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Steam Locomotives versus Diesels

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Posted by trainfan1221 on Monday, December 26, 2005 6:52 PM
I am a diesel person, but I appreciate steam and wish I got to see some more of it in action.
I wi***oday's diesels were better looking.
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Posted by GP40-2 on Monday, December 26, 2005 6:35 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by rrandb

So evidently shipyards were just as successful as the diesel builders in convincing the maritime industry to make a wholesale switch from steam to diesel. This is not just a case of smoke and mirrors by the EMD salesmen. I remember several years ago the american coal industry talked of sponsering a new steam engine. It was to be a steam electric but we are still waiting for a protoype. It never got any further than drawings. If the coal industry can find a way to get what was historically one of there best customers(railroads) back then they will. They are working on it but the technoligy still needs more development. [2c]


Just make synthetic diesel out of the stuff, and you have the railroads back as customers, WITHOUT all the expense of designing a different form of motive power. That, by the way, is where the industry will be heading in spite of the steam dreams some of you railfans have.
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Posted by feltonhill on Monday, December 26, 2005 6:23 PM
nanaimo73

PRR ordered the first F3's 11/7/45, about a week before the first production T1 was delivered on 11/16 45. A week later, 11/27/45, PRR ordered the first 10 ABBA sets of passenger F3's. PRR dithered about this order for some time because of reports of hunting problems with the B-B truck arrangement. The last T1 was delivered 8/27/46. The order for 10 passenger F3's was changed to 10 ABA sets of E7's 11/21/46, about three months later. PRR was in a state of transition at this time brought on by internal financial difficulties and competitive problems with NYC. The old way was stick with steam. The new generation of managers (Jim Symes was a good example) saw the writing on the wall and wanted to switch to diesels immediately).

Based on hindsight, it's my opinion if PRR had to stick with steam it would have been better off with a modification of UP's FEF1 or FEF2, both of which were available for observation and testing in the early 1940's. Neither of these would have been as demanding as the T1 from an operational and maintenance standpoint.

PRR did not have the internal discipline to successfully field a locomotive as new and complex as theT1. PRR was too used to the reliable, simple, and easy to operate K4 (and L1, I1, M1, H9, any of which numbered in the hundreds). The T1 demanded careful attention of the type alluded to by Old Timer on N&W. PRR couldn't guarantee this type of servicing and attention to detail. If it could have, maybe the T1 story would have been different. As the tale played out, however, under neglect and improper operation, plus two generations of grandstanding by some historians, the T1 got a reputation that was worse than reality. Test reports show it could and did perform very well if dispatched with working sanders, proper lubrication, and a competent crew. Too often it got none of those.

Yes, PRR would have been better off with all the E7's EMD could have produced in 1945. It really didn't have any business ordering the production lot of 50 T1s. By that time, PRR was ill equipped to deal with them on almost any level. It needed to save money, lots of it, fast. Diesels were the only way.
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Posted by rrandb on Monday, December 26, 2005 5:53 PM
So evidently shipyards were just as successful as the diesel builders in convincing the maritime industry to make a wholesale switch from steam to diesel. This is not just a case of smoke and mirrors by the EMD salesmen. I remember several years ago the american coal industry talked of sponsering a new steam engine. It was to be a steam electric but we are still waiting for a protoype. It never got any further than drawings. If the coal industry can find a way to get what was historically one of there best customers(railroads) back then they will. They are working on it but the technoligy still needs more development. [2c]
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Posted by Randy Stahl on Monday, December 26, 2005 5:07 PM
The problem with statistics is that they can easyly be manipulated > I heard many stories about the MILW charging parts and labor against any undesired asset. for example fuel was regularily charged against the electrics. Made it look good on paper to get rid of them . I'm sure that railroads "doctored the books" a bit to hasten the end of steam as well.
Interesting what you hear on the shop floor.
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Posted by MichaelSol on Monday, December 26, 2005 5:01 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by nanaimo73

QUOTE: However, when all those SD-40-2s began to arrive to replace the Electrification, things did indeed go downhill from there, as you may have noticed.


Michael-
They had to purchase some of those SD40-2s for the Dakota coal trains. It would seem to me buying more SD40-2s would cost a lot less than rebuilding the Coast Division Electrification, including replacing the Freight Motors. Would the 12 Joes have been able to handle the RMD ?

