QUOTE: Originally posted by route_rock Oh youth that doesnt listen to elders. two SD-70 macs to drag a coal train up albia hill at a crawl.a 2-10-4 dragging a 10,000 ton train up the same hil at about 30. I can hear you guys now ,thats 8,000 tons less,ahh touche but they had fricton bearing's. Not the nice roller bearings that todays power house junkers get to pull. Took 4 count em 4 to get the same train pulled by one steam loco.So before you all say steam was horrible l suggest you re read your history. Had WWII not forced railroads to run power that was beat up and out of repair the diesel might have had to wait till the 70's. Funny we all talk about how great diesels are and versatile but can a 70 mac do locals? a Trash 9? I dont think so folks! Diesels were versatile one day long ago,not now.
QUOTE: Originally posted by rrandb Let me throw out a real curve ball. Since maritime I.E. Navy has gone to steam in the form of nuclear and if they solve the fision/fusion problem we could very well see steam again. If its not coal/oil based maybe something else.. Cold fusion without the 3 mile island stigma may be the answer and solve both emision and import issues?? It just will not be in the form anyone remembers it. As long as we learn from our past the future remain limitless!!!! [?] As always ENJOY [2c]
-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/)
QUOTE: Originally posted by AnthonyV On the contrary, it is very intuitive, which is why I asked the question. In any industry, efficiency measures are not a matter of choice. Otherwise a company could choose the measures that make them forever profitable.
QUOTE: Do you think it is counterintuitive that the average line haul increased, since the railroad lost unprofitable short-haul traffic? Unless the railroad lost traffic in the same percentage across-the-board, revenue ton miles would have HAD to decrease less than revenue tons did. Thus, costs per ton would have HAD to increase even if the actual efficiency remained constant. In this case, your results gave a false indication of lower efficiency when in fact, efficiency actually increased. Again, this is why I asked the question.
QUOTE: Regarding crew costs, I think the relevant measure for comparison is the number of man hours of road crew per ton mile, or something similar. Comparing crew costs in 1962 to those in the 1940's, even when inflation adjusted, makes implicit assumptions regarding the growth of real wages for the steam case. Comparing man-hours per ton mile would clarify how efficient the use of manpower was for steam versus Diesel. Once these results are known, we can then analyze how wages affects the overall costs.
QUOTE: Originally posted by AnthonyV [2. Reduced track damage by eliminating the hammering associated with steam.
QUOTE: Originally posted by TomDiehl QUOTE: Originally posted by cementmixr This Brown is an outsider looking in. I am not particularly pursuaded by commentary from outsiders on the railroad industry. The woods are full of self-styled railroad experts. In my opinion, the place to start an analysis like this one is with primary source documents as found in a railroad company's archives. Surely every railroad made internal studies on the impact of dieselization. Where are the internal studies? I guess nobody here has read them. Even if you completely ignore his background and/or qualifications, this does bring up another question: Why did Brown do this study? Was he hired by the railroads or organization like the AAR? Was he working for a Wall Street firm to give them a stock market rating for the railroads?
QUOTE: Originally posted by cementmixr This Brown is an outsider looking in. I am not particularly pursuaded by commentary from outsiders on the railroad industry. The woods are full of self-styled railroad experts. In my opinion, the place to start an analysis like this one is with primary source documents as found in a railroad company's archives. Surely every railroad made internal studies on the impact of dieselization. Where are the internal studies? I guess nobody here has read them.
QUOTE: Originally posted by TomDiehl QUOTE: Originally posted by TomDiehl QUOTE: Originally posted by cementmixr This Brown is an outsider looking in. I am not particularly pursuaded by commentary from outsiders on the railroad industry. The woods are full of self-styled railroad experts. In my opinion, the place to start an analysis like this one is with primary source documents as found in a railroad company's archives. Surely every railroad made internal studies on the impact of dieselization. Where are the internal studies? I guess nobody here has read them. Even if you completely ignore his background and/or qualifications, this does bring up another question: Why did Brown do this study? Was he hired by the railroads or organization like the AAR? Was he working for a Wall Street firm to give them a stock market rating for the railroads? Michael I posted this question a couple pages back but you may have missed this. Do you know the answer?
