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Plans for ethanol plant on hold.

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Posted by karldotcom on Wednesday, March 22, 2006 11:44 PM
Ahh, the old Ethanol Bubble....

Good Job UP!

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Posted by TomDiehl on Thursday, March 23, 2006 5:38 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by falconer

Ethanol is only a stopgap measure. Ethanol is still not an effective fuel replacement for transportation purposes.

Andrew F.


The people and government of Brazil might be surprised to know this. (See page 2, post 9 of this thread).
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Posted by TomDiehl on Thursday, March 23, 2006 5:41 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

It's funny, but the gas and electric companies regularly build their infrastructure into an industry's property, placing the meter (e.g. the dividing line between utility responsibility and property owner responsibility) right up to the factory wall.

Question: Why can these other service providers build infastructure on the customer's property, but the railroad can't?

Most casual observers would conclude that the railroad just doesn't want the new business.

And it is especially ironic, in that the utilities revenues from the new deal are regulated at 9% to 11% ROI, but UP's rates are unregulated and unchallenged by any other railroad competitor for this new business. Are we to conclude that 400% of R/VC will not lead to an ROI of over 11% for this venture?


Wow Dave, I didn't realize that putting in a gas or electric line was as expensive as putting in or upgrading a rail line. So bringing in the electric line will cost a couple Million?
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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, March 23, 2006 6:23 AM
If we planted every acre possible for ethanol production, the total would not supply even 1/3 of the total transportation fuel requirements. There's not enought THERE there, though it does help.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, March 23, 2006 9:37 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by oltmannd

If we planted every acre possible for ethanol production, the total would not supply even 1/3 of the total transportation fuel requirements. There's not enought THERE there, though it does help.


I believe ethanol is touted more as an ALTERNATIVE fuel source, not a REPLACEMENT fuel source. I'd say it's more of a stepping stone in the path to get off the OPEC teet. I really don't see why there are so many naysayers. It creates a few jobs here and there, keeps the construction folks in work, creates some traffic for your precious (or hated) railroad(s) and creates more markets for all this GMO corn we have in this country that no one else wants.

Sure, in this particular case someone ***ed up, but how often does that happen?
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Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, March 23, 2006 10:39 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by farmer03

QUOTE: Originally posted by oltmannd

If we planted every acre possible for ethanol production, the total would not supply even 1/3 of the total transportation fuel requirements. There's not enought THERE there, though it does help.


I believe ethanol is touted more as an ALTERNATIVE fuel source, not a REPLACEMENT fuel source. I'd say it's more of a stepping stone in the path to get off the OPEC teet. I really don't see why there are so many naysayers. It creates a few jobs here and there, keeps the construction folks in work, creates some traffic for your precious (or hated) railroad(s) and creates more markets for all this GMO corn we have in this country that no one else wants.

Sure, in this particular case someone ***ed up, but how often does that happen?


Ethanol plants have the potential to be very good for railroads. The traffic flowing in both directions is one example and the fact that ethanol cannot move by pipeline another that really make rail the most efficient way to transport it. Barges may be a bit more efficient on certain routes, but they are constrained by the river system and other navigable waters.

The problem is that ethanol has never been needed on such a massive scale and there is a gold rush mentality to many of the investment groups in terms of setting up these plants. Often these folks, in their hurry to cash in, forget the costs and realities of transportation and logistics. They are indiscriminately looking for sites all over. Those that build near sources of supply, such as corn or near customers such as refineries or major fuel terminals will likely survive as they have large transportation bills in one direction only. Others built where both corn and ethanol must travel long distances to reach the plant or the markets respectively will not be able to compete over the long term as they will have higher transportation costs and other issues.

So, the answer is that yes, these mistakes do occur and will continue to occur until the gold rush on ethanol ends and the less savy players are shaken out...

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Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, March 23, 2006 10:41 AM
Combustion Engine manufacturers have known about alternative fuels for over 20 years, but why have they been so slow to implement them while they are so quick to increase horsepower?

