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Really High-Speed North American Passenger Trains Locked

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, July 25, 2019 9:25 AM

4. Paris - Lyon is only 290 miles and the best trains cover that in 2 hours. Chicago to Cleveland is 350. I don't think Cleveland is a major destination for folks in Chicago.  Better to go to Columbus and on to Pittsburgh, both of which are more economically more important. 

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Thursday, July 25, 2019 9:34 AM

4. Paris - Lyon is only 290 miles and the best trains cover that in 2 hours. Chicago to Cleveland is 350. I don't think Cleveland is a major destination for folks in Chicago.  Better to go to Columbus and on to Pittsburgh, both of which are economically important and more likely to be destinations.  We need to be planning based on 2020 and the future,  not looking backwards 70+ years., nice as that might seem.  

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Posted by Jim200 on Thursday, July 25, 2019 4:54 PM

Four things that were learned from California high speed rail construction are that building into cities is expensive, tunneling is expensive, numerous highway overpasses are expensive, and will probably find that large curves are expensive, both to buy land, build and maintain the tracks with long distances of about 4 degrees super elevation. In 50 years if the train speed increases to 300 mph, these curves will restrict you to about 250 mph maximum speed. It would be best to avoid cities, tunneling, highways and build in straight lines with as few curves as possible.

New York to Chicago will be an important high speed line, with Albany, Buffalo, Cleveland, and Toledo the main cities. Albany is the crossroads to future lines to Montreal and Boston. Buffalo is the connection to Toronto. Cleveland is the crossroad to Columbus/Cincinnati and Pittsburgh. Toledo is the connection to Detroit. All of these cities need to be interconnected.

Albany to Chicago is about 818 miles and at 220 mph would take around 4 hours.To keep construction costs down, there will need to be a slower speed blended service into the main cities mentioned and also into smaller cities. Express trains would only stop in main cities, while local trains would also handle smaller cities. It takes a lot of energy to get up to 220 mph, so it would be nice to recover some of the stopping energy by regeneration into ultracapacitors or flywheels or other storage devices.

As I recall, the last census had Texas with the most growth, so it looks like a high speed rail from Chicago to Dallas is also required. I know that in Austin they built a new school to handle future needs, only to find out that the next year it was overwhelmed and needed additional temporary classrooms. 

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Posted by CMStPnP on Thursday, July 25, 2019 5:29 PM

Jim200
In 50 years if the train speed increases to 300 mph, these curves will restrict you to about 250 mph maximum speed.

I thought there is a finite ceiling type speed limit on how fast steel wheel on steel rail can go.    However, long since forgot what the issue was.

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Posted by Philly Amtrak Fan on Thursday, July 25, 2019 6:42 PM

Jim200

New York to Chicago will be an important high speed line, with Albany, Buffalo, Cleveland, and Toledo the main cities. Albany is the crossroads to future lines to Montreal and Boston. Buffalo is the connection to Toronto. Cleveland is the crossroad to Columbus/Cincinnati and Pittsburgh. Toledo is the connection to Detroit. All of these cities need to be interconnected.

If I were building a New York-Chicago HSR route, I know I'm biased but I'd go through Philly and Pittsburgh. Amtrak already owns tracks from New York to Harrisburg so that would be a good start and the route would include Philly and it would be a shorter trip for Washington DC and Baltimore to get to Philadelphia. I'd also want to go south from DC to Florida, passing through Atlanta if possible (longer in distance but larger population base).  

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Posted by Gramp on Thursday, July 25, 2019 8:01 PM

What makes sense to me is that there are maybe three routes in the US today that would be economically feasible for true HSR. NYC-Philly-DC, LA-SF, and DFW-Hou. California was ruined, NY-DC suffers lack of focus, and Texas still has a chance. The rest of the country would be at best about higher speed trains. 

My guess is there’ll be other “disruptive” ideas that will take over the country’s transportation imagination.

I think the Big Boy, the Japanese mag-lev, and colonizing the Moon are fun things to think about right now. Smile

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Posted by Jim200 on Friday, July 26, 2019 1:06 AM

CMStPnP

 

 
Jim200
In 50 years if the train speed increases to 300 mph, these curves will restrict you to about 250 mph maximum speed.

 

I thought there is a finite ceiling type speed limit on how fast steel wheel on steel rail can go.    However, long since forgot what the issue was.

