Well, aside for the serious issue of slack action on super long trains, there is also the mathematical law of averages.
If there is a chance, however small, that a defective car can cause a derailment in a 50-car train, those chances double when you go to 100 cars. Then, they double AGAIN when you go to 200 cars. I think the NS derailment in Springfield, OH, involved a train with 200+ cars.
My hunch is that there must be a way to make long trains operationally safe. We just need to find a way to "push the right buttons" so to speak.
An excerpt from the following report:
"In 2005, the TSB conducted a safety issues investigation involving an extensive analysis of train derailments and their relationship to bulk tonnage traffic. Loaded high-capacity rail cars in unit trains pose special problems to main lines where weak track conditions (ties, ballast, and subgrade) may be common. A unit train consist is usually uniform; that is, all cars are of the same design and loading, with the car trucks and car bodies responding more or less as one unit. Therefore, each rail car on the train responds to track irregularities in the same manner as the previous car, leading to cumulative impacts at irregularities that the train encounters in the track structure. Trains with numerous rail cars of the same design and with high load capacity provide the track little or no opportunity for elastic recovery during their passage. As a result, high-capacity unit trains can hasten permanent and usually non-uniform track deformation."
https://www.tsb.gc.ca/eng/rapports-reports/rail/2020/r20w0102/r20w0102.html
Long, heavy trains will have greater in-train and train-track forces than shorter trains.
Greetings from Alberta
-an Articulate Malcontent
SD70Dude An excerpt from the following report: "In 2005, the TSB conducted a safety issues investigation involving an extensive analysis of train derailments and their relationship to bulk tonnage traffic. Loaded high-capacity rail cars in unit trains pose special problems to main lines where weak track conditions (ties, ballast, and subgrade) may be common. A unit train consist is usually uniform; that is, all cars are of the same design and loading, with the car trucks and car bodies responding more or less as one unit. Therefore, each rail car on the train responds to track irregularities in the same manner as the previous car, leading to cumulative impacts at irregularities that the train encounters in the track structure. Trains with numerous rail cars of the same design and with high load capacity provide the track little or no opportunity for elastic recovery during their passage. As a result, high-capacity unit trains can hasten permanent and usually non-uniform track deformation." https://www.tsb.gc.ca/eng/rapports-reports/rail/2020/r20w0102/r20w0102.html Long, heavy trains will have greater in-train and train-track forces than shorter trains.
The 2005 study itself is here:
https://www.tsb.gc.ca/eng/rapports-reports/rail/etudes-studies/siiR0501/siir0501.html
You have quoted the 2020 report accurately, but the 2020 report refers misleadingly to the 2005 study. The 2005 study does not purport to show that the statement is true, it just sets forth the statement itself, without references or support. It is not a conclusion of the 2005 study, it is a hypothesis that is then used to justify the conclusions of that same study, and if that sounds messed up... it gives you a pretty good idea of how well that 2005 study was put together. It's junk. But that doesn't stop a careless person from citing it in a future report.
Dan
Euclid Here is some news about this question. Does anybody actually know the answer?
Short answer? No. The best available evidence I can find is a paper written by my good friend Darwin Schafer back when we were grad-school office mates:
https://railtec.illinois.edu/wp/wp-content/uploads/pdf-archive/TRBDarwin---The-Relationship-Between-Train-Length-and-Accident-Causes-and-Rates.pdf
It notes that the traditional model is to divide accident causes into train-mile-related causes and car-mile-related causes, and if you believe in that model then increasing train lengths will always increase the derailment rate per train-mile and decrease the derailment rate per car-mile (i.e. decrease the derailment rate overall). The paper observes in passing that certain categories - notably train-handling - don't always fit neatly into either category, and warns that you can't conclude from this study that longer trains reduce derailments over all (especially for trains > 150 cars, which were not well represented in this 2007 study). It's also worth noting that several "train-mile-related" causes such as passing red signals or exceeding speed restrictions have been reduced in importance by the widespread use of PTC, so theoretically that dimishes the safety advantage of longer trains.
That said - there certainly is not any study out there to suggest that longer trains result in MORE derailments. The labor leaders making this claim are spouting pure BS with nothing to back them up.
