billbtrain wrote: I have to agree with Michael Sol that the Milwaukee could again have been a viable railroad.Container traffic out of Tacoma,coal from the Roundup,Montana mines,forest products from Washington,the SP connection at Portland,the connection at the Canadian border,grain from the Dakota's and Montana,etc prove to me that it could have worked.Better than the midwest lines in an area overrun with failing economies and lack of rail customers to keep at least 7 systems going.Plus the facts that the ICC,FRA,Democrats,Republicans,and the Supreme Court were willing to dump all kinds of money into the midwest,Conrail,and Amtrak,but not save the Milwaukee Road as a transcon system.Then you have the Milwaukee Executives deferring maintenance on physical plant and equipment and driving away business,just to prove their statements that the railroad would not/could not/should not make money on its own.Looks to me like a lot of the wrong people in the wrong places.I think they should be put out to pasture and bring back the Milwaukee Road as a transcon.Have a good one.Bill B
I have to agree with Michael Sol that the Milwaukee could again have been a viable railroad.Container traffic out of Tacoma,coal from the Roundup,Montana mines,forest products from Washington,the SP connection at Portland,the connection at the Canadian border,grain from the Dakota's and Montana,etc prove to me that it could have worked.Better than the midwest lines in an area overrun with failing economies and lack of rail customers to keep at least 7 systems going.Plus the facts that the ICC,FRA,Democrats,Republicans,and the Supreme Court were willing to dump all kinds of money into the midwest,Conrail,and Amtrak,but not save the Milwaukee Road as a transcon system.Then you have the Milwaukee Executives deferring maintenance on physical plant and equipment and driving away business,just to prove their statements that the railroad would not/could not/should not make money on its own.Looks to me like a lot of the wrong people in the wrong places.I think they should be put out to pasture and bring back the Milwaukee Road as a transcon.
Have a good one.
Bill B
Well, we disagree. And I think we can have fun disagreeing. Kind of like discussing wether Kolfax or Drysdale had the best curve ball.
A question is: Why did the PCE have such a small portion of the business when it was operating? According to a tonnage map in March 2005 Trains the ratio was 3:2:1 for BN:UP:MILW. And that's putting the Milwaukee in the best possible light.
I looked at that tonnage map.It is dated 1971-73.Then the Milwaukee had an increase in 1976-78 before the decline in 1978-79.I'd like to see a map depicting that.BN and UP had better connections and more resources,MILW had the majority of container traffic coming out of Tacoma/Seattle.Tacoma declined in container traffic after the MILW was gone because of limited capacity,losing business to Long Beach and Portland.
More later,I have to go to work.
greyhounds wrote:A question is: Why did the PCE have such a small portion of the business when it was operating? According to a tonnage map in March 2005 Trains the ratio was 3:2:1 for BN:UP:MILW. And that's putting the Milwaukee in the best possible light.
Toyota historically (say the past 20 years) has had a smaller share of business than GM.
But almost always made much more money during that time period at the business than GM.
The volume production always favored GM.
And that's putting GM in the best possible light.
Business "analysis" by map.
MichaelSol wrote: n012944 wrote: billbtrain wrote:Plus the facts that the ICC,FRA,Democrats,Republicans,and the Supreme Court were willing to dump all kinds of money into the midwest,Conrail,and Amtrak,but not save the Milwaukee Road as a transcon system. The US DOT did a study on giving funding to the MILW for the PCE in 1977. It was decided after that study that not another dime of the goverments money should be spent on the PCE. It seems to me that the US DOT might have seen something that made them decide this, regardless of what some in the railfan community might think.BertPlease identify the study.Note that the Milwaukee did not enter receivership until December, 1977, and had not applied for any government funds for the PCE as a separate entity in 1977. If you have a copy, please compare and contrast it with the Booz Allen Hamilton study of May, 1979 which has been described in detail on these forums.
n012944 wrote: billbtrain wrote:Plus the facts that the ICC,FRA,Democrats,Republicans,and the Supreme Court were willing to dump all kinds of money into the midwest,Conrail,and Amtrak,but not save the Milwaukee Road as a transcon system. The US DOT did a study on giving funding to the MILW for the PCE in 1977. It was decided after that study that not another dime of the goverments money should be spent on the PCE. It seems to me that the US DOT might have seen something that made them decide this, regardless of what some in the railfan community might think.Bert
billbtrain wrote:Plus the facts that the ICC,FRA,Democrats,Republicans,and the Supreme Court were willing to dump all kinds of money into the midwest,Conrail,and Amtrak,but not save the Milwaukee Road as a transcon system.
The US DOT did a study on giving funding to the MILW for the PCE in 1977. It was decided after that study that not another dime of the goverments money should be spent on the PCE. It seems to me that the US DOT might have seen something that made them decide this, regardless of what some in the railfan community might think.
