guarentee any other printer isnt a POS either.


As for GM, All I can offer is a couple observations. Have you looked at there lineup? How many big SUVs and big trucks in the offering? Combine that with last summers $3 a gallon gas and higher prices predicted next year, an what Ed said above, is it any wonder the company sales are tanking and the copmpany is in serious financial trouble?

GM hasnt been able to adapt, and that is what is going to do the most damage is its inability to evolve like Ford and Chrysler have to new market demands. there entire philosophy has been predicated on cheaap gas prices and those days are gone likely forever unless we find oil on the Moon. I've avoided them like the plague, other than the 72 Chevy Nova I drove into the ground in college, I havent heard anything positive from anyone I've known thats owned one. Its not about poorly made American products, Nissan, Toyota, Honda all have plants here and in Canada, its about a companies overall manufacturing and managment process that is severly flawed. PS my current Nissan truck was built here is the USA and it runs great.

   Have fun with your trains

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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:13 PM
There are 2.3 retirees drawing benefits for every 1 GM worker. That should tell you something.

That would also tell you that GM's plans for massive layoffs isn't going to change that 2.3 to 1 ratio. GM is not tackling the legacy problem, instead it seems they're just trying to placate Wall Street in the interim.

Maybe they think the feds will bail out the legacy liabilities.
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Posted by Junctionfan on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:19 PM
If I'm not mistaken, G.M stocks are near junk status on one of the exchanges.
Andrew
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Posted by vsmith on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:23 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

There are 2.3 retirees drawing benefits for every 1 GM worker. That should tell you something.

That would also tell you that GM's plans for massive layoffs isn't going to change that 2.3 to 1 ratio. GM is not tackling the legacy problem, instead it seems they're just trying to placate Wall Street in the interim.

Maybe they think the feds will bail out the legacy liabilities.


Holy [censored] ! the Sky is Falling! I'm Agreeing with FM also![;)]

I'll bet you $5 thats exactly what they and a couple of airlines are planning to do, probably soon too.

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Posted by Big_Boy_4005 on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:47 PM
Gee Vic, now I guess we're going to have to shoot you.[swg]
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:52 PM
Big Boy, you have gotta post pics of guns and stupid tough guy quotes before you shoot him...........
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Posted by eastside on Monday, November 21, 2005 8:57 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

Yep, I do. We have a Color LaserJet office printer. It is a lemon, it works about half the time. HP used to be a very innovative company but one of the CEOs (can't quite remember the name) ruined their reputation, for me at least.
Do you mean Carleton S. Fiorina, better known as Carly Fiorina? She was the chief architect of the misconceived merger with Compaq, among other things, which eventually led to her downfall.
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, November 21, 2005 9:09 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by eastside

QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

Yep, I do. We have a Color LaserJet office printer. It is a lemon, it works about half the time. HP used to be a very innovative company but one of the CEOs (can't quite remember the name) ruined their reputation, for me at least.
Do you mean Carleton S. Fiorina, better known as Carly Fiorina? She was the chief architect of the misconceived merger with Compaq, among other things, which eventually led to her downfall.
That sounds right.
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Posted by vsmith on Monday, November 21, 2005 10:25 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Big_Boy_4005

Gee Vic, now I guess we're going to have to shoot you.[swg]

Being a Blue-backer it kinda gives the old axiom "better dead than Red" a whole new twist doesn't it[;)][:D]

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Posted by greyhounds on Monday, November 21, 2005 10:46 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Junctionfan

If I'm not mistaken, G.M stocks are near junk status on one of the exchanges.


It's bonds that are "Junk Status", not stocks. Bonds!

GM unfortunately now is in the same situation the railroads were 25 years ago.

It's got to shed capacity to keep up with its loss of market share. It ain't pretty. It's do that or die.

There is/was no way in The Devil's Kingdom that GM was going to keep its market share - they sure would have if they could have. I'm just glad Janesville didn't get the ax.

"By many measures, the U.S. freight rail system is the safest, most efficient and cost effective in the world." - Federal Railroad Administration, October, 2009. I'm just your average, everyday, uncivilized howling "anti-government" critic of mass government expenditures for "High Speed Rail" in the US. And I'm gosh darn proud of that.
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Posted by richardy on Monday, November 21, 2005 11:10 PM
I had one GM car, the paint started peeling off after six months. They painted it and it peeled off again, they painted it two more times then told me there was nothing they could do. I had owned Fords before and have owned nothing but Fords since.

On another note GM is offering, again, 0% for 60 months on Chevrolets, have not heard if that is extended to other GM lines.
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Posted by jeaton on Monday, November 21, 2005 11:47 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by greyhounds


There is/was no way in The Devil's Kingdom that GM was going to keep its market share - they sure would have if they could have. I'm just glad Janesville didn't get the ax.

Headline in tonight's Janesville paper "WHEW!"

Many GM employees employees commute from here, so a closing of that plant would have had an impact well beyond the Janesville city limits.

"We have met the enemy and he is us." Pogo Possum "We have met the anemone... and he is Russ." Bucky Katt "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." Niels Bohr, Nobel laureate in physics

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Posted by eastside on Monday, November 21, 2005 11:59 PM
Oh yeah, a couple of other things come to mind:

QUOTE: Originally posted by Junctionfan

If I'm not mistaken, G.M stocks are near junk status on one of the exchanges.
It's GM's debt that has junk status, not its equity.

1. What's the jewel in the crown for GM? Chevy? Cadillac? EMD? (Oops, forget that one.) No, it's GMAC, GM's financing arm, which will earn approximately $3 billion this year. (Which will be more than wiped out by the expected $4.9 billion loss from GM's North American auto-selling unit.) Not only does GMAC make tons of money financing cars, but they also make a lot from mortgages. (BTW, Ditech is their mortgage arm). What does this have to do with GM's junk rating? Well when you buy a car from GM and finance it through GMAC, GMAC has to go to the capital markets and borrow the money to send to GM in payment. Of course, the people loaning the money to GMAC are no dummies. If GM bites the dust so will GMAC. As a result of GM's problems, GMAC essentially has the same junk rating as GM. That means they pay the same rates as GM would pay. As of the end of '04 GMAC had a balance of $88 billion of short term debt. My guess is that they pay at least $900 million more in interest than Toyota, for example, would pay for the same amount. Another problem is that most investment funds are barred from buying non-investment grade instruments (junk bonds), thus raising GM's interest costs that much more. The obvious answer would be to sell its interest in GMAC so that it would have an independent credit rating, undoubtedly investment grade. The problem with that is that it would a huge loss of face and a loss of a part of the company that has great growth potential. Worse, it wouldn't benefit the stockholders because the unions would likely insist that it be applied to funding GM's pensions.

2. Give some credit to GM's execs for selling EMD when they did. If they tried to sell it now, it would be going for a fire sale price.
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Posted by andrewjonathon on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 12:01 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by edblysard

Same unions work at Ford and Chrysler, and those two are not in the toilet...
As for foreign autos...most of your Toyotas and Hondas are made right here, in Tennessee and Kentucky, and Toyota is building a plant here in Texas.
All built by American auto workers, all paying those extreme union wages.

Ford and Chrysler both took a look at what they would be paying out in retirement, benefits and such well over a decade ago, and decided to buy out who they could right then, and replace them with robotics and automated manufactures, then streamlined how they build cars, introduced new designs, and instituted quality controls that makes GM’s look so shabby by comparison.

So, two of the big three paid attention when they should have, one of them decided that business as usual was the way to go...
Daimler Chrysler is blowing GM away, Ford Trucks out sell GM...Go figure whose management teams were on the ball and looked ahead, and whose were more worried about their green fees than their business...



I am surprised anyone would point to Ford and Chyrsler as examples of automobile manufactuers who have "got it together".

While Ford's problems may not be as deep as GMs, they certainly still have a lot of their own house cleaning to do. Ford's North American operations lost $1 billion dollars in just the third quarter this year alone. You don't have to search too on the internet to find expert predictions of Ford's own bankrupcty.

As for Chysler, recently their new products may be reflecting the benefits of their merger with Mercedes. However, it is safe to say the marriage with Chrysler has not had the same positive effect on Mercedes. Ever since the marriage, with the company's focus on improving Chrysler, the reputation of the Mercedes cars division has taken a hit, especially in their reputation for reliability. Recently, the combined value of Mercedes and Chrylser slipped below the value of just Mercedes before the merger. I doubt that wasn't a by-product of the merger the shareholders were looking for.

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Posted by Anonymous on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 5:33 AM
Give some credit to GM's execs for selling EMD when they did. If they tried to sell it now, it would be going for a fire sale price.