No, there were 6-10 trains a day, traffic was at an all time high. There were two sections of the hotshots, #261C and #261TC westbound, #262C and #262TC (and KC) eastbound typically at 4.2 hp/ton, so the power requirements were fairly high at that point. Needed the 12 Joes and about 40 SD-40-2s, there were a couple of Boxcabs still doing mainline work.

The cost of rebuilding the electrification, electrifying the gap, buying new electric power was about the same as the cost of going all diesel. In the studies, the electrification came out substantially ahead on operating costs and service life, but ....

Best regards, Michael Sol
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Posted by MichaelSol on Monday, December 26, 2005 3:45 PM
The only complete numbers I have at the moment are Milwaukee Road, not industry-wide. However, they are illustrative.

The red is financing cost associated with acquisition of the diesel fleet beginning only at the year indicated. This is not the total financing charge associated with the diesel fleet.

The Graph above reflects on H.F. Brown's study. It plainly shows the declining fuel charges, and even the total cost of fleet maintenance as declining. Graphs like this showed up frequently in the Dieselization studies done by various roads. With one exception: they never showed the finance charges.

The fact that fleet maintenance and fuel costs declined over the period were touted as "proof" of the benefits of dieselization, rarely offering that net ton miles had declined over that period. Indeed, net ton miles declined to 70.9% of their 1946 levels, 1946-1962, fuel costs declined to 69.7%. Dieselization had nothing to do wtih fuel economies claimed

Most significant, however, is the impact of financing charges. Milwaukee Road proved to be a surprisingly vivid demonstration of Brown's findings: that the cost of financing simply overwhelmed even the statistical sleight of hand that seemed to show the improved fuel and maintenance costs.

Further, these figures do not take into account the costs of $43,000,000 in retired Steam assets during these specific years, assets which in many cases were financed by bond issues and the like, still incurring interest charges. Add $2-3 million to the finance charges shown and you can see why railroad ROI had to decline.

That the apparent decline in locomotive maintenance costs was an artifact of declining locomotive usage and locomotive numbers is shown in the next graph, which plainly shows that diesel maintenance costs per 1000 lbs of tractive effort were not substantially different than steam. The chart suggests that Steam was erratic, but this was "the end," the decision to abandon Steam had been made, Milwaukee was acquiring no new steam, and the Korean War was underway. But for these factors, Steam and Diesel appear to have about the same maintenance costs (this includes labor). A slight declne in the late 1950s reflects a recession in 1957, and further declines in carloadings and tonnage after that date, and then another recession in 1961.


Explaining this graph, the dark blue line is the total cost of maintenance and repairs, steam, per 1000 lbs of tractive effort. The pink is the cost for the average diesel-electric locomotive. Yellow, the cost for the average electric (average age about 45 years old). There is a green line, representing the fleet average cost per 1000 lb of tractive effort, but it is lost behind the diesel-electric line.

Now, what this shows is that the two cost benefits most closely associated wtih dieselization -- lower cost of maintenance and lower cost of fuel -- were almost wholly illusory. Dieselization advocates were able to take advantage of fundamental changes in the freight rail industry which were driving lower employment levels -- declining carloadings -- and which were lowering expenses of train operation -- fewer trains and fewer carloads -- and claiming these as a credit for the dieselization process.

That is simply unsupported by the statistical record. The labor and materials cost of maintenance for a diesel-electric locomotive was almost identical to that of an old steam engine in the Milwaukee Road fleet. Milwaukee's steam fleet at that point represented an average age of about 27 years if I recall correctly.

As I recall, H.F. Brown found the same thing at the Santa Fe and couldn't get a straight answer about it out of the Chief Mechanical Officer there.

The loomng disaster for railroads in this scenario was that the interest charges of 3% during that era were as low as financing charges would ever be. The diesel fuel costs were as low as diesel fuel costs would ever be. And the costs of labor for maintenance would only go up after this point.

The next generation of dieselization would leverage all of the alleged benefits of dieselization in the wrong direction. Of course, the finance charges were headed that way in the first place.

And the average ROI declined again.

Best regards, Michael Sol
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Posted by nanaimo73 on Monday, December 26, 2005 3:40 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Old Timer

Some years ago I was privileged to have several lengthy conversations with Vernon L. Smith, author of the autobiographical book "One Man's Locomotives" and a diesel series in TRAINS called "The Diesel from D to L". Smith worked for the Franklin company and was field engineer on several projects, including the Burlington's PV 4-8-4, and the PRR T1s.