FRA thinks that some recent derailments may be due to train makeup procedures, which are kind of indirectly related to train length. But even if that's the case, there's reason to doubt that this small number of accidents would overcome the safety benefit of having fewer (i.e. longer) trains out and about and getting into trouble.
And if you step back and use a different safety metric - lives lost, rather than number of derailments - there is absolutely no question in my mind that longer trains save lives. That is because the vast majority of all lives lost in railroad accidents occur in grade-crossing and trespasser collisions, which aren't affected at all by train length. Longer trains means fewer trains means fewer deaths, period.
I have had a problem of it just being length of trains. All buff and draft forces are due to how many couplers are on a train. Each coupler allows for some slack. Also any slack action from cushioned cars. Now what about a 15 - 20k IM train made up of 3 and 5 packer well cars.? It might have as few couplers as maybe a 5000 - 8000 regular manifest train.
blue streak 1I have had a problem of it just being length of trains.
Now, mandating a limit in train length between DPU units... that would make sense. So would regulation of train makeup, which so many railroads have demonstrated lethal incompetence in arranging. As you note, long consists of well cars, even baretable, have far less 'unsafe' potential than uncoordinated long-travel cushion cars. (One of the fun things advanced ECP makes possible, although lost on the Feinberg contingent, is that individual braking rates can be modulated during an application to control likely intercar and interblock dynamics.)
blue streak 1 I have had a problem of it just being length of trains. All buff and draft forces are due to how many couplers are on a train. Each coupler allows for some slack. Also any slack action from cushioned cars. Now what about a 15 - 20k IM train made up of 3 and 5 packer well cars.? It might have as few couplers as maybe a 5000 - 8000 regular manifest train.
Euclid blue streak 1 I have had a problem of it just being length of trains. All buff and draft forces are due to how many couplers are on a train. Each coupler allows for some slack. Also any slack action from cushioned cars. Now what about a 15 - 20k IM train made up of 3 and 5 packer well cars.? It might have as few couplers as maybe a 5000 - 8000 regular manifest train. It would be nice if someone created a graphic computer model that demonstrates the actions of so-called “in-train forces” and how they act in a long freight train as it travels over varying track geometry at varying speeds. ...
It has already been done. I was given a opportunity by one of the Senior Road Foremen of Engines about 30 years ago to operate one of CSX's Engineer Training Simulators. Simulator could be programmed, on demand, to run any Subdivision on the property and any train that existed on the CSX Car & Train Database could be loaded - with the engine consist that operated that train IRL.
When making throttle and/or brake inputs there was a graphic representation of the various intrain forces that were being generated with the territory being negotiated. At the time, CSX's maximum train length on most territories was 9000 feet as this was well before the implementation of PSR principles.
Never too old to have a happy childhood!
Within the last year or so, UP announced a computer program that can run a train's route and show where problems might happen. I don't think it is used to reposition cars, just give them an advance heads up about where something might happen.
Just looking at a train list is sometimes enough because it's obvious that things should be changed. A few times I know where a crew raised objections and were told to go with it. Then the train derailed on that crew's portion of the run. (Funny how even though the crew told the FRA investigators that fact, it didn't make it into the FRA accident report.)
DP is not the panacea it's made out to be. Yes they do help. All our trains over 10000 feet need a mid train DP. Longer trains over a certain weight threshold need a mid and rear DP. Some still get torn up, sometimes into three or four pieces. Sometimes it's a problem with the DP that causes the initial action that results in a train breaking into two.
Not all trains are the same. One of our mixed manifests is often 60 or 70 % cushioned drawbars. We have a couple that have few of the cushioned drawbars. Both types can often be in the 12000 to 15000 foot range. Guess which type is likely to have problems out on the road.
We've had some intermodals up tp 18000 feet. Many are often in the 12000 to 15000 foot range. They normally don't have many problems. (Other than open container doors.) They are relatively light and don't have cushioned drawbars. They aren't bad to run.
Regarding air brake usage, Most trains I get I only have to use air when stopping. Eastbound, except for light trains, like empty unit trains, I will need to use air once for sure to control speed. That's coming down the short 1.25% grades coming down into the Missouri River valley. There's two other areas eastbound where I may need to use air to maintain speed, but even in those places if I have enough good dynamics I won't need to use air.
