Trains.com

UP - NS Merger

5513 views
45 replies
1 rating 2 rating 3 rating 4 rating 5 rating
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, April 1, 2004 12:57 PM
Seen a ton of CSX Locomotives on BNSF and UP

DOGGY
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, April 1, 2004 1:56 AM
I don't think this will happen . it's too much at stake . you must remember that the STB will not allow UP to go ahead with this deal . because it's what you would call too much competition with orth railroads eventhough there aren't many you still have whats left . and that my friends is the purpose of the SURFACE TRANSPORTION BOARD!!! ..
  • Member since
    October 2003
  • From: United States of America, Tennessee, Cookeville
  • 408 posts
Posted by Allen Jenkins on Friday, March 26, 2004 11:45 PM
Of the one's left, which road can be called a for-sure global transportation system? Not just loading, at a seaport facility, I mean trans-world? That one isn't gonna disappear. When NS bought into the Conrail, they had ALL the cash, infact not very many others had such large pockets. The merger changed that, the note pays out somthing like the year 2097. A lot of debt, but the business practices and product the Thoroughbred of Transportation has perfected over the years should stand alone. The low-sulfur coal from the dust bowl is the only claim to fame, other than global container thruways, any change in the demand for coal could effectivly kill every duck in the pond, as could the war on terrisim(Did someone say trainsim?). The "players" left to dance are a lean, mean bunch, and no-one wants to "disappear," or take second place, (one in the same). The job that the ICC had, was to prevent what wormed the Pennsy. Then when deregulation occurred, even the truckers hated it. For sure, we need a transtportation overhaul, and if the Right Way is ever re-invented, there would be work applenty, for all. God Bless America! Enjoy Your Hobby! acj (fyi, the end of the hood is an image of all the equine, not just head).
Allen/Backyard
  • Member since
    December 2001
  • From: US
  • 1,475 posts
Posted by overall on Friday, March 26, 2004 8:42 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Mr. Frank

Hate to add fuel to the rumor mill - my brother lives just a few blocks past the west end of UP's Proviso Yard in Elmhurst, IL - he mentioned last night that he has been seeing a lot more NS power on UP trains lately. I don't want to assume that this means an imminent merger, but it certainly makes you wonder...


I regularly see UP engines on the CSX here in Nashville. About as many UP engines as CSX engines around here or so it seems. I have also started to see NS engines here too. CSX and NS predessesors Southern and L&N did not like each other. Seeing a Southern engine on the "ellen n" or vice versa would have been unheard of. Things change.

George
  • Member since
    March 2002
  • From: USA
  • 165 posts
Posted by rf16a on Friday, March 26, 2004 8:28 PM
Hello Mr. Bill.
Oh, Hi Mr. Hand.
So are you enjoying your trains Mr. Bill?
Yes Mr. Hand.
Mr. Bill, I think we should merge your NS trains with your UP trains.
I don't think that's a good idea Mr. Hand.
Sure it is Mr. Bill, let me help you.
No Mr. Hand, wait, oh no, no, noooooooooooooooooooooooo.

[:p][:p][:p][:p][:p][:p][:p][:p][:p][:p]
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Friday, March 26, 2004 12:20 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by erikthered

Yikes.
Given the rather poor history of rail mergers in the past ten years I think you would see a lot of controversy over this one. Although the ICC no longer exists, I would expect to see some interest from the Department of Justice and probably the Securities and Exchange Commission as well.



If I remember my Managerial Economics, mergers are governed by the Herfendahl-Hirshman Index, or HHI. The HHI is the sum of the squared shares of the market for every firm in a particular market times 10,000. Under the merger guidelines of the DOJ, if the HHI of a merger will be greater than 1,800 or is greater than 1,800 before the merger, the merger is challenged. If the HHI is between 1,000 and 1,800, then the merger is closely examined. Bear in mind these are only guidelines, mergers are often allowed even when the HHI is large, provided certain conditions are met, such as increased efficiency, emerging new technology, or one of the firms has financial problems, or significant foreign competition. I don't believe the DOJ or the FTC would allow this merger to occur.