Andrew F.
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Posted by SALfan on Thursday, March 23, 2006 11:13 AM
QUOTE: Originally posted by falconer

Combustion Engine manufacturers have known about alternative fuels for over 20 years, but why have they been so slow to implement them while they are so quick to increase horsepower?

Andrew F.


That's easy - customer demand in both cases. Lots of people want more horsepower, few people want alternative fuels. By the way, Ford and GM (and probably other manufacturers) already offer vehicles that will run on alternative fuels. I know Ford, and I believe GM, offers vehicles that will run on natural gas. I believe they also offer vehicles that can use E85.
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Posted by mudchicken on Thursday, March 23, 2006 12:58 PM
FM's Question: Why can these other service providers build infastructure on the customer's property, but the railroad can't?

Where do I send all the homeowners that are pissed-off at utilities for paying for sewer tap fees, service connection fees, water tap fees ($11,000 around here, if you can get one), electric pole line construction fees to get to the ranch and so on. In FM's warped little world, those things are provided "gratis" by the utilities. Where's my rebate FM? and a couple million others will be lining up at your door with their hands out, palms up.....[(-D][(-D][(-D]

Whadya mean that it only applies to "your" utility cuz it's special? (remember "Socialism, thinly veiled?")[}:)]
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Posted by jeffhergert on Thursday, March 23, 2006 5:16 PM
Iowa has set up a program for low interest loans or grants for rail projects to foster economic growth. Two other ethanol projects have received some low interest loans to build track.
One would think making sure all transportation infrastructure issues would be resolved early on.
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Posted by Anonymous on Thursday, March 23, 2006 8:40 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by jeffhergert

Iowa has set up a program for low interest loans or grants for rail projects to foster economic growth. Two other ethanol projects have received some low interest loans to build track.
One would think making sure all transportation infrastructure issues would be resolved early on.
Jeff


Jeff -

Some would THINK. Apparently these guys didn't...

I'm sure they will explore some of those solutions now. Of course that assumes that these guys weren't looking for a backdoor out of this deal for some reason...

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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Friday, March 24, 2006 8:01 AM
It appears that the developers in question got so many freebies, diiscounts and political favors that the notion of actually having to pay some costs out of their pockets came as a complete shock. Expecting UP to upgrade a spur out of its own pocket for possibly 1-2 tankcars per day is so ludicrous that I'm surpised that any reasonable person thought it would happen.
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Posted by Anonymous on Friday, March 24, 2006 8:44 PM
Mud - Perhaps the utilities have better marketers and price structures? And all those "pissed off" homeowners, there all right there in your head, 'cause you sir have a bad case of the hyperbolics.

What ya'll are missing is that the utilities are still restricted in the amount of return they are getting from each on property investment, while the railroad can recoup it's "greater" investment cost in a much shorter amout of time, due to the good ol' 400% R/VC advantage.
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Posted by TomDiehl on Friday, March 24, 2006 9:09 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by mudchicken

FM's Question: Why can these other service providers build infastructure on the customer's property, but the railroad can't?

Where do I send all the homeowners that are pissed-off at utilities for paying for sewer tap fees, service connection fees, water tap fees ($11,000 around here, if you can get one), electric pole line construction fees to get to the ranch and so on. In FM's warped little world, those things are provided "gratis" by the utilities. Where's my rebate FM? and a couple million others will be lining up at your door with their hands out, palms up.....[(-D][(-D][(-D]

Whadya mean that it only applies to "your" utility cuz it's special? (remember "Socialism, thinly veiled?")[}:)]


We have the same charges here in PA from our utilities. That sewer one is coming up for me in the near future.
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Posted by Anonymous on Friday, March 24, 2006 9:25 PM
Well, the irony is that those "evil" regulated entities almost always are willing to engage in build outs to new customers, especially industrial customers, while the partially deregulated "angelic" railroads almost always balk at building new spurs, as is evidenced by the content of the article posted.