Which makes one ask the question, was EMD doing that badly? I thought EMD was one of the few divisions of GM doing fair to middlin well. I figured EMD got sold to private owners simply to allow GM to focus closer on automobile and truck production.

I'm not particualrly worried about GM going away... anyone remember the billion dollar loan guarantee Chrysler got in the late seventies? Also, remember, "whatever is good for GM is good for the United States"...

Erik
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Posted by TomDiehl on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 6:59 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

There are 2.3 retirees drawing benefits for every 1 GM worker. That should tell you something.

That would also tell you that GM's plans for massive layoffs isn't going to change that 2.3 to 1 ratio. GM is not tackling the legacy problem, instead it seems they're just trying to placate Wall Street in the interim.

Maybe they think the feds will bail out the legacy liabilities.


Refering to the article link in the first entry and applying a bit of math:

More retirees (early retirements AGAIN) plus less active employees (downsizing) equals a change in the 2.3 to 1 ratio.

And NOT for the better.

Shortsighted management thinking is just making the matter worse.
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Posted by AntonioFP45 on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 7:28 AM
Eric,

That was GM's credo for years.....however the situation has changed drastically. At one time GM was viewed as "The American Machine", jst as in railroad circles, Pennsy's Altoona Shop was the top railroad facility in North America at one time. Altoona and GM are now former shadows of their pasts. [V]

Just my 2 cents. [2c]
I was a loyal GM user for years (and former hot-rodder). However, after repeatedly hearing and reading scores of complaints about quality back in the 80s and 90s, I'm one of those "yahoos" [:o)] that went Toyota. Haven't looked back since. Seems like this is what has happened with thousands of other customers that GM lost as well.

I still remember a friend of mine with a new 1987 IROC Z28 having to order a new rear end for his car.

During the 90s my late father-in-law purchased / traded brand new fully loaded Yukons and a Tahoe within a 5 year period. $30,000 average each! Regrettably, he blew his paltry retirement on these things, died, left his widow in debt. What a waste! No offense to you SUV owners, but man did those things drink gas!! [:0]

His first Yukon had a very noisy rear end that, after 3 trips to the dealership, could not be fixed. Traded it in. The 2nd Yukon was a fuel and electronic system nightmare. Traded it in. His 3rd SUV, a Tahoe, fared better but he could no longer afford to drive it. When I bought my 4 cylinder 1999 Camry new, which we still drive, he asked me then why I didn't buy an GM SUV?! I loved that old guy, but I had to hold back from choking him! [:p]

I did go to a Chevy dealership to purchase a new car for my wife. The salesman treated me like dirt., I guess since I was wearing a T-shirt, jeans and sneakers. [B)][V]That was the icing on the cake. Bye-bye GM. [tdn][sigh]

I understand that GM has greatly increased quality.
Problem: Once you "burn" a customer you're going to have an exceptionally hard time getting him, or her back. Now, add family, friends, and co-workers that the customer comes in contact with! A few years back,upon my recommendation my mother, sister, and wife all purchased Toyotas. That's about $60,000+ in sales that could have gone to a GM dealer! Being middle to lower income, our priorities were to get a balance of BOTH Safety and Gas Mileage. It made me laugh when "status concious" relatives continued to suggest that we get SUVs. Now, I'm so glad that we didn't listen to them. Only idiots keep up with the Jonses. [D)][D)] I'd be livid now if I had to spend $80 to $100 to gas up the family vehicle, like they do.

As for blaming the unions and/or management? Both sides have greatly contributed to the problems, with management being the more significant contributor. There have been countless articles documented where well educated union and non-union workers binded together to provide upper management teams with viable solutions to fix GM's problems. Much of the advice went unheeded.

A leaner, more efficient GM will eventually emerge. I doubt GM will dissappear. Wold not surprise me if eventually there was a merger or consolidation with another major auto maker.

"I like my Pullman Standards & Budds in Stainless Steel flavors, thank you!"

 


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Posted by Anonymous on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 7:42 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by TomDiehl

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

There are 2.3 retirees drawing benefits for every 1 GM worker. That should tell you something.

That would also tell you that GM's plans for massive layoffs isn't going to change that 2.3 to 1 ratio. GM is not tackling the legacy problem, instead it seems they're just trying to placate Wall Street in the interim.

Maybe they think the feds will bail out the legacy liabilities.


Refering to the article link in the first entry and applying a bit of math:

More retirees (early retirements AGAIN) plus less active employees (downsizing) equals a change in the 2.3 to 1 ratio.

And NOT for the better.

Shortsighted management thinking is just making the matter worse.


According to a report on CNBC, GM went from around 40% market share in the 70s to the 20% range today. Automation is also a factor as less workers are needed to build a car. Chrysler's market share over the same period has stayed roughly the same and in recent years they've actually gained some at GM's expense. The plant closings are supposed to bring production capacity down to what they actually expect to sell. The employee discount program moved a lot of cars, but they lost a lot of money doing that.

Gaining back market share won't be easy and IMO part of GM's problems are structural and related to the shrinking middle class. They've traditionally marketed and sold the more profitable cars largely to middle class buyers, in many cases those same union workers. Wealthy individuals tend to buy a Mercedes, Lexus, or Jaguar. Poorer foks buy imports or the smaller U.S. cars which have very small profit margins due to the legacy costs. Building trades workers buy the more profitable trucks but tend to keep them for a long time. Ford bought Jaguar and Volvo to go up-market and increase their European sales which were aleady significant. GM is trying to up-market Cadillac and according to CNBC they plan to open more plants in South Korea and China.
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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 7:54 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by edblysard

The current Union contract was negotiated over a decade ago...its not like the Unions got up last week and said we demand this and this...
Place the blame exactly where it belongs...GM Management made bad decisions, produced a so-so product, sat on their fannys as their US competition made big changes in the type of car they built, and how they go about building them.

GM knew years ago how much it would be paying out in all those “union” perks and such….its not like they don’t have accountants and such.

Same unions work at Ford and Chrysler, and those two are not in the toilet...
As for foreign autos...most of your Toyotas and Hondas are made right here, in Tennessee and Kentucky, and Toyota is building a plant here in Texas.
All built by American auto workers, all paying those extreme union wages.

Ford and Chrysler both took a look at what they would be paying out in retirement, benefits and such well over a decade ago, and decided to buy out who they could right then, and replace them with robotics and automated manufactures, then streamlined how they build cars, introduced new designs, and instituted quality controls that makes GM’s look so shabby by comparison.

Honda and Toyota, Nissan, most of the established "foreign" makers also got their quality control way better than GM over a decade ago...my neighbor is still driving his 1975 Datsun B1500 pick up…well over 300 thousand miles on it.

So, two of the big three paid attention when they should have, one of them decided that business as usual was the way to go...
Daimler Chrysler is blowing GM away, Ford Trucks out sell GM...Go figure whose management teams were on the ball and looked ahead, and whose were more worried about their green fees than their business...

I mean, my god, who in their right mind would buy Fiat?

Ed


QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

I told you that if Unions keep trying to get higher wages and benifits people would lose their jobs. Sad [sigh]



Ford and Chrysler may not be as bad off as GM, but they are not exactly a picture of health, themselves.

GM's troubles, like that of big steel 20 years ago, were a team effort. It took the company and the unions, working together, to let things get this bad.

Both are living in the past.

GM still thinks the market share game is won on the production side. If they think they should have a 33% market share, then they plan to build that many cars and trucks, regardless if there are any buyers out there.

The UAW still think the whole game is wages and benefits. But, what really drives wages and benefits in this day and age is employee value. If an employee can get more money and benes across the street, the the company will have to offer up something competitive to get them to stay. The only way to get this to happen is with education and training. The UAW ought to be bargining for continuing education, education sabaticals and tuition aid as the path to higher wages. Employee value drives higher wages, not staring someone down across a table at the local Marriot.

It is not reasonable to think that an assembly line job aquired at age 18 will be there for 50+ years. There are almost no jobs like that anymore. The world & technology are changing too fast. Maybe an assembly line job should be thought of as a stepping stone to the next job.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by spbed on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 9:26 AM
The point is the plants are being closed cause they are not making enuf sales to keep it open so there will be no shifting of biz from the closed plants to some other open plant since GM admitted they do not have the biz. [:(].

Originally posted by oltmannd
[

Living nearby to MP 186 of the UPRR  Austin TX Sub

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Posted by Anonymous on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 9:52 AM
Just for the record who does GM own? Chevy, ...
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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 10:13 AM
General Motors produces several brands: Cadillac, Buick, Pontiac, Chevrolet, GMC Trucks, Hummer and Saturn. They are mostly operating divisions rather than separate entities owned by GM. There are also several overseas subsidiaries. Most non-automotive businesses have been sold off.
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Posted by vsmith on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 10:14 AM
Kinda helps to talk about cars after you've owned a few...

