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Suicide causes derailment

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RME
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Posted by RME on Monday, September 19, 2016 8:47 PM

Euclid
tree68

Yeah, I'll maybe start a new thread about it.  It's kind of buried and off topic for this thread.

Be advised of something else when you do, though: the order in which you address the different considerations is highly significant, and the actions taken for the first few considerations -- whichever ones they are -- will begin to have effects on both the choice and the nature of subsequent ones.

One of the great points of modern "ECP" braking is that it permits careful modulation of actual braking force right up to the practical limit, moment by moment, of what can be achieved in a given situation. 

As we have discussed over and over in dispatching and then verberating these equine subjects, if 'emergency' braking worked on a magic anchor that was guaranteed to stop a train in minimum distance with minimal risk of incidental derailment or run-in problems, then putting the train in emergency would be a logical response to an emergent situation (which is where the word 'emergency' originally came from).  You have already been advised by some experts in the field of vehicle dynamics (Buslist for one) that if there is a 'general rule' that should be followed in these inadequate-response-time situations, it should be to get as much 'way' as possible off the train before the inevitable happens -- perhaps that means emergency braking, perhaps that means proportional control, perhaps that means differential braking of multiple sections within a given consist.  There is certainly not going to be 'one true rule' that an engineman can follow, perhaps not even a reasonable algorithm to determine the right kinds of action to take.  Although of course there will be lawyers who will argue either way (depending on where their bread is buttered) that a crew "should" have taken the "common sense" action that coulda woulda shoulda produced a safer outcome.

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Monday, September 19, 2016 9:08 PM

schlimm

 

 
tree68
The fact that other variables have been introduced should be an indication that there are a lot of variables to consider - as you note yourself.  So we're up to over 20 factors that affect the decision a crew has to make.  I'm sure if we tried, we could come up with more. So, craft your question about how an engineer would react including those 20+ variables and we'll see what we can do for you.

 

Yeah, 20+ variables. Let's see the list, Euclid.  

 

It seems like each variable would affect other variables.  For example, let's say  there were only 5 variables, and the first variable was track grade. The track grade would have a different effect on each of the other 4 variables, like train length, weight distibution, visability, etc. Instead of having a possiblity of 5 different outcomes, you'd have a possibility of 3125 outcomes. (5x5x5x5x5). Now figure that there might be 100 or more variables. You could conceivably have trillions of  different outcomes.

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Posted by schlimm on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 1:20 PM

Murphy Siding

 

 
schlimm

 

 
tree68
The fact that other variables have been introduced should be an indication that there are a lot of variables to consider - as you note yourself.  So we're up to over 20 factors that affect the decision a crew has to make.  I'm sure if we tried, we could come up with more. So, craft your question about how an engineer would react including those 20+ variables and we'll see what we can do for you.

 

Yeah, 20+ variables. Let's see the list, Euclid.  

 

 

 

It seems like each variable would affect other variables.  For example, let's say  there were only 5 variables, and the first variable was track grade. The track grade would have a different effect on each of the other 4 variables, like train length, weight distibution, visability, etc. Instead of having a possiblity of 5 different outcomes, you'd have a possibility of 3125 outcomes. (5x5x5x5x5). Now figure that there might be 100 or more variables. You could conceivably have trillions of  different outcomes.

 

 

The number of potential interactions is large, of course, but use of appropriate statistical modeling can reveal best practices.  Heck, you do it every day driving your truck in traffic.

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Posted by Euclid on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 6:23 PM

I think we are getting into the weeds with this big basket of variables.  Sure we are always surrounded by millions of variables, and they are changing all the time.  At any given instant, they combine to form an instant of reality.

So, when approaching a grade crossing a train crew faces millions variables and millions of options for a responding to them.  It is a daunting task.  I think a little too daunting to be possible; when you consider that a decision has to be made in only a second or two.

It is being said that in order to make that decision, a person would have to know the effect of all those responses to all those variables.  Where does that knowledge come from if not from training and rules?  You could learn exclusively by experience, but that would mean a person is running trains unqualified until they finally learn the millions of responses to the millions of variables.

So I have to question whether there are really so many variables that are all that pertinent to the choice of action taken by an engineer.

