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Surge passenger coach equipment needed

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Surge passenger coach equipment needed
Posted by blue streak 1 on Thursday, July 21, 2016 1:35 AM

This proposal probably will never see the light of day.  There have been several major events that has caused different Commuter RRs and Amtrak to need surge equipment.  Examples are among others VRE carrying Metro shutdown passengers, SEPTA now, NJT, LIRR on Fridays, MBTA, Amtrak to saratoga race track, Amtrak Thanksgiving, Christmas, etc, & others. Certainly others can list other examples.

It may be time for a national pool of single level cars and locos to be in various locations to provide surge capability.  Certainly SEPTA and VRE could use some right now. 

Who would pay to build such ?  Well that is the reason nothing will ever be done.  Just another stick it to the ptraveling public.

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Posted by Dragoman on Thursday, July 21, 2016 2:05 PM
Maybe someone who actually already has equipment in various stages of re-build (Iowa Pacific, Corridor Capital, ??) might find a business opportunity in having a fleet ready to rent/lease to whoever might need them.
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Posted by CMStPnP on Thursday, July 21, 2016 3:19 PM

Heh, we still have 1970's passenger equipment in dead lines throughout the country that could be rebuilt to Amtrak standards and that would be cheaper than a new car.     It will never happen because Amtrak wants standardization of parts and systems.

There is also the Amtrak deadline of equipment that has been wrecked or otherwise out of service needed major repair that also could be rebuilt or repaired before it would be feasible to start up a new car building line.

Above two, makes me optimistic that at some point we will see either a new corridor or a private company take advantage of one of the above two and either introduce new service or bid against Amtrak on a existing route and take it over.

Also, I think we should have a national standard for passenger cars to produce them economically using one design.   I think Amtrak's existing standards has a lot of thought and experience put into it and we should at least adhere to that as much as possible if we are to build new Long Distance Cars.

Private companies also like to continue with an existing line of designed cars instead of switching to an all new one.    Case in point: the Rocky Mountaineer going all the way to Europe to get it's former Colorado Railcar Ultra Domes replicated via Stadler railcar contract in Europe.   Thats going to cost probably more than if they were built in the United States by the former Colorado Railcar but by the same token the Rocky Mountaineer folks are happy with the existing design and would rather not test a totally new one.

BTW, why we are on the topic, I wonder who owns the old Budd car designs and the old Superliner Car Designs?     If we ever get a major LD railcar building program underway.   I for one would vote to restart Superliner production and perhaps this maybe dreamland but would it kill Amtrak to buy 15-20 new Vista Domes based on the Budd design for the East?

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Posted by PJS1 on Thursday, July 21, 2016 4:00 PM

Although Amtrak has days when it sells out, at least on some routes and for some classes of travel, its average load factor does not suggest it is seriously capacity constrained.

In 2015 the average system load factor was 51.3 per cent, which was down 9/10s of one per cent from 2014 and a full per cent from 2011.

The average load factor on the long distance trains in 2015 averaged 58.7 per cent.  It too was down slightly from 2014, which was 59.1.  It was down from 62.8 per cent in 2011.

The average system load factors, as well as the average load factors for each of Amtrak's segments, has remained fairly steady over the last five years. 

Whether the fully allocated marginal cost of "surge" equipment would be covered by the incremental marginal ticket revenues is the important financial question.  Otherwise, having equipment standby for marginal use that does not cover the cost - expenses - would not be a good business decision.

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Posted by CMStPnP on Thursday, July 21, 2016 7:26 PM

JPS1
Although Amtrak has days when it sells out, at least on some routes and for some classes of travel, its average load factor does not suggest it is seriously capacity constrained.

How do they measure capacity in a Sleeper?   All beds occupied OR just the compartment rented?    It would be interesting to find out because it seems to me that Amtrak loses the rail fare for each empty bed in a sleeping car as they have no surcharge for single occupancy in a multi-occupancy compartment.

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Posted by PJS1 on Friday, July 22, 2016 8:58 AM

I don’t know how Amtrak measures the capacity of its sleepers.  If they tell the public, I don’t know where to find the information.

When I have calculated the load factor for a sleeper, I have used the number of beds as the base line.  Also, I have used the number of rooms and assumed that the occupancy rate was 1.5 persons per room.  I don’t have any data to justify the average occupancy rate per room - 1.5 - assumption.  It is a WAG.  If the attendant occupies one of the rooms, as is the case on the Sunset Limited, I reduced the number of beds by two or the number of rooms by one.

