QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal This country's rail system is still a mess, albeit a much retrenched one. Look at how much has been lost in railroad employment, relative market share (especially in terms of $$ share), customer access to rail lines, railroad responsiveness to customer demands, etc. There's enough evidence that railroading was in far better shape pre-Staggers than post-Staggers if you use these benchmarks. Indeed, if it wasn't for PRB coal and free trade policies (which have given new life to COFC) you can almost make a case that Staggers has accellerated the decline of railroading in this country, perhaps by allowing monopolistic management to hang themselves with their own rope, a rope that exists soley due to lack of head to head competition. The point I am trying to make is that neither the pre-Staggers era of comprehensive regulation, nor the post-Staggers era of comprehensive retrenchment, is doing much to guarantee that railroading will finally achieve it's promise. The only way to guarantee railroading's long term prosperity is to (1)make sure all rail customers have access to competitive rail rates and services (which will dramatically increase market share on the demand side), and (2) equalize the cost of constructing and maintaining the rail infrastructure with the cost allocation associated with constructing and maintaining highways, waterways, and airports, so that we may finally see if indeed railroads would assume a 70% natural market share. My views on how to achieve this are well known on this forum: Separate the current Class I oligarchy into infrastructure companies and transporter companies, regulate the infrastructure companies as public utilities while providing public track construction via a share of the federal fuel tax (which would be paid by all transportation modes and then reallocated to better reflect intermodal realities) and maintenance support in the form of maintenance tax credits (plus a property tax exemption, recognizing open access rail lines as public right of way by proxy), and then let the rail transporters go at it in a relatively unregulated environment, similar to trucking transporters. Market forces that have been absent since the beginning of the railroad era would finally be unleashed. Some transporters would fail, while others would prosper, and outsiders would finally be able to test their own theories of rail service innovations. The bottom line is this: If BNSF doesn't want to provide carload or small carset service offerings, then let someone else fill that void. Right now that void is being partially filled by truckers as best as the free market allows, but with predictable long term driver shortages resulting (due to the inherent inability of the trucking genre to handle large volume commodity movements on a consistent efficient basis), it is probably the consensus on this forum that some form of rail transport would be much better at filling that void, and it is a consensus that is well founded. But this can only occur if the proprietary closed acces system is opened up to competitors, or if we can somehow return to the days of multiple railroad company tracks laid into each customer's facility. Even the most ardent anti-open access opponents would probably prefer this scenario to that of pre-Stagger's regulation.
QUOTE: Originally posted by greyhounds Comparing the revenue per unit on an intermodal shipment with the revenue per unit on a grain shipment is not valid.
QUOTE: Originally posted by bobwilcox QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal This country's rail system is still a mess, albeit a much retrenched one. Look at how much has been lost in railroad employment, relative market share (especially in terms of $$ share), customer access to rail lines, railroad responsiveness to customer demands, etc. There's enough evidence that railroading was in far better shape pre-Staggers than post-Staggers if you use these benchmarks. Indeed, if it wasn't for PRB coal and free trade policies (which have given new life to COFC) you can almost make a case that Staggers has accellerated the decline of railroading in this country, perhaps by allowing monopolistic management to hang themselves with their own rope, a rope that exists soley due to lack of head to head competition. The point I am trying to make is that neither the pre-Staggers era of comprehensive regulation, nor the post-Staggers era of comprehensive retrenchment, is doing much to guarantee that railroading will finally achieve it's promise. The only way to guarantee railroading's long term prosperity is to (1)make sure all rail customers have access to competitive rail rates and services (which will dramatically increase market share on the demand side), and (2) equalize the cost of constructing and maintaining the rail infrastructure with the cost allocation associated with constructing and maintaining highways, waterways, and airports, so that we may finally see if indeed railroads would assume a 70% natural market share. My views on how to achieve this are well known on this forum: Separate the current Class I oligarchy into infrastructure companies and transporter companies, regulate the infrastructure companies as public utilities while providing public track construction via a share of the federal fuel tax (which would be paid by all transportation modes and then reallocated to better reflect intermodal realities) and maintenance support in the form of maintenance tax credits (plus a property tax exemption, recognizing open access rail lines as public right of way by proxy), and then let the rail transporters go at it in a relatively unregulated environment, similar to trucking transporters. Market forces that have been absent since the beginning of the railroad era would finally be unleashed. Some transporters would fail, while others would prosper, and outsiders would finally be able to test their own theories of rail service innovations. The bottom line is this: If BNSF doesn't want to provide carload or small carset service offerings, then let someone else fill that void. Right now that void is being partially filled by truckers as best as the free market allows, but with predictable long term driver shortages resulting (due to the inherent inability of the trucking genre to handle large volume commodity movements on a consistent efficient basis), it is probably the consensus on this forum that some form of rail transport would be much better at filling that void, and it is a consensus that is well founded. But this can only occur if the proprietary closed acces system is opened up to competitors, or if we can somehow return to the days of multiple railroad company tracks laid into each customer's facility. Even the most ardent anti-open access opponents would probably prefer this scenario to that of pre-Stagger's regulation. You certainly have a vision but it takes a majority in each House to pass this into law. None of the 537 people involved want to do that.
Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal The truth is, the idea of open access is new, perhaps too new to have entered into legislative debates. Part of the problem is that the entities that should be be introducing the topic into the lexicon of public debate (such as those organizations that represent captive rail shippers) seem to rather prefer to reha***he concept of reregulation, a lose-lose proposition for both sides. Meanwhile, the Class I propoganda arm (know collectively as the AAR) did a pretty good job of misrepresenting the open access debate when it was just budding during the late 1990's. If history is any lesson, it will take some kind of economic catastrophy involving railroad/shipper relations before the topic will be able to take it's rightful place in the halls of Congress. Meaning alot of people on both sides have to be hurt financially before Congress will act. So much for the idea of pre-emptive economic policy foresight.
QUOTE: Originally posted by arbfbe futuremodal, Now that the US Supreme court has loosened the rules against immenent domain, perhaps the states, counties or even a city or two can sieze the tracks in their neighborhood to allow public access and open access in order to increase their revenues.
QUOTE: Originally posted by MP173 1. Clarify your use of $924 for breakeven per carload. 2. Does that $924 BE apply to grain? If I read correctly it is a system BE. 3. If that is correct, then the consumer product segment, based on your assumption of 1.6 "units" per carload would then be profitable....on the system BE point, and not unprofitable as you indicated.
QUOTE: Originally posted by daveklepper Let us NOT get Amtrak into this argument, and remember that no country in the world really runs intercity passenger trains at a profit. Yes, the British have operators making a profit on running certain intercity trains, but that is only because the infrastructure is subisidized under a serparate account.
QUOTE: Originally posted by bobwilcox QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal The truth is, the idea of open access is new, perhaps too new to have entered into legislative debates. Part of the problem is that the entities that should be be introducing the topic into the lexicon of public debate (such as those organizations that represent captive rail shippers) seem to rather prefer to reha***he concept of reregulation, a lose-lose proposition for both sides. Meanwhile, the Class I propoganda arm (know collectively as the AAR) did a pretty good job of misrepresenting the open access debate when it was just budding during the late 1990's. If history is any lesson, it will take some kind of economic catastrophy involving railroad/shipper relations before the topic will be able to take it's rightful place in the halls of Congress. Meaning alot of people on both sides have to be hurt financially before Congress will act. So much for the idea of pre-emptive economic policy foresight. I think your correct about Congress not wanting to get involved untill there is a crisis. There was a lot of blah, blah, blah about the banckrupt Penn Central untill GM, Ford and Chrysler went to a Senate hearing and gave their lay off forecast if PC stopped operations. It was about 10,000 people in the first week with the collapse of the auto industry within 90 days. Since laid off UAW members tend to vote in their spare time, we got CR legislation very shortly after that hearing. The ideas put into Staggers were just think tank stuff untill CR management told Congress deregulation would allow CR to stand on there own and thereby reduce the Federal deficit. Since that was back in a day when someone actually cared about the deficit Staggers was passed within a few months. The 35 year soap opera concerning Amtrak funding is just absurb. Recently the Amtrak board put out a very good plan to start a serious discussion but everyone in the White House and Congress did the same old dance. I am worried that Amtrak will lose its ability to attrack good leadership and we will go back to the "glide path to self sufficiency" bipartisine silliness of the 1990s. If you do not know about Asa Whitney I suggest you look him up in David Bain's Empire Express , ISBN 0-670-80889-x. He was a tireless promoter of a transcontintal railroad from the Missouri River to the Pacific Coast. Everyone else thought it was a pipe dream. How would it be financed? In 1843 he proposed the novel idea to Congress that the government pay for a railroad with land grants. He spoke tirelessly about a Transcontiental RR. He was the force that caused the Army surveys in the 1850s. He was the one that pushed his ideas into the Republican Party's first platform. He withdrew into private life but he lived to see the golden spike at Promontory. The Class I have not made their cost of capital for over 75 years. Therefore the country is way behind in its rail plant investment. Someday it will come to a head. Asa Whitney did not have the internet to sell his ideas but you do...
QUOTE: Originally posted by smalling_60626 I'd love to hear what the farmers, or those with rural connections, have to say about this important and stimulating topic.
QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding They have it, unfortunately, it's called a truck.
QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding In our part of the country, a lot of farm commodities are shipped out on trucks because the trucks are more competitive than rail. In a perfect world, every shipper in a free market country would deserve competitve bidding on the movement of their agricultural products. Competition requires 2 or more parties bidding on the price. It makes little difference if the 2 bidders are railroads,or trucks,or barges,or Great Lake freighters.
"We have met the enemy and he is us." Pogo Possum "We have met the anemone... and he is Russ." Bucky Katt "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." Niels Bohr, Nobel laureate in physics
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal [ It is sufficiently profitable to those who deal with real competition each day.
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