Unfortunately we will not get official results of ridership until late August for July and late September for August. But here is just pure speculation on possible results ?
1. Crescent -- Connecting to / from Crescent in WASH may reduce traffic but changing fare buckets may mitigate that. The local NYP <> WASH sales that were sometime sold will not be there.
2. Cardinal, Meteor, Star, & Palmetto may all have increases due to opening NYP <> WASH for sale. F&B may increase as well.
3. Acela same schedule - no significant changes except some maybe from cancelled Regionals ?
4. NEC regional may get some extra from Harrisburg short stops.
5. Some Regionals may get more cars that will cover high demand trips ?
6. What NJT problems will do to Amtrak ? ?
7. Wild card Albany <> NYP / NYG leave it to others ? Early trips to NYG may do what ? Adarondiack / Maple leaf ? Only if MPRs break apart NYP & NYG can we really see what NYG does.
Others with ideas ? ? ?
We might see a decrease across the board for regional and Acela trains, due to passenger not wanting to be involved in delays at nyp. If the trains become a hassle, some might choose other carrier's.
Thier could be an uptick in ridership north of the city, if fewer are boarding in NYC, making more seats available.
I don't think long distance ridership will be affected too much, long distance Amtrak passenger come to expect delays, so this probably won't scare off many.
The grand Central trains will be a wild card.
Just my guess, should be fun to see how it shakes out.
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