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$11 billion later, high speed rail in US drags along

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$11 billion later, high speed rail in US drags along
Posted by schlimm on Thursday, August 7, 2014 3:00 PM

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/07/us/delays-persist-for-us-high-speed-rail.html?module=Search&mabReward=relbias%3Aw%2C%7B%222%22%3A%22RI%3A12%22%7D

Critics say the mistake was putting the money into existing Amtrak (110 mph limit) services, rather than directly into projects.

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Posted by D.Carleton on Thursday, August 7, 2014 7:40 PM

So build high speed trains without upgrading or enhancing the conventional trains necessary to support them. Oh my, how American.

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Posted by schlimm on Thursday, August 7, 2014 8:06 PM

Building another high speed corridor outside the northeast would have demonstrated modern passenger railroading and gotten the public beyond the NEC enthusiastic for the possibilities for a real passenger rail service.  LD trains interest few beyond a small segment of the population.

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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Friday, August 8, 2014 7:21 AM

schlimm

Building another high speed corridor outside the northeast would have demonstrated modern passenger railroading and gotten the public beyond the NEC enthusiastic for the possibilities for a real passenger rail service.  LD trains interest few beyond a small segment of the population.

That's being tried in California, and look where it's been going.

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Posted by PNWRMNM on Friday, August 8, 2014 7:46 AM

I am flabergasted that the New York Times would print an article stating the obvious, the Emperor never had any clothes. What is the world coming to?!

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Posted by oltmannd on Friday, August 8, 2014 11:07 AM

schlimm

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/07/us/delays-persist-for-us-high-speed-rail.html?module=Search&mabReward=relbias%3Aw%2C%7B%222%22%3A%22RI%3A12%22%7D

Critics say the mistake was putting the money into existing Amtrak (110 mph limit) services, rather than directly into projects.

The problem is the money was sprinkled and not really invested.  The money was available on a "come and get it" basis.  There was no real goal behind the spending and it was spread out rather thinly.   

The lead time and regulations surrounding these kinds of projects tend to hurt their viability.

There is no "magic" speed.  It depends on what you're trying to accomplish.  79 mph might be a perfectly high enough speed some places.  High speed links in an established network is how the Europeans are going about it.  It seems to be a good model to follow.

Beefing up local mobility along proposed routes might be a better place to start.

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Posted by CG9602 on Friday, August 8, 2014 11:07 AM

OK -- I've been around this argument before.  If a TGV type train service is proposed, critics will label it a "billion dollar boondoggle," and a "rip-off that no one will ride."  Proposed a conventional yet faster speed train service and critics will complain that it isn't a TGV type bullet train.  I've experieced this sort of criticism here in Wisconsin.  Some folks will pan it and oppose it no matter what -- they'll simply change the objections.

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Posted by oltmannd on Friday, August 8, 2014 11:14 AM

CSSHEGEWISCH

schlimm

Building another high speed corridor outside the northeast would have demonstrated modern passenger railroading and gotten the public beyond the NEC enthusiastic for the possibilities for a real passenger rail service.  LD trains interest few beyond a small segment of the population.

That's being tried in California, and look where it's been going.

An interesting experiment - or a soap opera.  It's hard to tell which!

I suspect the CAHSR is going to wind up sort of half built and not very effective.  I'll bet they spent about 1/3 of the total and wind up with some nice, straight high speed track in the Central Valley hosting hourly, 110 mph San Joaquins.  

I don't know why they didn't start by building the HSR route from LA to Bakersfield.  That link gets them the most bang for the buck and makes the existing trains much more useful (actual, competitive LA to SF trains) while they improve the rest of the route.  They'd build a lot more enthusiasm among the public that way.

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Posted by oltmannd on Friday, August 8, 2014 11:35 AM

CG9602

OK -- I've been around this argument before.  If a TGV type train service is proposed, critics will label it a "billion dollar boondoggle," and a "rip-off that no one will ride."  Proposed a conventional yet faster speed train service and critics will complain that it isn't a TGV type bullet train.  I've experieced this sort of criticism here in Wisconsin.  Some folks will pan it and oppose it no matter what -- they'll simply change the objections.