Either way, except for a small number of days each year, at least based on the loads for the trains that I have looked at, which is not a scientific survey, Amtrak does not appear to be capacity constrained. 

The only justification for surge equipment is that the marginal revenues cover the marginal costs and expenses is the main point. 

A search of fares from El Paso to Tucson for mid-September shows that the accommodation charge for an Economy Room is $47.55 higher for two people than for one.  This is for daytime occupancy in an Economy Room.     

I don’t do overnight on Amtrak’s trains.  Leaving on a Jet Plane became my theme song shortly after an overnight train trip from New York to Florida.  It is much more relaxing to fly to my destination and spend the night in a hotel if necessary.  Moreover, my wife make it crystal clear.  A train from New York to Washington was OK.  Overnight?  No way!

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Posted by CMStPnP on Friday, July 22, 2016 12:31 PM

OK, I was just curious anyways how detailed the stats were.   Amtrak is notorious for not being transparent in Passenger Train accounting.     Some people say that is the industry but I have a hard time believing that FEC will operate that way with All Aboard Florida (Brightline) or that Rocky Mountaineer operates that way.

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Posted by Dragoman on Friday, July 22, 2016 5:45 PM
Both Brightline and Rocky Mountaineer do/will operate only one type of service. Amtrak has multiple (and, in some cases, overlapping) types of service (NEC, long-distance, corridor, revenue from others using Amtrak-owned infrastructure, etc., etc.). Not to excuse what appears to be Amtrak's loosey-goosey accounting, but ...
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Posted by GERALD L MCFARLANE JR on Friday, July 22, 2016 6:13 PM

Personal opinion, but this is the way I'd look at occupancy rates...just whether or not the room is booked, not how many people it can hold and how many are in it.     Simple example, you have a 10 bedroom car(not a real example, just a simple one), but each room can hold say 3 people, which would mean a capacity of 30, but if you have 1 person in each room, then the car is 100% booked, full capacity.   In other words, you can't double, triple or quadruple up single people, therefore you have to take into account just whether the room is booked or not, not how many occupy the space vs how many it can hold.

Though it's been ages since I took the train anywhere(time constraints), I'd much prefer to travel via train(even overnight) than fly, but then again, I can sleep sitting up in an airport chair, so sleeping is not an issue.

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Posted by PJS1 on Saturday, July 23, 2016 8:35 AM
In 2015 the Texas Eagle’s four train sets had an average of 25 passengers in sleeper class.  The Sunset Limited had 32.  I calculated these averages from the public information that Amtrak makes available in its Monthly Operating Reports.
 
The Texas Eagle has one regular sleeper and one transition sleeper.  The regular sleeper has 13 economy rooms (assumes one of the rooms is used by the attendant), a family room, a handicapped room, and five bedrooms.  The transition sleeper has eight economy rooms that are sold if the economy rooms in the regular sleeper sell out. 
 
If one assumes that only one person occupies a room, the occupancy rate on the Eagle is a relatively high 89.3 per cent.  However, I have never been on a sleeper where all of the rooms were occupied by just one person.  In most instances they were occupied by two or more persons.  I don’t know the exact breakdown; only Amtrak knows, and as far as I can determine, they don’t share this information with the public. 
 
The actual load factor in the sleepers probably is somewhere between the figures obtained by using the available beds vs. the available rooms for sale. 
 
I am not convinced that Amtrak is capacity constrained overall, although it undoubtedly has a few days a year when it could profitably use additional equipment.  
 
I am not a big fan of government run commercial enterprises. Having said that I don't think the people at Amtrak are stupid.  If they had an average 89 per cent occupancy rate on their sleepers or anything close, they probably would make the business case for additional (surge) equipment. 
 
I take days trips on the Eagle and the Sunset Limited several times a year.  I always book an economy room and, therefore, I have had the opportunity to observe the occupancy loads in the sleepers on the Eagle and Limited, although on a very limited basis.  I prefer the privacy afforded by a private room.  I have had several bad experiences with unruly coach passengers.  I don’t need that anymore.   
 

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Sunday, July 24, 2016 3:40 PM

When this poster started thread was looking for coach equipment not all the other equipment.  IMHO it is a matter of have the most capacity for the buck.  There are just too many times when one agency or another needs surge equipment because of weather, equipment malfunction ( SEPTA ), or what ever.