The FRA wants more crew training. Maybe that's not where the problem is. Crews run these things everyday. They get to know what works and what doesn't. Maybe railroad management needs more training in making up trains.
Jeff
jeffhergert... The FRA wants more crew training. Maybe that's not where the problem is. Crews run these things everyday. They get to know what works and what doesn't. Maybe railroad management needs more training in making up trains. Jeff
On 'my' division of CSX, there were a number of TTSI's that related to train make-up that limited the positions of various cars/types when built into trains. Many of these restrictions were related to the trailing tonnage that could be in the train behind such cars. My division did include mountainous territory with a high degree of curvature in surmounting those grades. These restrictions had been developed from the examination of causes of derailments over the years - learned in 'blood'. While these restrictions were second nature to the yardmasters on the division who made every effort to comply with the restrictions - my divisions restrictions were not uniformly enacted across the company as a whole. Flatlanders did not have the restrictions, even though they were building trains that would operate through the territory that occasioned the restictions. A company failure in my mind.
But of course this solution to the ultra-long train derailment problem will be fiercely opposed by the railroad companies because of their dread of ECP brakes. It is only the social impact of train disasters written in blood that will push this forward. But the industry would give up the long trains if it would avoid ECP.
Euclid Here is some news about this question. Does anybody actually know the answer? Railroad labor advocacy seems to frequently cite this increase of danger with monster trains. However, that view is understandable because everyone agrees that monster trains reduce crew costs, and thus cause a loss of jobs. The media obviously jumped onto that bandwagon in response to the East Palestine wreck, which was then affirmed by the Springfield, OH wreck. This latest news suggests that engineers may need more training to know how to operate the longer trains. https://fortune.com/2023/04/28/railroad-derailment-long-trains-federal-regulators-problem-contributor/ The feds are warning railroads that their love of long trains is leading to horrible accidents and derailments—but they’re not doing anything about it yet
It's gonna be more territory specific than train consist specific. FEC could run just about anything, anywhere, anytime no sweat. Horseshoe curve? CSX Boston Line? We'd have to talk...
-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/)
EuclidI suggest a means to actually measure buff and draft force on each coupler joint in a test train that duplicates an actual revenue train.
Where the effort ought to be placed is better control of the 'fence' activity in Locotrol so that any trailing power modulates its dynamic correctly for the part of its train between nodes. Without that, any long train on an irregular profile might indeed be another Springfield cocked and unlocked...
You'd use exactly the same set of accelerometers, feeding into one of the train management programs, to figure out what that ought to be, and what permanent methods should be implemented (probably as an AAR standard) to deal with it.
It's probably already been done, virtually - ie, on a computer.
Acceleration, deceleration, and buff forces can easily be simulated, and I'm pretty sure most profiles have been recorded as well.
And probably for less money than it would take to equip some 200 cars.
Larry Resident Microferroequinologist (at least at my house) Everyone goes home; Safety begins with you My Opinion. Standard Disclaimers Apply. No Expiration Date Come ride the rails with me! There's one thing about humility - the moment you think you've got it, you've lost it...
tree68It's probably already been done, virtually - ie, on a computer. Acceleration, deceleration, and buff forces can easily be simulated, and I'm pretty sure most profiles have been recorded as well. And probably for less money than it would take to equip some 200 cars.
In the early 1990's CSX had a Simulator for Engineers that married the calculation of in train forces by using the data of actual trains that had been operated and the ability to operate that train of data over any of the territory CSX was operating.
Of course in the 1990's Distributed Power was not on CSX's horizon.
I am certain that in the 21st Century, the CSX Simulator does replicate that various operating modes with DPU in one or more locations within specified trains; with those location(s) able to be manipulated on instructor demand.
In my use of the simulator what was missing was the actual physical impacts from slack action - the buff and draft kicks in the pants.