GM owns...
Buick
Cadillac
Chevy
GMC
Hummer
Pontiac
Saab (bet theres a bunch of Swede's saying "that was a bad idea")
and
Saturn

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Posted by Big_Boy_4005 on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 10:23 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

Just for the record who does GM own? Chevy, ...


James, it's not really "who do they own?", it's what brands of cars they produce?
Chevrolet, Buick, Pontiac, Cadillac, Saturn, and GMC. They phased out the Oldsmobile line a few years ago. I'm not sure if they have bought out any foreign manufacturers like Ford and Chrysler have. Something makes me think GM got Saab.

I'm just too slow a typist for my own good.

Vic, at the time of the Saab deal, the Swedes probably made out like bandits, and are now laughing all the way to the bank.[;)]
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Posted by vsmith on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 10:54 AM
BB re: SAAB

I was kinda thinking of the guys on the assemblyline, I doubt they will be affected by all this but I'm sure their a little nervous now.

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Posted by Big_Boy_4005 on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 11:36 AM
Vic, I was just watching the news, and GM's problem is really a North American one. The Swedes are not really a part of this situation.
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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 11:46 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by spbed

The point is the plants are being closed cause they are not making enuf sales to keep it open so there will be no shifting of biz from the closed plants to some other open plant since GM admitted they do not have the biz. [:(].

Originally posted by oltmannd
[


No argument, there. It's the "production" mentality that got them there. Wall Sts reaction has been "what took you so long to figure this out"!

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 11:53 AM
It's interesting that Olds and Plymouth have gone away. Their brand names had such little value that their owners ditched them completely. While this was going on, Toyota lauched an entirely new brand, Scion, Honda started selling full size pickups and SUVs, and Kia and Hyundai sell a full line of cars.

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Posted by chad thomas on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 12:09 PM
Vic, are you sure Olds got phased out? My mom just bought a new Olds Bravada.

I must say the best cars I ever owned were GM products. But they were all 60s and 70s models. I racked up almost 400,000 on my last Olds and the only work I had to do was exhaust work (installed headers, a must on all my rides) and I had to re-build my tranny at around 300k. I have delt with a lot of fleet vehicles in the last 20 years and I must say quality took a real dive in the 80s. I saw a lot of late 70s trucks outlast 80s trucks (GM and Ford). They seem to have produced a better quality vehicle (trucks anyway) in the later 90s but in my opinion the 70s produced higher quality then anything sience.

Right now I have 6 chevys and 3 fords in my fleet. For the amount of abuse they take they are holding up very well, the chevys that is. The fords are falling apart. It's always the little things with the fords but it's one thing after another. Not to say the chevys are perfect, when they fail it's usualy something major like fuel injection failures, head gaskets and such. But I would rather have one major failure then constant minor failures like the fords seem to have.

Not that I'm an expert or anything but my experience with work trucks makes me favor Chevys and when I go shopping for replacements in my fleet it will be at a GM dealer.
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Posted by chad thomas on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 12:14 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by oltmannd

It's interesting that Olds and Plymouth have gone away. Their brand names had such little value that their owners ditched them completely. While this was going on, Toyota lauched an entirely new brand, Scion, Honda started selling full size pickups and SUVs, and Kia and Hyundai sell a full line of cars.



Not me, I have a 69' Plymouth Sport Fury that I plan on keeping till the day I die.[8D]
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Posted by TomDiehl on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 12:17 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by oltmannd

It's interesting that Olds and Plymouth have gone away. Their brand names had such little value that their owners ditched them completely. While this was going on, Toyota lauched an entirely new brand, Scion, Honda started selling full size pickups and SUVs, and Kia and Hyundai sell a full line of cars.


It's called market shift. Going back to the '50's and '60's there were four auto manufacturers in the US, GM, Ford, Chrysler, and American Motors. Foreign auto competition was so small it was just considered a novelty at that time. Starting in the '70's, with the gas prices suddenly jumping to three times what it was, people quickly shifted to wanting more economical running cars. Unfortunately, this coincided with a trend in the US manufacturers toward a better "bottom line" and they did it at the expense of quality, cars literally fell apart off the showroom floor. Imported cars, primarily from Japan, with noticibly better quality and much better gas mileage experienced big sales jumps. Although the quality has equalized, the reputation from this period has been hard to shake. Plus now, there's a LOT more than four companies making and selling cars in the US. So of course, each US company will have a smaller "piece of the pie" than they had when there were only four. And the foreign companies will work harder to get a bigger piece. That's the capitalist system.
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Posted by TomDiehl on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 12:33 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Big_Boy_4005

QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

Just for the record who does GM own? Chevy, ...


I'm not sure if they have bought out any foreign manufacturers like Ford and Chrysler have.


Chrysler didn't buy out any foreign manufacturers, they were bought out themselves by Daimler-Benz. They made their new name Daimler-Chrysler as a PR point.
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Posted by Big_Boy_4005 on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 1:13 PM
Actually Tom, I was aware about who bought who in the Chrysler deal, but I was too lazy to type it that way. [oops][sigh][;)]

Now Chad has me wondering about Oldsmobile, anyone know that story?
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Posted by chad thomas on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 1:23 PM
BTW My moms Olds is a 04' I think.
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Posted by chad thomas on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 1:28 PM
I just checked GMs website and there is no listings for Olds so I guess it is gone. To bad, I have owned a couple of Oldsmobiles and both were great cars. As I mentioned my last one almost hit 400k, but a rod started knocking and I had an engine fire (my own dumb a$$ fault) and is now history. Now I've got my eyes out for replacement, but a 70s mdl in good condition not a newer one.
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Posted by richardy on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 1:28 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Big_Boy_4005



Now Chad has me wondering about Oldsmobile, anyone know that story?


2004 was the last model year for Oldsmobile.
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Posted by Junctionfan on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 1:31 PM
There is a "mr.fix-it" type guy who is trying to repair the sorry state of Nortel. I can't remember his name-I believe he is from Scandanavian or Swiss. At any rate, maybe GM should get him and chuck the useless executives that caused the company to head for the crappers to begin with.
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Posted by Anonymous on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 2:01 PM
There probaly closing the plants because they are puting tomuch in their vehicles for the same price, the GM employee sale which brought in alot of money in the short run but long term investments are fried, people are going to foreign cars more better fuel economy with same power and/or speed,etc...
I saw something in the newspaper this morning but can't recall anything tho.
They need to straighten up and get to making what people want in order to survive.
I dont mean any disrespect but this is what i think.
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Posted by edblysard on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 2:13 PM
I am surprised that anyone would take that statement, and some how turn it into "they got it together", which is not what I said at all.
Re-read it...I said they were not in the toilet...which is altogether different from "having it together"...

American auto makers have to adapt, and get something going on some serious research on the next generation/ hybrid/alternate fuel if they are going to survive beyond the next decade.


Ed
QUOTE: Originally posted by andrewjonathon

QUOTE: Originally posted by edblysard

Same unions work at Ford and Chrysler, and those two are not in the toilet...
As for foreign autos...most of your Toyotas and Hondas are made right here, in Tennessee and Kentucky, and Toyota is building a plant here in Texas.
All built by American auto workers, all paying those extreme union wages.

Ford and Chrysler both took a look at what they would be paying out in retirement, benefits and such well over a decade ago, and decided to buy out who they could right then, and replace them with robotics and automated manufactures, then streamlined how they build cars, introduced new designs, and instituted quality controls that makes GM’s look so shabby by comparison.

So, two of the big three paid attention when they should have, one of them decided that business as usual was the way to go...
Daimler Chrysler is blowing GM away, Ford Trucks out sell GM...Go figure whose management teams were on the ball and looked ahead, and whose were more worried about their green fees than their business...



I am surprised anyone would point to Ford and Chyrsler as examples of automobile manufactuers who have "got it together".

While Ford's problems may not be as deep as GMs, they certainly still have a lot of their own house cleaning to do. Ford's North American operations lost $1 billion dollars in just the third quarter this year alone. You don't have to search too on the internet to find expert predictions of Ford's own bankrupcty.

As for Chysler, recently their new products may be reflecting the benefits of their merger with Mercedes. However, it is safe to say the marriage with Chrysler has not had the same positive effect on Mercedes. Ever since the marriage, with the company's focus on improving Chrysler, the reputation of the Mercedes cars division has taken a hit, especially in their reputation for reliability. Recently, the combined value of Mercedes and Chrylser slipped below the value of just Mercedes before the merger. I doubt that wasn't a by-product of the merger the shareholders were looking for.