The people who complain it's not a TGV tend to be of a progressive bent. HSR to them isn't so much about transportation utility, but about the ego boost from being "modern." 
Those that oppose conventional rail that is cheap to build, but requires an operating subsidy tend to be of a conservative bent.   To them, it's all about what they beleive are "free markets"- not cost/benefit.  
The trick is not finding concensus but building a common sense place in the middle.  There will always be fringe.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Friday, August 8, 2014 10:22 PM

oltmannd

An interesting experiment - or a soap opera.  It's hard to tell which!

I suspect the CAHSR is going to wind up sort of half built and not very effective.  I'll bet they spent about 1/3 of the total and wind up with some nice, straight high speed track in the Central Valley hosting hourly, 110 mph San Joaquins.  

I don't know why they didn't start by building the HSR route from LA to Bakersfield.  That link gets them the most bang for the buck and makes the existing trains much more useful (actual, competitive LA to SF trains) while they improve the rest of the route.  They'd build a lot more enthusiasm among the public that way.

I seem to remember that an influential congressman was from the south Central Valley, and he insisted it start there.  Also, as I remember from the CA HSR plan, they want to go to Bakersfield-Palmdale next to close the passenger rail gap.

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Posted by dakotafred on Saturday, August 9, 2014 7:17 AM

oltmannd

I don't know why they didn't start by building the HSR route from LA to Bakersfield.  That link gets them the most bang for the buck and makes the existing trains much more useful (actual, competitive LA to SF trains) while they improve the rest of the route.  They'd build a lot more enthusiasm among the public that way.

 
Too much NIMBY? Remember all the lawsuits and threats of lawsuits. It was easier for them to start where there were fewer people to complain. Of course, the first leg of their new railroad -- if built -- will run from nowhere to nowhere, and bleed money. But you can't have everything!
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Posted by CMStPnP on Saturday, August 9, 2014 9:31 AM
I think Chicago-Milwaukee, Chicago-St. Louis, and Chicago-Detroit have all been good investments and we need to wait for the reconstruction and additional frequencies to be added before we come down too hard on the money spent. Chicago-Milwaukee got a few million but nevertheless the ride is entirely CWR now and a little faster with added capacity so Amtrak can add three more round trips (they have not done so yet). Chicago-St. Louis seems to be coming along but needs new equipment, plus a new or reconstructed bridge into St. Louis. Chicago-Detroit is probably the furthest behind and I am not sure will be finished anytime soon with the distraction by the State of having to financially rescue Detroit itself. We'll see. California was a waste of money and I think that will prove to be the boondoggle everyone fears. If they get enough constructed with public funds they just might get a private company interested in taking the project over.
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Posted by MidlandMike on Saturday, August 9, 2014 9:45 PM

The Michigan corridor got a lot of help from the feds.  The following is from an MDOT news release (2013) regarding Michigan buying the NS Kalamazoo-Detroit line:

"...The $140 million used to purchase the line included FRA High-speed Intercity
Passenger Rail Program grant funds, plus a state match of $37.5 million. The FRA also
awarded $196.5 million to MDOT for major track and signal improvements on this corridor, to
be performed by Amtrak..."

I could not find any recent news release on how its going this year, but 30 miles of new rail was installed last year.

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, August 10, 2014 8:35 AM

Successful businesses focus on doing a few things very well.  They don’t try to be all things to all people.  The Administration’s approach to high speed rail attempted to spread the nation’s limited resources for passenger rail enhancements to too many projects instead of focusing on a few potentially successful ones.    

Amtrak has been a failure, at least financially, because it has been forced for political reasons to meet the wishes of too many special interests, i.e. operate a skeleton national passenger rail system instead of focusing on a few corridors where passenger rail makes sense. 

Why does Amtrak need a 90 minute schedule between New York and Washington?  It already has the lion’s share of the air/rail market between these two cities.  With an average speed of 100 mph, an Acela could cover the distance in 2 hours and 15 minutes, which is a half hour less than the current best schedule.  The current route probably could be upgraded to a point where an average speed of 100 mph is feasible without breaking the piggy bank.  And it would clearly be more cost effective than building a new railroad through the crowded northeast and Middle Atlantic States.