 

It is difficult to say what advances will be made in 50 years. From 1981 to 2007 the French TGV max speed record increased from 240 mph to 357 mph. This was done with a new TGV trainset on a new high speed road bed. Perhaps some sort of magnetic rail guidance augmentation or hybrid wheel - maglev combination, coupled with improved high speed roadbed and maintenance technology will move the speed upward. If the wheel is finished, then there now exists a good roadbed to change to maglev, which has already shown max speeds to 370 mph.

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Posted by Overmod on Friday, July 26, 2019 6:45 AM

When I was young there were studies that established the highest 'practical' achievable speed for steel-on-steel adhesion to be in the neighborhood of 310-315mph, based on the physics of the incident contact patch approaching the coefficient of sliding rather than static friction.  I never saw the detailed physical analysis, so won't comment on whether it had aspects of non-flying-bumblebee style assumptions.

The French record train had special larger-diameter wheels fitted, and some careful attention to high-speed wheelslip.  That said, the nominal reason I heard for the limit on achieved top speed was related to pantograph electrical pickup, not adhesion limit (or electrical transmission through the wheels, which becomes significant at that speed)

Maglev and TACV have been 'reasonable' technologies since the 1960s -- but the 'real' question is why any speed much in excess of 220mph is long-term sensible for a ground vehicle.  I picked 225mph as a 'target speed' for high-speed passenger in the 1970s because it was *just* possible to keep passengers protected against high-speed trauma in a straight-line accident with about 33" of proportional deceleration.  If the cars come out of line ... it's probably Eschede time.  One assumption for both maglev and TACV was that the guideway would constrain accidents to largely longitudinal 'mode' -- this is something of a gamble.

Just as one comes to question study of treatment modalities for melanoma for which the "best" alternative has 52% survival in the study period, one might come to question the sense of jet-aircraft speeds immediately adjacent to the ground, in our so-often imperfect world.  (This far more so in our current culture of Internet-style engineering and testing methodologies...)

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Posted by Erik_Mag on Saturday, July 27, 2019 12:25 PM

Overmod

Maglev and TACV have been 'reasonable' technologies since the 1960s -- but the 'real' question is why any speed much in excess of 220mph is long-term sensible for a ground vehicle.  I picked 225mph as a 'target speed' for high-speed passenger in the 1970s because it was *just* possible to keep passengers protected against high-speed trauma in a straight-line accident with about 33" of proportional deceleration.  If the cars come out of line ... it's probably Eschede time.  One assumption for both maglev and TACV was that the guideway would constrain accidents to largely longitudinal 'mode' -- this is something of a gamble.

I would think that air drag is the limiting factor, though collisions are much more likely with surface transportation than with aircraft, especially with guideways. With respect to the California HSR, I would think electric airliners would be cheaper, available sooner and faster between endpoints than the Cal HSR system. The main advantage for HSR is travel to/from midpoints where there would be more frequent service than with airlines.

On a related note, the USAF did a lot of work on terrain following radar and other low-level flying from the 1950's to 1970's, only to drop that approach for stealth aircraft. The F117 was an aerodynamic nightmare, but could fly farther at normal crusing altitude than a sleeker plane flying on the deck. Musk's Hyperloop uses evacuated tubes to simulate high altitudes.

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Posted by ROBIN LUETHE on Saturday, July 27, 2019 1:28 PM

Passenger trains will be facing disruptive technologies in the next 50 years.  Existing limited access highways with autonomous vehicles of various types may be the most formidable for distances of 250-300 miles.  Electric/hybrid airtravel will compete at greater distances.  

Higher speed trains for up to 200 miles in heavily populated areas are possible.  But lack of grade separation is often a fatal flaw, and building such out is horrendously expensive. And the more so as speed increases.  

A lot more light rail and subways, particularly if costs could be brought under control, would bring a huge benefit to cities.  But even there autonomous buses on dedicated lanes will compete at a lower price.  

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Posted by BaltACD on Saturday, July 27, 2019 2:05 PM

There are two words that will define transportation in the future - More Expensive.

There is the current push to make more toll roads - the tolls being charged would make a Loan Shark blush.  Autonomous vehicles will not be 'cheap' either to own or operate.  The only thing that makes electric vehicles seem cheap in today's work  is that the 'authorities' have yet to devise a tax plan on the electricity required to 'fuel' electric vehicles - once they do, any cost advantage of a electric vehicle over a fossil fueled one will diminish if not vanish

Never too old to have a happy childhood!

              

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Posted by Deggesty on Saturday, July 27, 2019 2:29 PM

Yes, taxing authorities are, so far, at a loss as to how to charge operators of vehicles powered by electricity for their use of streets and hughways. It may be such will be required to stop at state line weigh stations for odometer checks --and for intrastate travel, regular odometer checks. So far, users of all-electric vehicles ar pretty much given free rides.

