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LAKE SHORE LIMITED REROUTE THROUGH DETROIT AND CANADA

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LAKE SHORE LIMITED REROUTE THROUGH DETROIT AND CANADA
Posted by BostonTrainGuy on Saturday, February 4, 2012 12:10 PM

Amtrak is studying some service improvements for the Lake Shore Limited including a better schedule and rerouting the train Toledo to Detroit.

The rerouting between Chicago and Detroit to the East coast would seem like an excellent idea.  It would eliminate the serious freight congestion problems between Chicago and Cleveland.  Also, the Capital Limited serves the same market at about the same time duplicating services.

However, Amtrak concludes that the rerouting would increase the operating costs due to the increased longer distance traveled.

I have to ask, what if the train ran through Canada?  Would not the distance be shorter and therefore the expenses less?

Would not the trip be faster on Amtrak’s own high-speed rails between Chicago and Detroit and the shorter route via Canada?  Would a whole new market open up between Michigan and the East Coast?

I know there is the border crossing situation, but what if the train doesn’t stop in Canada?  How would that work?  Or even if it did stop in Windsor, I’m sure customs can be worked out.

Anyway, the information from Amtrak follows:

Lake Shore Limited Initiatives

A more attractive schedule from Chicago to New York and Boston will increase ridership and revenue. Amtrak proposes to restore the Lake Shore Limited, which currently departs from

Chicago at 9:30 PM, to an earlier schedule that is expected to be more attractive to customers.

The current schedule, adopted several years ago during a period of very poor on-time

performance by the Lake Shore Limited and connecting trains from the West, is sub-optimal in

terms of generating ridership and revenue. Since an earlier schedule that would avoid

interference with rush hour operations at New York’s Penn Station would also require

adjustments to the schedule of the Capitol Limited, this initiative will not be pursued until tunnel

clearance work on the Capitol Limited route is completed.

 

On-time performance (OTP) at intermediate stations was relatively poor, particularly between

New York and Cleveland on the westbound train. Customer focus groups identified

intermediate OTP as a major source of their dissatisfaction, and Amtrak is taking steps to

improve on-time performance.

 

3.6 Initiatives Examined but Not Included in the Plan

Amtrak conducted a ridership, financial and schedule analysis of a possible reroute of the Lake

Shore Limited over the route of the Wolverine service between Chicago and Dearborn, Michigan.

While this reroute would have provided direct rail service between Michigan cities and the

Northeast, it would also have eliminated Lake Shore Limited service at a number of stops in

Indiana and Ohio, and trip time and operating costs would increase due to the longer distance

traveled. The financial analysis indicated that the reroute would worsen the financial

performance of the train.

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Posted by henry6 on Saturday, February 4, 2012 1:04 PM

First, I think NY and the east coast demands a better service to and from Chicago than what it already has...at least one train on the old PRR routing would be the best that could be hoped for but two on each route would be "service" rather than running trains with trains on opposite schedules on each route. In other words, a 6A departure from NY on the Water Level route but 6P departure over the PRR route.  Second, unless the train is sealed at Buffalo or Niagra Falls and at Detroit, there would be four international searches of the train...two going into Canada and two leaving Canada, so this would be both expensive and bothersome and take more time than anybody should put up with.  VIA could provide a connecting Buffalo or Niagra Falls to Detroit train for any Amtrak services if it were deemed profitable enough. If there had to be stops in Canada, what would they be and why?  The problem is that no one from the East at the moment wants to go to Detroit and I think it's Delta who uses it as a minor hub anyway.  Third, taking the train off the Water Level Route west of Buffalo would also eliminate Buffalo-Erie-Cleveland service which might be a deal breaker.   It will, I am sure, be well studied before a decision is made. 

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Posted by MidlandMike on Saturday, February 4, 2012 1:05 PM

In the past when I have traveled across the border by train it took about an hour extra.  On this route it would happen twice, crossing out of, and then back into the US.  Also everyone would have to have either passport/birth certificate/enhanced drivers license.

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Posted by Deggesty on Saturday, February 4, 2012 2:07 PM

Back in 1969, I rode what was left of the Wolverine from New York City to Chicago, and I was not waked up after we left Buffalo, or was I subjected to any inspection on arrival in Detroit (I was traveling Slumbercoach) I did step off in Windsor for long enough to be told to get back on since I was in a foreign country.. There may well be a changed situation now, with more rigid inspection at each port.