Bert
Please identify the study.
Note that the Milwaukee did not enter receivership until December, 1977, and had not applied for any government funds for the PCE as a separate entity in 1977.
If you have a copy, please compare and contrast it with the Booz Allen Hamilton study of May, 1979 which has been described in detail on these forums.
You are right. The study was done in 1979, not 1977. Former Southern Railway and future Amtrak boss W.Graham Claytor, who was Acting Secretary of Transportation, had the DOT do the study in the summer of 1979.
An "expensive model collector"
MichaelSol wrote: greyhounds wrote:A question is: Why did the PCE have such a small portion of the business when it was operating? According to a tonnage map in March 2005 Trains the ratio was 3:2:1 for BN:UP:MILW. And that's putting the Milwaukee in the best possible light. Toyota historically (say the past 20 years) has had a smaller share of business than GM.But almost always made much more money during that time period at the business than GM.The volume production always favored GM.And that's putting GM in the best possible light.
And what does that have to do with the railroads. I don't think that you could say that the MILW was making more money than either the UP or BN, so the comparision has little or no meaning here.
MP173 wrote: If one were contemplating vacationing in Montana...and wanted to mix in fishing, mountains, trains, and scenery, what would be a good starting point? Time of the year best for this?ed
If one were contemplating vacationing in Montana...and wanted to mix in fishing, mountains, trains, and scenery, what would be a good starting point?
Time of the year best for this?
ed
June is good. July is better. I like it hot, and so August is great but problematic if the forest fires have kicked in. Some folks like the extended Fall weather, September and October -- warm days and cool nights. A person could stay at the Yogo Inn in Lewistown (former MILW depot). Lewistown was the former headquarters of the MILW Northern Montana Line, and the center of a web of now-abandoned branch lines, to Winnett, Grass Range, Heath. Travel south to Harlowton and the last MILW Boxcab electric downtown, and the roundhouse is still pretty much intact. Further south to Livingston and visit the NP depot museum and former NP mainline shops.
Go west along the old NP mainline on which MRL still uses helpers over Bozeman Pass and spend the night at Bozeman's Gallatin Gateway Inn (former MILW) -- a magnficently restored railroad hotel. That hotel has elegance all over the place. That one is worth the trip.
The Bozeman MILW freight depot has been preserved by a private business in Bozeman which has carefully kept the Milwaukee colors and logos preserved. Looks like you could walk in the door and order up a freight car. Across the street, the NP freight house has been turned into a neat eatery/bar -- the NP Ale House -- with lots of historical railroad photos.
From there, you can go south to Yellowstone Park and the old Union Pacific station at West Yellowstone, or a short hop west to Butte which contains more history than it can possibly contain, and the junction of the Union Pacific and MRL lines, including the still-in-place but abandoned NP line into Butte, the old GN roundhouse, the NP/BN depot, the Milwaukee depot (a TV station carefully restored) where the upstairs offices still have the MILW official's logos on the doors, such as the division superintendent's office.
The Rarus Railroad operates a little tourist train, sometimes, between Anaconda and Butte, and into the old Butte, Anaconda & Pacific facilities in Anaconda. The annual MILW Retired Employee's Picnic last summer had a ride on it and everyone thought it was just great.
West to Deer Lodge where the only surviving MILW Little Joe electric is on display; the old MILW depot in Missoula as is MRL's headquarters, dispatch center, maintenance facility, turntable, and sorting yard. North to Glacier Park and the Essex Inn which is next to the former GN mainline. You can stay in a caboose if the old hotel is not to your liking. The next day, drop over the Continental Divide and to the Many Glacier Inn -- one of GN's hotels when it was promoting passenger travel to the parks -- at Spotted Robe which has an extensive history and display of GN-related stuff; a premier passenger stop on the old GN.
South to Great Falls parallels the BNSF Central Montana cutoff into Great Falls, where both the GN and MILW depots have undergone restoration. Just for something totally strange, nothing to do with railroading, stay at the O'Hair Motor Inn. There, they have a lounge -- a Tiki Lounge, no less -- called the Sip-N-Dip on the second story of this otherwise pretty basic little hotel and watch through the large plexiglass window behind the bar -- which is a window onto the hotel pool -- as Mermaids and Mermen frolic underwater. These are usually college students who are paid to crawl into big plastic fish tails -- some of them get pretty good swimming with them -- and ogle the bar patrons, doing fish tricks for tips. A Piano player named "Peg" has been playing there for 50 or 60 years -- she's about 80, and will play whatever you want to hear, as long as she feels like playing it.
Cut across to Geraldine, and you could follow the old Milwaukee Northern Montana Line through Arrow Creek and Denton into Lewistown. The current railroad hosts the Charlie Russell Chew Choo, a dinner train. http://www.charlierussellchewchoo.com/schedule.html.