We are also finding out that the various Heritage fleets are nearing the end of their life for regular service

Did not look for very high density cars but single level cars.

So have changed title to meet purpose of thread  

 

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, July 24, 2016 3:52 PM

blue streak 1
When this poster started thread was looking for coach equipment not all the other equipment.  IMHO it is a matter of have the most capacity for the buck.  There are just too many times when one agency or another needs surge equipment because of weather, equipment malfunction ( SEPTA ), or what ever.

Given all that, Amtrak ordered new baggage cars and diners, no coaches.  Brilliant!

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Posted by Buslist on Sunday, July 24, 2016 4:06 PM

CMStPnP

 

 

 

Also, I think we should have a national standard for passenger cars to produce them economically using one design.   I think Amtrak's existing standards has a lot of thought and experience put into it and we should at least adhere to that as much as possible if we are to build new Long Distance Cars.

Private companies also like to continue with an existing line of designed cars instead of switching to an all new one.    Case in point: the Rocky Mountaineer going all the way to Europe to get it's former Colorado Railcar Ultra Domes replicated via Stadler railcar contract in Europe.   Thats going to cost probably more than if they were built in the United States by the former Colorado Railcar but by the same token the Rocky Mountaineer folks are happy with the existing design and would rather not test a totally new one.

BTW, why we are on the topic, I wonder who owns the old Budd car designs and the old Superliner Car Designs?     If we ever get a major LD railcar building program underway.   I for one would vote to restart Superliner production and perhaps this maybe dreamland but would it kill Amtrak to buy 15-20 new Vista Domes based on the Budd design for the East?

 

That standardized design you argue for is exactly what was the goal of the corridor car design committee. That was a concept first put forward by Angel Trains, by its North American representative. Like the PCC all the potential buyers were represented on the committee. Too bad NS has screwed it up so bad.

I guess you missed the news that Statler is opening a temporary manufacturing facility in Salt Lake while it looks for a permanent locationin the US.

All the Budd patents are now owned by Bombardier.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Sunday, July 24, 2016 6:47 PM

-

schlimm
 Given all that, Amtrak ordered new baggage cars and diners, no coaches.  Brilliant!
 
 
At first thought would agree.  But let us look at some facts and some not so being confirmed speculations.
1.  Amtrak did not have enough internal financial resources to exercise the V-2 option for a final 70 cars which probably would have been coaches ?
2.  Congress did not provide the  ~~ $280,000,000 needed to purchase the 70.
3.  As of today there are only  12  serviceable Heritage diners left.  Note that the Star last year and LSL as of today lost diners. Without new diners the Amfleet dinettes would be overextended which may happen if the new diners are not in service before another(s) Heritage goes out of service.  
4.  Numbers are not accurate but there are 10 - 20 serviceable Heritage bags left.
5.  8 of those serviceable bags are needed for the ridiculous CN requirement of minimum of 32 axels. So you either use undeeded Amfleet coaches there or as baggage cars.
6.  For single level trains the shortage of Baggage cars would have been to use Amfleet-1 which is very inefficient probably delays trains more.  Also that reduces Amtrak's potential revenue from smaller trains.
7.  The Superliner Bag - Coaches do not have enough capacity for the heavier use baggage lines although Amtrak did its best with them on the Eagle and City of NOL.
8.  Expenses for a Heritage bag 5 year extension could be derived from  the performance reports of ~ $1.0M and for Heritage diners ~1.5 - 1.7M.  
9.  Now we know there are main frame cracks on those Bags that had only a door in the middle due to fork lifs overloading and an overhaul probably would not help ?.
10.  Why spend the $50M + on Bags and $34M + on diners to get them up to snuff.?  That would pay for at least 30 additional V-2s or would have reduced the number delivered on the present CAF contract ? 
 
Still we need the additional V-2s or another type coach for a surge fleet for both Amtrak and the next certain sidelining of parts or all of a commuter fleet  ( SEPTA Example for today )
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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, July 24, 2016 11:04 PM

Priorities.  If you lack sufficient coaches and non-revenue cars, which do uou get first?  Or at least at the same time, some of each?   It's not rocket science, but apparently too hard for Amtrak.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Tuesday, August 9, 2016 7:39 PM

Once again the need for surge coaches becomes evident.  The Delta computer meltdown has stranded many passengers.  An example the Crescent ATL <> WAS for yesterday and today has alternated between full and one or two vacancies.