I know this thread was started in jest, but some are taking this seriously. [:D]
  • Member since
    July 2002
  • From: A State of Humidity
  • 2,441 posts
Posted by wallyworld on Friday, March 26, 2004 9:02 AM
You mean SNUP? Or PUNS? A true transcontinental road will face fierce opposition from the same folks who were promised benefits and ended up with a extended operational capability worthy of the Penn Central snafu.. Unless the logistical realities of cross continental operations are rethought in a innovational manner with the empathasis on speed, you'll have the whole thing in reality become a only a preperation for a future retrenchment.This calls for an expansion into premium services if you can sort out the huge issue of crew hours, scheduled versus bundled runs. Operational economies, less transfers etc are all no brainers as far as benefits. This is a shake out to reduce overhead not a expansion of potential market unless you count existing shippers increasing their loads from truck based transcontental loads but this is already tapped in intermodal, is'nt it? . This is subject to trade policy which could radically change in light of the currennt political situation with unemployment, overseas jobs etc. A case can be made that bigger does not necessarily mean better service. Ask a short line customer versus a Class 1 customer who is the more flexible, responsive and reachable...in most cases-smaller is better. Lets face it, how many roads have merged because both were strong as far as revenue? Southern Pacific? Rio Grande? Northern Pacific? Western Maryland? etc, etc.
I think most mergers are grasping for survival. If two strong roads merge it will be a very interesting clash of meshing giants if history proves repeatable.

Nothing is more fairly distributed than common sense: no one thinks he needs more of it than he already has.

  • Member since
    August 2003
  • From: Still on the other side of the tracks.
  • 397 posts
Posted by cpbloom on Friday, March 26, 2004 2:10 AM
It would seem that the 2 RRs with the deepest pockets would not try and merge with each other, but gobble up other RRs: (UP+CSX) and (NS+BNSF). Say goodbye to Dark Future and Great Pumpkins.
  • Member since
    February 2004
  • From: Balto. MD
  • 213 posts
Posted by Rick Gates on Friday, March 26, 2004 12:19 AM
Gee Zach, I was kidding! I guess a job with NS is out of the Question????[B)]
Railroaders do it on steel
  • Member since
    November 2003
  • From: West Coast
  • 4,122 posts
Posted by espeefoamer on Thursday, March 25, 2004 7:44 PM
Originally posted by GRANTSHAW

If the Norfolk Southern and the Union Pacific merge will they call the results
Southern Pacific and paint their locomotives crimson and gray??? If so,
I am for it.
[/quote
I vote for this one![:)][:)][:)]
Ride Amtrak. Cats Rule, Dogs Drool.
  • Member since
    March 2004
  • From: Lewiston Idaho
  • 317 posts
Posted by pmsteamman on Thursday, March 25, 2004 5:33 PM
As someone who works for CSX there has been talk of UP and CSX merging, but thats it talk.. After the Gonerail merger things on both CSX and NS went sour real quick (dead trains everywhere and no crews to run them). I can't see why they would want to do that again, but come to think of it I never made so much money doing so little....
Highball....Train looks good device in place!!
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, March 25, 2004 5:27 PM
I agree with wcfan4ever No more mergers this leave it the way it is. Wheres the fun of being a railfan when your watching two railroads all the time Like I said leave it the way it is with NS CSX CP UP BNSF KCS and CN
  • Member since
    June 2002
  • From: Independence, MO
  • 1,570 posts
Posted by UPTRAIN on Thursday, March 25, 2004 3:12 PM
First off...UP and NS will never merge!!! And for your information...MY EMPLOYER is not the *** end of the horse!!!

Pump

  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, March 25, 2004 10:15 AM
I think UP will be stopped from mergers from a while. Just look at their current situation.

I don't think UP could manage a lemonade stand effectively. If they did, it would start smooth with many customers. Then they would run out of supplies on the hottest day, but all of the customers are in the way to bring in more lemons. Customers are mad, nothing is moving, and nobody is making money. Meltdown...

  • Member since
    February 2004
  • From: Balto. MD
  • 213 posts
Posted by Rick Gates on Thursday, March 25, 2004 12:40 AM
I wonder if any Wall Street railfans read this and start this rumor there.................I would think UP would take the head by the reins, and NS -- the South end! Sounds logical Mr.Spock! [:-^]
Railroaders do it on steel
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, March 25, 2004 12:15 AM
If the Norfolk Southern and the Union Pacific merge will they call the results
Southern Pacific and paint their locomotives crimson and gray??? If so,
I am for it.
  • Member since
    December 2001
  • From: Northern New York
  • 25,021 posts
Posted by tree68 on Wednesday, March 10, 2004 9:41 AM
The Wall Street Naives would probably think a UP-NS merger would be a match made in heaven - they could now run trains coast-to-coast and keep all the money. Of course, they wouldn't be running the trains, just keeping all the money. The poor suckers in the trenches would be expected to keep everything running. Can you say "melt-down"?

LarryWhistling
Resident Microferroequinologist (at least at my house) 
Everyone goes home; Safety begins with you
My Opinion. Standard Disclaimers Apply. No Expiration Date
Come ride the rails with me!
There's one thing about humility - the moment you think you've got it, you've lost it...