23 17 46 11

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Posted by SALfan on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 3:53 PM
UP829 - Actually sometime in the '60's or early '70's GM flirted with having 60% of the US market, and they may have made it. In those days, GM products were just built better than Fords or Chryslers.

TomDiehl - In the '50's there were more than 4 domestic automakers. Hudson and Nash combined to form AMC in 1954. Studebaker bought the remnants of Packards sometime in the mid-50's, then Studebaker died in 1966.

My complaint about GM is that all the brands are built on the same assembly lines using the same parts, except for grilles and taillights. What's the difference? Used to, if you paid the extra money for a Buick or an Oldsmobile, you got a different engine at least and different ride and handling characteristics. Nowadays you have to look to tell the difference, because all GM cars are built from the same parts bin.
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Posted by PigFarmer1 on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 4:54 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by bobwilcox

It is amazing that GM is going to take over three year to make these cuts. They are not facing bankruptcy in three years but this year.


I apologize if you have already gotten a response, but I'm not going to read through four pages of pro and anti union comments.[:0] Anywho...GM is contractually obligated to not make these cuts until such a time as was specified in the agreements with the UAW. Even though it sounds crazy, that's the way it goes.
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Posted by mnwestern on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 5:14 PM
Just goes to show you that high-priced management is usually the biggest bunch of dumb----- known to man. Here was GM, and other U.S. automakers, cranking out big, ole gas-hog SUVs and pickups (actually rolling battleships) because they are short-term cash cows, when foreign makers were putting research into the cars of tomorrow — hybrids, flex-fuel vehicles, light composites, etc. and raking in the increased sales as people finally switch to efficient vehicles when prices went through the roof.

Apparently, GM, Ford and Daimler-Chrysler execs were not invited to VP Cheney's little pow wow with energy execs back in 2001 when they mapped out the strategy to ratchet up gas prices to increase oil company profits to record levels (if that wasn't the plan, how did oil company's turn in record third quarter profits when they were said to have suffered so much physical damage from hurricanes.) If the carmakers had known that, they would have moved quickly to quit building battleships that will rust in the dealers lots (Oh, Heck, even I don't believe GM officials could move quickly on anything except running for their bonus checks.)

Some how, some way foreign carmakers figured that prices were only going to run up. Perhaps they actually believe what most experts in science say — that we are nearing the point when oil production actually starts to dip - permanently. Oh, that's right again. The Bush administration doesn't like to hear the truth and kills the messagers.

So, GM will not be the last American automaker to face bankruptcy. Why do we think that in the future we'll still build cars here. We build very little else. Everything is sent off to Asia, or Asians come back here to show us how it is done cheaply, without the old, crushing union contracts that are milking the auto industry just like the heritage air carriers.
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Posted by samfp1943 on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 5:39 PM
Oldsmobile, gone in 2004 and Spring Hill scheduled to close, Saturn will be gone in 2006. Maybe thay can sell that plant to Nissan who needs the space to build vehicles. You might say that Darwin's Theory of Natural Selection is at work in the auto industry.. Adapt or die.
GM on it's way to being another Fallen Flag.

 

 


 

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Posted by Anonymous on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 5:43 PM
Did you know back in the 20's Republic trucks were in hot competition with Ford. In fact one year (1924?) they out sold Fords, and now you can't find Republic trucks. They got sold to a fire engine manufacturer.

History aside, don't panic about hybrids, good old American Ingenuity will come through and, we will have a better hybrid. In fact I will bet on it.
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Posted by GP40-2 on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 8:32 PM
A few thoughts:

1) EMD was not a "crown jewel" of GM. Even when it ruled the railroad environment, EMD's revenues and profits were insignificant to GM. For the past 10-15 years, it was a money loser for GM.

2) GMAC: There are a lot of rumors flying aroud Wall Street that GMAC will be the next divsion GM will sell off to remain afloat. Seems those pesky retirees just aren't dying off fast enough. Of course, GMAC is about the only thing GM gas left that actually makes a profit, so the future dosen't look to bright for the General.

3) Ford went down the same road as GM with the large SUV's, however, the last figures I saw for Ford legacy/health care costs was only around $800 per vehicle (half of GM's $1500 per vehicle). Ford will also stop supplying rental car companies with cut-rate vehicles. That destroyed the resale value of used Ford's. For example, the new 500 and Fusion sedans will not be sold in large numbers to rental/fleet buyers. This alone has increased the projected used value of those products close to Toyota/Honda used values. Most of Ford's new cars have been highly received by auto reviewers-the new Fusion has been reported to have Honda quality and European driving manners. That is something that GM has never figured out how to do in a mass production car.
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Posted by TomDiehl on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 8:34 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by JOdom
[TomDiehl - In the '50's there were more than 4 domestic automakers. Hudson and Nash combined to form AMC in 1954. Studebaker bought the remnants of Packards sometime in the mid-50's, then Studebaker died in 1966.



When I was 2 years old, I really wasn't into cars. Also, notice I said '50's AND '60's
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Posted by TomDiehl on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 8:39 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by cmeastern

Some how, some way foreign carmakers figured that prices were only going to run up. Perhaps they actually believe what most experts in science say — that we are nearing the point when oil production actually starts to dip - permanently. Oh, that's right again. The Bush administration doesn't like to hear the truth and kills the messagers.



The gasoline prices in the US were always WAY below the rest of the world. This is probably the only country that didn't worry about gas mileage in their cars. Foreign car manufacturers were designing for their market.
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Posted by eastside on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 9:39 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by GP40-2

A few thoughts:

1) EMD was not a "crown jewel" of GM. Even when it ruled the railroad environment, EMD's revenues and profits were insignificant to GM. For the past 10-15 years, it was a money loser for GM.
[:D] C'mon, you think I was being serious?
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Posted by andrewjonathon on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 10:52 PM
Maybe, just maybe the GM executives planned the Avian flu and it is on the way to rescue GM. If predictions are right, it could kill millions of people. Assuming it comes to the US and takes out enough of those "pesky" GM retirees that will take care of the pension problem.[:)] Of course it is a risky business for the executives as it could also take them out at the same time.
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Posted by eastside on Tuesday, November 22, 2005 11:41 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by erikthered

Give some credit to GM's execs for selling EMD when they did. If they tried to sell it now, it would be going for a fire sale price.

Which makes one ask the question, was EMD doing that badly? I thought EMD was one of the few divisions of GM doing fair to middlin well. I figured EMD got sold to private owners simply to allow GM to focus closer on automobile and truck production.

1. If EMD were being sold now, a potential buyer would perceive GM as being in a weak position, desperate to raise cash, and would likely be more aggressive
2. We're further into the economic cycle and sales will probably start tailing off
3. Senior executives doubtlessly have more pressing matters than negotiating the sale of a minor division. Better that they got the sale of EMD out of the way
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Posted by eastside on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 12:25 AM
As I recall it, the central issue of the blowup between GM and its unions in the ‘90s was outsourcing. In those days, outsourcing had nothing to do with foreign countries. It meant being able to use non-GM sources for parts. GM settled by caving in to the unions by offering generous compensation for lost jobs. This was extended in the crazy way in which GM structured the Delphi spin-off by ceding operational control yet remaining liable to pick up the pieces if it failed, canceling out almost all the benefits! GM’s every attempt to implement fundamental changes to its production processes seemed to have been either stymied or diluted at every turn. The ‘90s were a lost decade for reforming GM. A whole book could (and should) be written about this episode.
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Posted by Anonymous on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 12:34 AM
What new name do you suppose is going to be the future crown name for locomotives on the American railroads?

Honda
MIC - "Made In China" - to replace EMD
Sushimoto
Suzuki
Toyota
Yamaha

I despise the future for anything anymore!!! We were sold out as a nation, by our politicians, to tird world nations. NAFTA anyone?? CAFTA's next.

I'm just going to watch my train videos and sink back into the days of old - the 50's the 60's ..... when the chrome was still thick and the women were women ... when a team of ALCOs would go racing by with black diesel smoke filling the air and the fuel spilling out all over the gutter ... and there was no such thing as an environmentalist who is an "environmentalist " only because he could never make an honest living nor could he fill a baker's shoes.

Does some minute part of our politicians' concept of a futuristic brave new world involve us coming to a stop in our Hondas/Toyotas at a railroad crossing (signal parts & accessories made in China, Japan, & Taiwan) while waiting for two Sushimotos and a Honda locomotive pulling 100 corrugated aluminum frame fiberglass body railcars made in Taiwan, to come slithering by??? Is this "progress"?
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Posted by greyhounds on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 12:45 AM
As for locomotives, GE seems to be doing all right these days. For a long time they've had an emphasis on developing good management. (It doesn't just grow on trees.) It seems to have paid off for years.

