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Environmental-mode no longer?

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Environmental-mode no longer?
Posted by ttrraaffiicc on Monday, December 21, 2020 8:30 PM

http://cs.trains.com/trn/b/observation-tower/archive/2020/12/20/railroads-have-a-green-advantage-but-for-how-long.aspx

Bill Stephens' latest blog post highlights a huge problem looming for rail frieght. Railroads have long held the advantage of being more environmentally friendly, but as trucks achieve zero-emissions, this will no longer be the case.

Paradoxically, when trucks become zero-emissions sooner than rail, rail freight will be more environmentally harmful than trucking. Even if rail achieves zero-emissions at the same time as trucking, shippers who now use rail to reduce environmental impact will no longer have a reason to do so and will likely return to road freight.

Unfortunately, this is another losing battle in the seemingly futile struggle against trucking. I am hoping for the best, but I am not holding my breath.

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Posted by Leo_Ames on Monday, December 21, 2020 9:27 PM

A lot of electricity will continue to be produced by means that create air pollution, even as coal falls by the wayside. So until all the natural gas power plants and such are shuttered, rail still wins where air quality is concerned as long as they keep pace with progress.

And there's also an environmental cost for transportation past just air pollution. Safe to say that a busy CTC signaled single track mainline with regular passing sidings takes up a lot less land for instance than the addition of freeway lanes to accomodate substantial growth in freight traffic. And outside of major grain lines, probably kills a lot fewer animals and birds than regular vehicle traffic as well.

And even clean electricity has substantial issues. The backlash against wind turbines for instance due to their noise, decreased property values for nearby residences, bird strikes, and the aesthetic blight quite a few people view them as in regions that often are reliant on their natural beauty to drive tourism.

And hydro dams for another example are rife with environmental issues and such, despite being non-polluting sources of electricity. In fact there's a lot of push back in recent years against them, even at a time when the fight has intensified to clean up our air.

It's a problem though for sure, but I believe rail still will hold a narrower lead as the more environmentally friendly mode for the transport of bulk cargo over long distances. 

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Posted by mudchicken on Monday, December 21, 2020 10:18 PM

you forgot all the open mines for battery raw material that now make parts of Canada look worse than the surface of the moon.

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Posted by Euclid on Monday, December 21, 2020 10:27 PM

ttrraaffiicc
Paradoxically, when trucks become zero-emissions sooner than rail, rail freight will be more environmentally harmful than trucking. Even if rail achieves zero-emissions at the same time as trucking, shippers who now use rail to reduce environmental impact will no longer have a reason to do so and will likely return to road freight.

 

Shippers use rail over trucking because rail is lower cost.  Why would they switch to trucking at a higher cost just because trucking is more environmentally friendly?

 

 

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Posted by ttrraaffiicc on Monday, December 21, 2020 11:53 PM

Euclid

Shippers use rail over trucking because rail is lower cost.  Why would they switch to trucking at a higher cost just because trucking is more environmentally friendly?

 

I was using this as an example. Some shipers tout the environmental advantages of their use of rail. This would no longer be the case when trucks go zero-emissions.

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Posted by Erik_Mag on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 12:21 AM

ttrraaffiicc


Bill Stephens' latest blog post highlights a huge problem looming for rail frieght. Railroads have long held the advantage of being more environmentally friendly, but as trucks achieve zero-emissions, this will no longer be the case.

Not all harmful emissions from trucks come from the engine... You may not have noticed that a chemical used in tires is killing a lot of salmon.

Still think it will be a while before we see much in the way of long haul trucking using electric power.

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Posted by tree68 on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 10:07 AM

There is already much being made of the residual effects of wind and solar power.  Landfills are seeing used wind components, and I recently saw a similar warning for solar components.  This is not far removed from nuclear power, where the spent fuel must be carefully disposed of due to radioactivity that will persist for generations.

As was mentioned, the building of many of the "green" power sources isn't green at all.

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 12:23 PM

ttrraaffiicc
 
Euclid

Shippers use rail over trucking because rail is lower cost.  Why would they switch to trucking at a higher cost just because trucking is more environmentally friendly?

 

 

 

I was using this as an example. Some shipers tout the environmental advantages of their use of rail. This would no longer be the case when trucks go zero-emissions.