Johnny

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Posted by MidlandMike on Saturday, February 4, 2012 3:38 PM

Trains Mar 07 had a map of the former NYC and showed that most of their line across southern Ontario has been abandoned.  Are there other lines still existing that have convenient connections?

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Posted by henry6 on Saturday, February 4, 2012 4:27 PM

Via still operates Toronto to Detroit, the NYC line is gone, but it can be done if needed.

And 1969 is light years in the past when Canada was a virtual extension of US and Ontario was a virtual state.  Today, passport, etc. is needed and you are likely to be questioned and searched by both the Mounties and the Feds.

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Posted by Anonymous on Saturday, February 4, 2012 5:00 PM

Amtrak was instructed by Congress, I believe, to study its operations, including long distance train operations, and develop plans to improve them.  Stakeholder focus groups were formed to address the problems, with the emphasis being on the worst performing trains first. 

The Texas Eagle/Sunset Limited group developed an excellent plan to improve the performance of the Eagle and Sunset Limited.  In a nutshell, the group recommended junking the Sunset Limited east of San Antonio, replacing it with a daily train between New Orleans and San Antonio, and running the Eagle on a daily basis between Chicago and LAX, with better call times at several markets that are now served in the middle of the night.  

What came of it?  Nothing!  Amtrak's go along to get along management appears to have dropped the idea. And as long as the current management crowd is in charge, very little in the way of improvements is likely to happen. But why should they. As long as intercity passenger trains are controlled by a government monopoly, where is the competitive pressure to do things better, faster, cheaper, with the operative word being better?

So don't hold your breath whilst looking for improvements for the Lake Shore Limited!

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Posted by conrailman on Saturday, February 4, 2012 6:29 PM

UP Railroad wants 700 Million from Amtrak to put the Texas Eagle to daily.

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Posted by Anonymous on Saturday, February 4, 2012 10:53 PM

conrailman

UP Railroad wants 700 Million from Amtrak to put the Texas Eagle to daily. 

That's the rumor!  I haven's seen any hard data to back it up.  

A top drawer CEO in a highly competitive business would slice and dice the UP numbers, assuming that they are based on something more than thin air, and would make UP prove that its numbers are supported properly. Moreover, given that Amtrak is a creature of the federal government, he would pull every political lever at his disposal to force UP to supports its cost estimates.

Perhaps Amtrak's management has pushed back on the UP.  But I doubt it.  It seems to be a go along to get along crowd. This impression was supported by an article in the latest issue of Trains, which described Amtrak as an organization at war with itself.  

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Posted by conrailman on Saturday, February 4, 2012 11:51 PM

It was few weeks back on Trains Newswire about UP wants 700 million from Amtrak.

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Posted by daveklepper on Sunday, February 5, 2012 4:06 AM

Routing through Canada would require customs inspections, which could result in delays.

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Posted by oltmannd on Sunday, February 5, 2012 8:25 AM

daveklepper

Routing through Canada would require customs inspections, which could result in delays.

You could "seal" the train and not make stops between Niagara Falls NY and Detroit.

I can see the logic of rerouting the LSL from Toledo up to Detroit  and then on to Chicago.  You'd hit more population that way and once the old Michigan Central is upgraded to higher speed, the overall running time won't be hurt.

There are multiple lines from Toledo to Detroit and they are all pretty slow at present.  A bunch of dollars would have to be spent fixing one of them up for decent passenger running times and improved capacity.  

In the 80's one of the Chicago - Detroit trains made the turn at Detroit and went to Toledo, making a good connection with the LSL.  I used it once to get to Ann Arbor from Philadelphia. 

Long distance trains are not, and can't be about end to end running times.  Airplanes just crush them in this regard, and have for 50 years.  They are more about the non-endpoint cities they serve, particularly in the east.  Giving up Cleveland to save a few minutes would be a bad idea.

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, February 5, 2012 9:02 AM

conrailman

It was few weeks back on Trains Newswire about UP wants 700 million from Amtrak. 

The key question in my mind is where did Newswire get its information?  Unless someone at Amtrak or UP who was in on the negotiations or had worked up the numbers leaked the information to Newswire, I suspect that the author was reporting incomplete information.  

