Appears that Hurricane Sally will hit somewhere around Gulfport, Ms. - Mobile, Al. The 2 MPH movement of the CAT 1 storm is going to allow a high storm surge and very heavy rain.
Question is will the storm surge wipe out the Sunset East route again ? That is Gulfport - Mobile - Flomaton - Pensacola - Cottonwood - Chattahoochee - Tallahassee. Gulfport - Pensacola is CSX. The status of Pensacola - Tallahassee which CSX has leased to will be much more likely to not be able to rebuild ?
Also the Bay line from Pensacola - Cottonwood - Dothan may get substantial damage ? Finally the Apalachicola Northern from Apalachicola - Chattahoochee, Fl
Is the Sunset Route being impacted by the Apple fire?
We are getting rain from the "outer bands" now - and it looks like it will continue for a while. Crops and lawns have been seen cheering.
My home weather station is showing 1.1" since midnight, and just shy of 2" when combined with a small system that came through yesterday.
Larry Resident Microferroequinologist (at least at my house) Everyone goes home; Safety begins with you My Opinion. Standard Disclaimers Apply. No Expiration Date Come ride the rails with me! There's one thing about humility - the moment you think you've got it, you've lost it...
And it's fire season in California and British Columbia. What fun! I read somewhere where someone said, "California is great, we have beaches, mountains, the desert and every two years your house burns down."
A check after the 2300 NHC Isaias bulletin shows that Amtrak has not released any service bulletins although it has cut some Florida trains south of JAX. NJ Transit and New York's MTA have not issued any service bulletins.
So with less than 48 hours until Isaias comes abeam of NY City what if any thing are these agencies doing ?
This map shows the anticipated time at NY City. Of course it probably will change but right now about Tuesday night at 1159 the center just east of New York City. This chart is not a locked in chart but will change each time NHC has an update. Updates are 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 EDT
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/220230.shtml?cone#contents
The high tide chart for New York city shows Tuesday 0959 PM. .
https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/New-York-New-York/tides/latest
Currently, Isaias is predicted to be a tropical storm after it passes Florida but it will stay close to the coast. Storm surge will be a problem but the right side of the storm (storm track and wind direction are the same) will be on the seaward side.
Flintlock76Ya know, I'm tired of hurricanes. Is there some way we can arrange for a volcano on the East Coast somewhere? THAT'D be different!
The East Coast doesn't have plate tectonics acting to create the Ring of Fire that exists around the Pacific Ocean shores.
Fortunately the Gulf Stream ocean current tends to act as a 'steering agent' and thus many of the storm systems get caught in it and thus end up skirting the East Coast and in some cases follow the Gulf Steam clear across the Atlantic to Great Britain.
Never too old to have a happy childhood!
Ya know, I'm tired of hurricanes. Is there some way we can arrange for a volcano on the East Coast somewhere? THAT'D be different!
Hurricane Isaias latest track over New York City. Hope it will change track!
And there is a full moon Aug 3 - 4 . Arrival predicted NYC Tuesday afternoon Aug 4.
EDIT day corrected
Superstorm Sandy was a bit unusual in that not only was there going to be the typical hurricane storm surge, but the storm was also going to hit at the same time full-moon tides were to be expected, hence the severe flooding along the coasts and coastal rivers subject to tides.
blue streak 1 Tropical storm "FAY" heading toward NJ. Is the NJ - NY area taking care to avoid the damages that happened when "Sandy" hit a few years ago ?
Tropical storm "FAY" heading toward NJ. Is the NJ - NY area taking care to avoid the damages that happened when "Sandy" hit a few years ago ?
A couple of hams checking into a net this morning from the NYC area spoke of rain for about 12 hours straight, but mentioned nothing about storm conditions. Not that that's an official observation or forecast, but I would figure if they were going to get slammed Sandy-style, they'd have mentioned it.
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