 

All things being equal, shippers would use the more environmentally friendly option for shipping. But all things aren’t equal. For bulk goods shipped over long distances, railroads will still be the less expensive way to ship for a lot of years to come.

 

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Posted by tree68 on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 2:10 PM

Don't forget - electricity still costs money!

One way or another, the power companies will get their bite.  And considering that recharging a vehicle will be a demand issue (especially larger vehicles), the power suppliers will charge demand prices.

I'd be interested to know how much it will cost for a fill-up on one of those electric self driving trucks...  

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Posted by BaltACD on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 2:14 PM

tree68
Don't forget - electricity still costs money!

One way or another, the power companies will get their bite.  And considering that recharging a vehicle will be a demand issue (especially larger vehicles), the power suppliers will charge demand prices.

I'd be interested to know how much it will cost for a fill-up on one of those electric self driving trucks...  

I have no fear that the 'electrical fill up' will cost very nearly +/- the present cost of hydrocarbon based fuels.  The economy does not run on free lunches.

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Posted by rdamon on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 2:23 PM

tree68

There is already much being made of the residual effects of wind and solar power.  Landfills are seeing used wind components, and I recently saw a similar warning for solar components.  This is not far removed from nuclear power, where the spent fuel must be carefully disposed of due to radioactivity that will persist for generations.

As was mentioned, the building of many of the "green" power sources isn't green at all.

 

Don't forget all the batteries that are aging out.

The full cost from manufacturing to recycling needs to be looked at as well.

Making new Aluminium takes a lot of energy. 

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Posted by MidlandMike on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 8:24 PM

While truck builders may have more money to do the R&D to make effficient trucks, they have more work to do to make rubber tired vehicles more efficient.  I would guess that anything they develope in energy efficiency could be scaled up to rail.  Rail would convert to the new technology as fast as the left steam by he wayside.

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Posted by Backshop on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 8:30 PM

I remember going on a tour of the TVA's Raccoon Mountain pumped storage facility near Chattanooga many years ago.  Since power plants are most efficient when run continually, they use the excess capacity at night to pump water to the reservoir at the top of the mountain.  Then, when they have peak demand during the day, they release the water into the turbines to produce power.  I guess with all these electric vehicles charging at night, there goes the excess capacity...

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Posted by Gramp on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 9:00 PM

I understand Apple has been developing a new type of battery that may be a step forward environmentally. Bill Gates has backed the company involved financially. I think VW is involved, too. 

I've wondered why the enviros haven't stumbled upon the environmental impact of tires and braking. A whole new source of handwringing. 

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Posted by seppburgh2 on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 9:01 PM
 

Interesting, where is all the electricity going to come from? TMI in PA was shutdown, gone, so has a number of other nuke plants.  Coal fire plants have several states pointing legislative guns to there heads, wind power is only available 1/3 of the time (other times the wind don't blow or blows too hard or fire is burning the turbin down),  and I like to see how much output from solar plants there is on a cloudy moonless night, or when it snows.   

I am still waiting for answers beside wind and solar.  Maybe Tesla will come out with mega-watt batteries? Or waiting for the jump as predicted by Robert Heinlein with the invention of the Ship Stone? (Green Hills of Earth)

 
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Posted by Backshop on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 9:22 PM

Seeing as this forum is an older crowd, I wonder if ttrraaffiicc realizes that we'll all be dead and gone before any of his pronouncements become widespread (if they ever do) and therefore don't really care?

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Posted by BaltACD on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 10:04 PM

Backshop
Seeing as this forum is an older crowd, I wonder if ttrraaffiicc realizes that we'll all be dead and gone before any of his pronouncements become widespread (if they ever do) and therefore don't really care?

Nothing lasts forever.

I had a over 51 year career with CSX and its predecessors.  Virtually every location I EVER worked in those 51 years either no longer physically exist or if they do exist they no longer exist as CSX owned and/or operated property.

The various towers and interlockings are gone.  Of the various office building settings I worked, if the buildings still exist they no longer have CSX as a tenant.  The exceptions are the CSX Building on Water Street in Jacksonville and the Dufford Operations Center also in Jacksonville.

The only constant in the world is change.

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Posted by tree68 on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 10:46 PM

seppburgh2
Interesting, where is all the electricity going to come from?

Why, just plug it into the wall!  

There are a lot of people "out there" who have no idea where the things they use come from.  Electricity comes out of a plug on the wall, their food comes from a supermarket, the list goes on.  