You notice there is nothing in that article about the utilities reneging on an upfront promise to provide connecting infrastructure. Nope, just the railroad.

Something to think about.
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Posted by Murphy Siding on Friday, March 24, 2006 9:30 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

You notice there is nothing in that article about the utilities reneging on an upfront promise to provide connecting infrastructure. Nope, just the railroad.


Was that in the article?

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Posted by Anonymous on Friday, March 24, 2006 9:45 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

Well, the irony is that those "evil" regulated entities almost always are willing to engage in build outs to new customers, especially industrial customers, while the partially deregulated "angelic" railroads almost always balk at building new spurs, as is evidenced by the content of the article posted.

You notice there is nothing in that article about the utilities reneging on an upfront promise to provide connecting infrastructure. Nope, just the railroad.

Something to think about.


Of course, what is the alternative to the utility service? Where is the competition??

No large industrial plant can afford to provide for its own electrical needs nor water or sewer. There is no effective competition for the utility's service. This is the major reason they remain closely regulated. It is also the reason the business will accept the service from the utility and the utility will be able to recover its investment.

On the other hand, any business can call a truck that operates on a public road, usually provided FREE (there's that pesky word again) as an economic incentive to the new business. This subsidized COMPETITION can render the rail superfluous and thus the railroad unable to recover its investment in the construction. Accordingly, railroads are reluctant to make such investments unless they have some assurance of a return such as a simple output contract of some form.

FM, once again you are comparing apples and oranges and extrapolating self serving conclusions. As my investment banker likes to say...

"The math don't work"

LOL...

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Posted by Anonymous on Friday, March 24, 2006 9:48 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

You notice there is nothing in that article about the utilities reneging on an upfront promise to provide connecting infrastructure. Nope, just the railroad.


Was that in the article?


Of course not, the article had nothing to do with utilities. Just FM trying to bend the discussion to his will...

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Friday, March 24, 2006 9:54 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Limitedclear

QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

You notice there is nothing in that article about the utilities reneging on an upfront promise to provide connecting infrastructure. Nope, just the railroad.


Was that in the article?


Of course not, the article had nothing to do with utilities. Just FM trying to bend the discussion to his will...
LC

I was thinking more along the line of the railroad "reneging on an upfrony promise to provide connecting infrastructure" That is nowhere in the article. I read it as, nobody asked the railroad beforehand.

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Posted by pmsteamman on Saturday, March 25, 2006 4:14 PM
We have a ethonal plant being built online and they plan to ship 100 million gal a year, with a bio-diesel plant right next door, being switched by 50 year old GP-9s.
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Posted by Anonymous on Saturday, March 25, 2006 4:50 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by Limitedclear

QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

You notice there is nothing in that article about the utilities reneging on an upfront promise to provide connecting infrastructure. Nope, just the railroad.


Was that in the article?


Of course not, the article had nothing to do with utilities. Just FM trying to bend the discussion to his will...
LC

I was thinking more along the line of the railroad "reneging on an upfrony promise to provide connecting infrastructure" That is nowhere in the article. I read it as, nobody asked the railroad beforehand.


From the subsequent article as posted by LC:

"Don Willoughby, the city's business development coordinator, told the Journal Thursday, 'Baard's initial discussions with Union Pacific had led them to believe the only problem might be on rail charges.'"

....and....

"Baard officials have been talking to Union Pacific representatives throughout the planning stages on rate charges. Willoughby said those discussions took place with UP's rate division and not its industrial development division."

Now, do you want to split hairs and state that since the initial arrangement was through UP's rate division and not UP's so-called "industrial development" division, that UP is exonerated in it's about-face on that initial agreement to provide service to the proposed plant? Paaaaleaz!