Whether the United States’ high speed rail program is behind Europe and Asia is irrelevant. An improved passenger rail network should be crafted to meet the needs of America’s diverse regions.  Once size fits all is not an effective problem solving strategy.  There may be some best practices that can be taken from other countries, but the solution(s) should fit U.S. requirements.  It also should be crafted for U.S. culture, which is different than European or Asian cultures.   

Many of the proponents of improved passenger rail don’t seem to know how to pay for it.  If the users won’t pay for it, then the taxpayers will have to pick-up the tab.  For a nation that is deep in debt, i.e. total government debt, personal debt, unfunded liabilities, etc., finding the money to pay for it will be a major challenge.  One thing is certain.  The Europeans, Japanese, and Chinese taxpayers are not going to pay for high speed rail service in the United States. 

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Posted by aricat on Sunday, August 10, 2014 8:37 AM

Talking about HSR gets a bit frustrating. In 1965 I rode Japan's bullet train when I was in the Navy. It was the finest train in the world. I would ask myself why we can't have that train here. I know why now. Three generations of Americans have decided that it was better to build freeways and airports than invest in inter city passenger trains and mass transit. Japan and Western Europe also built freeways and airports; but they also built HSR and more importantly kept up its intercity passenger trains. They abandoned little used branch lines and redundant passenger routes in the 1960's and bought new passenger equipment for lines that carried large volumes of passengers. Today Americans ask why we can't have trains here? The reason is simple, we didn't want them. Now that Americans are sick of crowded airports and choked freeways with long commutes they want HSR. That means coughing up the money. Britain and Continental Europe's taxpayers paid for both their intercity passenger trains and for their airports and freeways; Americans just paid for their airports and freeways with taxes. Now we have Amtrak, roads and bridges that are falling apart, interstates jammed with trucks; and politicians who still talk about low taxes.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Sunday, August 10, 2014 7:06 PM

Why does Amtrak need a 90 minute schedule between New York and Washington?  It already has the lion’s share of the air/rail market between these two cities.  With an average speed of 100 mph, an Acela could cover the distance in 2 hours and 15 minutes, which is a half hour less than the current best schedule.  The current route probably could be upgraded to a point where an average speed of 100 mph is feasible without breaking the piggy bank.  And it would clearly be more cost effective than building a new railroad through the crowded northeast and Middle Atlantic States.

A two hour schedule would probably not only clear the air routes but entice many auto & bus passengers ? + also entice many of the Providence - Baltimore travelers as well. It is not IMHO the high speed that will win passengers but the removing of slow sections to allow for an 120 MPH average speeds. The NYP - BOS route is another matter as the curves do not allow for higher speeds. The only thing on that section can improve is a few bridges.
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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, August 10, 2014 7:52 PM

blue streak 1

Why does Amtrak need a 90 minute schedule between New York and Washington?  

A two hour schedule would probably not only clear the air routes but entice many auto & bus passengers ? + also entice many of the Providence - Baltimore travelers as well. It is not IMHO the high speed that will win passengers but the removing of slow sections to allow for an 120 MPH average speeds. The NYP - BOS route is another matter as the curves do not allow for higher speeds. The only thing on that section can improve is a few bridges.

Higher average speeds by doing all the above would allow for a cheaper capacity increase.   This is needed to prepare for the growth expected over the next 20 years until a 2nd line can be built (if).   Sitting still won't keep pace.

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, August 10, 2014 9:33 PM

aricat

...Americans just paid for their airports and .......with taxes.

As per Page 16 of the FAA's 2012 Fact Book, at the end of FY11, which is the latest year for complete numbers, the United States had 13,450 airports, of which 5,172 were civic public use airports.  Of these 547 or 10.6 per cent had some form of commercial air service.

Most airports in the United States are owned by a city, county, regional authority, etc. They are accounted for in an enterprise fund as opposed to being included in the general fund. Enterprise fund accounting is intended public owned activities that are operated like a business. Under enterprise accounting an entity, although it is publicly owned, is expected to cover most of its costs from the users as opposed to the general taxpayers.  

