We might see a decrease across the board for regional and Acela trains, due to passenger not wanting to be involved in delays at nyp. If the trains become a hassle, some might choose other carrier's.
Thier could be an uptick in ridership north of the city, if fewer are boarding in NYC, making more seats available.
I don't think long distance ridership will be affected too much, long distance Amtrak passenger come to expect delays, so this probably won't scare off many.
The grand Central trains will be a wild card.
Just my guess, should be fun to see how it shakes out.
Unfortunately we will not get official results of ridership until late August for July and late September for August. But here is just pure speculation on possible results ?
1. Crescent -- Connecting to / from Crescent in WASH may reduce traffic but changing fare buckets may mitigate that. The local NYP <> WASH sales that were sometime sold will not be there.
2. Cardinal, Meteor, Star, & Palmetto may all have increases due to opening NYP <> WASH for sale. F&B may increase as well.
3. Acela same schedule - no significant changes except some maybe from cancelled Regionals ?
4. NEC regional may get some extra from Harrisburg short stops.
5. Some Regionals may get more cars that will cover high demand trips ?
6. What NJT problems will do to Amtrak ? ?
7. Wild card Albany <> NYP / NYG leave it to others ? Early trips to NYG may do what ? Adarondiack / Maple leaf ? Only if MPRs break apart NYP & NYG can we really see what NYG does.
Others with ideas ? ? ?
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