He was a poppet valve booster; his claim was that while the T1 got a bad reputation for slipperiness, during its service life it came and went and took what it stood for with a lot more aplomb than its reputation.

My own feeling that, in the hands of a capable engineer, the T1 would do what its designers intended. But it must be understood, that the T1 was intended to replace doubleheaded K4 Pacifics on the west end of the railroad, and engine crews have never taken kindly to that sort of thing, not only on Pennsy but elsewhere. I feel that there were some engineers who didn't want the T1 to do well, and saw to it that it didn't.

Old Timer-
With 20/20 hindsight, wouldn't they have been better off with 50 E7 passenger locomotives, or 50 F3 freight locomotives ?
Thanks
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Posted by nanaimo73 on Monday, December 26, 2005 3:22 PM
QUOTE: However, when all those SD-40-2s began to arrive to replace the Electrification, things did indeed go downhill from there, as you may have noticed.


Michael-
They had to purchase some of those SD40-2s for the Dakota coal trains. It would seem to me buying more SD40-2s would cost a lot less than rebuilding the Coast Division Electrification, including replacing the Freight Motors. Would the 12 Joes have been able to handle the RMD ?
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Posted by daveklepper on Monday, December 26, 2005 2:38 PM
I did try this idea out on one TRAINS writer and got no reply:

Moving power plant steam technology onto rails, here is how:

High-pressure boiler, with the latest metalurgy allowing such a thing subject to the strains and vibration of motion on a railroad.

Turbo electric drive, like a power plant. Three or four turbos and matched generators, each of a different size, with all on line for full power, and each of eight or ten throttle politions chossing the turbo and generator that provide the required horsepower effiiently. Engineers encouraged to maiximize efficiency of operation by avoiding constantly changing throttle positions.

From the generator-alternator on, it is pretty much modern ac diesel electric technology. Or the units might resemble classic steam locomotives with large driving wheels making for optimum environments for air-cooled wheel-motor technology.
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, December 26, 2005 12:04 PM
I do not know if anyone has already posted a view as seen from Britain but i'd like to make a contribution on that score. Steam ended on British Railways in 1968. The railway network shrunk significantly in the 1960's but a much smaller number of Deisels replaced Britains steam fleet. A crude example is that the 36 pacifics were replaced by 22 deisels (the Deltics) on the East Coast Main Line. 22 was the total Deltic fleet and so not all would be available at any one time, but they could provide a faster, more intensive service than the one provided in steam days. Nowadays a lot of trainservises are provided by DMU's and the turnrounds that can be achived are impressive. A train works in after a journey of 150 miles 20 minutes later it works out on another train service that lasts 150 miles. I have seen DMU diagrams which total 700+ load miles a day with hardly a stop longer than 40 minutes. I know American loco's could run 900+ miles in a day but that was on continous runs. I just see it as being imposable to run a train into a station, have the engine couple off, work light to the depot, be turned, watered and have its five cleaned and be back on its carridges in 20 minutes, and all with one man operation. It would be like trying to run LIRR or Metra with steam, it cannot be done to the satisfaction of the passenger.
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, December 26, 2005 11:54 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by GP40-2

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

QUOTE: Originally posted by klahm

I don't see evidence that, in today's world, steam would necessarily be a superior technology. Yet it seems that some commenters impute that argument to Michael's posts. A theoretical potential for steam propulsion efficiency is advanced, with reference to the electric power generating industry, but no evidence of successful transfer to even a prototype railroad locomotive is cited. A comparison not raised is to marine propulsion. Steam was replaced by diesel in marine service, over a longer period of time. Marine service doesn't involve the complications of fuel and water replenishment inherent in railroad service, yet steam is not used as the motive power in modern ships.


Try to look at it this way: When we're talking about steam vs diesel today, we're really talking about coal vs oil. The price differential between coal and oil has only widened these last few years, while rail and marine propulsion applications are well grounded in diesel technology. If the price differential continues to widen, there certainly comes a point where even "classic" steam propulsion will be cheaper to operate than diesel electric. We may even be at that point now.

The thing is, as that price differential widens (or at least stays wide), the prefered method of utilizing coal may be more cost effective via coal liquefication, which makes it compatible to the current compression ignition and tank storage/pipeline delivery infrastructure. On the other hand, synthetic coal processes that remove most of the moisture, ash, and metals from raw coal would make it ideal for classic steam technology, and there is no reason to believe a technically advanced steam propulsion system wouldn't be the most cost effective way of utilizing this synthetic coal as the prefered fuelstock.

