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Where do you think the future of freight rail in the US lies?

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Posted by ATLANTIC CENTRAL on Tuesday, January 15, 2019 8:39 PM

mkwelbornjr

Regulation killed the Erie.  P&LE was purchased by CSX...and commen sense is that you don't need two main lines that are parallel serving the same markets.  Hence CSX kept only the strategic piece of P&LE.  

 

And yet CSX and NS run parallel thru northeastern Maryland so close to each other the Engineers can wave at each other in lots of spots.

In my not so expert opinion, the future of rail transportation is in solving the problem of making intermodal faster portal to portal, and thereby getting more long distance trucks off the road, with or without drivers........

Sheldon

    

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Posted by BaltACD on Tuesday, January 15, 2019 10:08 PM

ATLANTIC CENTRAL
 
mkwelbornjr

Regulation killed the Erie.  P&LE was purchased by CSX...and commen sense is that you don't need two main lines that are parallel serving the same markets.  Hence CSX kept only the strategic piece of P&LE.   

And yet CSX and NS run parallel thru northeastern Maryland so close to each other the Engineers can wave at each other in lots of spots.

In my not so expert opinion, the future of rail transportation is in solving the problem of making intermodal faster portal to portal, and thereby getting more long distance trucks off the road, with or without drivers........

Sheldon

Ownership in Northeastern Maryland is CSX and Amtrak.  NS is a tennant wherever they operate on the NEC and the do not operate any 'through freight' on the NEC.

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Posted by CNSF on Tuesday, January 15, 2019 10:29 PM
It would be nice to see this discussion return to the original question. Collectively, there is a lot of industry knowledge in this community; I would like to hear what comes of people coupling their imaginations to this knowledge. The industry is about due for a shakeup; most of the change we've seen since the 80s/90s has been incremental. In the 1960s, who would have predicted the doublestack, and the massive change that resultedjust 20 years later? I doubt things will stay more or less the same as they are now for another 20 years.
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Posted by CMStPnP on Tuesday, January 15, 2019 10:48 PM

CNSF

To CMStPnP: For clarity, whose "dream" are you referring to? Your post is confusing to me.

The dream that driverless trucks will change much in the transportation industry.   It might be true if the revolution in trucks were happening independently of all other transportation modes but it is only one component of many that is changing.

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Posted by CMStPnP on Tuesday, January 15, 2019 10:54 PM

BaltACD
The Cloud - is ripe for data theft.  Brick & mortar data centers get hacked - so will The Cloud and the damage will be far worse than anything yet experienced.

Perhaps someday they will but with machine learning the computer will be rapidly responding to hacks and viruses via it's own defensive code.    Analogous to constantly changing whatever the vulnerability was.   For one you would have to pit another faster learning machine against it to change the attacks faster then the defenses.    I am not arguing it could not happen, it will be more difficult.   Though I am certain in early versions of the Cloud before that barrier is put in place you can probably hack as you can a regular computer system now.    The purpose of the cloud though is not security but to take humans out of the equation of programming computers.

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Posted by CMStPnP on Tuesday, January 15, 2019 10:56 PM

charlie hebdo
Maybe there were lunchpails in Cheesehead Paradise many years ago, but none on Metra.

Lol, is this the user formerly known as Schlimm?

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Posted by ATLANTIC CENTRAL on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 4:19 AM

BaltACD

 

 
ATLANTIC CENTRAL
 
mkwelbornjr

Regulation killed the Erie.  P&LE was purchased by CSX...and commen sense is that you don't need two main lines that are parallel serving the same markets.  Hence CSX kept only the strategic piece of P&LE.   

And yet CSX and NS run parallel thru northeastern Maryland so close to each other the Engineers can wave at each other in lots of spots.

In my not so expert opinion, the future of rail transportation is in solving the problem of making intermodal faster portal to portal, and thereby getting more long distance trucks off the road, with or without drivers........

Sheldon

 

Ownership in Northeastern Maryland is CSX and Amtrak.  NS is a tennant wherever they operate on the NEC and the do not operate any 'through freight' on the NEC.