My main point, however, is not the $700 or whatever it is million.  My point is that Amtrak's management may have caved prematurely rather than push the issue.  

The UP hoists the Eagle daily.  It had been on a three day a week schedule similar to the Sunset for years. When Amtrak upgraded the Eagle to daily, did it have to pay UP an upgrade investment?  Or did it go along because Senator Hutchison made it clear that she wanted it to run daily and amongst other things stop at Mineola, Texas?  Equally problematic, if the UP can hoist the Sunset on its current schedule, what upgrades would it need to make to handle the train on a daily basis?  

 

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Posted by henry6 on Sunday, February 5, 2012 9:30 AM

Getting into population centers and marketing have to be compatible.  RUnning the LS from Toledo to Detroit to Chicago to hit more population centers while adding hours to the trip is counter to marketing a viable service.  Detroit-Chicago Service should be able to stand on its own; likewise Cleveland-Toledo-Chicago service.  The question then is there sufficient evidence that Detroit-Toledo is a marketable corridor?  All this has nothing to to with the Lake Shore Service NY to Chicago.

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Posted by oltmannd on Sunday, February 5, 2012 11:24 AM

henry6

Getting into population centers and marketing have to be compatible.  RUnning the LS from Toledo to Detroit to Chicago to hit more population centers while adding hours to the trip is counter to marketing a viable service.  Detroit-Chicago Service should be able to stand on its own; likewise Cleveland-Toledo-Chicago service.  The question then is there sufficient evidence that Detroit-Toledo is a marketable corridor?  All this has nothing to to with the Lake Shore Service NY to Chicago.

How about Syracuse/Rochester/Buffalo to Detroit/Dearborn/Ann Arbor?

It won't add hours to the trip when Detroit - Porter is all 110 mph and Toledo to Porter is 79 mph, particularly if you can get Toldeo - Detroit down to an hour.

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Posted by henry6 on Sunday, February 5, 2012 1:10 PM

As I said earlier, it has to make sense to cut off Buffalo-Erie-Cleveland-Toledo service for the sake of the extra milage and time and either sealing the train from Buffalo/Niagra Falls to Detroit or having four sets of gestopo poring through everybody's luggage while offering of  pop quizes on your life history and that of your parents and first grade teacher, too.  If there is a need for Buffalo/Niagra Falls to Detroit service, it would be a Via train because it would need Canadian stops to bolster its use. If it is a matter of giving LS customers access to Detroit, then maybe a Toledo-Detroit train may be better for Amtrak coffers.   We don't have the marketing research, the riders' origination and destination numbers nor frequency numbers, operating cost (equipment, crews, track rental, assigned costs by the hosts, government charges for agents and supervision, etc.).  So we wag until real numbers and deteminations are told to us.

 

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Posted by Dragoman on Sunday, February 5, 2012 1:42 PM

oltmannd

It won't add hours to the trip when Detroit - Porter is all 110 mph and Toledo to Porter is 79 mph, particularly if you can get Toldeo - Detroit down to an hour.

Get Toledo - Detroit down to an hour? 

NYC's original Mercury did it in an hour or 1:05 (depending on direction) in 1936!  Have track conditions so deteriorated that we can't beat that now, 75 years later?!?

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Posted by dakotafred on Sunday, February 5, 2012 6:14 PM

Remembering the 1950s and even the 1960s, I can't help feeling wistful about what might be done with the Cleveland-Chicago market, if the right magic wand were waved. I know that, at 341 miles on the old Water Level Route, this is stretching the definition of a do-able corridor, especially at 79 mph. But the present middle-of-the-night schedules  don't begin to do justice to the high-population potential of this route.

You shoulda been there ... even after the heyday had passed! Then, too, you also had the immensely civilized service of the NKP between the same end points. For an exotic routing -- still true in the '60s -- you could go to Galion, O., on the old Big Four and make a close connection with the E-L's westbound Lake Cities.

One of the comforts of getting old today is having been around to enjoy some of these adventures 45-50 years ago. (And I realize this is a pale shadow of what the real oldsters among us can remember!)

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, February 6, 2012 4:56 AM

Dragoman

 

 oltmannd:

 

It won't add hours to the trip when Detroit - Porter is all 110 mph and Toledo to Porter is 79 mph, particularly if you can get Toldeo - Detroit down to an hour.