Or from Great Falls you could follow the old GN Central Montana Line through Belt and either end up back at Lewistown, or on to Billings/Laurel where the former CBQ and NP lines met, and where MRL interchanges today with the BNSF.
n012944 wrote: MichaelSol wrote: greyhounds wrote:A question is: Why did the PCE have such a small portion of the business when it was operating? According to a tonnage map in March 2005 Trains the ratio was 3:2:1 for BN:UP:MILW. And that's putting the Milwaukee in the best possible light. Toyota historically (say the past 20 years) has had a smaller share of business than GM.But almost always made much more money during that time period at the business than GM.The volume production always favored GM.And that's putting GM in the best possible light.And what does that have to do with the railroads. I don't think that you could say that the MILW was making more money than either the UP or BN, so the comparision has little or no meaning here.Bert
Just as volume is irrelevant to financial condition, so are Lines on a map meaningless from a financial perspective.
"3:2:1 for BN:UP:MILW" ... and of course BN was more profitable than UP, right?
Because that's what the little line on the maps says, right? And of course you know that to be true. Right?
And if the Operating Ratios on the ground for the lines involved were 65%, 67% and 82%, you would know exactly which roads those represented?
Right?
And that is because those little lines are a financial tool, right?
Suppose that the little lines on the map in 1967 showed NP 2, GN 2, UP 2. and MILW 1. Why does it only show BN 3, UP 2 and MILW 1 in 1973? Shouldn't it show BN 4? Why did BN lose market share? BN's cost elasticity in that era was about 60%. That meant that for every $1 lost in revenue, it only reduced costs 60 cents. So, compared to BN 4, is BN 3 good ... or bad? Higher OR, or Lower OR? Did BN lose 25%, or did MILW grow 30% according to those little lines on the map?
As with GM and Toyota, production volume, in a vacuum, tells you this about the financial health of a company: zero.
n012944 wrote: You are right. The study was done in 1979, not 1977. Former Southern Railway and future Amtrak boss W.Graham Claytor, who was Acting Secretary of Transportation, had the DOT do the study in the summer of 1979.
What is the name of the study and the date of publication? Who are the authors?
greyhounds wrote: I disagree, based on evidence, that it was a viable or even potentially viable, enterprise.
I disagree, based on evidence, that it was a viable or even potentially viable, enterprise.
Is this enough evidence for you....?
billbtrain wrote: I have to agree with Michael Sol that the Milwaukee could again have been a viable railroad.Container traffic out of Tacoma,coal from the Roundup,Montana mines,forest products from Washington,the SP connection at Portland,the connection at the Canadian border,grain from the Dakota's and Montana,etc prove to me that it could have worked.Better than the midwest lines in an area overrun with failing economies and lack of rail customers to keep at least 7 systems going.Plus the facts that the ICC,FRA,Democrats,Republicans,and the Supreme Court were willing to dump all kinds of money into the midwest,Conrail,and Amtrak,but not save the Milwaukee Road as a transcon system.Then you have the Milwaukee Executives deferring maintenance on physical plant and equipment and driving away business,just to prove their statements that the railroad would not/could not/should not make money on its own.Looks to me like a lot of the wrong people in the wrong places.I think they should be put out to pasture and bring back the Milwaukee Road as a transcon.
Bill does a nice job of summerizing just some of the evidence that the Milwaukee was predicated for success through the Northern Tier, probably in a better position than GN, definitely in a better position than either NP or UP. But due to assorted malfeasance (mostly political) it was terminated unjudiciously. If the Milwaukee PCE had been allowed to continue, it would probably be the dominate line for intermodal, although the likelyhood is that it would have been merged into UP or BNSF by now.
It should then be a shock to Ken that many parts of his so-called "unviable corpse" are either alive and well (Miles City to Twin Cities, South Dakota core lines, St. Maries River Railroad), have been seriously considered for return to service (Snoqualmie Pass line, Ellensburg to Lind, St. Regis to Spokane) or are currently being seriously considered for rebuilding (State of Washington rail plan.
In addition, it doesn't take a genius to realize that BNSF/UP/MRL would be doing themselves a favor by rebuilding certain sections of the former Milwaukee ROW that are superior to those railroads' current alignments (Sixteen Mile Canyon vs Bozeman Pass, Missoula west, Marengo to Puget Sound, et al).
What Ken will never acknowledge is that oftentimes the best don't survive, while the lessers stay alive.
BTW - regarding total tonnage as the primary indicator of success: Didn't the SP historically have more tonnage than the SF? Yet the SF portion of BNSF is flying higher than the SP portion of UP! Moral - it ain't tonnage, it's net revenue that counts the most.
