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Why US is behind in HSR development and what's next

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Posted by schlimm on Monday, March 25, 2013 1:06 PM

Levels of service and speed on a modern passenger rail system (DB):

Intercity-Express (ICE) is the fastest and most comfortable way to travel on the DB Bahn network, reaching speeds of up to 320 km/h (198 mph) though 174 mph is more common.  EMU's.

Intercity (IC) and Eurocity (EC) Faster than regional trains, IC and EC trains connect major cities, reaching speeds of 200 km/h (125 mph).  Locomotive-hauled generally. 

Regional Express, Regionalbahn and S-bahn connect cities and basic local services.  RE speeds reach 200km/h, but usually less.  RB's stop at all stations; S-bahns are suburban trains.  May be locomotive-hauled or EMU's or DMU's in non-electrified areas.  Many are double deck.

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Posted by John WR on Friday, March 22, 2013 6:47 PM

Henry,

PS.  Clearly, there is one part of the public that expects low princes.  These people now ride discount buses and Amtrak has never tried to attract their business.  But supposing Amtrak did on its New York to Washington Service?

Right now the lowest price for an Amtrak ticket New York to Washington is $49.  However, discount buses charge a lot less, typically 8 to 15 dollars.  I don't know that Amtrak could get down to $15 but perhaps they could get to $25.  An Amfleet coach has about 80 seats.  A New Jersey Transit multilevel car has 140 seats.  Amtrak could add a multilevel car to at least some trains.  Who might ride?

1.  Some people who now ride buses might upgrade for a few more bucks.  The multilevel cars are more comfortable than a bus with larger seats.  Also, if you read customer reviews waiting for a bus on a street is one think that generates negative comments.  Amtrak stations are not the greatest places in the world, perhaps, but you are out of the weather and if you are early there is a place to sit down plus restrooms.  And while some may think waiting on the street is safe, especially very late at night, I think a lot of people don't like that.  Amtrak stations are policed and as safe as any public place can be.  I think there might be a group willing to spend a few more bucks and move to Amtrak.  

2.  Commuters.  An Amtrak  commuter ticket between Philadelphia and New York costs $1314.  Half of that is $657.  The same trip on SEPTA and New Jersey Transit is $612.  Amtrak trains would be significantly faster, especially faster than SEPTA.  Plus no changing trains in Trenton.  NJT, of course, runs multilevel cars and its express trains are as fast as Amtrak but the SEPTA part of the journey is not.  Coming home on NJT very often there is standing room only; on Amtrak you get a seat.  I think some would pay the extra $50 a month.  

3.  However, there could be a down side.  Discount buses do not run from the intermediate cities.  If you want to go from New Brunswick or Trenton to Washington Amtrak is all that is there.  Some of those people might also move to the new low priced seats who otherwise would have rode in an Amfleet car.  

With your background in advertising you know more about this than I do.  Might it be possible to mount and ad campaign aimed at the discount bus riders to get them to move to Amtrak $25 seats?

John

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Posted by henry6 on Friday, March 22, 2013 6:37 PM

My point is that there everyone who discusses or brings up this topic has his own definition...and even planners, politicians, and the media approach the subject within their definitions and understandings.  The public has no concept of the technical matters and dividing lines, etc. that the design engineers have which the politicians don't understand, etc.  Until a planner and design engineer tell me about a railroad between two given points that will operated at a given speed defined as HSR, then the concept is wide open because 90 could be high speed to some and 150 slow compared to others. 

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Posted by John WR on Friday, March 22, 2013 5:39 PM

henry6
But has the public defined and what are their expectations?  The only exposure the public has had is through the media tossing the term around and pointing to Japan, China, Germany and France.

I think the public that travels over a given route has defined it, Henry.  Consider, for example, the New York and Washington route which gets a lot of traffic.  

1.  There is the flying public, people who expect speed most and will pay a high price for it.  

2.  There is the Acela public, right now a big group.  They pay a high price about the same as flying as far as I can figure out.  They also expect speed and perhaps downtown stations.  

3.  There is the Northeast Regional public.  People who expect a relatively low price and the comfort and convenience of the train. 

4.  There is the bus riding public.  People who expect a bargain.

5.  There is the driving public.  Families who expect a fairly low price.  Individuals who need their cars when they get there.  People who just prefer to drive.  

But a lot of people don't travel that route and don't think about it or have expectations.  

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Posted by John WR on Friday, March 22, 2013 5:27 PM

incorrect post

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Posted by oltmannd on Friday, March 22, 2013 7:57 AM

schlimm
As Don says, a starting point would be having Amtrak reduce its dependence on the high operating loss appropriation, stemming primarily from the antiquated LD routes.  Long term, what is needed primarily is infrastructure funding (Trust Fund or maybe tax-exempt bond issues?).  Following the current German and French models, have a separate government corporation for track ownership and maintenance, and allow routes to be operated by private concerns and/or Amtrak.  Even with the current congressional makeup, bipartisan support could be found.  The keys are: 1.a rational route structure  2. private operation.