Other bright spots (although not as bright in US manufacturing include Boeing, which seems to have righted its ship and my hometown favorite, Caterpillar.
"By many measures, the U.S. freight rail system is the safest, most efficient and cost effective in the world." - Federal Railroad Administration, October, 2009. I'm just your average, everyday, uncivilized howling "anti-government" critic of mass government expenditures for "High Speed Rail" in the US. And I'm gosh darn proud of that.
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Posted by Chris30 on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 11:24 AM
Kick 'em when they're down...

As mentioned previously, I'm also surprised that the GM plant in Janesville, WI survived. It's an old plant that has been in the cross-hairs for some time. Without the GM plant in Janesville, I'm guessing that the UP would give up and sell the Harvard & Cottage Grove subs to the Wisconsin Southern.

I didn't see it posted anywhere else... I wonder how much politics had to do with a plant closing or staying open?

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Posted by CrazyDiamond on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 11:47 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by chad thomas

Not me, I have a 69' Plymouth Sport Fury that I plan on keeping till the day I die.[8D]


I own a '68 Plymouth Satellite Sport Convertiable.....440....WOW what a car. I'll never sell that baby if I can help it. [:D]
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Posted by TomDiehl on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 2:33 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by CrazyDiamond

QUOTE: Originally posted by chad thomas

Not me, I have a 69' Plymouth Sport Fury that I plan on keeping till the day I die.[8D]


I own a '68 Plymouth Satellite Sport Convertiable.....440....WOW what a car. I'll never sell that baby if I can help it. [:D]


I'm guessing you don't use that as a commuter car, especially with today's gas prices.
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Posted by chad thomas on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 2:55 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by CrazyDiamond

QUOTE: Originally posted by chad thomas

Not me, I have a 69' Plymouth Sport Fury that I plan on keeping till the day I die.[8D]


I own a '68 Plymouth Satellite Sport Convertiable.....440....WOW what a car. I'll never sell that baby if I can help it. [:D]


Sweet !!!!![8D]
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Posted by jeaton on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 2:59 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Chris30

Kick 'em when they're down...

As mentioned previously, I'm also surprised that the GM plant in Janesville, WI survived. It's an old plant that has been in the cross-hairs for some time. Without the GM plant in Janesville, I'm guessing that the UP would give up and sell the Harvard & Cottage Grove subs to the Wisconsin Southern.

I didn't see it posted anywhere else... I wonder how much politics had to do with a plant closing or staying open?

CC


While the Janesville operation has been around for a long time, a few years back GM put a ton of money into the facility. I have an iron worker as a tax customer and he usually comes with at least a half dozen W-2's a year from the different contractors he has worked for during the year. Back just a few years he had two years of only one W-2 from the contractor doing work on the Janesville plant.

My reading of the business press isn't as great as it used to be, but I haven't seen anything that suggests that politics had anything to do with the selections for closing.

One would think that they not only looked at a ranking of "performance" for the different plants, but also looked at what would be left in terms of the efficiency of the configuration of the remaining plants.

Of course, these day, one might question how much time is ever given to thinking.

Jay

"We have met the enemy and he is us." Pogo Possum "We have met the anemone... and he is Russ." Bucky Katt "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." Niels Bohr, Nobel laureate in physics

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Posted by eastside on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 3:50 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by jeaton
Of course, these day, one might question how much time is ever given to thinking.
Have people there also remarked that that this week's cuts may have only been round one? I haven't seen anything specific to Janesville, but most analyst articles that I've read insist that GM must go much further.
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Posted by jeaton on Wednesday, November 23, 2005 5:24 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by eastside

QUOTE: Originally posted by jeaton
Of course, these day, one might question how much time is ever given to thinking.
Have people there also remarked that that this week's cuts may have only been round one? I haven't seen anything specific to Janesville, but most analyst articles that I've read insist that GM must go much further.


Many prople around here are of the opinion that Janesville is at the edge, but not OUT of the woods.

Jay

"We have met the enemy and he is us." Pogo Possum "We have met the anemone... and he is Russ." Bucky Katt "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." Niels Bohr, Nobel laureate in physics

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Posted by jsanchez on Thursday, November 24, 2005 7:52 AM
Then why are the unionized Japanese plants not being shut down, also American Auto workers earn less than their Japanese and German counterparts. I used to be anti-union until I got a job on class one railroad, believe me unions are needed more than ever.
What kind of pay cuts are the executives taking at GM for making cars the public has little interest in, GM's biggest problem is going to be with consumers under 30 who much prefer Hondas, Suburus and Toyotas and for the most part do not even consider a GM product as an option. It helps to build a product people want and by the way Chrysler is doing well because of doing just that!
QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

Paul,

Businesses have to think of wages as a cost, like steel. A company is not going to over pay for supplies; neither are they going to pay for high wages. Now because of it (and other factors) none of these people have jobs, a lot of good those unions did, and are earning nothing instead. The money to pay people more has to come from somewhere, in this case the price of the car. If you are in such favor of Unions I suggest you always pay the highest price for everything, since odds are that has the most Union people to pay. Raising wages, be it minimum wage, or by unions, is like inflation, it really doesn't get anyone any more money, since the people earn more, but also pay more for goods. Unions had their place historically, but have outlived most of their usefulness, becoming collections places for a certain political party, in fact did you know that the ACLU was founded by communist?

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Posted by TH&B on Thursday, November 24, 2005 8:05 AM
Are the Honda and Toyota plants even unionizedd? I don't realy know but I have heard they are not.
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Posted by Modelcar on Thursday, November 24, 2005 8:27 AM
...As most know GM's costs per vehicle are too high as compared to competition...and everyone that is around the bargaining table must take some blame. Now the problem has mushroomed to a breaking point and action must be taken or we will not have a GM much longer. Seems both sides will now have to dig pretty deep to "save" the operations....The end result down the road in a year or so will be very different than it has been in the past and as it is now....

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Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, November 24, 2005 9:59 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by jsanchez

Then why are the unionized Japanese plants not being shut down, also American Auto workers earn less than their Japanese and German counterparts. I used to be anti-union until I got a job on class one railroad, believe me unions are needed more than ever.
What kind of pay cuts are the executives taking at GM for making cars the public has little interest in, GM's biggest problem is going to be with consumers under 30 who much prefer Hondas, Suburus and Toyotas and for the most part do not even consider a GM product as an option. It helps to build a product people want and by the way Chrysler is doing well because of doing just that!
QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

Paul,

Businesses have to think of wages as a cost, like steel. A company is not going to over pay for supplies; neither are they going to pay for high wages. Now because of it (and other factors) none of these people have jobs, a lot of good those unions did, and are earning nothing instead. The money to pay people more has to come from somewhere, in this case the price of the car. If you are in such favor of Unions I suggest you always pay the highest price for everything, since odds are that has the most Union people to pay. Raising wages, be it minimum wage, or by unions, is like inflation, it really doesn't get anyone any more money, since the people earn more, but also pay more for goods. Unions had their place historically, but have outlived most of their usefulness, becoming collections places for a certain political party, in fact did you know that the ACLU was founded by communist?


I believe in Japan their citizens were\are, forced to buy new cars every year. That explains that. I think when it comes to these companies especially European ones; people are willing to pay for quality, no American company has anything close to an Audi, either quality or price wise. Also, Japanese cars, like Honda, were good quality high mileage cars; so they had a part of the market with little competition, from American companies. This, as noted, was a big problem for GM.

I am always looking to see how people think on issues like this. Why, in your opinion do we need the unions now more than ever? What do you view as flawed in what I said about economics?
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Posted by rrnut282 on Thursday, November 24, 2005 10:43 AM
James
Japanese cititzens are not forced to buy a new car every year. The opposite is closer to the truth. A Japanese citizen cannot buy a new vehicle without proof of off-street parking for it. If I got all my taxes back every year, I might be able to swing another car payment. To be forced by my government would be grounds for a revolt.
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Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, November 24, 2005 10:56 AM
I didn't say I liked the idea. I know they did something like that, I'll just have to go do some reasearch


P.S You've got the right attitude about those taxes.
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Posted by MJ4562 on Friday, November 25, 2005 3:16 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by edblysard
As for foreign autos...most of your Toyotas and Hondas are made right here, in Tennessee and Kentucky, and Toyota is building a plant here in Texas.
All built by American auto workers, all paying those extreme union wages.


No! No! No! Toyota and Honda plants are 100% non-union. There is a reason why Honda and Toyota locate their plants in right to work states. They do not pay anywhere close to what GM pays.