  • Member since
    January 2001
  • From: MP CF161.6 NS's New Castle District in NE Indiana
  • 2,148 posts
Posted by rrnut282 on Wednesday, March 10, 2004 6:21 AM
Power plants usually buy coal on short term (1-2yrs) contracts. Every once in a while they will buy from another source to keep their preferred source honest on the price. Most likey what you are seeing is the result of coal coming from a different mine with run-throught power. Something similar happens with loose car-loads when two railroads get together and say, "if I run a full train from xxx to you at yyy by this time, and you run it on to zzz before such and such a time, we can undercut the other guys and make a ton of money. " If they make money they keep doing it, if say 6 months later, they aren't making enough, they'll stop. That is only one possible explanation for the ebbs and flows of locomotives you see.
Mike (2-8-2)
  • Member since
    November 2003
  • From: West Coast
  • 4,122 posts
Posted by espeefoamer on Tuesday, March 9, 2004 9:24 PM
The railroads are about as big as they can get .Another merger,and the road would collapse under its own weight.[:0]
Ride Amtrak. Cats Rule, Dogs Drool.
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Tuesday, March 9, 2004 7:24 PM
UP is having some major service problems. They're pretty short on power because network velocity is down several MPH. I'd suspect they're leasing short term power from elsewhere to help get them through it.
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Monday, March 8, 2004 7:55 PM
Point well taken. However, from what I was told, there has been a noticeable increase in NS power over the last several weeks on the UP West Line here, as compared to the last 2-3 years (I have seen quite a bit of NS and CSX power on the UP ever since Conrail was carved up a few years ago, and before that point, Conrail power was very common west of Proviso - particularly on the Elkhart IN to North Platte run-through Conrail and the UP ran (and CNW up until 1995). Again, I agree that an increase does not by any means guarantee that UP and NS are even discussing a potential merger, but it would be interesting to learn the real reason behind the sudden increase in NS power on UP trains (perhaps railroads pay back horsepower hours in batches)??? Any ideas?
  • Member since
    January 2001
  • From: MP CF161.6 NS's New Castle District in NE Indiana
  • 2,148 posts
Posted by rrnut282 on Monday, March 8, 2004 5:36 AM
FYI
the thundering herd of high-nosed diesels is starting to thin as NS culls the gene pool(roster).
Mike (2-8-2)
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Monday, March 8, 2004 5:07 AM
Would that mean that all U.P.'s locos would be painted black and have a throughbred on the side . I just can't imagion a high nose loco in armour yellow .
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, March 7, 2004 6:38 PM
Dude's we really gotta lighten up. [8D][8D][8D]

This was by no means a "serious rumor" albeit, can any rumor truly be serious?

I started this thread just making a joke about NS having a Horse Head logo and if they merged w/ UP- then UP could be the "horses behind" (though they do a pretty good job of that on their own already.) [:D]
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, March 7, 2004 6:35 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by overall

The conventional wisdom around here says that UP will get CSX and BNSF will get NS.
I see both UP and BNSF power here in Nashville. There is an occasional NS unit also. These are rare however.

George


"Burlington" has had a route direct into Birmingham (Alabama) for quite a few years now hasn't it?
  • Member since
    December 2001
  • From: US
  • 1,475 posts
Posted by overall on Sunday, March 7, 2004 6:17 PM
The conventional wisdom around here says that UP will get CSX and BNSF will get NS.
I see both UP and BNSF power here in Nashville. There is an occasional NS unit also. These are rare however.

George
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, March 7, 2004 6:00 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by macguy

QUOTE:
Hate to add fuel to the rumor mill - my brother lives just a few blocks past the west end of UP's Proviso Yard in Elmhurst, IL - he mentioned last night that he has been seeing a lot more NS power on UP trains lately. I don't want to assume that this means an imminent merger, but it certainly makes you wonder...


Chances are that means absolutely nothing.
RRs use foreign power all the time, in fact it's really quite common place.


BNSF and NS pool power a lot also
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, March 7, 2004 2:57 PM
QUOTE:
Hate to add fuel to the rumor mill - my brother lives just a few blocks past the west end of UP's Proviso Yard in Elmhurst, IL - he mentioned last night that he has been seeing a lot more NS power on UP trains lately. I don't want to assume that this means an imminent merger, but it certainly makes you wonder...


Chances are that means absolutely nothing.
RRs use foreign power all the time, in fact it's really quite common place.
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, March 7, 2004 2:10 PM
Hate to add fuel to the rumor mill - my brother lives just a few blocks past the west end of UP's Proviso Yard in Elmhurst, IL - he mentioned last night that he has been seeing a lot more NS power on UP trains lately. I don't want to assume that this means an imminent merger, but it certainly makes you wonder...

Join our Community!

Our community is FREE to join. To participate you must either login or register for an account.

Search the Community

Newsletter Sign-Up

By signing up you may also receive occasional reader surveys and special offers from Trains magazine.Please view our privacy policy