Johnny

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Posted by ROBIN LUETHE on Saturday, July 27, 2019 5:45 PM

I have read that passenger cars and light truck put no wear and tear on our interstate highways.  It is all from large and heavy trucks.  Where are those great RRs when and where we need them? LOL

 

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Saturday, July 27, 2019 6:16 PM

ROBIN LUETHE

I have read that passenger cars and light truck put no wear and tear on our interstate highways.  It is all from large and heavy trucks.  Where are those great RRs when and where we need them? LOL

 

 

I think the trucking lobby must be very powerful, as weight and length limits on trucks have increased substantially over the  past 60 years. 

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Posted by ROBIN LUETHE on Saturday, July 27, 2019 6:54 PM

Trucking, for all its problems, creates tremendous values for us consumers, we just pay for it in road maintenance.  Railroads seem utterly unable to compete.  

Some of us imagine shorter fast freight trains carrying container boxes sharing the tracks with great passenger networks.  I don't know if it is even theoretically possible.  

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Posted by BaltACD on Saturday, July 27, 2019 7:20 PM

ROBIN LUETHE
I have read that passenger cars and light truck put no wear and tear on our interstate highways.  It is all from large and heavy trucks.  Where are those great RRs when and where we need them? LOL

Being out lobbied in Congress and the State Houses.  Follow the money - between the trucking industry and the construction industry it is at least two to one on the 'campaign donation'  pay to play game, and in dollar amounts more likely 10 to 20 to 1.

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Posted by JPS1 on Saturday, July 27, 2019 9:36 PM

ROBIN LUETHE
 I have read that passenger cars and light truck put no wear and tear on our interstate highways.  It is all from large and heavy trucks. 

While it is true that heavy trucks cause more wear and tear per unit on the nation’s roadways, cars and other light vehicles are probably the biggest contributor because they rack up most of the miles. 
 
In 2017 passenger cars, pickup trucks and other light vehicles accounted for 69.1 percent of U.S vehicle miles.  Light duty, long wheel base vehicles accounted for 20.4 percent of the miles.  Combination trucks – 18 wheelers in most instances – accounted for just 5.6 percent of the miles.
 
According to a 2000 U.S. DOT Federal Highway Cost Allocation Study, which was based on 1997 data, whether combination trucks pay their fair share of highway costs depends on several variables, ie. weight, speed, roadway conditions, weather conditions, etc.  The study found that they paid 90 percent of the cost of their use of the highways, but the percentage varies significantly depending on the weight.  A Frito-Lay truck hauling potato chips and corn chips weighs a lot less than a loaded gravel truck, even though in Texas they are 18 wheelers. 
 
According to the study, combination trucks with a gross weight of 50,000 lbs. or less paid 60 percent more in user fees than their fair share.  But combination trucks weighing 80,000 lbs. paid 60 percent less than their fair share. 
 
Five-axle tractor-semitrailers had the largest underpayment of any vehicle class, followed by automobiles and 3- and 4-axle single unit trucks. These classes account for 32 percent, 16 percent, 15 percent and 13 percent respectively of underpayments by all vehicle classes.
 
A study of this sort is difficult to pull off.  The results were challenged widely.  Nevertheless, what it showed is that determining whether a class of vehicle pays its fair share of roadway use is difficult. 
 
Given their share of the miles racked up, the notion that cars and other light vehicles don’t cause wear and tear on the roadways probably is not true. 
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Posted by daveklepper on Sunday, July 28, 2019 4:36 AM