Earlier in this thread Paul North asked people what their response would be for this hypothetical scenario:

  1. Long heavy train of flammable and hazardous materials moving at track speed on a downhill grade in a densely populated town, in the middle of the night right after the bars close, and a car approaches a crossing with the driver swerving back-and-forth and hanging out of the window waving and yelling wildly.

 

I count just seven individual variables as follows:

  1. Long, heavy train.

  2. Flammable and hazardous materials.

  3. Moving at track speed.

  4. Moving downhill grade.

  5. Densely populated town.

  6. Middle of night right after bars close.

  7. Car approaches with driver acting reckless and erratic.

 

Surely Paul North’s question cannot be answered based on just this limited list of some of the key variables, right?  I am told that we need to know all of the millions of variables before such a question can be even be asked, let alone answered.

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Posted by tree68 on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 7:47 PM

Euclid
Long, heavy train.

How long?  How heavy?  DPU's in use?

Euclid
Flammable and hazardous materials.

Pretty cut and dried for this example.  Clearly a problem if it derails.

Euclid
Moving at track speed.

Which is?  I've run on track where track speed is 10 MPH.  On CSX, manifest trains can run at 50 on suitable track.  In the line in my area, track speed is 40.  On the shortline I run on, and much of our line, track speed is 30.

Euclid
Moving downhill grade.

Is it .1% or 3%?  Or something in between?

Euclid
Densely populated town.

Also cut and dried for this example.

Euclid
Middle of night right after bars close.

Also cut and dried.

Euclid
Car approaches with driver acting reckless and erratic.

From what distance can this car be seen?  This may be a built up area, but are we talking tangent with virtually unlimited sight distance, or a curve where a quarter mile visibility is more like it.

And, at what point does this erratic driver approach the crossing?  Are we a half mile away, or 200 yards?

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Posted by Euclid on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 8:16 PM

tree68
 
Euclid
Long, heavy train.

 

How long?  How heavy?  DPU's in use?

 

 
Euclid
Flammable and hazardous materials.

 

Pretty cut and dried for this example.  Clearly a problem if it derails.

 

 
Euclid
Moving at track speed.

 

Which is?  I've run on track where track speed is 10 MPH.  On CSX, manifest trains can run at 50 on suitable track.  In the line in my area, track speed is 40.  On the shortline I run on, and much of our line, track speed is 30.

 

 
Euclid
Moving downhill grade.

 

Is it .1% or 3%?  Or something in between?

 

 
Euclid
Densely populated town.

 

Also cut and dried for this example.

 

 
Euclid
Middle of night right after bars close.

 

Also cut and dried.

 

 
Euclid
Car approaches with driver acting reckless and erratic.

 

From what distance can this car be seen?  This may be a built up area, but are we talking tangent with virtually unlimited sight distance, or a curve where a quarter mile visibility is more like it.

 

And, at what point does this erratic driver approach the crossing?  Are we a half mile away, or 200 yards?

 

Don’t ask me.  The point is that you were perfectly able to answer this scenario question asked by Paul North with just those seven variables that he gave.

All I have done is quote his scenario question.  And now you want me to add in a bunch more variable stipulations as though I am asking the question. 

You have already answered the question with just those seven variables that I quoted.  So, why should I be required to add a bunch more variables in order to make the question capable of being answered?    

Which way is it?  Does the question need to list dozens or hundreds of variables that might have an effect—or—do just seven variables suffice?  I think your earlier answer to Paul North's question proves that his seven variables were sufficient. 

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Posted by RME on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 8:37 PM

Euclid
Earlier in this thread Paul North asked people what their response would be for this hypothetical scenario:

Long heavy train of flammable and hazardous materials moving at track speed on a downhill grade in a densely populated town, in the middle of the night right after the bars close, and a car approaches a crossing with the driver swerving back-and-forth and hanging out of the window waving and yelling wildly.

It won't matter, because the power is on the back end of the train, the brakepipe pressure has leaked down, and the engineer has taxied to the Auberge.  Tabarnac de tabarnacs!

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Posted by tree68 on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 9:32 PM

Euclid
Which way is it?  Does the question need to list dozens or hundreds of variables that might have an effect—or—do just seven variables suffice?  I think your earlier answer to Paul North's question proves that his seven variables were sufficient. 

