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Big, Bad, New Fred Frailey

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Posted by oltmannd on Friday, July 13, 2018 5:40 AM

MidlandMike
You picked probably the lightest traveled segment between KC and ABQ.  I checked tomorrow and the day after from ABQ to LAX, and there is only one roomette left both days.  A multi-stop trip can't reasonably expect to be full between every stop.

Correct.  The SW Chief is really three trains.  An LA to Albequerque day train, Chicago to KC day train, and an overnight train through southern Kansas.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Friday, July 13, 2018 7:14 PM

No. Four trains:  An LA to ALB overnight/morning train, ALB to  Lamar, CO day train, an overnight train through southern Kansas, and a day train KC to CHI..

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Posted by MidlandMike on Saturday, July 14, 2018 9:44 PM

charlie hebdo

 ....  Subsidizing rail transportation is sensible; subsidizing rail cruises is not.

 

I couldn't agree more.  The problem is that some people here trivialize Amtrak LD trains as cruise trains.  I have ridden virtually every LD train, and in talking to passengers in lounges and dining cars, I find people ride the train for different lengths and for different transportation purposes.

There have been a number of private cruise trains in the U.S. with scant offerings, and yet even these have gone out of business.  This indicates the cruise market is so small, that you can't explain away more than a small fraction of LD passengers as true cruise seekers.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Saturday, July 14, 2018 10:19 PM

oltmannd

 

 
MidlandMike
You picked probably the lightest traveled segment between KC and ABQ.  I checked tomorrow and the day after from ABQ to LAX, and there is only one roomette left both days.  A multi-stop trip can't reasonably expect to be full between every stop.

 

Correct.  The SW Chief is really three trains.  An LA to Albequerque day train, Chicago to KC day train, and an overnight train through southern Kansas.

 

I rode the SWC, and Albequerque to LA is definitely not a day train.  Perhaps you meant it to be rescheduled as a day train, but at 17 hours travel time, that is one long day train.

To break up the SWC into 3 distinct trains is an artificial construct, as there is much overlap between all your segments, and some who travel the entire distance.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Monday, July 16, 2018 8:14 AM

MidlandMike

 

 
charlie hebdo

 ....  Subsidizing rail transportation is sensible; subsidizing rail cruises is not.

 

 

 

I couldn't agree more.  The problem is that some people here trivialize Amtrak LD trains as cruise trains.  I have ridden virtually every LD train, and in talking to passengers in lounges and dining cars, I find people ride the train for different lengths and for different transportation purposes.

There have been a number of private cruise trains in the U.S. with scant offerings, and yet even these have gone out of business.  This indicates the cruise market is so small, that you can't explain away more than a small fraction of LD passengers as true cruise seekers.

 

Cruise trains offered by private operations (often tacked on to an Amtrak LD train such as the CNO) are more expensive then Amtrak LD services because the operating costs must be covered in the fare + a profit made.  Less of the public is willing to pay for that when the Amtrak service is subsidized and cheaper.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Monday, July 16, 2018 9:01 PM

charlie hebdo
Cruise trains offered by private operations (often tacked on to an Amtrak LD train such as the CNO) are more expensive then Amtrak LD services because the operating costs must be covered in the fare + a profit made.  Less of the public is willing to pay for that when the Amtrak service is subsidized and cheaper.

I would guess that your definition of a cruse train passenger would be any one that travels by sleeper (although I know some that traveled by sleeper, traveling by train rather than flying for medical reasons).  Even if you count all the sleepers, they are only about 15% of LD passengers.  Are you telling me that the mass of coach passengers are sitting up for two days, for a cruise train experience?

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Monday, July 16, 2018 9:05 PM

MidlandMike

 

 
charlie hebdo
Cruise trains offered by private operations (often tacked on to an Amtrak LD train such as the CNO) are more expensive then Amtrak LD services because the operating costs must be covered in the fare + a profit made.  Less of the public is willing to pay for that when the Amtrak service is subsidized and cheaper.

 

I would guess that your definition of a cruse train passenger would be any one that travels by sleeper (although I know some that traveled by sleeper, traveling by train rather than flying for medical reasons).  Even if you count all the sleepers, they are only about 15% of LD passengers.  Are you telling me that the mass of coach passengers are sitting up for two days, for a cruise train experience?