Fact: UP did initially agree to provide service to this plant contingent on a rate agreement. The fact that you grant UP internal disfunctional deniability 'cause UP's left hand didn't know what it's right hand was doing is irrelevent. If I shoot you with my right hand, it ain't just my right hand that goes to jail, it's all of me, right? Why not expect that same level of embodied responsibility to a corporate entity?

As for LC's take on your post, it is true that railroads embody some of the same characteristics of utilities e.g. the "natural" service area monopoly. As such, is it really that much of a stretch to suggest that the railroad should conform to the same general expectations of service as is ascribed to other de facto utilities?

What is funniest about this sad saga is that, if indeed it was all predicated on a rate agreement, why didn't UP just include the upgrade cost in the upfront rate quote to begin with, instead of avering an agreement contingent on subsequent rate agreements? Why go with an agreement in principle beforehand, and then renege due to internal disfunctional denials?
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Posted by mudchicken on Saturday, March 25, 2006 6:35 PM
FM: Front section of today's Rocky Mountain News today reports tap fees up to $ 16,500 in Aurora (East and SE side of Denver) and they are not happy campers.

You cannot print what I think about Baard & Willoughby. They are getting their just desserts. (Sadly they suckered-in the city with their ineptitude.)
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Posted by Murphy Siding on Saturday, March 25, 2006 6:58 PM
Dave: here are some quotes of interest from the second article that make me disagree with what you're saying-
QUOTE: Originally posted by Limitedclear
"Baard's initial discussions with Union Pacific had led them to believe the only problem might be on rail charges. Union Pacific said they were not going to spend the $2 million to $3 million necessary to upgrade the Wickham Spur, which serves all of That Wickham Spur was designed and built for smaller loads than what we were going to be putting on it.

I read this as sort of a two-way lack of communication.

QUOTE: That's where our due diligence fell down."

I'm still hoping someone explains "due diligence" to me, as it is used in this context. I read this as the ethanol people saying they didn't do their homework.

QUOTE: Baard switched developers mid-project, which resulted in the rail spur issue not being checked thoroughly.

Um....that might explain a lot of things. A good guess is, that a lot of other *issues* are popping up as well. In construction, switched developers usually = fired.

QUOTE: "That probably was a piece of information that didn't get handled real well. That's why you do these things," Conner noted".
Roger that, Batman

QUOTE: Willoughby explained. "They said it would take a minimum of 80 acres to put in the necessary trackage because of the rail curvatures.

note:80 acres

QUOTE: "They said a unit train would block four intersections at a time as it came into the Bridgeport West area," he said of a train transporting grain to the ethanol plant.

There's that pesky pre-planning thing again.


QUOTE: The city had planned to buy about 60 acres ..........

The city's no-cost offer of the shovel-ready land, which has a market value of about $35,000 per acre, played a major role in Baard's decision to locate in Sioux City.


Note:60 acres @$35,000= $2,100,000! 80 acres @$35,000= $2,800,000! I read this as the #1 reason this site was picked. In all the excitement, perhaps no one (except perhaps the fired developer?) gave much thought to checking out the rail situation.



Dave: You and I are reading two entirely different things in these articles. My take is that it's not entirely fair to simply blame UP for this deal falling apart. In the two articles, there are ample suggestions that the ethanol people didn't do their homework.


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Posted by Anonymous on Saturday, March 25, 2006 7:00 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by Limitedclear

QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

You notice there is nothing in that article about the utilities reneging on an upfront promise to provide connecting infrastructure. Nope, just the railroad.


Was that in the article?


Of course not, the article had nothing to do with utilities. Just FM trying to bend the discussion to his will...
LC

I was thinking more along the line of the railroad "reneging on an upfrony promise to provide connecting infrastructure" That is nowhere in the article. I read it as, nobody asked the railroad beforehand.


From the subsequent article as posted by LC:

"Don Willoughby, the city's business development coordinator, told the Journal Thursday, 'Baard's initial discussions with Union Pacific had led them to believe the only problem might be on rail charges.'"

....and....