Overmod Euclid I suggest a means to actually measure buff and draft force on each coupler joint in a test train that duplicates an actual revenue train. Probably be easier to equip them with magnetic or clamp-on battery-powered accelerometers, and store the results with GPS location and timestamp, then stream all the results wirelessly. Assign an IoT address to each one to keep them definitively apart. Where the effort ought to be placed is better control of the 'fence' activity in Locotrol so that any trailing power modulates its dynamic correctly for the part of its train between nodes. Without that, any long train on an irregular profile might indeed be another Springfield cocked and unlocked... You'd use exactly the same set of accelerometers, feeding into one of the train management programs, to figure out what that ought to be, and what permanent methods should be implemented (probably as an AAR standard) to deal with it.
Euclid I suggest a means to actually measure buff and draft force on each coupler joint in a test train that duplicates an actual revenue train.
Probably be easier to equip them with magnetic or clamp-on battery-powered accelerometers, and store the results with GPS location and timestamp, then stream all the results wirelessly. Assign an IoT address to each one to keep them definitively apart.
Euclid... I doubt the railroads would program simulators that show that derailments can be caused by excess buff forces in their ultra-long trains. But I suspect that if they had real world data, it would show that in-train forces associated with these trains will derail them under certain conditions. Indeed, that is the conclusion of the FRA and unions. And there is mounting empirical evidence of the correlation. ...
Your lack of knowledge of railroad operations and supervision is SHOUTING.
BaltACD Euclid ... I doubt the railroads would program simulators that show that derailments can be caused by excess buff forces in their ultra-long trains. But I suspect that if they had real world data, it would show that in-train forces associated with these trains will derail them under certain conditions. Indeed, that is the conclusion of the FRA and unions. And there is mounting empirical evidence of the correlation. ... Your lack of knowledge of railroad operations and supervision is SHOUTING.
Euclid ... I doubt the railroads would program simulators that show that derailments can be caused by excess buff forces in their ultra-long trains. But I suspect that if they had real world data, it would show that in-train forces associated with these trains will derail them under certain conditions. Indeed, that is the conclusion of the FRA and unions. And there is mounting empirical evidence of the correlation. ...
Euclid BaltACD Euclid ... I doubt the railroads would program simulators that show that derailments can be caused by excess buff forces in their ultra-long trains. But I suspect that if they had real world data, it would show that in-train forces associated with these trains will derail them under certain conditions. Indeed, that is the conclusion of the FRA and unions. And there is mounting empirical evidence of the correlation. ... Your lack of knowledge of railroad operations and supervision is SHOUTING. Well if you have the knowledge; show me the use of computers to model the in-train forces in a 250-car train with suitable distributed power and best train handling practice in moderately hilly terrain, at typical road speeds. Also, if the industry has this capability, why aren’t they using it to predict derailments caused by in-train forces? If they are doing that, why are these derailments occurring?
All I can say is that such modeling was taking place when I was still employed. That being said I have been retired since December 2016 and subsequently PSR attacked my former employer in the form of a dying EHH and virtually all Operating Management was replaced by EHH cronies - with all that being the case I have no idea what form of modeling is taking place.
I do know that when I was working the CSX Train Handling Rule and divisional employee timetable special instructions had a number of restrictions on how to build trains and how much trailing tonnage was allowed before a helper or DPU was required.
Personal observations from some local incidents AFTER EHH and PSR were thrust into operations, indicated to me, that some of the restrictions that were in effect when I was working did not appear to be in effect from the incidents (derailments) that happened.
There's rules, then there's compliance with the rules...
tree68There's rules, then there's compliance with the rules...
And there is Supervision to ensure compliance.
Without proper Supervision, you don't have much. Without a rules compliant culture you have even less.
It's not like a RFE has to pull physical tapes anymore. All the stuff has instant triggers, instant downloads, instant reviews.
It's been fun. But it isn't much fun anymore. Signing off for now.
The opinions expressed here represent my own and not those of my employer, any other railroad, company, or person.t fun any
They do have modeling tools. They do use them to set rules for train make-up and territory.
They are often used retrospectively to analyze derailments.
They are generally difficult to use and tough to deploy as tools for train consist management. Car geometry plays a big role as does ROW geometry and in-train forces.
Or, why haven't these derailments stopped happening.
RRs have, for a very long time, built trains the would derail if they went into emergency in just the right spot. Once in a blue moon, they would and did!
oltmanndOr, why haven't these derailments stopped happening.
As I noted earlier, there's rules, and there's following them.
Too, consider the problem of combining proper placement with blocking.
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