I blame GM management for not taking a tougher stance on the unions and allowing them to negotiate sweetheart labor contracts.

The unions need to realize that if they don't give, they will end up with nothing. Without drastic cuts in benefits GM's only viable option is bankruptcy. That will mean those retirees will lose their pensions and their health care (plus numerous other benefits they receive for free). One of the problems with the unions is that the union bosses really don't care about this--they are already set for life. They have more in common with GM management than with their members.

This is an issue for all Americans. Not only will the US economy take a major hit if GM goes under, but we will all have to pay when those former GM pensioners become wards of the state.
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Posted by Tulyar15 on Friday, November 25, 2005 3:28 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by 440cuin

Are the Honda and Toyota plants even unionizedd? I don't realy know but I have heard they are not.


Their plants in Britain most definitely are unionised, and they're also the most efficient in Europe. They also pay the best wages in the car industry here and seem to be doing well.

As Napoleon once said: "No such thing as a bad soldier, only bad officers".
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Posted by MJ4562 on Friday, November 25, 2005 4:05 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Tulyar15

QUOTE: Originally posted by 440cuin

Are the Honda and Toyota plants even unionizedd? I don't realy know but I have heard they are not.


Their plants in Britain most definitely are unionised, and they're also the most efficient in Europe. They also pay the best wages in the car industry here and seem to be doing well.

As Napoleon once said: "No such thing as a bad soldier, only bad officers".


The discussion is referring to plants located in the United States. I'm referring to their US operations. Plants outside the US are not relevant.
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Posted by greyhounds on Friday, November 25, 2005 9:11 AM
Just as an aside to the union issue, I flew home for the Thanksgiving weekend on Northwest from Minneapolis.

We all know that the Northwest mechanics are on strike and they had a four person picket line up at the airport. I don't think anyone cared. Everybody else just worked and got me home in fine shape. The airport was very uncrowded, to my suprise, the plane was on time and not full.

Unions have their place, but in the past they have been very unrealistic, especially with the railroads. They can, and should, protect workers from abuse, but they can't turn a $20/hour job into a $30/hour job with a piece of paper.
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Posted by Modelcar on Friday, November 25, 2005 9:20 AM
Toyota will soon be building cars in the Subaru plant here in Lafayette, Indiana. About 120,000 per year. As for GM's troubles I believe it is at a very critical stage and for sure, it would not be good for our economy in this country as it may cause some domino effects throughout the auto industry along with effecting so many lives. I also believe there is enough blame on all sides to go around that contributed to the situation GM finds itself in now....I think we all know pretty much what many of them are....I hope somehow people can come together with sensible minds and make the changes necessary to create a GM that can survive and make money...and better vehicles to compete with the world market. I'm not putting down GM as I have owned many of their vehicles...and at present have a Chevy Xtreme as one of my vehicles...and enjoy using it....

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Posted by oltmannd on Friday, November 25, 2005 3:32 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

QUOTE: Originally posted by jsanchez

Then why are the unionized Japanese plants not being shut down, also American Auto workers earn less than their Japanese and German counterparts. I used to be anti-union until I got a job on class one railroad, believe me unions are needed more than ever.
What kind of pay cuts are the executives taking at GM for making cars the public has little interest in, GM's biggest problem is going to be with consumers under 30 who much prefer Hondas, Suburus and Toyotas and for the most part do not even consider a GM product as an option. It helps to build a product people want and by the way Chrysler is doing well because of doing just that!
QUOTE: Originally posted by Lotus098

Paul,

Businesses have to think of wages as a cost, like steel. A company is not going to over pay for supplies; neither are they going to pay for high wages. Now because of it (and other factors) none of these people have jobs, a lot of good those unions did, and are earning nothing instead. The money to pay people more has to come from somewhere, in this case the price of the car. If you are in such favor of Unions I suggest you always pay the highest price for everything, since odds are that has the most Union people to pay. Raising wages, be it minimum wage, or by unions, is like inflation, it really doesn't get anyone any more money, since the people earn more, but also pay more for goods. Unions had their place historically, but have outlived most of their usefulness, becoming collections places for a certain political party, in fact did you know that the ACLU was founded by communist?


I believe in Japan their citizens were\are, forced to buy new cars every year. That explains that. I think when it comes to these companies especially European ones; people are willing to pay for quality, no American company has anything close to an Audi, either quality or price wise. Also, Japanese cars, like Honda, were good quality high mileage cars; so they had a part of the market with little competition, from American companies. This, as noted, was a big problem for GM.

I am always looking to see how people think on issues like this. Why, in your opinion do we need the unions now more than ever? What do you view as flawed in what I said about economics?



James-

European cars are LESS reliable than American ones. Audis and their VW cousins are not particularly good. Neither are Mercedes. BMWs are only so-so. You could look it up, but I doubt you will. You don't like fact-based discussions.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by TH&B on Friday, November 25, 2005 4:10 PM
I think it realy is the Asian and Japanese makers that threaten the GM, I don't think Europeans are the threat. VW is the only real large vlume European car in the US, we don't get much Fiat or Renault etc, alot of large European companys don't even bother the US exept for "hi end" types the ones you mentioned.

I'm sorry to hear this bad news, if only as a rail fan watching the hi cube parts trains, as far as I know they are mostly GM and Ford.


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Posted by Anonymous on Friday, November 25, 2005 5:26 PM
My dad could actually buy a dual turbo-charged. Adui A-6; which he did. Beats the socks off the Ford escort we are currently have. I agree with 440cuin thoughts that Asian automakers are more of the problem; and as also stated, they are not do not have unionized factories. When it comes to most reliable, or best value for you money. Americans cars win out. But almost any Lotus will make dog meat out of any American sports car. I have been presenting most of the facts here.
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Posted by Tulyar15 on Saturday, November 26, 2005 1:55 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by APG45

QUOTE: Originally posted by Tulyar15

QUOTE: Originally posted by 440cuin

Are the Honda and Toyota plants even unionizedd? I don't realy know but I have heard they are not.


Their plants in Britain most definitely are unionised, and they're also the most efficient in Europe. They also pay the best wages in the car industry here and seem to be doing well.

As Napoleon once said: "No such thing as a bad soldier, only bad officers".


The discussion is referring to plants located in the United States. I'm referring to their US operations. Plants outside the US are not relevant.


Arent they? Given the increasingly globally nature of trade, no one is an island any more.

Just as GM seem to have lost the plot in the US,, judging by what other people have said on this thred, so too in Britain and Europe. In the last few years Vauxhall (GM's UK susbisduary) have been rated very poorly in reliability surveys done by the car magazine "Top Gear". By contrast Ford have improved and are now on a par with the Japanese car makers. This seems to tally with what people have been saying about Ford in the US. So there seems to be a pattern emerging.

As for the issue of unions, I think that is a red herring. Have you ever met anyone who's said "I wont be a car made by X cos their unions are a load of commies"?. I haven't but I've met loads of people who wont buy a car if they think it will be unreliable. That's what counts at the end of the day.
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Posted by icmr on Saturday, November 26, 2005 2:42 PM
See what happend to GM after they sold EMD.



ICMR

Happy Railroading.[swg][swg]
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Posted by traintownofcowee on Saturday, November 26, 2005 3:44 PM
That sure stinks! I just hope that locomotive development won't be held back either.
There's only one thing left to do...just wait and see...

C U ALL L8TER!!!
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Take a Ride on the Scenic Line!

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Posted by MJ4562 on Saturday, November 26, 2005 3:50 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Tulyar15

Arent they? Given the increasingly globally nature of trade, no one is an island any more.


How many workers do Toyota/Honda/GM have in the UK vs. the USA? I don't know the figures but am willing to bet their UK operations are a drop in the bucket compared to the US. GM is one of the largest (the largest?) private employer in the US.

You're missing the real issue here which is healthcare. In the US health insurance is paid for by individuals not the government. Employers may pay part of that while you are working. If you want to cover your spouse or your children you pay even more. When you retire you pay all of your health insurance/medical costs. The unionized auto workers get all of their (plus their spouses and minor children) insurance paid for by their employer for the rest of their lives. No other group in the US receives such a generous package. (Certainly not Toyota employees!). UAW members also receive free legal representation and numerous other benefits. This is an enormous expense [modest health insurance here costs about $10,000-$20,000 per person per year currently and has been going up about 20% every year]. Making things worse is that they are paying wages 2-3 times what Toyota and Honda are paying in the US.

QUOTE: Originally posted by Tulyar15
As for the issue of unions, I think that is a red herring. Have you ever met anyone who's said "I wont be a car made by X cos their unions are a load of commies"?.