Not even close, as numerous people have repeatedly pointed out.  Time of year?  Raining?  Foggy?  How's the sand in the locomotives?  How many operative brakes?  What's the brake pipe leakage?  Was the train on air or on dynamics coming down that hill?

You seem determined to know if there is some sort of matrix that will give a precise answer to the question.  If this, then that.  Not gonna happen.

And, if you'll go back and read PDN's complete post, he used the example you cite, as well as another, to point out just how many variables exist when faced with having to make a decision.

 

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Posted by Mookie on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 10:15 PM

RME
and the engineer has taxied to the Auberge.  Tabarnac de tabarnacs!

 I took Latin, not French.  Have kicked myself ever since.  Fortunately Google works....

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Posted by Euclid on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 10:29 PM

tree68
 
Euclid
Which way is it?  Does the question need to list dozens or hundreds of variables that might have an effect—or—do just seven variables suffice?  I think your earlier answer to Paul North's question proves that his seven variables were sufficient. 

 

Not even close, as numerous people have repeatedly pointed out.  Time of year?  Raining?  Foggy?  How's the sand in the locomotives?  How many operative brakes?  What's the brake pipe leakage?  Was the train on air or on dynamics coming down that hill?

You seem determined to know if there is some sort of matrix that will give a precise answer to the question.  If this, then that.  Not gonna happen.

And, if you'll go back and read PDN's complete post, he used the example you cite, as well as another, to point out just how many variables exist when faced with having to make a decision.

 

 

Well if Paul North’s seven variables are “not even close” to being enough to answer his scenario question, how were you able to answer his question?

You answered his question and now you say the question did not have enough information to give an answer. 

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 11:01 PM

Mookie

 

 
RME
and the engineer has taxied to the Auberge.  Tabarnac de tabarnacs!

 

 I took Latin, not French.  Have kicked myself ever since.  Fortunately Google works....

 

Shy

 

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Posted by zugmann on Tuesday, September 20, 2016 11:07 PM

Long and heavy are two variables.  You can have long trains that aren't heavy (relatively speaking, of course), and heavy trains that aren't long.  Those can be a bear to run.

It's easy to sit back after the fact (or looking at hypotheticals) and armchair quarterback.  Even formal investigations forget that many of these decisions have to be made quickly; but not lightly.  Are they always correct? Hell no.  But are they the best the crew came up with at the time?  Yeah.  Is everyhting going to work out perfectly?  Of course not.

 

But asking would you do this, or what would you do there is pointless.  We are not there.   We can only give a best guess what we might do in a situation, but most of us will refrain from even doing that on a public forum like this.  

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by tree68 on Wednesday, September 21, 2016 6:13 AM

Euclid
...how were you able to answer his question?

I don't recall answering his question - and his examples weren't questions, they were examples.

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Posted by Norm48327 on Wednesday, September 21, 2016 7:34 AM

Guys, We may just as well concede that Bucky has all the answers. We're wasting bytes trying to convince him other points of view have merit and that ain't gonna happen. His mind is set in stone.

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Posted by Euclid on Wednesday, September 21, 2016 8:49 AM

tree68
 
Euclid
...how were you able to answer his question?

 

I don't recall answering his question - and his examples weren't questions, they were examples.

 

Shown in red, here are the two hypothetical situations described by Paul North followed by his question asking: “What do you think the engineer's reaction would - or should - be in each situation?”

Shown in blue, are your two answers to his question about those two hypothetical situations.

Since then, I have asked you how about question #1, and you now say that it cannot be answered without it including much more detail about many variables.  Yet you have already answered that question as Paul North originally stated it. Why do you now say it cannot be answered unless it includes a lot more detail about variables?

 

Quote from Paul North (in red) on page 3, post #2:

 

Consider two extreme hypothetical situations with regard to emergency braking:

 

  1. Long heavy train of flammable and hazardous materials moving at track speed on a downhill grade in a densely populated town, in the middle of the night right after the bars close, and a car approaches a crossing with the driver swerving back-and-forth and hanging out of the window waving and yelling wildly.
  2. Short light train of empty bare-table intermodal cars moving at restricted speed on a level or upgrade in a farmland or desert area in the middle of the afternoon night right after the schools close, and a loaded school bus (or gasoline tank truck) is stalled on the crossing with the driver outside and waving frantically for the train to stop.