MichaelSol wrote: n012944 wrote: You are right. The study was done in 1979, not 1977. Former Southern Railway and future Amtrak boss W.Graham Claytor, who was Acting Secretary of Transportation, had the DOT do the study in the summer of 1979. What is the name of the study and the date of publication? Who are the authors?
I don't have all the information available this weekend, but here is an excert from an article that I do have on the situation. From the 11/1979 issue of Trains:
The messenger with the bad news was former Southern Railway chief W. Graham Claytor Jr, who served briefly last summer as Acting Secretary of Transportation in between being Secretary of the Navy and taking his newest Carter Administration post as Deputy Secretary of Defense. He dispatched to Capitol Hill a DOT study of Lines West, commissioned at the request of an interested onlooker, Senator John Melcher(Dem., MONT.). DOT staffers noting that the 4400 miles of the railroad between Minnesota and Washington accounted for nearly two-thirds of the system's loss in 1977, predicted that losses would continue on the lines, even excluding the cost of a 115-million-dollar rebuilding. Claytor declared DOT opposed to any freeze on the existing railroad or Federal investment in it (systemwide rehabilitation is pegged at 1.092 billion dollars).
n012944 wrote: MichaelSol wrote: n012944 wrote: You are right. The study was done in 1979, not 1977. Former Southern Railway and future Amtrak boss W.Graham Claytor, who was Acting Secretary of Transportation, had the DOT do the study in the summer of 1979. What is the name of the study and the date of publication? Who are the authors?I don't have all the information available this weekend, but here is an excert from an article that I do have on the situation. From the 11/1979 issue of Trains: The messenger with the bad news was former Southern Railway chief W. Graham Claytor Jr, who served briefly last summer as Acting Secretary of Transportation in between being Secretary of the Navy and taking his newest Carter Administration post as Deputy Secretary of Defense. He dispatched to Capitol Hill a DOT study of Lines West, commissioned at the request of an interested onlooker, Senator John Melcher(Dem., MONT.). DOT staffers noting that the 4400 miles of the railroad between Minnesota and Washington accounted for nearly two-thirds of the system's loss in 1977, predicted that losses would continue on the lines, even excluding the cost of a 115-million-dollar rebuilding. Claytor declared DOT opposed to any freeze on the existing railroad or Federal investment in it (systemwide rehabilitation is pegged at 1.092 billion dollars).
Well, news reports are one thing .... there is absolutely no basis for this in the documented record. Claytor held the position less than three weeks! One fast study.
The ICC acknowledged as much in its decision three months later: "The ICC also acknowledged the Trustee's error regarding the profitability of the Milwaukee Road's transcontinental operations. Instead of the terrible cash drain that Trustee Hillman [and DOT] had alleged, the ICC carefully reviewed the Milwaukee's own books and found that lines west of Miles City had contributed $12.7 million in profits in 1976, $11 million in 1977, and $2.9 million in 1978, while the railroad as a whole had been losing $100 million in those years." United States Government Interstate Commerce Commission, "Richard B. Ogilvie, Trustee of the Property of the Chicago, Milwaukee, St. Paul and Pacific Railroad Company -- Abandonment -- Portions of the Pacific Coast Extension in Montana, Idaho, Washington and Oregon" Docket No. AB-7 (Sub-No. 86), decision dated January 30, 1980, p. 57.
Note the date. I am curious, since you seem to use Trains as your source of history -- did Trains report that the Milwaukee Western Extension had been found by the ICC as profitable in its February, 1980 edition? I mean, compared to the DOT report, and the wide variation -- that would be real news!
Apparently, no one in a position of responsibility treated the DOT report as credible in the slightest. I don't think the mere passage of time has made it more credible -- especially considering that losses shot up, and did not go down, when DOT got what it wanted -- the shutdown of Lines West. Which is exactly what Milwaukee's own planning staff said would happen, if it was not sufficiently implied for you by the ICC opinion -- because the losses were on Lines East not Lines West.
I can tell you just about exactly who DOT spoke to at MILW -- as opposed to doing any actual research -- and why they got that story. Perhaps you place no weight in the ICC's understanding of railroads, as opposed to DOT's, at that time. If credibility is a guide, DOT was charged with railroad safety, and otherwise had little expertise in railroad economics as a whole.
Indeed, the DOT rehab number for the system is approximately double what the FRA estimated for total system rehab. Now, why was that? And who was DOT's "expert"? FRA hired Tom Dyer. I know who he is. Where did DOT's figures come from? Why wouldn't they use FRA's numbers? There are some enormous variations in numbers from the same government department here -- somebody's throwing some stuff around there, and it's not clear why.
Indeed, the DOT "study" sounds exactly like the Carter Administration's "cover story" on why the "government" was not going to spend any money on railroads that happened to be in Republican states in 1979 and 1980 -- only railroads in Republican states lost money and were, under longstanding government policy -- not entitled to federal funds.