 

Other posts in the past have shown that the majority of those western LD trains' coach passengers ride between intermediate points.  They could be served far better by twice daily day trains between major intermediate cities, as Oltmann suggested for the SWC.

 

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Posted by MidlandMike on Monday, July 16, 2018 9:41 PM

charlie hebdo
Other posts in the past have shown that the majority of those western LD trains' coach passengers ride between intermediate points.  They could be served far better by twice daily day trains between major intermediate cities, as Oltmann suggested for the SWC.

The SWC has a load factor of 65%.  For comparison a close-by corridor, KC-STL has a load factor of 31%, and their two round trips carry a total of half the passengers of the SWC.  That corridor hardly sounds like it is better serving its market.

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Posted by oltmannd on Friday, July 20, 2018 5:25 PM

MidlandMike
I rode the SWC, and Albequerque to LA is definitely not a day train.  Perhaps you meant it to be rescheduled as a day train, but at 17 hours travel time, that is one long day train.

Yes.  But, now you have a SW tourist market train.  You do LA to Grand Canyon, for example, at reasonable hours of the day.  (Rule: Run trains where people are when they are awake.)

MidlandMike
To break up the SWC into 3 distinct trains is an artificial construct, as there is much overlap between all your segments, and some who travel the entire distance.

Current riders, there are some, but train is still not even close to full between KC and Albequerque.  So, you'd be trading some OD pairs with a some current riders for other OD pairs with many more riders netting a "win" for the train.  More riders, more revenue, lower costs.

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Posted by cx500 on Saturday, July 21, 2018 12:45 AM

charlie hebdo
Other posts in the past have shown that the majority of those western LD trains' coach passengers ride between intermediate points. They could be served far better by twice daily day trains between major intermediate cities, as Oltmann suggested for the SWC.

Superficially that sounds good, but only if you assume both intermediate points are within that major city pairing.  No doubt many are, but what proportion?

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Posted by oltmannd on Saturday, July 21, 2018 4:05 PM

There's a difference between a "cruise train" and a "tourism oriented".  I would agree that Amtrak should not be in the business of running subsidized "cruise trains".  Having daylight schedules that are timed to attract tourists and actively marketing that would just be part of making Amtrak "better".

BTW, has anyone ever taken a look at Amtrak Tours?  I looked at one for some western national parks.  The tour was:  

-take the train to SLC

-rent a car

-drive to park on your own

-do pre-paid group tour

-drive to next park

-lather, rinse, repeat.

Might as well just drive the whole thing....

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by MidlandMike on Saturday, July 21, 2018 10:00 PM

oltmannd

 

 
MidlandMike
I rode the SWC, and Albequerque to LA is definitely not a day train.  Perhaps you meant it to be rescheduled as a day train, but at 17 hours travel time, that is one long day train.

 

Yes.  But, now you have a SW tourist market train.  You do LA to Grand Canyon, for example, at reasonable hours of the day.  (Rule: Run trains where people are when they are awake.)

 

 
MidlandMike
To break up the SWC into 3 distinct trains is an artificial construct, as there is much overlap between all your segments, and some who travel the entire distance.

 

Current riders, there are some, but train is still not even close to full between KC and Albequerque.  So, you'd be trading some OD pairs with a some current riders for other OD pairs with many more riders netting a "win" for the train.  More riders, more revenue, lower costs.

 

I don't agree with your speculation that segmenting the SWC for shorter daylight runs would net more riders or revenue.  Presently on the SWC, Chicago-LA is the second top city pair by ridership, and the top by revenue.

https://www.railpassengers.org/site/assets/files/3439/28.pdf

If those shoter runs to CHI-KC and LA-Flagstaff would be more heavily patronized, then the states could run added corridor trains without much fear of having to providing big subsidy.  Of course if the SWC was discontinued, the states would be totally on the hook to make up any losses on remaining short segments.

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Posted by oltmannd on Sunday, July 22, 2018 1:55 PM

MidlandMike

 

 
oltmannd

 

 
MidlandMike
I rode the SWC, and Albequerque to LA is definitely not a day train.  Perhaps you meant it to be rescheduled as a day train, but at 17 hours travel time, that is one long day train.

 

Yes.  But, now you have a SW tourist market train.  You do LA to Grand Canyon, for example, at reasonable hours of the day.  (Rule: Run trains where people are when they are awake.)