"Baard officials have been talking to Union Pacific representatives throughout the planning stages on rate charges. Willoughby said those discussions took place with UP's rate division and not its industrial development division."

Now, do you want to split hairs and state that since the initial arrangement was through UP's rate division and not UP's so-called "industrial development" division, that UP is exonerated in it's about-face on that initial agreement to provide service to the proposed plant? Paaaaleaz!

Fact: UP did initially agree to provide service to this plant contingent on a rate agreement. The fact that you grant UP internal disfunctional deniability 'cause UP's left hand didn't know what it's right hand was doing is irrelevent. If I shoot you with my right hand, it ain't just my right hand that goes to jail, it's all of me, right? Why not expect that same level of embodied responsibility to a corporate entity?

As for LC's take on your post, it is true that railroads embody some of the same characteristics of utilities e.g. the "natural" service area monopoly. As such, is it really that much of a stretch to suggest that the railroad should conform to the same general expectations of service as is ascribed to other de facto utilities?

What is funniest about this sad saga is that, if indeed it was all predicated on a rate agreement, why didn't UP just include the upgrade cost in the upfront rate quote to begin with, instead of avering an agreement contingent on subsequent rate agreements? Why go with an agreement in principle beforehand, and then renege due to internal disfunctional denials?




The UP has never reneged on anything. There was never a deal inked in the first place. Getting a rate is simply that, learning what a certain shipment will cost. It is not a contract for carriage and it certainly has no weight as an industrial development agreement. Remember that all contracts affecting an interest such as an easement or an improvement agreement to be recorded in real property MUST be in writing to comply with the Statute of Frauds. I'm sure Baard has attorneys that represented them on this deal. They have done other deals. You are trying to create the impression that they wouldn't know. Sorry, no sale. UP couldn't breach a contract that did not exist.

I find the argumernt that Baard which alredy has two other ethanol plants doesn't know that you need to make a deal and have agreements with the railroad setting forth the essential terms and conditions. Also note that Baard switched developers in midstream. Hmmm. Do ya think that maybe the original developer working for Baard was clueless?? Perhaps that is why Baard caught on and fired them perhaps?? How is negligence on Baard's part in hiring a incompetent developer the fault of UP??! ! It isn't...

Further, as I have already pointed out, a RAILROAD IS NOT A UTILITY. You can say that it is all day, but the businesses are significantly different. In the competitive environment that the railroads have, customers often get rail only to leverage their trucking rates and ship little or nothing by rail. The railroads, even Class 1s, cannot afford seven figure investments that don't pay. They just won't do them no matter how much you villify them.

LC
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Posted by Anonymous on Saturday, March 25, 2006 8:08 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Limitedclear

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by Limitedclear

QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

You notice there is nothing in that article about the utilities reneging on an upfront promise to provide connecting infrastructure. Nope, just the railroad.


Was that in the article?


Of course not, the article had nothing to do with utilities. Just FM trying to bend the discussion to his will...
LC

I was thinking more along the line of the railroad "reneging on an upfrony promise to provide connecting infrastructure" That is nowhere in the article. I read it as, nobody asked the railroad beforehand.


From the subsequent article as posted by LC:

"Don Willoughby, the city's business development coordinator, told the Journal Thursday, 'Baard's initial discussions with Union Pacific had led them to believe the only problem might be on rail charges.'"

....and....

"Baard officials have been talking to Union Pacific representatives throughout the planning stages on rate charges. Willoughby said those discussions took place with UP's rate division and not its industrial development division."

Now, do you want to split hairs and state that since the initial arrangement was through UP's rate division and not UP's so-called "industrial development" division, that UP is exonerated in it's about-face on that initial agreement to provide service to the proposed plant? Paaaaleaz!

Fact: UP did initially agree to provide service to this plant contingent on a rate agreement. The fact that you grant UP internal disfunctional deniability 'cause UP's left hand didn't know what it's right hand was doing is irrelevent. If I shoot you with my right hand, it ain't just my right hand that goes to jail, it's all of me, right? Why not expect that same level of embodied responsibility to a corporate entity?