Interestingly, MILW's estimated Lines West income, if restated in proportion to a modern railroad the size of BNSF, would have represented net annual income of $789,000,000. That's the same rate of return as the modern Union Pacific under deregulation, and less than was predicted by NewMil and Booz Allen Hamilton.
And I happen to think the ICC understated income for a variety of technical reasons, but in a modern context and without adjustment, MILW Lines West was doing quite well. That is the basis for my contention that the ICC decision was quite an anomoly, as it would condemn most prosperous modern railroads, at some point, to shutdown as the results did not represent a "viable" profit.
MichaelSol wrote: Just as volume is irrelevant to financial condition, so are Lines on a map meaningless from a financial perspective.
No, volume is important to any business. In the 1930's A&P smacked the mom and pop grocery stores. An important reason was that they had volume and could sell at a lower mark up - make less on each sale, but make more sales. A few decades latter, Wal-Mart did a similar thing. (Volume also gives a company power with its suppliers and can keep the suppliers in line with regard to their own prices.)
Volume is particularly important in the railroad business. There are high fixed costs and the railroads need a high volume of sales to cover them. This is brought out in the side bar to the map on page 76 in the March 2005 issue of Trains:
"One federal study in the '70's noted that routes below a threshold of 20 MGT (Million Gross Tons) had signifcantly higher maintenance and operating costs per ton-mile.."
Volume doesn't tell the whole story, but it's certainly not "irrelevent to finacial condition", particularly in railroading. And the Milwaukee's Pacific Coast Extension was less than half that important 20 MGT figure. My question is why.
MichaelSol wrote:"3:2:1 for BN:UP:MILW" ... and of course BN was more profitable than UP, right?
Well, the UP had much more tonnage than the BN over much of its system. Its line from Green River to the Northwest was just part of its picture. One reason the UP was so healthy financially was that its main line across Nebraska and Wyoming had highly concentrated traffic with over 60 MGT.
And the BN had yet to fully implament its merger, which would concentrate the old NP line's light density traffic on the GN and bring it's costs down.
I see things as the Milwaukee had absolutely no hope of doing something like this and, at the very least, doubling its business to reach the 20 MGT threshold. It's Pacific Coast Extension was doomed by low volume.
As an interesting piece of information from the map, The UP had more tonnage going to/from the Pacific Northwest than it did to/from L.A.
greyhounds wrote:No, volume is important to any business.
Naturally, this explains why Toyota, with at one point half the volume of GM, earned three times the profits. Sure, it plays a role, but it is not determinative of profitability which is the position some people here take based on looking at lines on a map.
Volume is particularly important in the railroad business. There are high fixed costs and the railroads need a high volume of sales to cover them. This is brought out in the side bar to the map on page 76 in the March 2005 issue of Trains
With all due respect for the magnificent job that Trains does, it is not an economic publication.
greyhounds wrote: MichaelSol wrote:"3:2:1 for BN:UP:MILW" ... and of course BN was more profitable than UP, right? Well, the UP had much more tonnage than the BN over much of its system.
Well, the UP had much more tonnage than the BN over much of its system.
That's my point ... a line on a map says nothing about context.
One reason the UP was so healthy financially was that its main line across Nebraska and Wyoming had highly concentrated traffic with over 60 MGT.
Profit plummeted when it had to gather and distribute that traffic -- the gross tonnage provided little explanation -- just as it didn't on Penn Central.
I don't think you have much to go on here.
Your continued interest in the Milwaukee out west is always interesting. But, the numbers just don't back you up. And you don't seem to have any of your own. That makes it appear, as always, as argument for arguments sake. There must be a lot of railroads you could be arguing about, and might have a better perspective on.