 

What do you think the engineer's reaction would - or should - be in each situation?

 

********************************************************

 

Posted by tree68 (in blue) on Saturday, September 10, 2016 11:01 PM, page 3, post #10:

 

Paul_D_North_Jr

 

1. Long heavy train of flammable and hazardous materials moving at track speed on a downhill grade in a densely populated town, in the middle of the night right after the bars close, and a car approaches a crossing with the driver swerving back-and-forth and hanging out of the window waving and yelling wildly.

 

Tangent or curve?

 

Either way, I'm probably not going to dump the brakes.  I'll certainly make a fairly heavy application, but my primary goal is not to avoid hitting the drunk(s) in the car (who may be out of the way by the time the train gets there anyhow), but to to keep my train intact so the methyl ethyl awful I'm hauling doesn't kill dozens, or hundreds of people if the train derails. 

 

This is also an engineer experience issue - if the engineer knows that there's the possibility of such an occurrence at this time of the morning, odds are he's actually already taken a little off his speed, and probably has a set on with air.

 

Paul_D_North_Jr

 

2. Short light train of empty bare-table intermodal cars moving at restricted speed on a level or upgrade in a farmland or desert area in the middle of the afternoon night right after the schools close, and a loaded school bus (or gasoline tank truck) is stalled on the crossing with the drvier outside and waving frantically for the train to stop.

 

So you're talking virtually unlimited sight distance, and I'm running my train at restricted speed.  As noted before, restricted speed requires that I be able to stop my train in half the sight distance - and on our railroad, not to exceed 20 MPH (10 MPH in certain cases).  That the vehicle in question has been on the crossing long enough for the driver to dismount and attempt to flag the train tells me that I should have been able to see it for some distance in the first place, and will be able to stop well short of the obstacle.  Too easy.

 

 

 

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********************************************************

 

 

 

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Posted by schlimm on Wednesday, September 21, 2016 8:55 AM

Norm48327

Guys, We may just as well concede that Bucky has all the answers. We're wasting bytes trying to convince him other points of view have merit and that ain't gonna happen. His mind is set in stone.

 

Even if Euclid raises some good points, his obsessive internal dialogues and language problems negate any benefits.  Just walk away.

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Wednesday, September 21, 2016 11:47 AM

schlimm
 
Norm48327

Guys, We may just as well concede that Bucky has all the answers. We're wasting bytes trying to convince him other points of view have merit and that ain't gonna happen. His mind is set in stone.

 

 

 

Even if Euclid raises some good points, his obsessive internal dialogues and language problems negate any benefits.  Just walk away.

 

Internal dialogues! Laugh

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Posted by Euclid on Wednesday, September 21, 2016 1:01 PM

zugmann
We can only give a best guess what we might do in a situation, but most of us will refrain from even doing that on a public forum like this.

I definitely understand your point.  That nature of the question is why I found it interesting.  But, I don’t want to get anyone here in trouble for answering it. The question is really for someone like the FRA.  They can address it without any risk, and also offer an authoritative answer.   

 

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Posted by BaltACD on Wednesday, October 19, 2016 4:58 PM

Mookie
Johnny - After they eliminated the fireman on a train, the conductors were promoted to engineers.  I don't know if they still have this practice.

Local media have distinct problems in understanding the differences between Conductors and Engineers in today's railroading.

The current reality is that the Conductors position is the 'entry level' for personnel entering Train & Engine service.  After a period of time working as a Conductor (nominally 1 year, but it can be more or less) an individual will be forced into the Engineer Training cirriculum to learn the mechanics, operating proceedures and air brake systems that are involved in today's railroading.  That training can take upto 6 months in classroom type settings.  If the individual does not pass the periodic testing of this cirriculum they will be terminated from T&E railroad employment.  If individuals refuse to go on to engineer training they will be terminated from T&E railroad employment.  'Promotion' to being an Engineer is not voluntary.  After successful completion of the 'classroom' phase of engineer training, they will be assigned territory in Engineer Trainee status to learn the realities and tricks of the trade in operating trains over the assigned territory by being with the regular engineers that operate the territory.  I am unaware of any specific 'time limit' for this phase of training, however, the regular engineers will report to the Road Foreman of Engines their observations of the proficiency of the trainees they have run with.  When the trainee feels he is 'ready'; a 'Check Out' ride will be done with the Road Foreman of Engines aboard - if everything is satisfactory the individual will be marked up as a qualified Engineer.