If the current state subsidies + farebox really does = 88% of the operating costs, then perhaps getting it to 100% is possible. Maybe just some trimming of LD train costs and/or improving revenue could do it. Congress has and will pony up $$ for infrastructure provide you don't come calling for operating subsidies.  Let's see what the next couple of years bring.  I think that'll be make/break for Amtrak and/or HrSR in the US. 

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Posted by oltmannd on Friday, March 22, 2013 7:39 AM

schlimm
I think the paper implies, at the least, that overlaying HSR on existing (read: freight)  lines is problematic.

 Yes, and we don't really know what the problems are and will be.  It's pretty much uncharted waters...

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Posted by schlimm on Thursday, March 21, 2013 7:03 PM

As Don says, a starting point would be having Amtrak reduce its dependence on the high operating loss appropriation, stemming primarily from the antiquated LD routes.  Long term, what is needed primarily is infrastructure funding (Trust Fund or maybe tax-exempt bond issues?).  Following the current German and French models, have a separate government corporation for track ownership and maintenance, and allow routes to be operated by private concerns and/or Amtrak.  Even with the current congressional makeup, bipartisan support could be found.  The keys are: 1.a rational route structure  2. private operation.

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Posted by John WR on Thursday, March 21, 2013 6:50 PM

In order to have High Speed Rail we need a fairly substantial investment and acquiring right of way and in building the tracks.  It is hard for me to see how a House of Representatives which today refuses to subsidize intercity routes of fewer than 750 miles within states would be willing to spend the much greater amount of money HSR would require.  Right now the current law will yank the support to a number of intercity routes next October 2.  These are, as many point out, the most successful routes Amtrak has.  Maybe individual states will pick up and reassemble the pieces the House has knocked down.  We will have to see.  HSR would not only be more expensive than these inter city routes; almost all of it would be relatively short distance in one or a few states.  Having denied continued support to Amtrack's intercity routes why in the world would the House provide much more funding for new high speed routes?

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Posted by schlimm on Thursday, March 21, 2013 6:32 PM

henry6

I can imagine and appreciate HSR as done in other countries...but being in marketing and advertising, and I guess as a railfan, too...I hear the arguments both on these discussions and elsewhere and know that there is not a public consensus of understanding of what we have, don't have, and what HSR is in comparison.  Jet planes are high speed in the US and the family auto is the comfort zone.  The HSR people have not satisfied either nor bridged the gap.  Nor has any public forum.  

As BaltACD says, service in excess of ~125 mph (I would argue +110 may suffice initially) between metro areas up to ~300 miles apart is the market where HSR can control market share vs air.  And the NEC segments BOS-NYC and NYC-DC are examples of this within the US.  To paraphrase the movie title, "If you build it (in the right places), they will come.

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Posted by BaltACD on Thursday, March 21, 2013 3:09 PM

schlimm

henry6:  You ask why I ask.  Your answer explains why you seem rather lukewarm about HSR and mid-speed services ( > 110 mph) in the appropriate corridors and seem more enthusiastic about conventional railroading (long distance trains) brought back up to the higher standards of the 1950's.  Folks tend to appreciate and advocate only for what they are familiar with.  If you ever spent some time riding the many types of trains in Germany (for example, but Italy, France, or the UK in Europe or Japan or China) with ICE on down through IC, EC, RE and RB and S-Bahn, maybe your views would change.

With most post-war rail passenger traffic limited to 79 MPH by the signal systems being used by the carriers, rails lost market share to the 40/50 MPH automobile in the era before the construction of the Interstate system which permitted speed limits up to 75 MPH.  The Interstate system just put the nails in the coffin of 'private' rail passenger service, which by the formation was far from being a service. (daily departures and arrivals - does not constitute service).

In the present day world of the completed interstate system and extensive airline service (multiple arrival/departures to most destinations served).  125 MPH and less do not represent a marketable High Speed rail alternative to the traveling public.  To be marketable, the speed must be sufficient to equal or beat airlines on a city center to city center basis for the business traveler that will form the core of the traffic.  Wherever HSR is constructed, there must be a signifigant amount of business travel between the end points, without the business travel there is no core, without a core there isn't enough 'pleasure' traffic to make it worth the time an effort.

HSR, when initially constructed, cannot be everything for everybody - NOTHING EVER is.  Unless and until a viable Origin-Destination pair is selected - anything else is just lip service.  HSR can become a valued transportation service in selected markets, but it can't serve every possible market, and that is the red herring the anti's will use to defeat HSR - they have done it before and they will use it again.  That being said - the Interstate System didn't start out being 'fully complete' in 1956 when it was authorized and truthfully there are several segments that were originally drawn up that still haven't been completed - over 50 years after the original authorization. 