futuremodal wrote: greyhounds wrote: I disagree, based on evidence, that it was a viable or even potentially viable, enterprise. Is this enough evidence for you....? billbtrain wrote: I have to agree with Michael Sol that the Milwaukee could again have been a viable railroad.Container traffic out of Tacoma,coal from the Roundup,Montana mines,forest products from Washington,the SP connection at Portland,the connection at the Canadian border,grain from the Dakota's and Montana,etc prove to me that it could have worked.Better than the midwest lines in an area overrun with failing economies and lack of rail customers to keep at least 7 systems going.Plus the facts that the ICC,FRA,Democrats,Republicans,and the Supreme Court were willing to dump all kinds of money into the midwest,Conrail,and Amtrak,but not save the Milwaukee Road as a transcon system.Then you have the Milwaukee Executives deferring maintenance on physical plant and equipment and driving away business,just to prove their statements that the railroad would not/could not/should not make money on its own.Looks to me like a lot of the wrong people in the wrong places.I think they should be put out to pasture and bring back the Milwaukee Road as a transcon.Bill does a nice job of summerizing just some of the evidence that the Milwaukee was predicated for success through the Northern Tier, probably in a better position than GN, definitely in a better position than either NP or UP. But due to assorted malfeasance (mostly political) it was terminated unjudiciously. If the Milwaukee PCE had been allowed to continue, it would probably be the dominate line for intermodal, although the likelyhood is that it would have been merged into UP or BNSF by now.It should then be a shock to Ken that many parts of his so-called "unviable corpse" are either alive and well (Miles City to Twin Cities, South Dakota core lines, St. Maries River Railroad), have been seriously considered for return to service (Snoqualmie Pass line, Ellensburg to Lind, St. Regis to Spokane) or are currently being seriously considered for rebuilding (State of Washington rail plan. In addition, it doesn't take a genius to realize that BNSF/UP/MRL would be doing themselves a favor by rebuilding certain sections of the former Milwaukee ROW that are superior to those railroads' current alignments (Sixteen Mile Canyon vs Bozeman Pass, Missoula west, Marengo to Puget Sound, et al).What Ken will never acknowledge is that oftentimes the best don't survive, while the lessers stay alive.BTW - regarding total tonnage as the primary indicator of success: Didn't the SP historically have more tonnage than the SF? Yet the SF portion of BNSF is flying higher than the SP portion of UP! Moral - it ain't tonnage, it's net revenue that counts the most.
I learned all that from Michael Sol.I think Michael also mentioned not too long ago that BNSF might be looking to get into the coal mines in the Bull Mountain area?Higher grade of coal than from the PRB.I'd like to see how they would intend to get into the area.It would be interesting.I'm also going to try to look up some of the reports about the Milwaukee's proposed abandonment.Should be interesting reading.Also need to find a copy of 'The Nation Pays Again'.I saw a copy a few years ago at the Public Library.Haven't been back lately because it's a pain to get in and out of.
MichaelSol wrote: Your continued interest in the Milwaukee out west is always interesting. But, the numbers just don't back you up. And you don't seem to have any of your own. That makes it appear, as always, as argument for arguments sake. There must be a lot of railroads you could be arguing about, and might have a better perspective on.
Well, it was an interesting railroad. Would the electrification have allowed double stacks?
But my contentions here have been totally based on numbers (and a federal study). I've based my reasoning on the business each line had, cited in hard numbers. The Milwaukee Pacific Coast Extension just didn't have the volume of business needed to stay in business. The numbers I've cited show that.
greyhounds wrote:But my contentions here have been totally based on numbers (and a federal study). I've based my reasoning on the business each line had, cited in hard numbers. The Milwaukee Pacific Coast Extension just didn't have the volume of business needed to stay in business. The numbers I've cited show that.
It is significant, I think, in any context, that you have shown not a single number that actually showed the condition of the Milwaukee Road, nor how any of your numbers relate to the Milwaukee Road.
"Hard numbers" are generated by companies, on financial reports, not by government studies. That's the part that gets in your way -- you have referred to not a single "hard number". You have none.
In law, science, economics, or business, the general proposition always yields to the specific example -- and this is no exception.
You would not be the first person whose reliance on broad generalities foundered upon the reality of specifics, nor the last. Why you would be so interested in those generalities -- when myriad examples to the contrary exist -- is simply ... interesting, but not in any fashion that contributes meaningfully in any way to a discussion of the Milwaukee Road. But, I always get the impression, its not the Milwaukee Road that you have that much of an interest in ...
MichaelSol wrote: Indeed, the DOT "study" sounds exactly like the Carter Administration's "cover story" on why the "government" was not going to spend any money on railroads that happened to be in Republican states in 1979 and 1980 -- only railroads in Republican states lost money and were, under longstanding government policy -- not entitled to federal funds.
So when President Carter signed the Milwaukee Railroad Restructuring Act on 11/4/79 that gave the railroad 30 million dollars, did that money only go for the parts of the railroad that was operating Democrat states that the MILW served?
n012944 wrote: DOT staffers noting that the 4400 miles of the railroad between Minnesota and Washington accounted for nearly two-thirds of the system's loss in 1977,
DOT staffers noting that the 4400 miles of the railroad between Minnesota and Washington accounted for nearly two-thirds of the system's loss in 1977,
Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.
MichaelSol wrote: the Milwaukee's own books and found that lines west of Miles City had contributed $12.7 million in profits in 1976,
Michael-can you clarify what you mean, specifically, when you speak of the PCE? Are you speaking of west of Minnneapolis,Ortonville,Mobridge, or Miles City? I see a lot of references to Miles City. Was Miles City the division point for the Milwaukee, as far as their studies and financial reports were done?