 
Comments on previous postings:
My prediction that NYC-Albany-Buffalo will be the first truly USA HSR is not based on commercial viability but the prediction that NY State will want it for economic development and it’s easier implementation than most of the more commercially viable proposals made on this thread.  And some trains will continue at conventional speeds to Cleveland and Toronto, one each day to and from Chicago.
There is no reason why the smooth track and general comfort Euclid observed on Chinese HSR should be lacking in USA HSR.  When true overnight HSR service is available, rough track won’t be a problem.  And if transcontinental HSR ever does arrive, the trip would be as pleasant as a trip on the 20th Century or the Super Chief in the best days of those trains.
HSR Cleveland to Chicago also involves a Cleveland – Detroit operation, with HSR Toledo – Detroit for Cleveland – Detroit trains.   Granted, other routes out of Chicago may come much sooner.
HSR NYC – Cleveland via Philadelphia and Pittsburgh would probably involve using a route NY – Philadelphia through Bound Brook , West Trenton, and Jenkintown, and a new long tunnel through the mountains west of Altoona; but it will also be done eventually.  This would also be part of NYC – Wash. HSR, which would see NYC – Phil. first, next Balt. – Wash., with Phil. – Baltimore being the most difficult, last to get HSR on this route.   The present route through Elizabeth and Princeton Junction poses too many difficulties for HSR.
Similarly, true HSR NYC-Boston might run via Brewster and Willimantic or Danbury and Willimantic.   And a tunnel in Boston will allow some HSR trains to serve Portland, Bangor, and Brunswick ME.
This is all conjecture of course, and other opinions are certainly valid. 
+
Additionally, after we arrived in Inverness we were able to see the Caledonian Sleeper, an overnight rail service between a number of points in Scotland and London (see
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caledonian Sleeper).  It was attached to a diesel locomotive lettered for the Deutsche Bahn--why the DB, I don't know.
 
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Posted by ROBIN LUETHE on Sunday, July 28, 2019 9:27 AM

JPS1 - thanks for that longer reply. That all seems to make sense.  And as I estimate even those heavy trucks are shipping us stuff we want, and at low prices.

Here in Washington State cars on the east side frequently use metal studs in the winter time and those studs to tear up the surface of the pavement. 

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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Monday, July 29, 2019 6:52 AM

I remember when studded snow tires were a new idea and seemed to be quite the rage for awhile.  Nobody gave much thought to road damage or loose studs thrown from the tires at the time.

Most states have outlawed studded tires.

The daily commute is part of everyday life but I get two rides a day out of it. Paul
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Posted by JPS1 on Monday, July 29, 2019 9:03 AM

ROBIN LUETHE
 JPS1 - thanks for that longer reply. That all seems to make sense.  And as I estimate even those heavy trucks are shipping us stuff we want, and at low prices.  

If the government in its wisdom decided to increase the fuel and/or excise taxes on big trucks so that they paid their "fair share", the cost would be passed through to every person buying the goods being shipped on the trucks.  

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Monday, July 29, 2019 10:20 AM

JPS1

 

 
ROBIN LUETHE
 JPS1 - thanks for that longer reply. That all seems to make sense.  And as I estimate even those heavy trucks are shipping us stuff we want, and at low prices.  

 

If the government in its wisdom decided to increase the fuel and/or excise taxes on big trucks so that they paid their "fair share", the cost would be passed through to every person buying the goods being shipped on the trucks.  

 

But maybe our roads would be better.

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Posted by JPS1 on Monday, July 29, 2019 1:18 PM

charlie hebdo
 JPS1 If the government in its wisdom decided to increase the fuel and/or excise taxes on big trucks so that they paid their "fair share", the cost would be passed through to every person buying the goods being shipped on the trucks.  

But maybe our roads would be better. 

Agreed!  The fuel tax, as well as excise taxes, which are used to build and maintain the nation's roadways, should be increased across the board.  

Fuel taxes, which reflect the price of building and maintaining the federal and state highways, should be adjusted for inflation since they were last increased in the early 1990s.  Doing so would eliminate the need to transfer monies from the general funds to the highway trust fund or similar state funds.

The cost of local streets and country roads should be embedded in the price of fuel as a tax at the pump.  Increasing the fuel tax to fund local streets and county roads could be offset by a corresponding reduction in property, sales, etc. taxes used to pay for local streets and county roads.

If motorists saw the true cost of driving at the pump, or as nearly true as can be reflected in the pricing mechanism, they might make wiser choices about the types of vehicles they drive and make greater use of public transit.

What is the chance of a significant change in how this country pays for roadways?  Slim and none.  And Slim was just seen riding out of town.

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Posted by zugmann on Monday, July 29, 2019 1:49 PM

JPS1
What is the chance of a significant change in how this country pays for roadways? Slim and none. And Slim was just seen riding out of town.

With the rise of electric cars - I think you may see that change sooner rather than later.

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

The opinions expressed here represent my own and not those of my employer, any other railroad, company, or person.t fun any

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Monday, July 29, 2019 1:56 PM

zugmann

 

 
JPS1
What is the chance of a significant change in how this country pays for roadways? Slim and none. And Slim was just seen riding out of town.

 

With the rise of electric cars - I think you may see that change sooner rather than later.

 

Or we will continue down the path of declining infrastructure. Improved infrastructure  is the foundation of a strong,  modern economy and nation. 