The electricity fairy is alive and well.

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Posted by Overmod on Tuesday, December 22, 2020 11:19 PM

MidlandMike
Rail would convert to the new technology as fast as they left steam by the wayside.

The problem is that there are several respects where rail does not scale well to preserve marginal 'fuel savings'.  In particular this relates to the issue of tare weight -- no true lightweight train has really succeeded, including the light four-wheel TOFC/COFC underframes or HPIT.  There are a number of reasonably practical Class 8 size trucks that are said to get get upward of 12-14mpg -- a good battery-electric "equivalent cost per kWh" probably better as long as people believe enough in the electricity fairy.  At those levels the tare weight necessary to eliminate things like stringlining becomes a factor.  There is relatively less concern with longer doubles or potentially Australian-style road trains should those become "technologically enabled" by evolving work in autonomous assistance and then legalized in some sectors.  While technically the friction between wheel and rail is still lower, other factors may render this less important to shippers -- such as longer railborne distance or time or multiple runs to produce efficient last-mile delivery.

I don't see very many markets where 'boutique' delivery of typical loose-car rail vehicles will be price-competitive with last-mile intermodal trucking, whether the 'switcher' can be made autonomous or not.  And I worry that to the extent it can be made to be cost-competitive, it will become less safe to those exposed to it.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 6:46 AM

BaltACD

 

 
Backshop
Seeing as this forum is an older crowd, I wonder if ttrraaffiicc realizes that we'll all be dead and gone before any of his pronouncements become widespread (if they ever do) and therefore don't really care?

 

Nothing lasts forever.

I had a over 51 year career with CSX and its predecessors.  Virtually every location I EVER worked in those 51 years either no longer physically exist or if they do exist they no longer exist as CSX owned and/or operated property.

The various towers and interlockings are gone.  Of the various office building settings I worked, if the buildings still exist they no longer have CSX as a tenant.  The exceptions are the CSX Building on Water Street in Jacksonville and the Dufford Operations Center also in Jacksonville.

The only constant in the world is change.

 

Change is hard for many to accept.  Backshop is probably correct that it is harder for the elderly but it is  not limited to that crowd. As in earlier days, they will rationalize many obstacles to progress and harken back to mythical golden eras. However,  some of us see change as needed and inevitable. 

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Posted by rdamon on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 9:18 AM
Maybe it a little less about being angry at the actual change but more the realization of your own mortality when things that were new when you were young are now being sent to the scrapyard.
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Posted by charlie hebdo on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 9:21 AM

Hopefully we can save/restore/preserve examples of good or historic architecture. 

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Posted by Backshop on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 10:18 AM

charlie hebdo

Change is hard for many to accept.  Backshop is probably correct that it is harder for the elderly but it is  not limited to that crowd. As in earlier days, they will rationalize many obstacles to progress and harken back to mythical golden eras. However,  some of us see change as needed and inevitable. 

I think some may have misunderstood my post.  I know all about change and progress.  It's just that rrttrraaffiicc keeps posting his "stuff" with a "ha-ha, your train world is going to collapse" attitude but his version of change will be so long to arrive that we won't be around to see it.  There will be incremental changes, but not the wholesale ones he trumpets.

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Posted by Overmod on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 12:16 PM

Backshop
There will be incremental changes, but not the wholesale ones he trumpets.

Moreover, even if there is a paradigm shift (in the proper Kuhnian sense as well as the metaphor) there is no guarantee of cost-effective adoption, or legal acceptance, or absence of government regulatory or taxation actions, or the rest of the long list of pitfalls to even elegantly superior technological innovation that keep it from manifesting as pervasive change.  The history of fax transmission, which predates the telegraph, or indeed the telegraph itself which was ridiculously slow and failure-prone as originally patented, are interesting to note; so is the adoption of light steam railcars a century before the RDC.

And of course the idea that intermodal railroads, or their business units involved with promoting intermodal, would ignore the benefits of the technology to them is ... well, to me it's ridiculous and I'll happily supply the ridicule.  However, stranger things have happened:  REA went down to the grave after having truly awesome name recognition and asset placement, and much of the current PSR disdain from small or irregular clientele might be institutionally carried over to last-mile service provision that might double as intermediate road haul.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 1:08 PM

Backshop

 

 
charlie hebdo

Change is hard for many to accept.  Backshop is probably correct that it is harder for the elderly but it is  not limited to that crowd. As in earlier days, they will rationalize many obstacles to progress and harken back to mythical golden eras. However,  some of us see change as needed and inevitable. 