As for LC's take on your post, it is true that railroads embody some of the same characteristics of utilities e.g. the "natural" service area monopoly. As such, is it really that much of a stretch to suggest that the railroad should conform to the same general expectations of service as is ascribed to other de facto utilities?

What is funniest about this sad saga is that, if indeed it was all predicated on a rate agreement, why didn't UP just include the upgrade cost in the upfront rate quote to begin with, instead of avering an agreement contingent on subsequent rate agreements? Why go with an agreement in principle beforehand, and then renege due to internal disfunctional denials?




The UP has never reneged on anything. There was never a deal inked in the first place. Getting a rate is simply that, learning what a certain shipment will cost. It is not a contract for carriage and it certainly has no weight as an industrial development agreement. Remember that all contracts affecting an interest such as an easement or an improvement agreement to be recorded in real property MUST be in writing to comply with the Statute of Frauds. I'm sure Baard has attorneys that represented them on this deal. They have done other deals. You are trying to create the impression that they wouldn't know. Sorry, no sale. UP couldn't breach a contract that did not exist.

I find the argumernt that Baard which alredy has two other ethanol plants doesn't know that you need to make a deal and have agreements with the railroad setting forth the essential terms and conditions. Also note that Baard switched developers in midstream. Hmmm. Do ya think that maybe the original developer working for Baard was clueless?? Perhaps that is why Baard caught on and fired them perhaps?? How is negligence on Baard's part in hiring a incompetent developer the fault of UP??! ! It isn't...

Further, as I have already pointed out, a RAILROAD IS NOT A UTILITY. You can say that it is all day, but the businesses are significantly different. In the competitive environment that the railroads have, customers often get rail only to leverage their trucking rates and ship little or nothing by rail. The railroads, even Class 1s, cannot afford seven figure investments that don't pay. They just won't do them no matter how much you villify them.

LC


Well, you can point out all day your trumpet of "a RAILROAD IS NOT A UTILITY", because I never said a railroad is a utility. What I said is that railroads embody much of the same characteristics of a utility, namely....

QUOTE: .....railroads embody some of the same characteristics of utilities e.g. the "natural" service area monopoly.


.....and because of that characteristic it shouldn't be such a disparity of business impressions on the customer. You seem to keep forgetting that the natural monopolies of utilities are regulated, precisely for the reason of prevented monopolistic abuses, yet the natural monopoly of railroading is unregulated, ergo we have a multitude of cases in the news media about the predictable output of such monopolies.

I said it once and I'll say it again - If the utilities (with their restricted ability to raise rates)can manage to come up with agreements to provide the necessary infrastructure to facilitate a positive service connection to a prospective industrial customer, so to should the railroads (who can then jack the customer at 400% R/VC).

Now more than ever, the infrastructure side of the railroad business structure needs to be regulated to provide true intramodal rail transporter competition on those tracks.

Murphy -

read my last statement in the previous post. Do you agree that it is bad business for UP or any railroad to conduct a perception of a Jeckle 'n Hyde approach to customer relations? Last time I checked, the "good cop, bad cop" routine was better utilized in an actual police setting, not a railroad's customer service division.

Why was UP so reticent to providing all relevent information in the initial understanding?
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Posted by Murphy Siding on Saturday, March 25, 2006 8:22 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

Murphy -

read my last statement in the previous post. Do you agree that it is bad business for UP or any railroad to conduct a perception of a Jeckle 'n Hyde approach to customer relations? Last time I checked, the "good cop, bad cop" routine was better utilized in an actual police setting, not a railroad's customer service division.

Why was UP so reticent to providing all relevent information in the initial understanding?

#1 * Perception* might be influenced by the point of view of who is doing the talking-news media, disappointed development boosters, Sioux City officials, ethanlol plant developers, etc. Heck, I bet even the fired developer has an interesting *perception* of what happened.[;)]. I just don't see enough in the articles to place a heap of blame on the railroad-in this case UP.
#2 Maybe they were never asked? WE don't really know.