Most of the funding for the nation's airports was raised through the sale of municipal bonds. Some of the airports get a small amount of funding through the FAA's Airport Improvement Program, but the percentage of federal funding in relation to the capital budget is relatively small. The interest on municipal bonds is exempt from federal taxes. In addition, if the holder of the bond is a resident of the state issuing the bonds - most airport authorities are created by the state - the interest is exempt from state income taxes.

Because municipal bonds are tax exempt, they have a lower effective interest rate than fully taxable bonds, which means the cost of construction is somewhat lower than would be the case if the bonds were fully taxable. The difference between the revenues generated from fully taxable bonds and municipal bonds is absorbed by the taxpayers.

Airports recover their costs, including the monies needed to service their bonds, through gate fees, landing fees, FBO rents, parking fees, vendor rents, etc. These are sufficient to cover the costs of most large airports, although there are some rural airport that require taxpayer assistance to cover their revenue shortfalls.

In addition to the rents that they pay, most airport vendors, i.e. restaurants, clothing outlets, news stands, bars, etc., pay local, state and federal taxes.  These taxes probably are substantial, and they probably offset most if not all of the difference between the tax revenues generated from tax free financing and fully taxable financing. 

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, August 10, 2014 9:47 PM

blue streak 1

Why does Amtrak need a 90 minute schedule between New York and Washington?  It already has the lion’s share of the air/rail market between these two cities.  With an average speed of 100 mph, an Acela could cover the distance in 2 hours and 15 minutes, which is a half hour less than the current best schedule.  The current route probably could be upgraded to a point where an average speed of 100 mph is feasible without breaking the piggy bank.  And it would clearly be more cost effective than building a new railroad through the crowded northeast and Middle Atlantic States.

A two hour schedule would probably not only clear the air routes but entice many auto & bus passengers ? + also entice many of the Providence - Baltimore travelers as well. It is not IMHO the high speed that will win passengers but the removing of slow sections to allow for an 120 MPH average speeds. The NYP - BOS route is another matter as the curves do not allow for higher speeds. The only thing on that section can improve is a few bridges.

Perhaps the best outcome for the NEC is to continue to upgrade and improve the existing route as opposed to building a new, high speed railroad.  Day lighting the tunnels in Baltimore, upgrading the bridges, improving the access to NYC, and straightening out some of the curves may be the most cost effective way to get a desired outcome.

I doubt that the air routes are going to be cleared by rail in the NEC.  For someone living on Long Island or in Hartford and traveling to Baltimore or Washington, flying is likely to be a better option.  

I don't want any commercial carrier to have a monopoly on any route anywhere. Once they get it, they can dictate prices and service levels without being responsive to their existing and potential customers.  Amtrak would be no different than any other monopoly.  I want choice wherever possible. 

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Posted by aricat on Sunday, August 10, 2014 10:52 PM

Sam1  Airports that exist for general aviation  have nothing to do with High Speed Rail issues. Airports that serve commercial aviation are a different story. You and I both know who pays the salary of the air traffic controllers and for operation of air traffic control system; and that is the American taxpayer. The same goes for the TSA. If airlines had to pay the entire cost for air traffic control, TSA security, and build and maintain the airports themselves, the cost to fly would be prohibitive. This is precisely what railroads had to do in the United States until the inception of Amtrak; and you wonder why American railroads wanted out of the passenger business. Railroads were expected to pay taxes not get tax breaks. In the 1950's and early 1960's the Federal Government subsidized local service airlines to serve small cities like Havre Montana and a myriad of others. Oftentimes these cities had passenger rail service like Havre did with the Great Northern which received no subsidy at all.