If it's the latter, it will more likely come in the maritime applications before it's adapted by railroads.




Many of the comments on this thread are based on the idea of current or future cheap coal, which is not true. The cost of coal is increasing, and if in fact, we switched from our current mix of oil based fuels to an all coal economy, you would see coal prices go through the roof. Coal is not a renewable resource, and when an area is mined out, that coal is gone forever.

The last time I looked, the laws of supply and demand still apply, even to those who feel the need to rewrite history.

Oh, by the way, please don't let economics stand in the way of this thread proceeding. For those of us who actually work in the industry, and know the true cost of such things, we find railfan's ideas on steam most amusing. Makes for good holiday entertainment...


Well, perhaps then you are also aware that the potential US supply of coal is (1) domestic, (2) well over 200 years worth even if demand goes through the roof, and (3) if you follow coal pricing vs oil/natural gas pricing you will see that even the most optimistic trend lines show coal prices increasing at a much lesser rate than that for oil and gas. Secondly, we're talking about the rail industry's demand for fuel, not national demand. If railroads were to switch to all coal fueling, you still wouldn't even see a blip on the national demand for coal. Thirdly, there are literally billions of tons of proven coal reserves that still haven't been developed, and it will take more coal price increases before these reserves can be brought on the market, which would subsequently cause national coal prices to level out. Lastly, petroleum isn't going to run out so much as it is going to be priced out due to it's need to be imported. We will never become a coal only economy, oil/gas (and nuclear) will always play a key role for years to come.

What the rail industry needs to do is to think about developing their own coal based fuel supply, and let the rest of the country worry about it's own energy needs on it's own schedule.
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Posted by GP40-2 on Monday, December 26, 2005 9:31 AM
Oldtimer,

Your posts on this threat have been a breath of fresh air in an otherwise cesspool of coal produced railfan smog...
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Posted by GP40-2 on Monday, December 26, 2005 9:28 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by SteamerFan

Remember, Steam engines do not need to be fueled by Coal, you could theroretically build a steam engine that is electrically heated and use a small deisel egine to generate that electricity. In fact, A steam locomotive can and will run off almost any type of fuel you want.


And the thermodynamic efficiency on such an arangement would be what???

Please expand on you ideas. I have a hangover from a Christmas party, and need something to laugh at...
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Posted by GP40-2 on Monday, December 26, 2005 9:08 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

QUOTE: Originally posted by klahm

I don't see evidence that, in today's world, steam would necessarily be a superior technology. Yet it seems that some commenters impute that argument to Michael's posts. A theoretical potential for steam propulsion efficiency is advanced, with reference to the electric power generating industry, but no evidence of successful transfer to even a prototype railroad locomotive is cited. A comparison not raised is to marine propulsion. Steam was replaced by diesel in marine service, over a longer period of time. Marine service doesn't involve the complications of fuel and water replenishment inherent in railroad service, yet steam is not used as the motive power in modern ships.


Try to look at it this way: When we're talking about steam vs diesel today, we're really talking about coal vs oil. The price differential between coal and oil has only widened these last few years, while rail and marine propulsion applications are well grounded in diesel technology. If the price differential continues to widen, there certainly comes a point where even "classic" steam propulsion will be cheaper to operate than diesel electric. We may even be at that point now.

The thing is, as that price differential widens (or at least stays wide), the prefered method of utilizing coal may be more cost effective via coal liquefication, which makes it compatible to the current compression ignition and tank storage/pipeline delivery infrastructure. On the other hand, synthetic coal processes that remove most of the moisture, ash, and metals from raw coal would make it ideal for classic steam technology, and there is no reason to believe a technically advanced steam propulsion system wouldn't be the most cost effective way of utilizing this synthetic coal as the prefered fuelstock.

If it's the latter, it will more likely come in the maritime applications before it's adapted by railroads.




Many of the comments on this thread are based on the idea of current or future cheap coal, which is not true. The cost of coal is increasing, and if in fact, we switched from our current mix of oil based fuels to an all coal economy, you would see coal prices go through the roof. Coal is not a renewable resource, and when an area is mined out, that coal is gone forever.

The last time I looked, the laws of supply and demand still apply, even to those who feel the need to rewrite history.