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Posted by Anonymous on Saturday, March 25, 2006 8:23 PM
FM -

You can't make a railroad a monopoly by saying so. The railroad market share is effectively policed by trucks and other railroad competition unlike the electric or gas utility which has no effective competition.

Sioux City is also served by BNSF and Baard is free to nergotiate with them. Of course, given their track record with the UP the result is likely to be the same...

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Saturday, March 25, 2006 8:31 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Limitedclear

FM -

You can't make a railroad a monopoly by saying so. The railroad market share is effectively policed by trucks and other railroad competition unlike the electric or gas utility which has no effective competition.

Sioux City is also served by BNSF and Baard is free to nergotiate with them. Of course, given their track record with the UP the result is likely to be the same...

LC

Sioux City is also served by CN. If neither of the three want to *donate* $2-3 million in track infrastructure, would it still be fair to blame the railroad(s) for the deal falling apart?

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, March 26, 2006 12:03 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by Limitedclear

FM -

You can't make a railroad a monopoly by saying so. The railroad market share is effectively policed by trucks and other railroad competition unlike the electric or gas utility which has no effective competition.

Sioux City is also served by BNSF and Baard is free to nergotiate with them. Of course, given their track record with the UP the result is likely to be the same...

LC

Sioux City is also served by CN. If neither of the three want to *donate* $2-3 million in track infrastructure, would it still be fair to blame the railroad(s) for the deal falling apart?


Of course not.

Unless these guys at Baard are willing to commit to moving 2,000+ carloads annually which is probably realistic IF they were actually to use rail and reach the full 55,000,000 gals of production they say is coming. For example 1,500 inbound carloads and 500 outbound. Note also that my earlier calculation was flawed in that I used the incorrect car size of 20,000 gals/car instead of the actual which is apparently 30,000gals according to more recent articles. So in that scenario there would be approximately 1,834 carloads of outbound ethanol (note that I have not applied the customer discount or a reduction for car availability so actual numbers would probably be much smaller especially early on). Say 600 actual. Plus inbound unit trains of corn. Probably 75 car units totalling perhaps 1,800 cars annually. So, 2,400 cars per year. At that rate one would expect that 100% payback of the actual investment (without accounting for interest, carrying costs, taxes, etc) would take just over 5 years. Now ther deal would become a lot more interesting to the RR. Unfortunately, without Baard coming to the table and making such a written commitment it won't happen. And as we have seen, they and their developers apparently haven't even figured out who to call yet...

LC
  • Member since
    April 2003
  • 305,205 posts
Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, March 26, 2006 12:16 PM
QUOTE: Originally posted by Murphy Siding

QUOTE: Originally posted by futuremodal

Murphy -

read my last statement in the previous post. Do you agree that it is bad business for UP or any railroad to conduct a perception of a Jeckle 'n Hyde approach to customer relations? Last time I checked, the "good cop, bad cop" routine was better utilized in an actual police setting, not a railroad's customer service division.

Why was UP so reticent to providing all relevent information in the initial understanding?

#1 * Perception* might be influenced by the point of view of who is doing the talking-news media, disappointed development boosters, Sioux City officials, ethanlol plant developers, etc. Heck, I bet even the fired developer has an interesting *perception* of what happened.[;)]. I just don't see enough in the articles to place a heap of blame on the railroad-in this case UP.
#2 Maybe they were never asked? WE don't really know.


Now you're saying the original developer was "fired" even though the article only mentions that there was a change in developers. So why am I wrong to cast the shadow of doubt over UP (given the rail industry's long track record of similar about faces), yet you are rock solid in saying the developer was fired?

Again, it sounds as if you are taking mudchicken's POV that the railroad is right and everyone else is wrong. Don't you think that is rather delusional and borderline schitzophrentic?

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