 

 

Get Toledo - Detroit down to an hour? 

NYC's original Mercury did it in an hour or 1:05 (depending on direction) in 1936!  Have track conditions so deteriorated that we can't beat that now, 75 years later?!?

It's not track conditions per se, but that the routes are not oriented to mixed service.  I believe Amtrak's Lake Cities (?) took >90 minutes to make the trip during the 80s.  I'll try to look it up.

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, February 6, 2012 7:22 AM

oltmannd

 

 Dragoman:

 

 

 oltmannd:

 

It won't add hours to the trip when Detroit - Porter is all 110 mph and Toledo to Porter is 79 mph, particularly if you can get Toldeo - Detroit down to an hour.

 

 

Get Toledo - Detroit down to an hour? 

NYC's original Mercury did it in an hour or 1:05 (depending on direction) in 1936!  Have track conditions so deteriorated that we can't beat that now, 75 years later?!?

 

 

It's not track conditions per se, but that the routes are not oriented to mixed service.  I believe Amtrak's Lake Cities (?) took >90 minutes to make the trip during the 80s.  I'll try to look it up.

Looked it up.  It was the "Lake Cities".  1:45 from Detroit to Toledo.  1:40 Toledo to Detroit.  Ran on Conrail ex-Michigan Central line.  Fall 87 public timetable.  

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, February 6, 2012 1:59 PM

Sam1

 

 conrailman:

 

UP Railroad wants 700 Million from Amtrak to put the Texas Eagle to daily. 

 

That's the rumor!  I haven's seen any hard data to back it up.  

A top drawer CEO in a highly competitive business would slice and dice the UP numbers, assuming that they are based on something more than thin air, and would make UP prove that its numbers are supported properly. Moreover, given that Amtrak is a creature of the federal government, he would pull every political lever at his disposal to force UP to supports its cost estimates.

Perhaps Amtrak's management has pushed back on the UP.  But I doubt it.  It seems to be a go along to get along crowd. This impression was supported by an article in the latest issue of Trains, which described Amtrak as an organization at war with itself.  

Fact. http://trn.trains.com/Railroad%20News/News%20Wire/2012/01/Boardman%20Amtrak%20wont%20push%20for%20daily%20Sunset.aspx

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Posted by NKP guy on Monday, February 6, 2012 7:02 PM

Now here is an appalling idea, if I ever heard of one.  To seriously consider such an absurd proposal is indeed a waste of time.  I'll not repeat the two very convincing arguments about the extra time and security necessary, but I'll add a question which I think will put paid to this silly idea:

How many Congressmen and Senators in four states will be affected?  How many Congressmen or Senators does the Province of Ontario send to the US Congress?   Capice?  

Why on earth would any Congressman vote for an idea that not only deprives his constituents of a service they are paying for, but ships it to another country?

Proposals such as this must be dreamt up by people who don't understand the realities of politics.



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Posted by Prioritytimberland on Monday, February 6, 2012 7:06 PM

The Lake Shore Limited splits at Albany-Rensselaer right? Well how about spliting the whole route? North route would be Chicago-Detroit-Buffalo-Albany-Boston with no stops in Ontario. Schedule it so the Ontario travel is during the night. South route would be Chicago-Toledo-Cleveland-Buffalo-Albany-New York. Work out a complementary time schedule. There is a much greater population base on the Chicago-Detroit route than the Chicago-Toledo route.

 

 

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Posted by dakotafred on Tuesday, February 7, 2012 6:29 AM

Priority: See post by NKP above.

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Posted by henry6 on Tuesday, February 7, 2012 7:48 AM

Yeah, Priority, like NKP said, politics and politicians play a big role.  But also a passenger survey or marketing survey would have to prove the need for the service: how many people need travel to and from Detroit from points east of Buffalo/Niagra Falls? Could service be less costly with a Toledo-Detroit train? Lots more questions to be answered to decide to think about it.

 

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, February 7, 2012 8:47 AM

NKP guy

Now here is an appalling idea, if I ever heard of one.  To seriously consider such an absurd proposal is indeed a waste of time.  I'll not repeat the two very convincing arguments about the extra time and security necessary, but I'll add a question which I think will put paid to this silly idea:

How many Congressmen and Senators in four states will be affected?  How many Congressmen or Senators does the Province of Ontario send to the US Congress?   Capice?  