Oh, by the way, please don't let economics stand in the way of this thread proceeding. For those of us who actually work in the industry, and know the true cost of such things, we find railfan's ideas on steam most amusing. Makes for good holiday entertainment...
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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, December 25, 2005 11:54 PM
Old Timer,

If I may.....

Mr. Sol did not say, nor did he infer, that dieselization caused any rallroads to go bankrupt. What he said is that debt accumulation from financing massive dieselization caused ROI's to drop in half, a direct correlation. Why you still can't grasp that is anybody's guess.

And when you use the ole' "I notice you haven't provided documentation for my false ascertion" routine, well, you just look silly.
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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, December 25, 2005 10:58 PM
Nanaimo73 -

Feltonhill has taken care of the poppet valve/N&W question. N&W utilized locomotives with factors of adhesion less than 4.0 by attending to the niceties - maintenance of well-designed sanding equipment; maintenance of well-designed spring rigging to minimize weight transfer; maintenance of well-designed track structure to keep the relationship between driving wheel treads and rail heads at the optimum level; maintenance of well thought out cutoffs and valve gears, to lessen as much as possible the torque variation during the revolution of the driving wheel (it is, of course, impossible to get the variation down to zero), and such details as that. As a result, N&W's front-line locomotives probably (I haven't investigated this, but someone else might want to: I did figure the DBHP/weight on drivers comparison between N&W's Class A 2-6-6-4 and C&O's 2-6-6-6, and it's no contest) developed as much or more DBHP per pound of weight on drivers as any other locomotives on the continent. I'm not familiar with European power. When you're dealing with engines with factors of adhesion as high as a Pennsy K4, poppet valves can do great work; when you're dealing with FA's as low as N&W used, and in mountain service at that, the reduction in back pressure could, and probably would, result in unsatisfactory slipperiness. Don't think Gurdon McGavock couldn't figure that out . . .

Some years ago I was privileged to have several lengthy conversations with Vernon L. Smith, author of the autobiographical book "One Man's Locomotives" and a diesel series in TRAINS called "The Diesel from D to L". Smith worked for the Franklin company and was field engineer on several projects, including the Burlington's PV 4-8-4, and the PRR T1s.

He was a poppet valve booster; his claim was that while the T1 got a bad reputation for slipperiness, during its service life it came and went and took what it stood for with a lot more aplomb than its reputation.

My own feeling that, in the hands of a capable engineer, the T1 would do what its designers intended. But it must be understood, that the T1 was intended to replace doubleheaded K4 Pacifics on the west end of the railroad, and engine crews have never taken kindly to that sort of thing, not only on Pennsy but elsewhere. I feel that there were some engineers who didn't want the T1 to do well, and saw to it that it didn't.

Mr. Sol - I asked for you to list for me the rail bankruptcies caused directly by the additional costs of dieselization, and to see your substantiation thereof. You haven't done it yet, although you've provided much more rationalization to back up your claim.

Don't you think, down in a corner of your mind, that you've taken some selected statistical material and chosen to put your own spin on it? You've even invoked the name of the old consulting firm of Gibbs and Hill, who were responsible for a lot of electrification projects in the 1910s and 1920s and 1930s; their biggie was the PRR job in the '30's. But that was their last big hurrah, and they've been much less of a factor in the 40's and later, finally going into foreign work and fading from the picture. Maybe the facts you cite had something to do with their going out of the limelight.

You've really reached some strange conclusions on this thread. Dieselizaton bad for the railroads? Not on your life it wasn't, no matter how you spin it, no matter how much carloadings dropped, no matter how the ROIs fell. If it hadn't been for dieselization, the drop in ROIs would have been much more precipitious than it was.

Sorry.

Old Timer
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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, December 25, 2005 2:04 PM
Remember, Steam engines do not need to be fueled by Coal, you could theroretically build a steam engine that is electrically heated and use a small deisel egine to generate that electricity. In fact, A steam locomotive can and will run off almost any type of fuel you want.
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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, December 25, 2005 12:16 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by klahm

I don't see evidence that, in today's world, steam would necessarily be a superior technology. Yet it seems that some commenters impute that argument to Michael's posts. A theoretical potential for steam propulsion efficiency is advanced, with reference to the electric power generating industry, but no evidence of successful transfer to even a prototype railroad locomotive is cited. A comparison not raised is to marine propulsion. Steam was replaced by diesel in marine service, over a longer period of time. Marine service doesn't involve the complications of fuel and water replenishment inherent in railroad service, yet steam is not used as the motive power in modern ships.