???? Again you are missing the issue. No one ever said that. GM workers are the best in the world. The problem is there are too many of them and they are overpaid. GM could afford to overpay its workers when it dominated the world market. This is a luxury it can no longer afford now that it's facing stiff competition.

GM has excessive production capacity in the form of too many employees and too many factories. GM used to control over 75% of the US market *(and most of the world market) and it now has about 20% of the US market. The obvious response is that if GM built better vehicles it wouldn't have lost market share.
Well the world has changed since the 1950s. The rest of the world has caught up. In today's marketplace no automaker will ever again have that much dominance (20-25% is about the most any automaker can hope for). GM needs to cut its workforce, reduce wages & benefits and close plants to reflect reality.

Unfortunately the unions have fought GM at every turn trying to prevent them from rationalizing their production capacity. They use their enormous political clout to pressure GM from doing what it needs to do to compete effectively.

Consumers don't care about any of this. They want a quality product at a reasonable price. Although there are some variations, automobiles are commodities. There is a set price range for each class of vehicle regardless of perceived quality. That means manufacturers have to manage their costs. If you pay too much for materials or labor, you can't spend as much on product improvement. This is the problem GM is having. It spends too much on labor and so it can't afford to spend as much as Toyota on product improvement.



*GM by itself used to account for about 2% of US GNP. An incredible figure for any private company.
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Posted by MJ4562 on Saturday, November 26, 2005 4:05 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Tulyar15
In the last few years Vauxhall (GM's UK susbisduary) have been rated very poorly in reliability surveys done by the car magazine "Top Gear". By contrast Ford have improved and are now on a par with the Japanese car makers. This seems to tally with what people have been saying about Ford in the US. So there seems to be a pattern emerging.


The only thing Ford or GM about those vehicles is the name of the holding company. Those subsidiaries operate autonomously and have little or nothing in common with the US subsidiaries.

In the US Ford makes the worst vehicles in terms of quality. Some GM vehicles are as good as Toyota and Honda, many are slightly behind. GM has a lot of different models and needs to drop many of them and concentrate on their best ones.

I agree with the sentiments expressed by the other posters on page 6 in terms of quality and the need to move forward. It's time to stop pointing fingers and work out a solution.
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Posted by eastside on Saturday, November 26, 2005 4:05 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by icmr

See what happend to GM after they sold EMD.

IMO it's just as well for both that GM sold EMD. GM realized that it was becoming more and more difficult to provide the ongoing investment that EMD required, a distraction from its core operations. After all EMD is competing with GE, one of the great money machines that has ever existed. Starved of sufficient investment funds, EMD would have been a declining asset.
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Posted by Modelcar on Saturday, November 26, 2005 4:32 PM
..GM simply has too much cost per manufactured vehicle compared to it's competition.
It simply must take out some of the cost to become competitive again.
Lotus....Regarding sports cars: Better bone up on the "facts" re: 2006 Chevrolet Corvette C6...It can compete with just about anyone in the world market for performance....
Another "fact" is quality and reliability....Look to the Japanese...especially Lexus.
US car makers have made great strides in quality in the past decade but still cars like Lexus have an edge......
GM had roughly in the high 50's US market percentage about 1960 and now have about 25 % of the US market.
GM MUST shed costs and revamp some of their product to bring in the buying public in order to survive.....It must be done soon or it may be too late.
I surely hope it will be successfully done and get on the road to recovery....A GM failure will bode not well for the car industry in this country....Ford is not very far behind GM in similar trouble.....and they have had some quality problems lately too....
Health car costs are a massive problem to all US manufactures.
I will root for GM as I've said in an earlier post I am a GM vehicle owner so I want them to survive and do well.....

Quentin

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Posted by edbenton on Saturday, November 26, 2005 8:29 PM
The real probelm is our companys are playing against a stacked deck in every other industrialized nation health care is paid for by the goverment!! Clinton tried to get passed in 1993 and everybody crucified him for it. In Japan the goverment pays for healthcare and that alone saves the Japaneese companies 1000 bucks in legacey costs per car. In our country it is the have and have nots when it comes to health care. Remove GM's health care costs and the last 3 quarters NA operations was profitable.
Always at war with those that think OTR trucking is EASY.
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Posted by Modelcar on Saturday, November 26, 2005 9:10 PM
....But removing the health care costs is not a simple and easy problem to cure.....
I hope a solution can be found and soon...as it is now a more than serious problem.

Quentin

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Posted by edbenton on Saturday, November 26, 2005 9:39 PM
How about limiting malpractice awards and also disbarring any atty that says I can get you money if you took xyz medication.
Always at war with those that think OTR trucking is EASY.
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Posted by Modelcar on Sunday, November 27, 2005 6:52 AM
...The "cure" will of course require drastic cost cutting but on this one....they will have to do more than cut costs to turn it around...They must revive product to the point that buyers will want to get into the showrooms to see what is the latest and newest from GM and have enough that those buyers will want to pruchase one....

Quentin

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, November 27, 2005 7:26 AM
A lot of it is a money hungry union. Our new car is a Toyota because of the better gas milage for a comparable car from GM. The difference was about 20% better for the Toyota and with price of gas it makes a big difference. I agree that the union people make TOO much money per hour for a blue collar job and have to pay NO health benefits. That is not going to work in todays world. Now on GM's part. They have to start making cars which beat the foreign cars in milage, and DON'T tell me the technology is not out there because if you do there are a couple of bridges I will sell you REAL CHEAP. We also have a Saturn and love it. If the Saturn had comparble gas milage we would have bought one. The Saturns' gas milage was 28/24 compared to the Toyots' 40/35. I rest my case.
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Posted by zardoz on Sunday, November 27, 2005 7:28 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by APG45
In the US Ford makes the worst vehicles in terms of quality. Some GM vehicles are as good as Toyota and Honda, many are slightly behind.

Is this your "professional" opinion, or do you have any facts to support your claim?

I have had 'car quality' discussions with many people about cars over the years, and I know that each person has their own opinion on vehicles, which seems to be based on actual experience with a particular brand.

I know people that swear by Jeeps, whereas the Jeeps I've owned needed so many repairs by 120K miles, that after two such vehicles, I swore to never buy another one.

I've seen GM vehicles with well over 300K miles, and they were still functioning.

Some folks say that though their Chrysler products were nice when they bought them, they seemed to fall apart near about 100K miles.

Lots of people do not like Fords, but the two Explorers I've owned I sold at about 180K miles, and I sold them just because I wanted something newer, not because they were having problems. The 03 Ranger I own now has 75K miles on it, and I have had ZERO problems so far. None! (knock on wood)

Bottom line is, I feel, that each company can make a good vehicle, and can also make a crappy vehicle. Luck of the draw, I guess.
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Posted by Big_Boy_4005 on Sunday, November 27, 2005 11:43 AM
Hey Zardos, Rangers are made here in the Northland.

Last week in the wake of GM's plant closing announcement, the subject of closing Ford's St Paul plant came up in the local news. This isn't the first time there has been talk, but people are really worried that it might actually happen this time. I think they said the plant has been in operation for 86 years.

If this happens, CP and UP stand to lose a lot of business in the area. CP's tracks go right into the plant. UP started that Triple Crown service with NS, with Ford as a cornerstone customer.

I plan to represent the Ford plant on my model railroad. Better get the camera fired up.

Sure is pleasantly quiet around here all of a sudden. Wonder why. [swg]
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Posted by edblysard on Sunday, November 27, 2005 5:41 PM
Ok, Sierrarr, exactly how much money is it OK for a blue collar worker to make?
I mean, from you post, there appeares to be a limit, so what is it?

As for quality of cars, I, like the Big Z, have owned everything from Jeeps to an old MGB...some were junk, some were fantastic... I know folks who have 200 to 300 thousand on all makes...but I also know folks who bought lemons right of the lot from all the major players...
Quality is possible from them all, but so is junk.

Ed
QUOTE: Originally posted by sierrarr

A lot of it is a money hungry union. Our new car is a Toyota because of the better gas milage for a comparable car from GM. The difference was about 20% better for the Toyota and with price of gas it makes a big difference. I agree that the union people make TOO much money per hour for a blue collar job and have to pay NO health benefits. That is not going to work in todays world. Now on GM's part. They have to start making cars which beat the foreign cars in milage, and DON'T tell me the technology is not out there because if you do there are a couple of bridges I will sell you REAL CHEAP. We also have a Saturn and love it. If the Saturn had comparble gas milage we would have bought one. The Saturns' gas milage was 28/24 compared to the Toyots' 40/35. I rest my case.