 

I am not a student of modern railroads, I just see NS freight trains on the ex PRR, now AMTRAK line here around Havre de Grace on a fairly regular basis. Where they go, what type operations they are, I have no idea.

And three hundred feet away on the other side of US 40, I watch the ex B&O line, now CSX........

In the early 1960's my father, a manager in the trucking profession, briefly worked for the Southern Railroad's piggyback operation. The problem then was prompt loading/unloading, seems that is still the issue.

I like trains, I build model trains, but I am an economic capitalist and a realist. If railroads want to survive, they need to figure out what their customers need and deliver it.

Sheldon

    

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Posted by Shock Control on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 7:27 AM

The future of freight rail is in the basements and garages of an aging subculture.

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Posted by daveklepper on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 8:13 AM

To me. dsriverless trucks makes even less sense from a safety and environmental angle than driverless freight-trains!  I still think both ideas are rediculous.

Automatic operation to enhance safety is a good idea.  But a driver-engineer should still be able to take control when required and now how to respond to possible unusual situations.

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Posted by BaltACD on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 8:19 AM

ATLANTIC CENTRAL
 
BaltACD
 
ATLANTIC CENTRAL 
mkwelbornjr

Regulation killed the Erie.  P&LE was purchased by CSX...and commen sense is that you don't need two main lines that are parallel serving the same markets.  Hence CSX kept only the strategic piece of P&LE.   

And yet CSX and NS run parallel thru northeastern Maryland so close to each other the Engineers can wave at each other in lots of spots.

In my not so expert opinion, the future of rail transportation is in solving the problem of making intermodal faster portal to portal, and thereby getting more long distance trucks off the road, with or without drivers........

Sheldon 

Ownership in Northeastern Maryland is CSX and Amtrak.  NS is a tennant wherever they operate on the NEC and the do not operate any 'through freight' on the NEC. 

I am not a student of modern railroads, I just see NS freight trains on the ex PRR, now AMTRAK line here around Havre de Grace on a fairly regular basis. Where they go, what type operations they are, I have no idea.

And three hundred feet away on the other side of US 40, I watch the ex B&O line, now CSX........

In the early 1960's my father, a manager in the trucking profession, briefly worked for the Southern Railroad's piggyback operation. The problem then was prompt loading/unloading, seems that is still the issue.

I like trains, I build model trains, but I am an economic capitalist and a realist. If railroads want to survive, they need to figure out what their customers need and deliver it.

Sheldon

NS runs from Perryville to Bayview Yard in Baltimore on the NEC.  The ConRail 'through' freight was put on the B&O route when Amtrak forced through freight off the NEC after they got title to the NEC in 1976 (I think - I may be wrong on the date).  From Perryville NS trains operate up the 'Port Road' to Harrisburg to join the rest of the NS system.  East of Harrisburg NS freights operate on Reading and CNJ tracks, not the former PRR tracks that Amtrak own.

Amtrak allows NS to serve individual customers whose plants are located on the NEC.  NS does not get any priority for their operations along the NEC.

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Posted by daveklepper on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 8:22 AM

Anl I think the full power of computer technology has yet to be exploited to obtain the advantages of Asset-Utilization-Railroading (i. e. "Precision Railroading") from Customer-Responsive railroading.  I hope BNSF will show the way on this.

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Posted by RailRoader608 on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 8:24 AM

daveklepper
To me. dsriverless trucks makes even less sense from a safety and environmental angle than driverless freight-trains!  I still think both ideas are rediculous.

 

I think driverless freight trains make sense but labor costs on a train are so much lower per ton-mile than in a truck (one of the big benefits of a train is two people can haul hundreds of containers, right) that the incremental savings of automating the labor piece isn't that meaningful. I think manned trains could be very competetive with driverless trucking if railroads could provide a comparable level of service.

 

That's the big hang up, right? Railroads today can't deliver goods with sufficient speed and reliabilty for the the modern supply chain. If they could figure out a way to do this then I think the inherent efficiencies of steel wheels on steel rails and hauling hundreds of containers with a couple locomotives could let rail compete with driverless trucking for years in the future. Especially if the government started taxing freight trucks for all the damage they inflict on our roads and highways...