Try to look at it this way: When we're talking about steam vs diesel today, we're really talking about coal vs oil. The price differential between coal and oil has only widened these last few years, while rail and marine propulsion applications are well grounded in diesel technology. If the price differential continues to widen, there certainly comes a point where even "classic" steam propulsion will be cheaper to operate than diesel electric. We may even be at that point now.

The thing is, as that price differential widens (or at least stays wide), the prefered method of utilizing coal may be more cost effective via coal liquefication, which makes it compatible to the current compression ignition and tank storage/pipeline delivery infrastructure. On the other hand, synthetic coal processes that remove most of the moisture, ash, and metals from raw coal would make it ideal for classic steam technology, and there is no reason to believe a technically advanced steam propulsion system wouldn't be the most cost effective way of utilizing this synthetic coal as the prefered fuelstock.

If it's the latter, it will more likely come in the maritime applications before it's adapted by railroads.

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Posted by nanaimo73 on Sunday, December 25, 2005 9:52 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by cementmixr

Maybe I will ask Santa for a Milwaukee history when he shows up tonight.

Milwaukee Road Book-
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Hundman has "The Milwaukee Electrics" for sale-
http://www.hundman.com/cgi-bin/viewcatalog.cgi?magazine=book;ct=1

http://webhome.idirect.com/~helmutw/milwrd/power/power.htm

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

feltonhill- Thanks for the post.
Dale
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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, December 25, 2005 9:43 AM
In addition to seperating the issue into economics and technology, I wonder if strong vs. weak railroads also factor into it. Roads like the Santa-Fe ran their F units on passenger trains right up to Amtrak. They also had that CF7 rebuilding program. UP also diselized in a more measured fashion and they had some first hand experience with diesels from running them on the City Streamliners. Did weaker roads such as the Rock Island see diesels as a silver bullet to solve all their problems and did the easy payment plans just postpone the inevitable?
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Posted by feltonhill on Sunday, December 25, 2005 7:55 AM
nanaimo73,

This past month, several notebooks containing workpapers and calculations by Gurdon McGavock (N&W motive power department) were found at N&WHS archives. On March 14, 1945, there is one page related to estimated firebox volume of a Class J for a proposed Franklin System of Steam Distribution (poppet valves, no type specified). Apparently Franklin requested this information from N&W. It's not known whether N&W was seriously considering this possiblity, or whether Franklin was developing an unsolicited proposal. Additional correspondence is referenced, but has not been located at this point. No poppet valve installation was ever made on a J or any other N&W locomotive.

Generally, the benefits of poppet valves are more pronounced at higher rotational speeds. It's very doubtful that the Y6's performance would have been improved by their use. The A and J may have theoretically benefitted at higher speeds, but the reduced back pressure may have made them both harder to handle. Simplicity was likely the best path for N&W to follow. They did pretty well by adhering to it.
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Posted by Flint Hills Tex on Sunday, December 25, 2005 4:56 AM
I am personally a diesel fan, though I know and get along with a whole slew of steam fans. While the above discussion has been led by a number of very knowledgable folks with lots of statistics, it has, nevertheless, been very emotional. All I can say, is that with the exception of some 3rd World countries, diesel and electric has replaced steam everywhere! Now that is a FACT! As to which traction form is better, more romantic, more beautiful, more economic, etc., etc., I think that we might just as well try and discuss which kind of peanut butter is better: creamy or crunchy?

P.S.: It's Creamy!
Out here we...pay no attention to titles or honors or whatever because we have found they don't measure a man.... A man is what he is, and what he is shows in his actions. I do not ask where a man came from or what he was...none of that is important. -Louis Lámour "Shalako"
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Posted by MichaelSol on Sunday, December 25, 2005 1:32 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by cementmixr

QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol
Well, Milwaukee of course had an electrification that had been substantially upgraded during this time, a system that demonstrably was better than either diesel or steam, and that surely assisted its bottom line in a way that full dieselization would not have.


"Surely assisted"? Surprising phrase from you, Mr. Sol -- a self-styled numbers man who criticized someone else here for using the phrase, "it's safe to say."

The electrification was only one part of an enormous system. One small fraction of a much larger system, which, in fact, was NOT heavily used in those years (what, a few freights and one pax train per day?).