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Posted by henry6 on Thursday, March 21, 2013 2:59 PM

I can imagine and appreciate HSR as done in other countries...but being in marketing and advertising, and I guess as a railfan, too...I hear the arguments both on these discussions and elsewhere and know that there is not a public consensus of understanding of what we have, don't have, and what HSR is in comparison.  Jet planes are high speed in the US and the family auto is the comfort zone.  The HSR people have not satisfied either nor bridged the gap.  Nor has any public forum.  

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Posted by schlimm on Thursday, March 21, 2013 1:21 PM

henry6:  You ask why I ask.  Your answer explains why you seem rather lukewarm about HSR and mid-speed services ( > 110 mph) in the appropriate corridors and seem more enthusiastic about conventional railroading (long distance trains) brought back up to the higher standards of the 1950's.  Folks tend to appreciate and advocate only for what they are familiar with.  If you ever spent some time riding the many types of trains in Germany (for example, but Italy, France, or the UK in Europe or Japan or China) with ICE on down through IC, EC, RE and RB and S-Bahn, maybe your views would change.

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Posted by schlimm on Thursday, March 21, 2013 1:08 PM

oltmannd

One of the points the paper makes is about the level of knowledge of the state of the art and the applicability of that knowledge to the US - depending on what you try to do.

If you are trying to do an off-the shelf, self contained, point to point HSR line, then the knowledge exists and is easy to apply.  You just plop down the line and run the trains.

If you are trying to overlay higher speed operation on existing US rail lines then the knowledge really doesn't exist (it points to problems getting Metroliner and Acela working) .  Notice also, that we have taken totally different approaches to development on the NEC, Michigan and Illinios with no coordinated collection data and analysis along the way.

They also make the point that to go from a 79 mph corridor development to 90/110 mph, you triple the cost.  To get from 90/110 to true HSR, the cost is X10.  So, the easy, low risk approach is also the vastly most expensive.

I think the paper implies, at the least, that overlaying HSR on existing (read: freight)  lines is problematic.

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Posted by henry6 on Thursday, March 21, 2013 11:57 AM

oltmannd

henry6

One of the major problems is that we have never defined High Speed Rail nor identified expectations for it here in the US.

 The FRA did define it a couple years ago.  There are three tiers.  Overlayed 79 mph (think Norfolk/Lynchburg).  Overlayed 90/110 mph (think Michigan, Illinois). Stand alone 125+ (think CAHSR).  It's in the paper, among other places.

But has the public defined and what are their expectations?  The only exposure the public has had is through the media tossing the term around and pointing to Japan, China, Germany and France.

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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, March 21, 2013 11:46 AM

vsmith
Please don't make me remember how good the TGV service was in France, I'll get depressed when I think about schlubbing across America on Amtrak. 

 Or, ICE/IC service in Germany...Sad

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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, March 21, 2013 11:44 AM

henry6

One of the major problems is that we have never defined High Speed Rail nor identified expectations for it here in the US.

 The FRA did define it a couple years ago.  There are three tiers.  Overlayed 79 mph (think Norfolk/Lynchburg).  Overlayed 90/110 mph (think Michigan, Illinois). Stand alone 125+ (think CAHSR).  It's in the paper, among other places.

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Posted by vsmith on Thursday, March 21, 2013 11:44 AM

schlimm

henry6:  Have you ever extensively used a modern passenger rail service, such as Germany or France, which includes HSR, but also lower speed services to link smaller communities?

Please don't make me remember how good the TGV service was in France, I'll get depressed when I think about schlubbing across America on Amtrak. 

   Have fun with your trains

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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, March 21, 2013 11:43 AM

What I liked about the paper was that is was short and to the point.  It covered a lot of territory simply and succinctly.  It could actually be useful in shaping the debate going forward.  It explains how we got here, what the current state of affairs is, and suggests how to move forward - not in terms of a grand plan or "lines on a map", but in terms of policy and knowledge-base.   THIS is the stuff we need the debate to be about.  It's foundational.

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Posted by henry6 on Thursday, March 21, 2013 11:43 AM

One of the major problems is that we have never defined High Speed Rail nor identified expectations for it here in the US.

RIDEWITHMEHENRY is the name for our almost monthly day of riding trains and transit in either the NYCity or Philadelphia areas including all commuter lines, Amtrak, subways, light rail and trolleys, bus and ferries when warranted. No fees, just let us know you want to join the ride and pay your fares. Ask to be on our email list or find us on FB as RIDEWITHMEHENRY (all caps) to get descriptions of each outing.