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Posted by daveklepper on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 8:49 AM

Which is exactly what is required of the best use of computer technology, along with relearning that short trains can be profitable in some situations.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 9:43 AM

Lmsr

Maybe the railroads should look to Europe. Coal traffic is only a shadow of what it was and the distances travelled by railfreight are extremely short by American standards. Yet many state and private operators still manage to transport considerable quantities of freight and turn a profit. Not only that but the operators have to fit their freight trains on top of extremely intensive passenger operations which always get priority. In Europe dwell times at yards have been cut to virtually nothing and cars seldom stay in terminals for more than a few hours.Look at a large sorting yard in Europe and most of the time they are empty. Then a brace of trains will arrive and the activity is frenetic as cars are swapped between trains. Within 2/3 hours all the trains will have left and peace descends until the next rush.

 

I've noticed this also.  It's too bad that both Juniata and Volker Landwehr were pushed out of the forum.  They knew the European operations first hand.

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Posted by RailRoader608 on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 9:57 AM

Why do you say Europe is exceling in short haul intermodal? 

 

I've looked into the market and while the EU has been throwing billions of dollars trying to effect a freight shift from truck to rail they're doing considerably worse than the US due to shorter hauls and inefficient public train services. The data from the OECD says that in 2016 the US moved 5.3 trillion tonne-km of ground freight  with 44% moving via rail. The EU with all its programs moved 2.1 trillion tonne-km in 2016 and over 80% of it was via truck.

 

Maybe it's impressive that Europe is doing as well as 19% since Japan has also tried to shift freight to rail for environmental and labor shortage reasons but is even worse off than Europe with 9% of ground freight moving via train (in a country with essentially one freight rail company so different issues than Europe!). 

 

Anyway, the US freight system looks pretty good when you compare it to its European and Japanese counterparts where the government(s) are much more willing to tax trucks and spend on intermodal for climate reasons. That tells me the issue isn't economic, it's performance based. The savings associated with inventory reduction must be so high that companies can't offset them through shipping with cheaper, slower, less reliable rail. I don't even think rail has to beat trucking performance in speed - companies and customers are demanding that companies be greener, so if you could move freight reliably at truck + 1 day in a much greener manner I think you could capture significant freight flows. Unfortunately (but understandably) the railroads have structured their networks to play to their strengths: massive, long, double stack unit trains moving 750+ miles. Great for moving containers from ports to Chicago and Dallas but not flexible or nimble enough for modern domestic supply chains. 

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Posted by CMStPnP on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 10:05 AM

It would cost hundreds of billions of dollars for the U.S. to attempt to immitate the European model, it's not just a management change.   Try running a fully loaded ore train in the United States at 80-90 mph and watch what happens.

I'm also not convinced the European model is all that efficient as far as capital spending is concerned.    I tend to think the U.S. model of capital spending is still far more efficient than Europe.   If European railroads had the same operating ratios American railroads now have the Europeans would be falling over themselves to slap new taxes on them.

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 10:52 AM
     I think it's reasonable to expect that the railroad industry will consolidate and get into the ‘bigger is better’ mindset that every industry is going through right now. For example, in my industry-building materials- the big fish are swallowing the smaller ones all up and down the food chan. The reality is get bigger or get flattened by someone bigger.

     Railroads have already done a lot of that from what I can see. An example would be the building of unit train grain load-out operations. Any shipper that can load a 110 car train in a timely fashion makes all the little elevators near it obsolete. The railroad economics forces bigger, more efficient operations.

     I think we’ll see bigger trains and the loss of smaller yards and smaller shippers/receivers. The Walmart effect- go big or go home.

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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Posted by RailRoader608 on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 10:56 AM

Running larger trains between fewer, larger yards may be more efficient for the railroads but it's exactly the opposite of the direction intermodal freight is moving. Why double down on efficiencies benefiting your commodity moves of coal and grain when the future of freight transport is in intermodal? 

 

(Not saying you're wrong, but I think this would be foolish of the railroads to do)

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 11:49 AM

RailRoader608

Running larger trains between fewer, larger yards may be more efficient for the railroads but it's exactly the opposite of the direction intermodal freight is moving. Why double down on efficiencies benefiting your commodity moves of coal and grain when the future of freight transport is in intermodal? 