 

 

I think some may have misunderstood my post.  I know all about change and progress.  It's just that rrttrraaffiicc keeps posting his "stuff" with a "ha-ha, your train world is going to collapse" attitude but his version of change will be so long to arrive that we won't be around to see it.  There will be incremental changes, but not the wholesale ones he trumpets.

 

 

I tend to agree but for some to ridicule the huge number of potential and substantial changes occurring  strikes me as desperation. 

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Posted by tree68 on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 1:15 PM

charlie hebdo

Hopefully we can save/restore/preserve examples of good or historic architecture. 

 

 

Why?  They're just buildings, and most of them are ugly as well.  [/sarcasm]

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Posted by BaltACD on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 1:15 PM

The world evolves over time - it is only afterwards that a particular point in time can be affixed to any real change - with one exception - the date of dropping of the atomic bomb on Hiroshima definately marked the start of the 'atomic age'.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 9:20 PM

Overmod

 

 
MidlandMike
Rail would convert to the new technology as fast as they left steam by the wayside.

 

The problem is that there are several respects where rail does not scale well to preserve marginal 'fuel savings'.  In particular this relates to the issue of tare weight -- no true lightweight train has really succeeded, including the light four-wheel TOFC/COFC underframes or HPIT.  There are a number of reasonably practical Class 8 size trucks that are said to get get upward of 12-14mpg -- a good battery-electric "equivalent cost per kWh" probably better as long as people believe enough in the electricity fairy.  At those levels the tare weight necessary to eliminate things like stringlining becomes a factor.  There is relatively less concern with longer doubles or potentially Australian-style road trains should those become "technologically enabled" by evolving work in autonomous assistance and then legalized in some sectors.  While technically the friction between wheel and rail is still lower, other factors may render this less important to shippers -- such as longer railborne distance or time or multiple runs to produce efficient last-mile delivery.

 

I don't see very many markets where 'boutique' delivery of typical loose-car rail vehicles will be price-competitive with last-mile intermodal trucking, whether the 'switcher' can be made autonomous or not.  And I worry that to the extent it can be made to be cost-competitive, it will become less safe to those exposed to it.

 

The context of my original entry (from which you excerpted) was that like diesel engine technology which was scaled up for rail use, battery technology also could be scaled up to rail use including mainline engines.

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 9:54 PM

charlie hebdo

 

 
Backshop

 

 
charlie hebdo

Change is hard for many to accept.  Backshop is probably correct that it is harder for the elderly but it is  not limited to that crowd. As in earlier days, they will rationalize many obstacles to progress and harken back to mythical golden eras. However,  some of us see change as needed and inevitable. 

 

 

I think some may have misunderstood my post.  I know all about change and progress.  It's just that rrttrraaffiicc keeps posting his "stuff" with a "ha-ha, your train world is going to collapse" attitude but his version of change will be so long to arrive that we won't be around to see it.  There will be incremental changes, but not the wholesale ones he trumpets.

 

 

 

 

I tend to agree but for some to ridicule the huge number of potential and substantial changes occurring  strikes me as desperation. 

 

About change- I hit 60 last Saturday, and I wasn't even driving. What I notice anymore, is that not only am I getting older, a lot of people around me are getting younger! The kicker is that change seem to be coming more often and the changes are bigger. The guys I work with giggle when I use the word blueprint, but that's literally what house plans were 40 years ago when I joined the working world.

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Wednesday, December 23, 2020 10:00 PM

MidlandMike

 

 

.....The context of my original entry (from which you excerpted) was that like diesel engine technology which was scaled up for rail use, battery technology also could be scaled up to rail use including mainline engines.

 

I wonder if where we are at with the technologies we're talking about is something like where the railroad industry was in the early 1900's? Diesel technolgy was just being developed for practical railroad use, but it was about 40 years before the technology turned into a game changing revolution. Diesels pushed out steam because it saved railroads money. For new technology to replace diesel, I think it has to do likewise. It's not there yet, maybe in 40 years? Or 30, or 20 years with the advancing speed of change. Now, get off my lawn!

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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