With the traffic fluctions and increase and decrease of both Engineers and Conductors boards, a qualified engineer may work as a Conductor until increased business demands the Engineers board be increased in number.

Conductors with a seniority date prior to (I think) 1985 are not required to proceed to Engineer training - those with a later date are.

Zugmann and jeffhergert can respond with more of the particulars - having been through the process.

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Posted by Deggesty on Wednesday, October 19, 2016 5:07 PM

It ceratainly interesting as to how things have changed in road operations. Formerly, firemen and brakemen began learning their territories under their conductors and engineers. Now, the conductors learn their territories under their engineers.

I have no idea as to the relative pay of enginemen and trainmen in the old days; I do wonder if the pay scale is now the same for both crafts.

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Posted by BaltACD on Wednesday, October 19, 2016 5:28 PM

Deggesty
It ceratainly interesting as to how things have changed in road operations. Formerly, firemen and brakemen began learning their territories under their conductors and engineers. Now, the conductors learn their territories under their engineers.

I have no idea as to the relative pay of enginemen and trainmen in the old days; I do wonder if the pay scale is now the same for both crafts.

Different crafts, different pay scales and work rules. 

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Posted by Deggesty on Wednesday, October 19, 2016 8:44 PM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thanks, Balt.

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Posted by jeffhergert on Thursday, October 20, 2016 8:52 PM

I was told that now every engineer candidate has to have at least one year as a trainmen.  I don't know if it's company or FRA.  I think I was told FRA because it came about after some other railroad had an incident where the engineer had less than 1 year before going into engine service and the conductor had less than a year, too.  (We have a few engineers who hired out before that edict.  They finished training and were promoted to conductor on Friday.  The following Monday they were firemen beginning their engine service training.) 

All post-1985 trainmen can be forced to engine service.  After 1985 it was a condition of employment.  You can avoid it, and some have, as long as they have younger guys and gals (seniority wise) willing to go.  You have to bid to go to engine service (I had to wait about 6 years for my turn and I went as soon as I could.) and can't be under any current discipline. If no one bids to go to engine service they can start forcing the youngest trainmen meeting eligibility requirements.

I can't say for other railroads but I had about 5 weeks total class room work.  Two (It may have been only one, my memory has faded on this.) weeks initially at my home terminal and then 3 weeks later at the system facility in Salt Lake City.  Total field time was about 6 months.  I entered engine service in 9/04 and was promoted in 03/05.

The rest of what Balt said is pretty much it.  Fail to pass and you're out the door.  

That 1985 date gets talked about at times.  Some think after the last pre1985 guy is gone, the railroads may eliminate the position of conductor or at least force everyone to become dual qualified.  Then which side of the cab you sit on during a tour of duty would be governed by seniority.  Some short lines/regionals work like this. 

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Thursday, October 20, 2016 10:38 PM

jeffhergert
Some think after the last pre1985 guy is gone, the railroads may eliminate the position of conductor or at least force everyone to become dual qualified.  Then which side of the cab you sit on during a tour of duty would be governed by seniority.  Some short lines/regionals work like this. 

Jeff 

 

I gather that if two people called up for a train are both qualified to run as engineer, the one with the most seniority gets the engineers side? Or does he get to pick either side? Is the pay different? 

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Posted by jeffhergert on Friday, October 21, 2016 6:08 PM

Murphy Siding

 

 
jeffhergert
Some think after the last pre1985 guy is gone, the railroads may eliminate the position of conductor or at least force everyone to become dual qualified.  Then which side of the cab you sit on during a tour of duty would be governed by seniority.  Some short lines/regionals work like this. 

Jeff 

 

 

 

I gather that if two people called up for a train are both qualified to run as engineer, the one with the most seniority gets the engineers side? Or does he get to pick either side? Is the pay different? 