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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, August 11, 2014 8:55 AM

aricat

Sam1  Airports that exist for general aviation  have nothing to do with High Speed Rail issues. Airports that serve commercial aviation are a different story. You and I both know who pays the salary of the air traffic controllers and for operation of air traffic control system; and that is the American taxpayer. The same goes for the TSA. If airlines had to pay the entire cost for air traffic control, TSA security, and build and maintain the airports themselves, the cost to fly would be prohibitive. This is precisely what railroads had to do in the United States until the inception of Amtrak; and you wonder why American railroads wanted out of the passenger business. Railroads were expected to pay taxes not get tax breaks. In the 1950's and early 1960's the Federal Government subsidized local service airlines to serve small cities like Havre Montana and a myriad of others. Oftentimes these cities had passenger rail service like Havre did with the Great Northern which received no subsidy at all.

You raised the issue of aviation.  You are correct; it has nothing to do with high speed passenger rail. But many of your comments re: funding commercial aviation in the U.S. are mistaken.

I set the commercial airports in the context of all airports to help show, at least by implication, that a significant portion of the airport Improvement funds go to airports that are not served by commercial airlines and, therefore, are not a subsidy for them.  Moreover, again by implication, I wanted to show that approximately 70 per cent of the air traffic control load, as detailed in other threads, is for general aviation and military aviation operating in civilian air space. 

Historically approximately 85 per cent of the FAA;s budget has been covered by fuel taxes, ticket taxes, registration fees, etc. These are paid by the users. One hundred per cent of operations, which includes the air traffic controllers, is covered by these user fees. Since the Great Recession a higher percentage of the FAA's budget has been covered by transfers from the general fund.  Most of these monies were dispensed under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act for airport and airways improvements as well as safety initiatives. This information can be found in the FAA's Annual Performance Reports. 

Approximately 40 per cent of the TSA's airport security program is covered by ticket taxes (fees). This is about to increase to 50 per cent. The airlines did not bring on 9/11. One could argue that a multiplicity of factors brought it on and, therefore, it is right that the country bear the consequences as opposed to dumping them all on airline passengers.

With the exception of the Long Island Railroad, as well as perhaps a few others, passenger rail has ridden on the backs of the freight carried by the railroads from the get go.  Without the dual use of rail facilities, i.e. for freight and passenger, passenger rail probably would not have come about. The same notion applies to the nation's airports and airways. The airlines are just one of several user groups. In fact, they only use approximately 30 to 35 per cent of the airways and air infrastructure capabilities. Even at many large airports, i.e. Dallas Love Field, commercial aviation accounts for less than half of operations.

A healthy commercial aviation industry is vital for the U.S. economy.  So too is a first class highway system. We are where we are with respect to aviation and highways. So the question is where does passenger rail make sense, what should it look like, and how should it be funded. 

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Monday, August 11, 2014 11:09 AM

Higher average speeds by doing all the above would allow for a cheaper capacity increase.   This is needed to prepare for the growth expected over the next 20 years until a 2nd line can be built (if).   Sitting still won't keep pace.

This is an important point that is missed by many persons. Improve the times between NYP - WASH and the same amount of equipment will be available for train turns to be quicker. Same amount of rolling stock can carry more passengers in a day. Another factor is as Acela gets more 160 MPH track it can become a time en route differential compared to the 125 MPH regionals. The regional times will also apply to the LD trains once the 90 & 110 MPH limited Heritage cars are removed from those trains with Viewliner-2s replacing them. .
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Posted by Paul Milenkovic on Monday, August 11, 2014 12:18 PM

Sam1

Many of the proponents of improved passenger rail don’t seem to know how to pay for it. 

I am going to disagree with you on that point.  I believe that as proponents, we know where to get the money -- from taxpayers as another commenter on this thread demanded.  What we don't know what to do as passenger train advocates is how to spend the money . . . effectively.

The point of the original thread is that the 11 billion dollars hasn't been spent very effectively.  Yes, 11 billion dollars is not very much money at all to build an HSR network for a country the size of the U.S.  For those envious of Japan, that country is almost half the population of the U.S. living on a very narrow strip of coastal land on a volcanic island chain, and even there, the HSR spending over time was in the trillion dollar range, depending on how you account for inflation, interest, exchange rates, and relative values between economies.