QUOTE: Originally posted by AnthonyV [I'm not sure where we're at with this, but the way I look at it is efficiency is cost/production. A steel mill or coal mine produces tons. I realize I have never been in railroading, but it seems to me that a railroad produces ton-miles. Therefore I would choose gross ton miles or revenue ton miles as my basic normalizing parameter depending on the context.
QUOTE: Originally posted by oltmannd RRs do produce revenue, but we're talking about locomotives. Locomotives, as a "black box" consume man-hours and fuel and produce drawbar pull and speed (work). They know nothing about the nature of what the drawbar is pulling. If you're going to measure the effectiveness or efficiency of a locomotive, you have to measure the inputs and outputs of the black box. Revenue per ton is not something a locomotive can control.
QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol That is why so many of the Dieseliztation studies performed by railroads after the fact to justify and rationalize their decisions were just garbage. Best regards, Michael Sol
QUOTE: Originally posted by cementmixr QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol That is why so many of the Dieseliztation studies performed by railroads after the fact to justify and rationalize their decisions were just garbage. Best regards, Michael Sol Have you read them?
QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol QUOTE: Originally posted by oltmannd RRs do produce revenue, but we're talking about locomotives. Locomotives, as a "black box" consume man-hours and fuel and produce drawbar pull and speed (work). They know nothing about the nature of what the drawbar is pulling. If you're going to measure the effectiveness or efficiency of a locomotive, you have to measure the inputs and outputs of the black box. Revenue per ton is not something a locomotive can control. Locomotives don't manage, people do. Gross ton-miles as a unit measure, without more, doesn't tell a manager what is being measured. Among other things, the "cost per gross ton-mile" measure is most affected by 1) line haul, and 2) distribution of business where fuel consumption per gross ton mile, for example, almost always looks better, even with the same locomotive fleet, and with 3) tare ratio improvements, in which cost per gross ton mile will show the same cost, but cost per net ton mile shows an improvement -- which you want to see. but wouldn't with the gtm measure because it is, all by itself, a poor productivity statistic. The cost per gross ton-mile can look better and better all the time (and almost always does) and not have a thing to do with the performance of the locomotive. Indeed, the more traffic a railroad loses on shorter hauls, very frequently the better the cost per gross ton mile measure looks even as the railroad is going broke losing traffic. The "appearance" of the locomotive performing better through the use of a gross ton-mile metric is exactly how a deteriorating situation can be masked by "improving" performance metrics. That is why so many of the Dieseliztation studies performed by railroads after the fact to justify and rationalize their decisions were just garbage. Best regards, Michael Sol
QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol In 1957 British Rail wanted an independent assessment of Dieselization. They weren't very far along in the process themselves, but some American railroads, such as Milwaukee Road, had completed the process. As a result of the study Gibbs & Hill iincreased their international prestige. From its finding adverse to Dieselization and EMD marketing claims, foreign firms and governments saw a repudiation of the suspicion that American consulting firms placated vested large American industrial interests to serve their own vested consulting interests. As a result, Gibbs & Hill became one of the largest international consulting and engineering firms in the world, and was involved in transportation projects and electrification projects everywhere. Some of the largest US electric power generating plants of the 1970s and 1980s were Gibbs & Hill projects.
QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol We are discussing using "false positives" from statistical data that appears to show an advantage to a particular locomotive, policy, etc., when in fact that data can be contrary to profitability, even as it appears "more efficient." Best regards, Michael Sol
QUOTE: Originally posted by oltmannd QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol We are discussing using "false positives" from statistical data that appears to show an advantage to a particular locomotive, policy, etc., when in fact that data can be contrary to profitability, even as it appears "more efficient." Then this is a discussion of "outcomes", not whether or not RR mgt made the best decision at the time.
QUOTE: Originally posted by MichaelSol We are discussing using "false positives" from statistical data that appears to show an advantage to a particular locomotive, policy, etc., when in fact that data can be contrary to profitability, even as it appears "more efficient."
QUOTE: Originally posted by Old Timer Michael Sol says: "Road diesels on American railways, with long hauls operating wide open failed to generate savings, generating losses instead, particularly because of high maintenance and financing charges." High maintenance? Higher than steam? Now's your chance to produce some meaningful figures. Twenty - one pages of blather, and still counting. Old Timer
QUOTE: Originally posted by Old Timer [And did we ever find out who commissioned Brown to do his study?
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