23 17 46 11

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Posted by MJ4562 on Sunday, November 27, 2005 7:18 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by zardoz
Is this your "professional" opinion, or do you have any facts to support your claim?


Just speaking from my experience and those around me. I doubt anyone has ever really sifted through all the data and done unbiased field research. I know there are a lot of companies that rate cars but they tend to rely on only a few measures and mainly their judgements. Not exactly an objective approach.

It's really a matter of perception and not actual reliability. Every automaker has their share of lemons and amazing vehicles. No exceptions.

QUOTE: Originally posted by edblysard
Ok, Sierrarr, exactly how much money is it OK for a blue collar worker to make?
I mean, from you post, there appeares to be a limit, so what is it?


I didn't get that from his post. It should be whatever the market rate is. Now that non-union plants have opened up shop it's easy to see what that is. You mentioned the new Toyota plant in San Antonio. They were originally going to pay $15/hr. with benefits comparable to Wal-mart (now that they've added health insurance) but they got so many qualified applicants they have lowered that rate to $10/hr.

One of the results of globalization will be that wages in the US will decline and wages in the Third world will increase until they meet in the middle somewhere.
Workers will be paid not by their nationality but what their skills are. It will be a rough ride.
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Posted by Modelcar on Sunday, November 27, 2005 7:43 PM
....J D Power people is a concern generally accepted as a reliable source of quality reference.

Quentin

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Posted by edblysard on Sunday, November 27, 2005 8:25 PM
I don’t know, sounds like he is stating that union workers make too much money for a blue collar worker...
Point is, I agree with you APG45, there is no limit, it is whatever the market will bear.

And don’t kid yourself; this didn't just jump up in GM's face out of the blue, they knew
exactly what the cost would be when they signed the deal, I mean, they have to project their production cost years and years in advance just for tooling up the plants, and the cost of labor is figured into it...they just got caught with nothing sellable to compete with, and made a few other bad business decisions.

Last, even if you can show me how a blue collar worker is overpaid, you still have to consider this...they don’t take the money they are paid out of circulation...they turn right around and add it back into the economy by spending it...they shop at Wal-Mart, Sears, Dillard’s, McDonalds and GM too...
Oh, and as for railroaders being union and overpaid...my UPS driver makes as much as I do, with a better benefit package...

Ed

QUOTE: Originally posted by sierrarr

I agree that the union people make TOO much money per hour for a blue collar job and have to pay NO health benefits.

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Posted by MJ4562 on Sunday, November 27, 2005 11:02 PM
Okay you're right about the "Too much..." but I think he meant they were over the market rate and just didn't word it well, IMO.

GM management was definately asleep at the switch. Or more likely took the path of least resistance figuring they would take their bonuses and cash out before the trouble hit. ********.

There are two sides to the blue collar worker thing. On the individual company level it's bad because it's hard for them to compete because their costs are higher than the competition. On the national USA level it's good because as you say it gives those workers purchasing power to pump money back into the economy.

There's no easy answer to any of this and economists have been and will continue to argue about this for decades to come. Eventually events will just unfold and we will have to survive the best we can.

JD Power.....that measures initial quality (1st year of ownership) in the opinion of the buyer. How about 5 years out? Do all people use the same scale when judging what a defect is and how serious? I always wonder when filling those surveys out....if you're someone that buys a new car every two years wouldn't it be to your advantage to report no defects as this will increase the resale value of your vehicle?

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Posted by andrewjonathon on Sunday, November 27, 2005 11:30 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by edbenton

The real probelm is our companys are playing against a stacked deck in every other industrialized nation health care is paid for by the goverment!! Clinton tried to get passed in 1993 and everybody crucified him for it. In Japan the goverment pays for healthcare and that alone saves the Japaneese companies 1000 bucks in legacey costs per car. In our country it is the have and have nots when it comes to health care. Remove GM's health care costs and the last 3 quarters NA operations was profitable.

Manufacturing companies in other industrialized countries may not be saddled with the same healthcare burdens that US companies face but I think they have their own challenges.

Healthcare may be free for the individual people in other countries but at the end of the day someone still has to pay the bills. Remember, a government doesn't have anymore money than it collects from its citizens and businesses. In many countries, companies foot a large part of the healthcare bill either by paying direct healthcare taxes or through paying high corporate taxes or a combination of both.
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Posted by eastside on Monday, November 28, 2005 12:45 AM
Governments don't pay for programs, despite the representations of politicians, taxpayers -- you and I -- do. In the case of a national health care scheme in effect the government redistributes health costs among the taxpayers. In addition, there are considerable administrative costs because the government is involved. The big three automakers lobbied for a national health scheme because they could unload much of their enormous health care costs onto the taxpayer.

The role of a politician is to take credit for spending our money. Most Americans have access to health insurance and have become used to a gold-plated health care system, which would make it that much more difficult to implement a satisfactory national system. Countries with nationalized health care have big problems too, but this is way beyond the scope of this forum.

Legacy costs refer to benefits and health care associated with retirees, not health costs associated with current staff. GM's are currently about $1600/car whereas in Toyota's US plants it's about $200.
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Posted by Tulyar15 on Monday, November 28, 2005 3:19 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by APG45

QUOTE: Originally posted by Tulyar15

Arent they? Given the increasingly globally nature of trade, no one is an island any more.


How many workers do Toyota/Honda/GM have in the UK vs. the USA? I don't know the figures but am willing to bet their UK operations are a drop in the bucket compared to the US. GM is one of the largest (the largest?) private employer in the US.


From what I've read on the subject, for a car plant to be viable it must produce at least 200,000 cars a year. At the moment the Nissan and Toyota plants are the only ones in Britain which make this number or more though the Honda plant is rapidly approaching that level.

Just as an aside, when Britain and the EU tried to get the Japs to voluntary limit imports, these limits did not apply to Honda cars made in the US. Since these latter had a sufficiently high proportion of US made components to count as US made, Honda were able to import as many of these as they wished into the EU.
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Posted by daveklepper on Monday, November 28, 2005 4:16 AM
I am 73 years old, and the danger of falling asleep at the wheel is one reason I have not driven for 11 years. But I did own three cars, the first a Ford Mainline and the second and third Cehvrolet Corvairs (the last bought just before the Corvair was discontinued). I enjoyed driving all of them and had no complaints about USA quality. But it is clear that GM did not react in the right direction to the events of 11.09.01 or a much higher percentage of the car production would be hybrids.
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Posted by Modelcar on Monday, November 28, 2005 1:36 PM
...GM is not that far behind other "American" manufactures in producing Hybrids.....It probably contributes to the problem of market share but they do need to be more competitive in "new" and active designs of main stream autos. Producing "new" designs that bring in more showroom traffic to increase market share. Cost cutting is imperative but it will require regaining more market share to help them out of this crisis.

Quentin

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Posted by richardy on Monday, November 28, 2005 10:35 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by zardoz

QUOTE: Originally posted by APG45
In the US Ford makes the worst vehicles in terms of quality. Some GM vehicles are as good as Toyota and Honda, many are slightly behind.

Is this your "professional" opinion, or do you have any facts to support your claim?

I have had 'car quality' discussions with many people about cars over the years, and I know that each person has their own opinion on vehicles, which seems to be based on actual experience with a particular brand.

I know people that swear by Jeeps, whereas the Jeeps I've owned needed so many repairs by 120K miles, that after two such vehicles, I swore to never buy another one.

I've seen GM vehicles with well over 300K miles, and they were still functioning.

Some folks say that though their Chrysler products were nice when they bought them, they seemed to fall apart near about 100K miles.

Lots of people do not like Fords, but the two Explorers I've owned I sold at about 180K miles, and I sold them just because I wanted something newer, not because they were having problems. The 03 Ranger I own now has 75K miles on it, and I have had ZERO problems so far. None! (knock on wood)

Bottom line is, I feel, that each company can make a good vehicle, and can also make a crappy vehicle. Luck of the draw, I guess.


I agree with you Zardoz, it probably is luck of the draw. I have owned all Fords except for one Chevy. All of the Fords were great, I would still have my Explorer, that was in mint condition at 99,500 miles, had it not been for an out of control duct cleaning truck; the Explorer gave it's life to save mine. The Chevy was mechanically good but had a serious paint problem that they could not solve and GM would not stand behind the car.
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Posted by Anonymous on Tuesday, November 29, 2005 12:55 AM
Sierrarr. Sounds like sour grapes when you say us rails make too much money. It is not your position to determine my wages. What is it prey tell that you do for a living? How much do you make? You seem to know so much about my craft, hows about sharing something about yourself........Have you done my job? Do you know anymore about my job than what you have read? Please, dazzle me! You should put a sock in it. I get sick of some of this non-union drivel floating about here.

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