 

 

Since we don't do it, I can't say for sure how it would be done. 

I know on one short line, where everyone sleeps in their own bed every night, they place their bids on the jobs for the next day.  Dual qualified can work either engineer or conductor/foreman.  Or brakeman/switchman if the job has one.  (Some of our yard switchmen boards work this way.  You bid the day before what you want.  It's called a Daily Mark-Up Board.)

One possible way, one that most of my co-workers expect to happen, is to have one board.  When they run a train, the senior person called decides on what position they want.

I think they may stay with separate engineer and conductor boards.  Once dual qualified, you can bid (or bump) into either board your seniority permits.  Possibly, assignments may be for 90 days (some yards do this, see above) and everyone has to re-bid for the assignments they want. 

Most of the above is assuming the property has a union contract and seniority means something.  On non-union properties, how many cabooses one has kissed may count more than how much time in their employ when getting job assignments.

While I never looked back (except on curves) after becoming an engineer.  Some wished they hadn't.  You might be surprised that sometimes the senior person may want to be the conductor.  The engineer usually does get paid more, usually doesn't get as wet or as cold and has all of the prestige Laugh(We'll take a moment to allow Zug to regain his composure), but just look at all the controversy and second guessing on the forums.  Imagine what it's like in the real world.

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Posted by ChuckCobleigh on Friday, October 21, 2016 6:35 PM

jeffhergert
The engineer usually does get paid more, usually doesn't get as wet or as cold and has all of the prestige

Sounds like the joke where someone asks the guy cleaning up after the elephants in the circus parade why he doesn't get a better job and gets this answer: "What? And leave show business?"

BTW, I recall as a young lad that the circus parade had gone by my grandmother's house on the way back to the grounds where the circus was setting up.  Apparently that fellow had quit by then.

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Posted by zugmann on Friday, October 21, 2016 7:39 PM

jeffhergert
The engineer usually does get paid more, usually doesn't get as wet or as cold and has all of the prestige Laugh(We'll take a moment to allow Zug to regain his composure), but just look at all the controversy and second guessing on the forums. Imagine what it's like in the real world.

My elbow did get wet one day last week.  But since I'm the youngest in my terminal holding an engineer assignment - there's a chance I may get knocked to the ground each week.  If I do, it's no biggie.  I'll go fill a utility job, work 8 hour days and get weekends off.  It's a hard job, but somebody has to do it.

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

The opinions expressed here represent my own and not those of my employer, any other railroad, company, or person.t fun any

  • Member since
    December 2007
  • From: Georgia USA SW of Atlanta
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Posted by blue streak 1 on Wednesday, November 2, 2016 5:00 PM

Scrappers started a couple days ago with tools to cut up cars into truck sized pieces.  access  is limited so a crane has to take each car pieces in turn to get to next car.  

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    June 2003
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Posted by samfp1943 on Wednesday, November 2, 2016 7:37 PM

schlimm

 

 
Norm48327

Guys, We may just as well concede that Bucky has all the answers. We're wasting bytes trying to convince him other points of view have merit and that ain't gonna happen. His mind is set in stone.

 

 

 

Even if Euclid raises some good points, his obsessive internal dialogues and language problems negate any benefits.  Just walk away.

 

 

        Multiple personalities allow those individuals to deal with a better class of people in their alternate realities....Sigh Sigh

 

 


 

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    January 2014
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Posted by Euclid on Wednesday, November 2, 2016 9:51 PM

samfp1943
 
schlimm

 

 
Norm48327

Guys, We may just as well concede that Bucky has all the answers. We're wasting bytes trying to convince him other points of view have merit and that ain't gonna happen. His mind is set in stone.

 

 

 

Even if Euclid raises some good points, his obsessive internal dialogues and language problems negate any benefits.  Just walk away.

 

 

 

 

 

        Multiple personalities allow those individuals to deal with a better class of people in their alternate realities....Sigh Sigh

 

Sam,

I don’t know who you are talking about when you refer to “those individuals with multiple personalities.”  But I suggest that those who always get their pants in a bunch over what I write about might want to examine their own personalities and make sure everything is working properly.

 

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