Murphy Siding wrote: MichaelSol wrote: the Milwaukee's own books and found that lines west of Miles City had contributed $12.7 million in profits in 1976, Michael-can you clarify what you mean, specifically, when you speak of the PCE? Are you speaking of west of Minnneapolis,Ortonville,Mobridge, or Miles City? I see a lot of references to Miles City. Was Miles City the division point for the Milwaukee, as far as their studies and financial reports were done?
The historic PCE was lines west of Mobridge, SD. Miles City was selected by the Trustee (or the fellow who was actually trying to arrange this abandonment) for the reason that the coal traffic coming on line eastbound at Miles City threw the whole "PCE loses money" meme into a crock far too clearly. Indeed, at Aberdeen, the PCE was carrrying 14 MGT, and west of Harlow, one of the consulting engineers commented that it was carrying 11 MGT. Several studies, however, looked at lines west of St. Paul as the PCE.
n012944 wrote: MichaelSol wrote: Indeed, the DOT "study" sounds exactly like the Carter Administration's "cover story" on why the "government" was not going to spend any money on railroads that happened to be in Republican states in 1979 and 1980 -- only railroads in Republican states lost money and were, under longstanding government policy -- not entitled to federal funds. So when President Carter signed the Milwaukee Railroad Restructuring Act on 11/4/79 that gave the railroad 30 million dollars, did that money only go for the parts of the railroad that was operating Democrat states that the MILW served?
Congress was, and still is, a separate branch of government.
Congress specifically allocated funds to operate the PCE, even as the Executive Branch refused to extend loans under its jurisdiction through the USDA. Apparently Congress didn't think too much of the DOT report either.
Indeed, the Trustee reluctantly ordered new ballast dumped along the right-of-way -- always next to a highway, and always only on the side facing the highway -- just so everyone knew they were being sincere.
MichaelSol wrote: Murphy Siding wrote: MichaelSol wrote: the Milwaukee's own books and found that lines west of Miles City had contributed $12.7 million in profits in 1976, Michael-can you clarify what you mean, specifically, when you speak of the PCE? Are you speaking of west of Minnneapolis,Ortonville,Mobridge, or Miles City? I see a lot of references to Miles City. Was Miles City the division point for the Milwaukee, as far as their studies and financial reports were done?The historic PCE was lines west of Mobridge, SD. Miles City was selected by the Trustee (or the fellow who was actually trying to arrange this abandonment) for the reason that the coal traffic coming on line eastbound at Miles City threw the whole "PCE loses money" meme into a crock far too clearly. Indeed, at Aberdeen, the PCE was carrrying 14 MGT, and west of Harlow, one of the consulting engineers commented that it was carrying 11 MGT. Several studies, however, looked at lines west of St. Paul as the PCE.
greyhounds wrote: MichaelSol wrote: Your continued interest in the Milwaukee out west is always interesting. But, the numbers just don't back you up. And you don't seem to have any of your own. That makes it appear, as always, as argument for arguments sake. There must be a lot of railroads you could be arguing about, and might have a better perspective on. Well, it was an interesting railroad. Would the electrification have allowed double stacks?But my contentions here have been totally based on numbers (and a federal study). I've based my reasoning on the business each line had, cited in hard numbers. The Milwaukee Pacific Coast Extension just didn't have the volume of business needed to stay in business. The numbers I've cited show that.
I just happened to be thinking about double stacks this morning.Thinking about what would have to be done on the PCE to allow sufficient clearance amounting to say 18'.I'm refering to the PCE as it was in 1979,without the electrification.Figure that about 45 tunnels would have been in need of enlargment or daylighting.Also,a lot of curvature would need to be reduced.
Murphy Siding wrote: To be somewhat accurate in discussion, wouldn't the PCE, as we talk about it here, have to be considered to be that part west of what became NewMil?
But the studies were done looking at what would be cut off, and that kept changing. First it was Butte, then Miles City and then Ortonville.
I would prefer all studies had been done looking at Mobridge, but transferring the Faith, SD, Isabel, SD and New England, ND, traffic to the Midwest area.
Murphy Siding wrote: n012944 wrote: DOT staffers noting that the 4400 miles of the railroad between Minnesota and Washington accounted for nearly two-thirds of the system's loss in 1977, Just a thought: This "4400 miles" would encompass more than just the PCE. Perhaps 700-800 miles alone, would be just the non-PCE lines in S.D. that were sucking air badly in 1979.
I don't know if it was the Trains article, or the DOT study. One never knows on these second hand reports. But, "between" Minnesota and Washington means the Dakotas, Idaho and Montana. These were mostly "bridge" states, of the kind that UP made its money on -- just rolling freight long distances without doing a lot of work along the way. The Chamblerlain line didn't see much traffic by then, that was true. But Washngton State had become an enormous generator of traffic and revenue -- because it was sending so much of it over that long land line, on some of the longest long hauls of any railroad in the country.