 

 
MidlandMike
To break up the SWC into 3 distinct trains is an artificial construct, as there is much overlap between all your segments, and some who travel the entire distance.

 

Current riders, there are some, but train is still not even close to full between KC and Albequerque.  So, you'd be trading some OD pairs with a some current riders for other OD pairs with many more riders netting a "win" for the train.  More riders, more revenue, lower costs.

 

 

 

I don't agree with your speculation that segmenting the SWC for shorter daylight runs would net more riders or revenue.  Presently on the SWC, Chicago-LA is the second top city pair by ridership, and the top by revenue.

https://www.railpassengers.org/site/assets/files/3439/28.pdf

If those shoter runs to CHI-KC and LA-Flagstaff would be more heavily patronized, then the states could run added corridor trains without much fear of having to providing big subsidy.  Of course if the SWC was discontinued, the states would be totally on the hook to make up any losses on remaining short segments.

 

You don't have to give up anything.  Just make LA - Albequerque daylight, 7 hours dwell in Albequerque, mostly daylight to KC, 7 hours dwell in KC, then existing schedule to Chicago.  Same for the reverse - making daylight train from Albequerque to LA. 

Serving Flagstaff and Winslow EB in the dead of night kill any Grand Canyon tourist traffic the train might get...

The long dwells allow the train to be switched into a smaller, one unit train between Albequerque to KC (on P42 can get a half dozen cars over Raton, easy.).  It also allows a "reset" so that the east and west end portion of the trains run more reliably.  And, I'm sure the folks in the middle of Kansas wouldn't complain if the train ran while they were awake.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Sunday, July 22, 2018 9:03 PM

oltmannd
You don't have to give up anything.  Just make LA - Albequerque daylight, 7 hours dwell in Albequerque, mostly daylight to KC, 7 hours dwell in KC, then existing schedule to Chicago.  Same for the reverse - making daylight train from Albequerque to LA.  Serving Flagstaff and Winslow EB in the dead of night kill any Grand Canyon tourist traffic the train might get... The long dwells allow the train to be switched into a smaller, one unit train between Albequerque to KC (on P42 can get a half dozen cars over Raton, easy.).  It also allows a "reset" so that the east and west end portion of the trains run more reliably.  And, I'm sure the folks in the middle of Kansas wouldn't complain if the train ran while they were awake.

The only thing worse than getting off the train in the wee hours of the morning in a small Kansas town, would be to sit up in the darkness for 7 hours while parked at KC Union Station prior to getting off at the small town station.  For those making the CHI-LA trip (remember its the second top city pair) its a 3 day trip instead of a 2 day trip.  CHI-ALB, CHI-Flagstaff, and LA-KC were also popular city pairs.  Of course that also hurts equipment utilization, and increases labor costs.  Take an efficiency lesson from the major airlines-- their jets don't sit on the ground at night-- the word is "red-eye".

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Posted by BaltACD on Sunday, July 22, 2018 10:44 PM

MidlandMike
 
oltmannd
You don't have to give up anything.  Just make LA - Albequerque daylight, 7 hours dwell in Albequerque, mostly daylight to KC, 7 hours dwell in KC, then existing schedule to Chicago.  Same for the reverse - making daylight train from Albequerque to LA.  Serving Flagstaff and Winslow EB in the dead of night kill any Grand Canyon tourist traffic the train might get... The long dwells allow the train to be switched into a smaller, one unit train between Albequerque to KC (on P42 can get a half dozen cars over Raton, easy.).  It also allows a "reset" so that the east and west end portion of the trains run more reliably.  And, I'm sure the folks in the middle of Kansas wouldn't complain if the train ran while they were awake. 

The only thing worse than getting off the train in the wee hours of the morning in a small Kansas town, would be to sit up in the darkness for 7 hours while parked at KC Union Station prior to getting off at the small town station.  For those making the CHI-LA trip (remember its the second top city pair) its a 3 day trip instead of a 2 day trip.  CHI-ALB, CHI-Flagstaff, and LA-KC were also popular city pairs.  Of course that also hurts equipment utilization, and increases labor costs.  Take an efficiency lesson from the major airlines-- their jets don't sit on the ground at night-- the word is "red-eye".

We are only running check books - who cares what the customers wants or thinks.  Leave it to the customer to spoil the plans.  Of course, Anderson doesn't want any customers - customers want some service and service costs money.

