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2020 hurricane season.

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2020 hurricane season.
Posted by blue streak 1 on Friday, July 10, 2020 5:23 AM

Tropical storm "FAY"  heading toward NJ.  Is the NJ - NY area taking care to avoid the damages that happened when "Sandy" hit a few years ago ?

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Posted by tree68 on Friday, July 10, 2020 7:18 AM

blue streak 1

Tropical storm "FAY"  heading toward NJ.  Is the NJ - NY area taking care to avoid the damages that happened when "Sandy" hit a few years ago ?

A couple of hams checking into a net this morning from the NYC area spoke of rain for about 12 hours straight, but mentioned nothing about storm conditions.  Not that that's an official observation or forecast, but I would figure if they were going to get slammed Sandy-style, they'd have mentioned it.

LarryWhistling
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Posted by Flintlock76 on Friday, July 10, 2020 8:36 AM

Superstorm Sandy was a bit unusual in that not only was there going to be the typical hurricane storm surge, but the storm was also going to hit at the same time full-moon tides were to be expected, hence the severe flooding along the coasts and coastal rivers subject to tides.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Friday, July 31, 2020 9:15 PM

Hurricane Isaias latest track over New York City.  Hope it will change track!

And there is a full moon Aug 3 - 4 .  Arrival predicted NYC Tuesday afternoon Aug 4.

EDIT day corrected

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Posted by Flintlock76 on Friday, July 31, 2020 9:19 PM

Ya know, I'm tired of hurricanes.  Is there some way we can arrange for a volcano on the East Coast somewhere?  THAT'D be different!  Wink

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Posted by BaltACD on Friday, July 31, 2020 10:15 PM

Flintlock76
Ya know, I'm tired of hurricanes.  Is there some way we can arrange for a volcano on the East Coast somewhere?  THAT'D be different!  Wink

The East Coast doesn't have plate tectonics acting to create the Ring of Fire that exists around the Pacific Ocean shores.

Fortunately the Gulf Stream ocean current tends to act as a 'steering agent' and thus many of the storm systems get caught in it and thus end up skirting the East Coast and in some cases follow the Gulf Steam clear across the Atlantic to Great Britain.

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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Saturday, August 1, 2020 10:07 AM

Currently, Isaias is predicted to be a tropical storm after it passes Florida but it will stay close to the coast.  Storm surge will be a problem but the right side of the storm (storm track and wind direction are the same) will be on the seaward side.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2020 6:07 PM

This map shows the anticipated time at NY City.  Of course it probably will change but right now about Tuesday night at 1159 the center just east of New York City.  This chart is not a locked in chart but will change each time NHC has an update.  Updates are 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300  EDT 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/220230.shtml?cone#contents 

The high tide chart for New York city shows Tuesday 0959 PM.   .

https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/New-York-New-York/tides/latest

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Sunday, August 2, 2020 10:27 PM

A check after the 2300 NHC Isaias bulletin shows that Amtrak has not released any service bulletins although it has cut some Florida trains south of JAX.  NJ Transit and New York's MTA have not issued any service bulletins.  

So with less than 48 hours until Isaias comes abeam of NY City what if any thing are these agencies doing ?

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Posted by 54light15 on Monday, August 3, 2020 10:40 PM

And it's fire season in California and British Columbia. What fun! I read somewhere where someone said, "California is great, we have beaches, mountains, the desert and every two years your house burns down." 

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Posted by tree68 on Tuesday, August 4, 2020 9:36 AM

We are getting rain from the "outer bands" now - and it looks like it will continue for a while.  Crops and lawns have been seen cheering.

My home weather station is showing 1.1" since midnight, and just shy of 2" when combined with a small system that came through yesterday.

LarryWhistling
Resident Microferroequinologist (at least at my house) 
Everyone goes home; Safety begins with you
My Opinion. Standard Disclaimers Apply. No Expiration Date
Come ride the rails with me!
There's one thing about humility - the moment you think you've got it, you've lost it...

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Posted by rdamon on Tuesday, August 4, 2020 9:37 AM

Is the Sunset Route being impacted by the Apple fire?

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Tuesday, September 15, 2020 7:26 AM

Appears that Hurricane Sally will hit somewhere around Gulfport, Ms. - Mobile, Al.  The 2 MPH movement of the CAT 1 storm is going to allow a high storm surge and very heavy rain.  

 

Question is will the storm surge wipe out the Sunset East route again ?  That is Gulfport - Mobile - Flomaton - Pensacola - Cottonwood - Chattahoochee - Tallahassee.  Gulfport - Pensacola is CSX.  The status of Pensacola - Tallahassee which CSX has leased to        will be much more likely to not be able to rebuild ?

Also the Bay line from Pensacola - Cottonwood - Dothan may get substantial  damage ?  Finally the Apalachicola Northern from Apalachicola - Chattahoochee, Fl

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