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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, March 21, 2013 11:24 AM

One of the points the paper makes is about the level of knowledge of the state of the art and the applicability of that knowledge to the US - depending on what you try to do.

If you are trying to do an off-the shelf, self contained, point to point HSR line, then the knowledge exists and is easy to apply.  You just plop down the line and run the trains.

If you are trying to overlay higher speed operation on existing US rail lines then the knowledge really doesn't exist (it points to problems getting Metroliner and Acela working) .  Notice also, that we have taken totally different approaches to development on the NEC, Michigan and Illinios with no coordinated collection data and analysis along the way.

They also make the point that to go from a 79 mph corridor development to 90/110 mph, you triple the cost.  To get from 90/110 to true HSR, the cost is X10.  So, the easy, low risk approach is also the vastly most expensive.

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Posted by henry6 on Thursday, March 21, 2013 10:26 AM

No, I haven't.  But why do you ask? It is apparent that is another reason Americans don't understand railroads, particularly passenger rail.  And that's my point.

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Posted by schlimm on Thursday, March 21, 2013 10:14 AM

henry6:  Have you ever extensively used a modern passenger rail service, such as Germany or France, which includes HSR, but also lower speed services to link smaller communities?

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Posted by henry6 on Thursday, March 21, 2013 8:42 AM

Americans know basically squat about railroads, railroading, freight trains and passenger trains and services.  And the media knows less.  We hear of these 200 + mile per hour trains and compare them to a rocket lifting off from Cape Canaveral or the local weed covered streaks of rust without knowing what  American railroading is all about.  Our parents or grandparents wax nostalgic about troop trains and upper births and hourly train service on the main and the mail being delivered even on the branch.  We, as railfans...assuming all here are railfans...should know more about railroads and trains than the average American but still too many eyes are blinded by the glamour of HSR or closed by the way things used to be.  The Nation's whole read and attitude on transportation...all means of transportation....is clouded in politics and dampened by money to make things happen.  So we ignore at worst, pay lip service at best with neither approach bringing us closer to a total and viable national rail passenger system much less a HSR system.

RIDEWITHMEHENRY is the name for our almost monthly day of riding trains and transit in either the NYCity or Philadelphia areas including all commuter lines, Amtrak, subways, light rail and trolleys, bus and ferries when warranted. No fees, just let us know you want to join the ride and pay your fares. Ask to be on our email list or find us on FB as RIDEWITHMEHENRY (all caps) to get descriptions of each outing.

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Posted by seppburgh2 on Wednesday, March 20, 2013 10:19 PM

Back in February, CNN did a news item on HSR up in Vermonth (?)  Critical news on how the Feds and the State spend $ 50 M to upgrade the tracks with the net results of a 20 minute drop in travel time.  Additional, the reported camped out at a station the whole day saying, "well where is the trains, no trains here, sir did you know this is an active railroad and you should stop, look, listen before crossing the tracks? Why, there's never a train around!"  It was such a put down on Amtrack and HSR you came away thinking trains are a waste of money.  And that is how HSR is seen today, along with Amtrack, as a waste of tax dollars that could best be spent on (gasp) Mass Transit and roadways. 

While the folks here all agree passenger travel is not a waste, but an investment, the general population see's news items like this CNN report as an example of wrong spending.

As an aside, my hat is off to NS, CSX and UP for actively promoting America runs on rails in the broadcast media.   The toystore like NS promotional was classic.  The GE promotional where Kit, the famous 1892 Trans Am having a conversation with the lastest GE unit at speed had me grinning ear to ear (yes I'll admit a Pontiac man here on TA # 4, a 1995 TA  named The Phoebe Snow.) 

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Posted by schlimm on Wednesday, March 20, 2013 9:16 PM

Judging by some of the comments on this thread, I wonder if some of the posters actually read the article that Don posted?

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Posted by henry6 on Wednesday, March 20, 2013 8:50 PM

Watch throwing the term "public transit" around as it has several conotations to different people....usually more in urban transit manner than HSR or even Amtrak...

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Posted by John WR on Wednesday, March 20, 2013 8:35 PM

O5 Hopeful
More and more people in the 18-25 age group are loosing interest in owning their own cars.

An interesting observation.  Even if young people ultimately wind up with cars still the fact that they live in the city for several years and don't have a car during those years could make a difference.  A big difference.    When my children were young I saw to it that that rode both buses and trains.  My older son spent a year in Seoul, South Korea teaching; some of his fellow Americans not only did not know how to ride the subway; they were actually afraid of it.  He taught them.  

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Posted by O5 Hopeful on Wednesday, March 20, 2013 8:06 PM

More and more people in the 18-25 age group are loosing interest in owning their own cars. If this generation sticks with this as they age, we will see more of an evolution of all public transport, not just high speed.

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