Granted a surge fleet would not even make a dent in stranded persons but the revenue bump for Amtrak would be significant.

 

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, August 9, 2016 8:01 PM

blue streak 1

Once again the need for surge coaches becomes evident.  The Delta computer meltdown has stranded many passengers.  An example the Crescent ATL <> WAS for yesterday and today has alternated between full and one or two vacancies.

Granted a surge fleet would not even make a dent in stranded persons but the revenue bump for Amtrak would be significant.

 

 

Did Amtrak find even ONE extra coach for the Crescent either day?

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, August 9, 2016 8:13 PM

oltmannd

 

 
blue streak 1

Once again the need for surge coaches becomes evident.  The Delta computer meltdown has stranded many passengers.  An example the Crescent ATL <> WAS for yesterday and today has alternated between full and one or two vacancies.

Granted a surge fleet would not even make a dent in stranded persons but the revenue bump for Amtrak would be significant.

 

 

 

 

Did Amtrak find even ONE extra coach for the Crescent either day?

 

Just checked. Nope.  

P42

P42

baggage

Business class coach

sleeper

sleeper

diner

lounge

coach

coach

coach

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Posted by dakotafred on Tuesday, August 9, 2016 8:41 PM

The old railroads always had plenty of spare equipment. Don't know whether they kept it around out of a sense of responsibility or opportunity or because it didn't even have scrap value. In any case, they always had extra capacity for those holidays and college vacations.

Amtrak hasn't been around for as long as the old railroads, but has been on the scene for 45 years, which is long enough to have accumulated some of that spare capacity. If they haven't done so, for whatever reason, including intimidation by Congress -- shame on them.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Tuesday, August 9, 2016 9:52 PM

Olt,amm:  Thanks It is just amazing.  Of course all their spare equipment may be tied up at  SEPTA ?

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Posted by josephr33 on Tuesday, August 9, 2016 10:41 PM

If the corridor cars to be builtby Nippon Sharyo ever actually see the light of day, there will be a significant number of Horizon coaches displaced from the Midwest.  They could be used for commuter or additional NEC capacity as is, or could be converted to long distance use with a significant upgrade in interior amenities.

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Posted by CMStPnP on Saturday, August 13, 2016 9:54 PM

This photo was taken in the last few months at Amtrak Beech Grove facility.   Does not look like they have a lot of extra new equipment to work on and get back into service.

http://www.railpictures.net/photo/579977/

 

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Posted by oltmannd on Sunday, August 14, 2016 8:21 AM

blue streak 1

Olt,amm:  Thanks It is just amazing.  Of course all their spare equipment may be tied up at  SEPTA ?

 

I can't imagine Amtrak leasing Amfleet II cars to SEPTA....

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Posted by BaltACD on Sunday, August 14, 2016 9:09 AM

CMStPnP
This photo was taken in the last few months at Amtrak Beech Grove facility.   Does not look like they have a lot of extra new equipment to work on and get back into service.

http://www.railpictures.net/photo/579977/

While there doesn't appear to be a wealth of passenger equipment awaiting repair in that picture - there are at least 25 engines pictured.  That is a lot of power to have out of service at one location.

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Posted by Paul Milenkovic on Sunday, August 14, 2016 9:45 AM

BaltACD
 
CMStPnP
This photo was taken in the last few months at Amtrak Beech Grove facility.   Does not look like they have a lot of extra new equipment to work on and get back into service.

http://www.railpictures.net/photo/579977/

 

While there doesn't appear to be a wealth of passenger equipment awaiting repair in that picture - there are at least 25 engines pictured.  That is a lot of power to have out of service at one location.

 

 

Different locomotives appear to be "weathered" (I know, I know, a model railroad term) in specific but different ways.

Does this speak to different failure modes of (cough, General Electric, cough) Diesel locomotives?

If GM "killed the electric car", what am I doing standing next to an EV-1, a half a block from the WSOR tracks?