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Posted by RailEagle on Monday, July 23, 2018 12:31 AM

My personal idea is to completely demolish Amtrak’s intercity schedule from the ground up. First I would split the trains into two types: Tourist and A to B. The tourist trains would all run through scenic/tourist  areas in the daylight at slower speeds with more luxury accommodations and with some thing like ”Scenic“ at the end of the route name. (Example: Coast Starlight Scenic). Also I think these trains could be privatized at some point, if profitable or eliminated as these focus less on Amtraks directive to provide intercity service. Next would be the A to B routes which would run day and night and skip all the little towns and stop at city’s with 100k plus populations. Also they would be run more like an airline with more bare bones accommodations and the Dining Car would be eliminated. These would have “Express” added to the end of the name. (Example:Coast Starlight Express). These would not likely be privatized as these follow Amtrak’s directive more closely. The NEC and state funded routes would not be affected.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Monday, July 23, 2018 8:51 AM

Sounds good.  Some creative thinking.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Monday, July 23, 2018 8:59 AM

MidlandMike
Take an efficiency lesson from the major airlines-- their jets don't sit on the ground at night-- the word is "red-eye".

Very few "red eyes" (departures after 10:00 pm) from/to major hubs as there were in the 1980s.

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Posted by BaltACD on Monday, July 23, 2018 9:34 AM

MidlandMike
 Take an efficiency lesson from the major airlines-- their jets don't sit on the ground at night-- the word is "red-eye".

So in your world planes are in the air all the time and are never on the ground for maintenance.  So they just load - fly - unload - reload - fly and repeat.  Sounds kind of unsafe to me.

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, July 23, 2018 10:09 AM

MidlandMike
For those making the CHI-LA trip (remember its the second top city pair) its a 3 day trip instead of a 2 day trip.

I doubt you'd lose a single rider because of this.  Anyone in a hurry would fly.  

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, July 23, 2018 10:12 AM

MidlandMike
The only thing worse than getting off the train in the wee hours of the morning in a small Kansas town, would be to sit up in the darkness for 7 hours while parked at KC Union Station prior to getting off at the small town station

 

But, they could grab a hotel room for a snooze.  Not so terrible....  And half the price of a roomette.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, July 23, 2018 10:15 AM

MidlandMike
Take an efficiency lesson from the major airlines-- their jets don't sit on the ground at night-- the word is "red-eye".

Most jets DO sit at night.  There just aren't that many red-eyes compared to daylight flights.  Airlines use overnight to do a "reset" and geteverything set for the next day should weather et.al. SANFU the current day.

Putting some long dwells and/or overnight stops in Amtrak LD schedules would give Amtrak the same ability....

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by cbq9911a on Monday, July 23, 2018 3:01 PM

cx500

The long distance routes serve three sets of customers.  The first set of customers are long distance travelers going to or connecting through Chicago.

The second set of customers are people going from point A to point B, i.e. Flagstaff to Galesburg.

The third set of customers are people going from a major city to an intermediate destination, i.e. Los Angeles to the Grand Canyon.

Amtrak's current operation is optimized towards the first set of customers.  It serves the second set of customers reasonably well.  It doesn't serve the 3rd set of customers well.

To serve all the customers in a reasonable way, you need to add service.  A Los Angeles - Grand Canyon train and a Chicago - La Junta - Denver train.  That way, the 3 groups of customers get better service.

 

 
charlie hebdo
Other posts in the past have shown that the majority of those western LD trains' coach passengers ride between intermediate points. They could be served far better by twice daily day trains between major intermediate cities, as Oltmann suggested for the SWC.

 

Superficially that sounds good, but only if you assume both intermediate points are within that major city pairing.  No doubt many are, but what proportion?

 

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Posted by Convicted One on Monday, July 23, 2018 7:30 PM

RailEagle

My personal idea is to completely demolish Amtrak’s intercity schedule from the ground up. First I would split the trains into two types: Tourist and A to B. The tourist trains would all run through scenic/tourist  areas in the daylight at slower speeds with more luxury accommodations and with some thing like ”Scenic“ at the end of the route name. (Example: Coast Starlight Scenic). Also I think these trains could be privatized at some point, if profitable or eliminated as these focus less on Amtraks directive to provide intercity service. Next would be the A to B routes which would run day and night and skip all the little towns and stop at city’s with 100k plus populations. Also they would be run more like an airline with more bare bones accommodations and the Dining Car would be eliminated. These would have “Express” added to the end of the name. (Example:Coast Starlight Express). These would not likely be privatized as these follow Amtrak’s directive more closely. The NEC and state funded routes would not be affected.