This question was raised, what, back in 2009 by Don Oltmann when there was 8 billion in stimulus money allocated to passenger trains.  How do we, as passenger train advocates, want to see that money spent?  There were a number of factions, including strong vocal support for long-distance train things like replacing or buying more Superliner cars.

Long distance, corridor, high speed, regular speed, you have to start someplace.  What you do is you spend the 8 billion or the 11 billion where it has the most impact, people see how trains can help them, and you build on that success to get more money to get more trains.  Instead, we get people scolding "the American public" or "the politicians who (still) talk about low taxes" or any of a number of groups that one can blame.

You have to start somewhere and build this up over time.  You can't get someone to write a blank multi-trillion dollar check for an instant national HSR network.  You have to take the initial small amount of money and spend it on something with visible results.  Otherwise, no one is going to "cough up" more money to move forward.

If GM "killed the electric car", what am I doing standing next to an EV-1, a half a block from the WSOR tracks?

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, August 11, 2014 12:51 PM

blue streak 1
Why does Amtrak need a 90 minute schedule between New York and Washington?  It already has the lion’s share of the air/rail market between these two cities. 

It doesn't.  What's needed is more capacity.  You can do some things to boost capacity on the existing route, but at some point you're likely better off doing something new.  If you go with a new route, why wouldn't you go for the speed that provdies the most benefit?

I'm not sure Amtrak's plans have been made with the sharpest pencil points, but the future is going to have to include big, new things for the NEC.  Chesapeake Bay/Susquehanna River bridges, Baltimore approaches are killers.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by oltmannd on Monday, August 11, 2014 12:52 PM

Paul Milenkovic
This question was raised, what, back in 2009 by Don Oltmann when there was 8 billion in stimulus money allocated to passenger trains.  How do we, as passenger train advocates, want to see that money spent?  There were a number of factions, including strong vocal support for long-distance train things like replacing or buying more Superliner cars.

The title of this thread indicates we probably blew the chance.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, August 11, 2014 1:01 PM

blue streak 1

Higher average speeds by doing all the above would allow for a cheaper capacity increase.   This is needed to prepare for the growth expected over the next 20 years until a 2nd line can be built (if).   Sitting still won't keep pace.

This is an important point that is missed by many persons. Improve the times between NYP - WASH and the same amount of equipment will be available for train turns to be quicker. Same amount of rolling stock can carry more passengers in a day. Another factor is as Acela gets more 160 MPH track it can become a time en route differential compared to the 125 MPH regionals. The regional times will also apply to the LD trains once the 90 & 110 MPH limited Heritage cars are removed from those trains with Viewliner-2s replacing them.

I agree with your comments regarding the improvements of speeds on the existing line between NYC and Washington as well as NYC and Boston.  
Whether the population growth of the northeast grows to the point predicted is problematic. At some point population densities become so great that the population stabilizes or even declines. People stop moving to high density population areas, and some of the residents move away.  So  maybe a second, high speed rail line will not be necessary.
Texas is growing at the rate of nearly 1,000 new residents a day. People are coming here for all sorts of reasons. The biggest reason, of course, is jobs.  Other reasons include affordable housing, better climate, decent schools, lower taxes, etc. These were major factor in Toyota's decision to move its U.S. headquarters from California to Texas. And it is only one of hundreds of companies that have or are relocating to Texas.   
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, August 11, 2014 1:09 PM

Given the pressures on the public purse, getting the money from the taxpayers for high speed rail or any passenger rail improvements may not be an effective strategy.  Amtrak has not gotten all the money it wants. And it does not appear that the California High Speed Rail Project has either.

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Posted by Buslist on Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:38 AM
A more realistic view of things?

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Posted by Buslist on Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:39 AM
Try the link again?

http://time.com/3100248/high-speed-rail-barack-obama/
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Posted by Phoebe Vet on Tuesday, August 12, 2014 11:58 AM

Companies are moving to Texas because Texas is paying them to move there.

Ever since the first politician formulated the delusion that he could create jobs by giving money and tax breaks to wealthy businesses, the people who run those businesses, who are much smarter than politicians,  have been making millions moving jobs from place to place.

Dave

Lackawanna Route of the Phoebe Snow

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