Did the electrification save the Milwaukee from the alleged dieselization financing fiasco that Mr Sol claims struck other railroads, and that caused their rates of return on investment to drop? Well it's theory compounding theory, and more part of a brain-storming exercise to me than anything resembling serious academic discussion.

Well, I happen to have the exact numbers, but do you think that is necessarily relevant to this thread? I didn't and therefore left it at that.

However, when all those SD-40-2s began to arrive to replace the Electrification, things did indeed go downhill from there, as you may have noticed.

Best regards, Michael Sol
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Posted by nanaimo73 on Sunday, December 25, 2005 1:25 AM
Old Timer or feltonhill-
Did the N&W look at rotary cam poppet valves, or were these not suitable for the lower speeds on their coal trains ?
Dale
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Posted by MichaelSol on Sunday, December 25, 2005 1:23 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by nanaimo73

QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol

Well, Milwaukee of course had an electrification that had been substantially upgraded during this time, a system that demonstrably was better than either diesel or steam, and that surely affected its bottom line in a way that full dieselization would not have.

But wasn't the Electrication carrying only a small part of the CMSP&P's traffic ?
Less than 5% ?

The PCE, at any given point in time, carried between 18% and 25% of the Milwaukee's carloadings, earned between 24% and 39% of the Company's gross revenues and between 40 and 100% of the Company's net revenues. As a "for instance," Milwaukee's overall carloadings circa 1972 were approximately 980,000 or so (from memory); PCE carried about 220,000 of those. The mainline west of Miles City was 1076 miles, of which 438 miles were electrified on the RMD and 208 miles on the Coast Division, 646 miles total. This was 60% of the mainline miles but, having intentionally been placed at the points of maximum use of motive power and fuel, represented probably 80% of total energy consumption for the western mainline.

Was that enough to "affect the bottom line?" Every single study ever done says that it did.

Best regards, Michael Sol
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Posted by nanaimo73 on Sunday, December 25, 2005 12:29 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol

Well, Milwaukee of course had an electrification that had been substantially upgraded during this time, a system that demonstrably was better than either diesel or steam, and that surely affected its bottom line in a way that full dieselization would not have.

But wasn't the Electrication carrying only a small part of the CMSP&P's traffic ?
Less than 5% ?
Dale
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Posted by MichaelSol on Sunday, December 25, 2005 12:07 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by cementmixr
Well, the Milwaukee's rate of return was NOT following the national average.
In 1946 it was 2%. In 1960, it was 2%. Over the period of dieselization, it did NOT change.

So there was no correlation between dieselization and falling return on property investment for the Milwaukee Road.

Mr. Sol, your theory is too problematic for me. A little knowledge is a dangerous thing, Mr. Sol.

Well, Milwaukee of course had an electrification that had been substantially upgraded during this time, a system that demonstrably was better than either diesel or steam, and that surely affected its bottom line in a way that full dieselization would not have.

However, my comment yesterday is as appropriate a full day later as it was then: It has, so far, stood the test of time:
QUOTE: Originally posted by Michael Sol
The nice thing about looking at combined results from all railroads is that individual policy idiosyncracies and financial circumstances average themselves out and the results can be more easily assessed as "true" results.

Best regards, Michael Sol

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Posted by MichaelSol on Sunday, December 25, 2005 12:01 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Old Timer

Sayeth MichaelSol:

"It is, on its face, a completely false assertion to state that dieselization had anything to do with an employment productivity gains whatsover, since the identical improvement would have happened with retaining Steam -- even with no actual productivity increases at all!"

This is an interesting assertion. Please prove it by some other means than trying to discredit those who disagree with you.

Old Timer

The comment to that effect was posted on December 21.
QUOTE: posted by Michael Sol:
The smallest decrease in railroad employment, 1947-1972, of all classes of railroad employment, was the engine crews. That is, engine crews were the single least improved of all classes of railroad employment categories. Indeed, crews decreased by a percentage fairly closely resembling the drop in carloadings over the same period. Engine crew employment decreased by 48%, carloadings handled decreased by 43%. It is arguable that it might have been no different, under steam, with the lower carloadings with consolidation of trains.

The crew number decrease compares highly unfavorably to the between 84% and 95% improvement in virtually all other categories of railroad employment over the same time period.

At the margin, the "improvement" in crew employment as a result of dieselization was remarkably small, tiny, considering the similar decrease in traffic, and this slight decrease was substantially lower than the productivity improvements in all other areas of railroad employment.