 

(Not saying you're wrong, but I think this would be foolish of the railroads to do)

 

I see what you're saying, but there's a good arguement to be made that we're talking about 2 different kinds of freight and customers with two different needs. I think the intermodal may be going smaller to go faster. The bulk of railroad traffic is goods that need to move cheaper. 

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 12:33 PM

RailRoader608
The data from the OECD says that in 2016 the US moved 5.3 trillion tonne-km of ground freight  with 44% moving via rail. The EU with all its programs moved 2.1 trillion tonne-km in 2016 and over 80% of it was via truck.

Does ground freight refer to all freight other than that carried by air or water?   If so, the statistic cited is fairly meaningless in any discussion of container freight, since the US has longer endpoint distances and has far more heavy unit trains of coal, sand, oil, ethanol and grain than Europe. That would greatly increase the ton-km figure. And Europe has far more cities very close together where truck transportation would be more efficient.  Apples and oranges.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 12:37 PM

CMStPnP
 Try running a fully loaded ore train in the United States at 80-90 mph and watch what happens.

AFAIK, nobody on here (other than you) has mentioned doing anything like that. You are making the fallacious straw man argument.

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Posted by RailRoader608 on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 3:24 PM

charlie hebdo

 

 
RailRoader608
The data from the OECD says that in 2016 the US moved 5.3 trillion tonne-km of ground freight  with 44% moving via rail. The EU with all its programs moved 2.1 trillion tonne-km in 2016 and over 80% of it was via truck.

 

Does ground freight refer to all freight other than that carried by air or water?   If so, the statistic cited is fairly meaningless in any discussion of container freight, since the US has longer endpoint distances and has far more heavy unit trains of coal, sand, oil, ethanol and grain than Europe. That would greatly increase the ton-km figure. And Europe has far more cities very close together where truck transportation would be more efficient.  Apples and oranges.

 

 

Sure, apples and oranges in terms of market conditions but also apples and oranges in terms of public funding of efforts to move freight by rail. I'm only making the comparison to say that if economically viable short-haul intermodal is the holy grail then Europe isn't there either. The US could further improve its share of freight moving via rail if we had the politcal stomach/interest to tax truck for its true costs on society and use that money to build rail infrastructure or subsidize rail transport. But we a) have a less interventionist government and b) don't care about climate change nearly as much as our European friends. 

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Posted by RailRoader608 on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 3:27 PM

Murphy Siding

 

 
RailRoader608

Running larger trains between fewer, larger yards may be more efficient for the railroads but it's exactly the opposite of the direction intermodal freight is moving. Why double down on efficiencies benefiting your commodity moves of coal and grain when the future of freight transport is in intermodal? 

 

(Not saying you're wrong, but I think this would be foolish of the railroads to do)

 

 

 

I see what you're saying, but there's a good arguement to be made that we're talking about 2 different kinds of freight and customers with two different needs. I think the intermodal may be going smaller to go faster. The bulk of railroad traffic is goods that need to move cheaper. 

 

 

You're right - and I totally agree. I think the railroads are doubling down on efficiencies that allow it to move the coal and bulk commodities cheaply and not doing enough to be competitive for the other kind (time sensitive intermodal). I get it, railroads are great at moving large quantities of cheap, heavy stuff so it's tempting to just focus on improving what you're good at but the future of freight is the other cateogry, the intermodal shipments.

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Posted by csxns on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 3:50 PM

[quote user="RailRoader608"] tax truck for its true costs on society. Don't think that will ever happen.

Russell

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Posted by RailRoader608 on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 4:24 PM

I don't disagree with you there. Besides, even if we taxed trucks to recover 100% of the damage they do to our roads I'm betting the tax revenue would get dumped into the general budget or some slush fund and our roads and bridges would still be woefully underfunded.

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Posted by csxns on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:24 PM

RailRoader608
tax revenue would get dumped into the general budget or some slush fund

110% True.

