QUOTE: Originally posted by PNWRMNM All, Lets debate open access straight up. I think Mark Hemphill's piece this month pointed out the undesirable features of a tax on either shippers or carriers, some portion of which would make it back to the infrastructure. I am not a fan of open access for several reasons, I will cite a few. First, while the friends of ths shippers think this is a good idea, it will eliminate what modest ability the carriers now have to price discriminate. This will bring rates to very near long run variable cost, decreasing revenue, and decreasing profits. Second, if the idea is to get more dollars into the plant, I do not see how open access will do it. Third, while the fixed costs associated with the plant will disapear from the carrier's budgets, it will be replaced by operating costs. The infrastructure entity will have to generate funds to maintain the track and terminals and do the dispatching. These costs do not disapear, they just get shifted to a new entity. That entity will almost certainly make pricing mistakes. Those mistakes will either cause shortfall in maintenance funds or result in payments so high as to discourage use of the asset. This will be a major pricing problem. Fourth, I see the most important issue as getting money into the infrastructure. Any railroad has a list of capital projects far longer than what it can fund. They will rank the projects on the basis of expected return and fund those that exceed their investment threshold, presuming they can get the funds, which they should so long as the investment threshhold is greater than the cost of money. My view is that the next layer of projects can be funded through the RRIF program which is a cheap money loan program. I have not seen any of the Class I carriers use these funds. Any ideas why, or have I missed something? Finally, for the proponents, who would own the fixed plant asset? Book value is probably $100 billion. How do we get from here to there? Would you have the Federal Government buy the asset or just steal it? Would you incorporate a for profit infrastructue company owned jointly by all of the carriers together? Something like a big union station company? Would you distribute stock in the infrastructure company to shareholders of the railroads so they could reallocate their portfolios if they desired, or would operating railroads be required to hold their infrastructure stock? Who would apply for authority to build or abandon? In short what is your vision, why is it better, and how do we get there? Mac
QUOTE: Originally posted by PNWRMNM All, . Second, if the idea is to get more dollars into the plant, I do not see how open access will do it.
Larry Resident Microferroequinologist (at least at my house) Everyone goes home; Safety begins with you My Opinion. Standard Disclaimers Apply. No Expiration Date Come ride the rails with me! There's one thing about humility - the moment you think you've got it, you've lost it...
QUOTE: Originally posted by PNWRMNM Dave, You are the advocate for open access. Tell us why and how. Mac
Dave H. Painted side goes up. My website : wnbranch.com
QUOTE: Originally posted by PNWRMNM Dave, I believe your sympathy for the shippers is misplaced. Remember it was the shippers that beat the railroads into rebates in the bad old days and then had the ICC hold rates down between 1906 and World War One. Read Enterprise Denied by Albro Martin for an excellent discussion of the failures of the ICC in that era. Staggers was designed to allow the carriers pricing flexibility, something every other business has. Yes that allows the carrier to price discriminate. I would argue that the problem is that in some cases the carriers have been too competitive. Powder River Basin coal rates, for example, are barely above long run variable costs. Price discrimination is in the carriers interest, in the shippers interest and in the public interest. The reason is that not all commodities can afford to pay the same rate. Expensive manufactured articles can stand a higher rate per ton or per ton mile than can lumber or coal. Charging the one more and the other less is price discrimination, just like the airlines charging 10 different prices for identical seats on the same flight. If the carrier could get the high rate for all products, or seats, of course he would and there would be no price discrimination. The carrier's problem is he can not get the high rates on the low value products so he takes a lower rate on them. So long as the lower rate makes some contribution to overhead and profit it is a good rate for the carrier. If is also good for the shipper of the low rated material, which can get to market now, but without the low rate it probably could not. It is also good for the high rated shipper as the low rated product is covering some of the carrier's overhead, or common costs. To the extent the low rated traffic has a contribution margin, the high rated traffic does not have make that contribution, and everyone comes out ahead. Price discrimination becomes a problem when the high rate payer convinces his politician that he should have the lower rate because if the carrier can give that guy the lower rate, I deserve the lower rate. This political logic has been the cause of untold economic harm to the railroads. As to flavor of open access you pick the one you like. Mac
QUOTE: Originally posted by jchnhtfd ..... But, of course, there are capacity limitations on the various lines; who is to decide who gets to run when? First come, first served? That's not the way it's done in the air, friends -- at any of the busier airports, there is a reservation system, and the airlines bid for slots -- so and so many planes per day, and no more. Is this a good system or a bad one? Hard to say, but it's the only one that works. And believe me, those slots aren't cheap. So we don't really have open access in the air, and we couldn't on the rails, either -- there are only just so many trains per day that can be run safely. OK. Back to square one. Now I also need the capital to bid for a slot on the line from East Overshoe to Long Beach. (maybe, one might say, the slots could be assigned by a lottery system, on a daily or monthly basis... so this day my two containers get the slot, and tomorrow the BNSF Maersk train, with two miles of containers, gets the slot (they sat in the yard today)).