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Posted by NorthWest on Sunday, August 14, 2016 12:18 PM

There are only a few P42DCs that have been killed by GE turbo/engine fires, and two are plainly visible. Many of the rest are wrecked, primarily in collisions with trucks, as the Phase II heritage unit was. The earlier Phase IV units are the P40DCs, which were built for a stillborn service expansion, saw service for about 5 years until the P42DCs arrived, and have sat dead in Beech Grove since. Some have been rebuilt, but it seems odd not to rebuild the others since the P42DC fleet has had dismal reliability lately, and there has been quite a bit of wreck attrition. Money problems, as usual...

There's also speculation about a 150-unit SC-44 order that may or may not happen in a couple of years.

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Posted by zugmann on Sunday, August 14, 2016 12:28 PM

NorthWest
There are only a few P42DCs that have been killed by GE turbo/engine fires, and two are plainly visible. Many of the rest are wrecked, primarily in collisions with trucks, as the Phase II heritage unit was. The earlier Phase IV units are the P40DCs, which were built for a stillborn service expansion, saw service for about 5 years until the P42DCs arrived, and have sat dead in Beech Grove since. Some have been rebuilt, but it seems odd not to rebuild the others since the P42DC fleet has had dismal reliability lately, and there has been quite a bit of wreck attrition. Money problems, as usual...

 

Shhh.   Don't let information like that get in the way of the good 'ol "GE sucks!" trope. 

  

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Posted by JOHN L CLARK on Wednesday, August 17, 2016 10:18 AM

The picture of Beech Grove shows, equipment that is scheduled for repairs or will be repaired in the near future.  Amtrak stores locomotives in this area.

Long term storage is not visible in this photo as it is in the far background behind the shop buildings.  There is not a lot of equipment there.  Perhaps 30-35 cars, some are retired baggage cars, some wreck damaged.

CMStPnP

This photo was taken in the last few months at Amtrak Beech Grove facility.   Does not look like they have a lot of extra new equipment to work on and get back into service.

http://www.railpictures.net/photo/579977/

 

 

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Wednesday, August 17, 2016 4:33 PM

This poster is bring the following over from AAF thread with some editing.  The lease of the Talgos by Lossan may be just one indication of the need for quite a few spare coaches ?.  As far as can recall the following agencies are short from just a few to many hundreds.

Amtrak, MBTA, Mass DOT, Conn DOT, NJT,  SEPTA ( their fault scrapping the Silverliner -2s too soon,  MARC & VRE which need more space for daytime car storage, CHI, LAX - LOSSAN, CalTrain, Capital corridor ( using old NJT Comet cars already ).

Now if Congress would appropriate enough funds to overhaul Amtak out of service cars that can be feasibly overhauled that might help but not for at least a year.   

Partial quote 

As much as this poster hates it maybe it is time for Amtrak lease the El Capitan cars upgrade them ( some one tell us if any of the retired Heritage car parts could be used ) and assign them to just one route.  As enough ElCapitan cars are refurbished assign them to one train set with a couple spares along the route and at end points.  The problem of the ElCapitan cars only coach, lounge, & diner does not solve sleeper availability but maybe Amtrak could start with rebuilding Superliner sleepers ?    One thought would be Auto Train  but that might have unintended  consequences ? Another route would be the Southwest chief ?  What ever route the El CAP cars would not solve the shortage of Superliner sleepers ?

UNQUOTE"

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Posted by Buslist on Thursday, August 18, 2016 9:38 AM

blue streak 1

This poster is bring the following over from AAF thread with some editing.  The lease of the Talgos by Lossan may be just one indication of the need for quite a few spare coaches ?.  As far as can recall the following agencies are short from just a few to many hundreds.

Amtrak, MBTA, Mass DOT, Conn DOT, NJT,  SEPTA ( their fault scrapping the Silverliner -2s too soon,  MARC & VRE which need more space for daytime car storage, CHI, LAX - LOSSAN, CalTrain, Capital corridor ( using old NJT Comet cars already ).

 

 

 

I think the Talgo lease is primarily a reflection of the knock on effect of the NS Corridor Car fiasco. Cars from this build were expected to be in service at this time. There is no sign of when even a sample car will be available ( something weird going on here). Went by the plant the other day, there were no car shells present.

 

As to the reported shortage of cars on the T, I spent some time in Boston last month, stayed right next to 2 T lines (and I do mean right next to), one South Station line and one North Station line. I was able to see into the cars very well and there were lots of empty seats even during the rush. If there is overcrowding on other routes I can't believe cars can't be redeployed from these.

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