Russell

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Posted by zugmann on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 5:49 PM

Most of the intermodal yards I worked at just had pad tracks that were too short.  Took forever to break a train up or put one together from 3 or 4 tracks.  They can be loaded/unloaded quick enough, but to get them in or out the door was time consuming.

Esp. when short-sighted management makes rules like "no riding cars in the intermodal yard", and then cuts the crew vans from the budget.   Yeah, let's just let the conductor walk 13 miles to spot a train up. 

Of course there's always a crossing you have to cut halfway in the yard.  Heaven forbid a truck drive an extra 1000' to go around the train  (unless it's for the packers.  Then I guess it makes sense).

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

The opinions expressed here represent my own and not those of my employer, any other railroad, company, or person.t fun any

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 6:24 PM

RailRoader608

 

 
Murphy Siding

 

 
RailRoader608

Running larger trains between fewer, larger yards may be more efficient for the railroads but it's exactly the opposite of the direction intermodal freight is moving. Why double down on efficiencies benefiting your commodity moves of coal and grain when the future of freight transport is in intermodal? 

 

(Not saying you're wrong, but I think this would be foolish of the railroads to do)

 

 

 

I see what you're saying, but there's a good arguement to be made that we're talking about 2 different kinds of freight and customers with two different needs. I think the intermodal may be going smaller to go faster. The bulk of railroad traffic is goods that need to move cheaper. 

 

 

 

 

You're right - and I totally agree. I think the railroads are doubling down on efficiencies that allow it to move the coal and bulk commodities cheaply and not doing enough to be competitive for the other kind (time sensitive intermodal). I get it, railroads are great at moving large quantities of cheap, heavy stuff so it's tempting to just focus on improving what you're good at but the future of freight is the other cateogry, the intermodal shipments.

 

I'd say intermodal is part of the future but not all of it and probably not even a majority of it as far as railroads go. I can foresee the railroads catching up with trucks on some of the time sensitive goods not based on getter faster, but based on truck transit times getting slower. 

       Where do you see the opportunity for railroads to make big inroads into intermodal traffic?

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 6:27 PM

RailRoader608

 

 
charlie hebdo

 

 
RailRoader608
The data from the OECD says that in 2016 the US moved 5.3 trillion tonne-km of ground freight  with 44% moving via rail. The EU with all its programs moved 2.1 trillion tonne-km in 2016 and over 80% of it was via truck.

 

Does ground freight refer to all freight other than that carried by air or water?   If so, the statistic cited is fairly meaningless in any discussion of container freight, since the US has longer endpoint distances and has far more heavy unit trains of coal, sand, oil, ethanol and grain than Europe. That would greatly increase the ton-km figure. And Europe has far more cities very close together where truck transportation would be more efficient.  Apples and oranges.

 

 

 

 

Sure, apples and oranges in terms of market conditions but also apples and oranges in terms of public funding of efforts to move freight by rail. I'm only making the comparison to say that if economically viable short-haul intermodal is the holy grail then Europe isn't there either. The US could further improve its share of freight moving via rail if we had the politcal stomach/interest to tax truck for its true costs on society and use that money to build rail infrastructure or subsidize rail transport. But we a) have a less interventionist government and b) don't care about climate change nearly as much as our European friends. 

 

That's all true in varying degrees.  My impression from observations of rail freight in Germany is that Western Europe is a lot farther along in container shipping, time-sensitive rail shipping and the JIT inventory process. I realize that is anecdotal, but I also maintain the stats you gave are rendered less than helpful because we ship a lot of heavy, bulk materials long distances.

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Posted by RailRoader608 on Wednesday, January 16, 2019 7:49 PM

Murphy Siding
Where do you see the opportunity for railroads to make big inroads into intermodal traffic?

 

I think for rail to make significant strides in intermodal the railroads need to develop new technology to drastically reduce terminal time and time in classification yards. Being cheaper isn't enough and rail already beats the pants off trucking in linehaul efficiency. We need innovation in terminal design or transhipment technology that allows freight to be loaded and unloaded quickly so that unit trains aren't the only type with which intermodal works. 

 

Why have all the innovations in transshipment failed? There's so much room for improvement when trains spend 24-30 hours in classification yards!

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