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Posted by Miningman on Tuesday, July 30, 2019 1:06 AM

 

This came to me from David Klepper:

I'm staying at the Yeshiva today, meaning I cannot post on the Kalmbach website.

Not extremely urgent, but if you can, on the Passenger - High Speed
Thread, please post the following answer to the discussion on the
problems the Metro North route poses to both current and future Amtrak
operations and to establishing HSR.

1.   In addition to the problems mentioned, note that track-centers
are narrower than standard Woodlawn - New Haven, and the Acela tilt
device is disabled New Rochelle (or perhaps Penn Station) - New Haven.
However, I did once see 110mph on a Turbotrain speedometer between
Stamford and Rye!

2.   The attached re-doing of Shell was done some 40 years ago at the
request of Noah Caplin, who was a planner at MNCR at the time and a
good friend.  Graham Claytor had proposed flyovers west of NR Station,
but that would demolish about 50 homes and result in some street
closings.  East of the station, MN has lots of land left over from the
days when NR was a terminal for many commuter trains, the initial east
terminal of the electrification, and even had steam servicing
facilities and a turntable.  All Penn Sta. trains in each direction
would normally use only what is now the eastbound local platform.
During the morning rush, the eastbound local track would see both Penn
Station westbound trains and locals from GCT.   Track 5, the old
Harlem Shuttle track, would see both eastbound and westboiund Penn
Station trains,  During the evening rush, all Penn Station trains
would normally use this track.

3.   Possibly the best way to implement HSR NY - Boston is
along/adjacent to the LIRR RoW to Greenpoint, tunnel to Bridgeport,
then to Danbury and Williamantic

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Posted by daveklepper on Tuesday, July 30, 2019 8:56 AM

I  don't know if it was the server that fixed things for me or Kalmbach, but at this moment I can sign in at the Yeshiva!  Whoopee!

I need to post that HSR would go direct Bridgeport - Willimantic, not via Danbury, which is an unecessary detour.

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Posted by Overmod on Tuesday, July 30, 2019 10:04 AM

daveklepper
I need to post that HSR would go direct Bridgeport - Willimantic, not via Danbury, which is an unecessary detour.

Still has the same issue of the Big Left Turn on the Island that the proposal through Hartford does.  

I'm still quixotically holding out for being able to see at least one sunrise from the Orient Point Bridge before I pass on.

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Posted by alphas on Tuesday, July 30, 2019 11:28 PM

 

 

 

 

"If motorists saw the true cost of driving at the pump, or as nearly true as can be reflected in the pricing mechanism, they might make wiser choices about the types of vehicles they drive and make greater use of public transit."

 

JPS1 forgets the rural areas in much of the country where "public transit" basically doesn't exist.    They would face a major increase in their cost of living.     Of course, there are always those such as an environmentalist friend of mind who said the solution was to have everyone live somewhere where they could all bicycle to work and, if the rural folks wouldn't move, the government would make them.   

The US blew it more than 50 years ago when the government began allowing states  to double the weight of the truck loads without any look at the long-term effects of the decisions.    That combined with the costs of the creation of Medicare, creation of the welfare system, all volunteer miliatary, increase in fuels due to OPEC, SS problems, the Vietnam war & 2nd Iraq war & the Afganistan war, the costs associated with environment regulations, the increasing of non-Fed Taxes in general, not keeping up with Preventive Maintenance on what we have now, the costs of all governmental pentions, etc.  has us where we are today in regard to underfunding of infrasture.    

 There are some steps that would help--no longer requiring only union labor and the elimination or major modification of Davis-Bacon; have  an independent overseer on all government projects; stopping any contractors and/or unions with mob ties from contracts; higher standards for the the initial construction; streamlining  environmental approvals.    But that's not going to happen given the current political climate on the Fed level and in some states.

 

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Posted by daveklepper on Wednesday, July 31, 2019 1:22 AM

If motorists had to pay full costs....   Well rural areas would then be better served by public transit.   During WWII, as a youngster at summer camp, I used the Suncook Valley Railroad's bus service that ran between Alton Bay and Concord. NH.  (When at age 13 I learned about the Concord - Pittsfield mixed, my return trip from the biweekly Concord denist's office visit was my the train to Pittsfield and then the bus the rest of the way to summer camp.)   I'm pretty certain that bus route doesn't exist today, but it could be restored.  Ditto many of the Trailways and Greyhound routes that have been abandoned.  The Swiss solved the problem of lightly-used rural transit routes with the Post-Bus, combining mail delivery and public transit in rural areas.

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