 

Don't forget, many of those "weed patch" scheduled stops are the closest Amtrak access points for ~nearby~ sizeable towns not lucky enough to be located on Amtrak's pruned routemap.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Monday, July 23, 2018 9:56 PM

BaltACD

 

 
MidlandMike
 Take an efficiency lesson from the major airlines-- their jets don't sit on the ground at night-- the word is "red-eye".

 

So in your world planes are in the air all the time and are never on the ground for maintenance.  So they just load - fly - unload - reload - fly and repeat.  Sounds kind of unsafe to me.

 

Obviously the US airlines have figured it out as they have an impeccable safety record.  The context of my remark was that LD trains have better utilization running at night than the suggested parking overnight to eliminate overnight travel.  I hate red-eye flights, but sometimes they are the best alternative, especially on long flights eastward.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Monday, July 23, 2018 10:03 PM

oltmannd

 

 
MidlandMike
The only thing worse than getting off the train in the wee hours of the morning in a small Kansas town, would be to sit up in the darkness for 7 hours while parked at KC Union Station prior to getting off at the small town station

 

 

 

But, they could grab a hotel room for a snooze.  Not so terrible....  And half the price of a roomette.

 

In a 7 hour layover, you have to get off the train, find a hotel (not so many hotels near the station any more, so there is travel time) get a few hours sleep, and then back to the station.  Plus find dinner and breakfast.  Half the price of a roomette, for half a nights sleep.

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, July 24, 2018 11:23 AM

MidlandMike

 

 
oltmannd

 

 
MidlandMike
The only thing worse than getting off the train in the wee hours of the morning in a small Kansas town, would be to sit up in the darkness for 7 hours while parked at KC Union Station prior to getting off at the small town station

 

 

 

But, they could grab a hotel room for a snooze.  Not so terrible....  And half the price of a roomette.

 

 

 

In a 7 hour layover, you have to get off the train, find a hotel (not so many hotels near the station any more, so there is travel time) get a few hours sleep, and then back to the station.  Plus find dinner and breakfast.  Half the price of a roomette, for half a nights sleep.

 

You package it with the ticket, including the shuttle.  HIX/Hampton style breakfast included.  Six hours sleep in a stationary bed beats sitting a coach seat all night.

Still faster than driving...

 

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Posted by MidlandMike on Tuesday, July 24, 2018 9:02 PM

oltmannd
You package it with the ticket, including the shuttle.  HIX/Hampton style breakfast included.  Six hours sleep in a stationary bed beats sitting a coach seat all night. Still faster than driving...

Would you travel that way?  Remember many people who travel by train have physical challanges or are old, and can not get from bed to a train seat in a half hour.  Also this does not address the majority of coach travelers who will not spring for a hotel package.

Another thing is that CHI-KC (the top city pair) already has a slightly better schedule that what you seem to be proposing.  For your 7 hour layover, I imagine you envision getting into KC about 11PM and departing about 6AM.  Presently the train comes into KC at 10PM, and departs at 7:43AM.

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Posted by zardoz on Saturday, August 11, 2018 3:11 PM

BaltACD
We are only running check books - who cares what the customers wants or thinks.  Leave it to the customer to spoil the plans.  Of course, Anderson doesn't want any customers - customers want some service and service costs money.

Back from when Amtrak cared:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0MIkduzGx4

 

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Posted by BaltACD on Saturday, August 11, 2018 3:56 PM

zardoz
 
BaltACD
We are only running check books - who cares what the customers wants or thinks.  Leave it to the customer to spoil the plans.  Of course, Anderson doesn't want any customers - customers want some service and service costs money. 

Back from when Amtrak cared:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0MIkduzGx4

I live in the Baltimore/Washington media area - I can't remember when I have seen an Amtrak commercial trying to sell their services on the NEC or anywhere else in the country.  The only ads I can recall seeing are several billboards on I-95 in both directions advertising Auto-Train.

I guess it is easier to kill something if nobody knows it is there.

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