QUOTE: Originally posted by dharmon QUOTE: Originally posted by jchnhtfd ..... But, of course, there are capacity limitations on the various lines; who is to decide who gets to run when? First come, first served? That's not the way it's done in the air, friends -- at any of the busier airports, there is a reservation system, and the airlines bid for slots -- so and so many planes per day, and no more. Is this a good system or a bad one? Hard to say, but it's the only one that works. And believe me, those slots aren't cheap. So we don't really have open access in the air, and we couldn't on the rails, either -- there are only just so many trains per day that can be run safely. OK. Back to square one. Now I also need the capital to bid for a slot on the line from East Overshoe to Long Beach. (maybe, one might say, the slots could be assigned by a lottery system, on a daily or monthly basis... so this day my two containers get the slot, and tomorrow the BNSF Maersk train, with two miles of containers, gets the slot (they sat in the yard today)). So being the capitalist that I am, I set up Dan RR, LLC and though I have no locomotives or rolling stock, I bid for as many slots per month as I can, and then allow BNSF and UP et al, to use my slots for a tidy little profit to take advantage of this new openess.
QUOTE: Originally posted by 440cuin One real problem is how do we try open access? Someone will have to buy or build a rail coridor to do this.
QUOTE: Originally posted by M636C Well, we do have open access in Australia, although how "open" it really is is a real question. First, some history is in order. Australia is a Federation of States, like the USA. Federation came well after railways, and rail infrastructure (and rolling stock and operation) was state owned. Even when we got the gauges to match at the state borders, the locomotives and crews changed. In the 1990s privatisation began and operation of freight went to private operators. Initially the state operations were privatised and then we had a spate of take overs so that we ended up with one major operator, Pacific National (PN), and one slightly smaller, ARG. Except in Queensland where the gauge was different and so were the politics. Queensland Rail (QR) is still state owned and operated. PN have moved into Queensland after years of failed attempts to get the access that was supposedly open. The state gets millions of dollars from export coal traffic, and have so far stopped PN getting coal traffic contracts (and introducing price competition). Mean time QR have started their own competition with PN on the standard gauge, and have obtained some coal contracts with "QR National" in the other main export coal area, the NSW Hunter Valley. This is the big game now, and we are all watching. Through a loophole in a contract with a shipper, QR National ended up with some of PN's locomotives. This is a real record, because PN's locomotive disposals are worthy of Machiavelli, and nobody gets anything from PN. National standard gauge infrastructure is being run by the Australian Rail Track Corporation, funded by the Federal government. This isn't a shock given that some government or other always owned it. Rail and the ARTC still don't get the sort of pork barrel funding roads have had for years, however. There are, and have been small operators competing under "Open Access", but PN, as the successor to the Federal and State operations, is by a long way the strongest operator. Peter
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