Why on earth would any Congressman vote for an idea that not only deprives his constituents of a service they are paying for, but ships it to another country?

Proposals such as this must be dreamt up by people who don't understand the realities of politics.


In the 1970s, Amtrak operated the Niagara Rainbow which ran Detroit to NYC thru Ontario.  What killed it was Conrail's CS route vaporizing out from under it.

The reality here doesn't even make it to the political sphere.  It's straight up economics.  There is no possibility of adding additional LD train service.  Boardman has said so many times in many ways.  So the only question in play revolves around improving the economics of the LSL.  Would it make sense to add an hour to the LSL to pick up Detroit and the rest of post-industrial Michigan at the expense of rural/RV Indiana?

Certainly from a market size view it does.  But the practical considerations might be too much.  Can you add the time and still make connections to the afternoon western LD trains in Chicago?  Can you secure a reasonable route and running time from Toledo to Detroit at a reasonable price?  How soon until Kalamazoo to Detroit is rebuilt and up to 110mph?

If you can get from Toledo to Detroit in about an hour, and then the 110 mph running west from Detroit gets you that hour back, then why not do it?

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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Tuesday, February 7, 2012 10:06 AM

I believe that Amtrak's study of a possible reroute of the "Lake Shore Limited" is analogous to CTA's study in 1958 of a proposed operation of PCC's on the CA&E between Forest Park and Wheaton.  The study is being done to mollify various critics or because of a Congressional mandate but isn't really a serious proposal.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Tuesday, February 7, 2012 4:25 PM

I don't believe the train would be rerouted via Canada for all the reasons already stated.  I think Indiana and its cities served would object strongly to being bypassed.  The Toledo-Detroit-Chicago route has already been tried and failed.  Even if this new train would eliminate the transfer at Toledo and Michigan speeds were improved, there are so many stops on the present Detroit-Chicago stretch, some would have to be eliminated to keep reasonable time.  This is what is done on the present Lakeshore thru NY where many stops are eliminated Buffalo-NY City, and you must transfer to make those stops.  So they would effectively recreate the Toledo-Detroit-Chicago scenario, which as we said failed.

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Posted by henry6 on Tuesday, February 7, 2012 7:41 PM

There are some marketing possiblities, though.  A Toledo-Detroit train could take a car or two off the LS or any Chi to the east train and deliver one or two back.  It could stub and return at Detroit, could use a crew from Chi to Det then to Toledo or whatever.  It could be tied to a Via schedule to Toronto.  It could be tied to a Toledo to ??? (Cincinnati, Columbus, Cleveland, Tallahassee, I don't know).  It could be a Michigan-Ohio state's train not Amtrak.  It could be Detroit-Toledo-Indianapolis-St. Louis.  It nees market research and market imaginaiton. 

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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, February 9, 2012 5:01 AM

MidlandMike

I don't believe the train would be rerouted via Canada for all the reasons already stated.  I think Indiana and its cities served would object strongly to being bypassed.  The Toledo-Detroit-Chicago route has already been tried and failed.  Even if this new train would eliminate the transfer at Toledo and Michigan speeds were improved, there are so many stops on the present Detroit-Chicago stretch, some would have to be eliminated to keep reasonable time.  This is what is done on the present Lakeshore thru NY where many stops are eliminated Buffalo-NY City, and you must transfer to make those stops.  So they would effectively recreate the Toledo-Detroit-Chicago scenario, which as we said failed.

"Many" = 3.  Rome, Rhinecliff, Hudson

"Cities" in Indiana = Elkhart, South Bend, Waterloo.  (and the South Bend folk would just have to scoot up to Niles) .  Kalamazoo, Jackson and Battle Creek easily trump those for market size.  Detroit, Dearborn and Ann Arbor are the real prize, though.  Other locations in Michigan can be skipped...no biggie.

Current running time for the LSL  is about 4:30.  Current MI trains about 5:30.  Drop 1:00 for 110 mph when it happens and add back in 1:00 for Toledo to Detroit.  1:00 total impact - for LD train riders, this is a non-factor.  Nobody rides LD trains for their trip times.

 

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