The post does not disclose whom you think was being discredited by the remark.

You had announced to the List at that time that you already knew all about this stuff and that the thread should end, so I am sure you did not read the above.

Employment levels related to engine maintenance and crew costs correlated almost exactly with carloading levels. Carloadings over the time period looked at dropped almost half, so did maintenance people and crews.

Would the same thing have happened if Steam had stayed King? That is, would railroads have staffed their maintenance forces and crews according to the number and size of trains they needed to run due to business, or would there have been a reason to staff them differently?

If there is a reasonable argument, it is to suggest that an approximation of half the carloadings would have required half the service work for locomotives and for trains because of the substantially reduced service requirements.

That begs the next question: what did dieselization have to do with that process?

Or the next question: if dieselization indeed contributed more employment efficiency at the levels claimed, why weren't the employment levels reduced much faster? Why, indeed, were maintenance and crew requirements reduced so much more slowly than the rest of railroad employment?

There is a substantial discrepancy between what has been claimed for the economic benefits of dieselization, and the actual results, at least from the employment standpoint, which has always been the major claim.

Why were employment levels so apparently closely related to carloadings? Just a coincidence? That seems counterintuitive. If they were correlated to carloadings as the causation, then dieselization contributed nothing on this count at all.

Given the data, what someone needs to do is to demonstrate that a drop in carloadings would not affect maintenance and crew levels. Only in that fashion can dieselization obtain credit.

Plausible?

Best regards, Michael Sol



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Posted by klahm on Saturday, December 24, 2005 11:04 PM
After reading this entire thread, it seems that different folk interpret what's written based as much on their first impressions, rather than a more thorough, repeated reading of it. There are two separate topics here - contemporary mechanical systems comparison and postwar dieselization economics. They shouldn't be confused with each other.

What I take away from Michael's extensive comments is that dieselization, as implemented by American railroads, extracted a high price in terms of short- and mid-term total financial performance, despite the operational savings that most of us have heard or presumed to be the case, because of the capital cost and unexpectedly short product lifetime of the first-generation (and, some might argue, second-generation) diesel-electric locomotives. (Despite all those GP7s and NW2s soldiering on, the DL109s and most Baldwins didn't last very long.) A more gradual and intelligent approach to the transition would have resulted in better bottom-line performance. Perhaps. The Canadian lines took a longer approach to dieselization, so I wonder how their financials compare.

I don't see evidence that, in today's world, steam would necessarily be a superior technology. Yet it seems that some commenters impute that argument to Michael's posts. A theoretical potential for steam propulsion efficiency is advanced, with reference to the electric power generating industry, but no evidence of successful transfer to even a prototype railroad locomotive is cited. A comparison not raised is to marine propulsion. Steam was replaced by diesel in marine service, over a longer period of time. Marine service doesn't involve the complications of fuel and water replenishment inherent in railroad service, yet steam is not used as the motive power in modern ships.

An interesting comparative situation was the final passenger steam efforts of the NYC and PRR. The former's Niagaras were most certainly state-of-the-art machines, capable of running from Poughkeepsie to Chicago with only one coaling stop, thanks to NYC's track pans for water replenishment. My recollection of what I read some time ago was that they were competitive with E7s in cost terms. The PRR's contemporary loco was the T1 Duplex. A racehorse on the flatlands, it had a horrific reliability record, as documented in a Trains article several years back. The E7s put it to shame. The diesel advantage, in the latter case, arose primarily from failings of the steamer. Of course, the comparison in both cases is high-speed passenger service, where steam propulsion approaches its theoretical horsepower limit and best efficiency. Slow drags are another story altogether, as noted by several posters.

Regardless of individual loco performance, at the end of the day, what matters is shareholder (or, these days, analyst) opinion. If the investor community perceives a particular technology as being "profitable" or "hot", it is difficult for a company to not adopt it. Then, investors moved their money elsewhere if they perceived an upcoming loss of dividends resulting from technological lethargy. Now, analysts move other people's money when they forecast a lack of price growth arising from a perception of technological obsolescence, even when a "hot" technology has been proven not to reduce costs significantly and a company has shown steady earnings growth without it. The executive who doesn't meet analysts' (however mistaken) expectations won't last long and prosper. So (sometimes dumb) decisions get made and implemented despite the demonstrable facts.

My slide rule is a Dietzgen, but I barely survived college thermodynamics, so I'll leave the steam-table exercises to those who know what they're doing.

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