I recall that the Trustee had tried to construct an odd criteria, that each line segment had to generate a minimum of $38,000 a year per mile in revenue -- nothing about operating expenses -- otherwise it needed to be abandoned. It was an odd measure, since it didn't measure the revenue obtained by overhead traffic. None of the transcontinental railroads would have survived the measure, but somehow someone dreamed this up, and it sounds a lot like the DOT study.
So, somebody was able to show that these thousands of miles of track generated just about zero, and compared that to the system average overall at $38,000 per mile. And if you "did the math" it was clear that all two thirds of the system "losses" had to occur on these miles of lines that generated little or no lineside traffic. And I have a feeling that is exactly how DOT "did the math."
And if the reader didn't know anything about "overhead" -- gee, it all kind of made sense to a bureaucrat somewhere.
billbtrain wrote:I just happened to be thinking about double stacks this morning.Thinking about what would have to be done on the PCE to allow sufficient clearance amounting to say 18'.I'm refering to the PCE as it was in 1979,without the electrification.Figure that about 45 tunnels would have been in need of enlargment or daylighting.Also,a lot of curvature would need to be reduced.
The PCE had a minimum 19'6" clearance throughout, with standard catenary in place. Catenary in the tunnels used up between 18" and 30" of additional clearance.
The line handled 93' autoracks on a daily basis without incident on the existing curvature.
Murphy Siding wrote: MichaelSol wrote: Murphy Siding wrote: MichaelSol wrote: the Milwaukee's own books and found that lines west of Miles City had contributed $12.7 million in profits in 1976, Michael-can you clarify what you mean, specifically, when you speak of the PCE? Are you speaking of west of Minnneapolis,Ortonville,Mobridge, or Miles City? I see a lot of references to Miles City. Was Miles City the division point for the Milwaukee, as far as their studies and financial reports were done?The historic PCE was lines west of Mobridge, SD. Miles City was selected by the Trustee (or the fellow who was actually trying to arrange this abandonment) for the reason that the coal traffic coming on line eastbound at Miles City threw the whole "PCE loses money" meme into a crock far too clearly. Indeed, at Aberdeen, the PCE was carrrying 14 MGT, and west of Harlow, one of the consulting engineers commented that it was carrying 11 MGT. Several studies, however, looked at lines west of St. Paul as the PCE. To be somewhat accurate in discussion, wouldn't the PCE, as we talk about it here, have to be considered to be that part west of what became NewMil?
The final NewMil proposal to the ICC was a transcontinental proposal, Portland, Tacoma Seattle, to Twin Cities, Milwaukee, Chicago, Louisville, Kansas City.
MichaelSol wrote: billbtrain wrote:I just happened to be thinking about double stacks this morning.Thinking about what would have to be done on the PCE to allow sufficient clearance amounting to say 18'.I'm refering to the PCE as it was in 1979,without the electrification.Figure that about 45 tunnels would have been in need of enlargment or daylighting.Also,a lot of curvature would need to be reduced.The PCE had a minimum 19'6" clearance throughout, with standard catenary in place. Catenary in the tunnels used up between 18" and 30" of additional clearance.The line handled 93' autoracks on a daily basis without incident on the existing curvature.
Thanks,Michael.I forgot to factor in the pantographs of the electrics when I was thinking about tunnel clearances.I'm still learning,which means I'm not dead yet!
I just spent the last hour looking on MSN Live Search of the mainline from Harlowton to Three Forks in 3D.Sixteen Mile Canyon looks like it was the difficult part of that line.Curvature doesn't look that bad.
billbtrain wrote:I just spent the last hour looking on MSN Live Search of the mainline from Harlowton to Three Forks in 3D.Sixteen Mile Canyon looks like it was the difficult part of that line.Curvature doesn't look that bad.
Milwaukee thought about promoting the canyon more -- renaming it "Montana Canyon" -- for its rugged beauty. But, other than open air cars put on at Harlow -- there wasn't much to do directly to promote the area. Most of the residents had forked tongues, so it was never going to be a tourist destination.
In the 48 miles between Loweth and Lombard, the ruling grade was 1% -- not bad for such rugged territory. Most of the curves were between 4 and 6 degrees. There was a tight spot east of Francis Substation with six ten degree curves in a four mile stretch and some 8 and 6 degree curves to the west. This was the old Montana Railroad route, which Milwaukee just about entirely rebuilt.
Some questions about the PCE makeup.
1) How did the 19'6" tunnel clearances compare to BN's Cascade and Flathead tunnels?
2)Concerning rail weight and type(jointed or welded) at the following segments
Aberdeen to Mobridge
Mobridge to Miles City
Miles City to Harlowton
Harlowton to Three Forks
That's all for now.More later.
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