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Harvest and higher prices

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  • Member since
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  • From: S.E. South Dakota
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Posted by Murphy Siding on Friday, September 19, 2014 12:48 PM

dehusman

Murphy Siding

 I keep reading about congestion, car shortage, increased oil traffic pushing the grain to the back seat, etc...  In a capitalist economy, isn't this just a classic case of supply and demand? 

..... And in a related story AAR carloading figures just released show that grain carloadings YTD are 19% above 2013 levels for US roads and 17% above 2013 for Canadian roads.

https://www.aar.org/newsandevents/Freight-Rail-Traffic/Documents/2014-09-04-railtraffic.pdf

 

    Was 2013 an average year, or a down year to compare to?  Just curious.

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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Posted by Euclid on Friday, September 19, 2014 12:12 PM

I see a lot of basic price inflation in groceries.  If it seems surprising, it is only because we are being told that inflation is minimal.  Not only are grocery prices rising, but the quality is dropping as another response to the supplier cost pressure.

I was told by somebody the other day to expect an ag recession next year because Minnesota has had the largest corn crop in history, and that will drive down the value.  But then there is the issue of whether the railroads can move that record crop without driving up the cost of corn to the food producers. 

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Posted by dehusman on Friday, September 19, 2014 12:03 PM

Murphy Siding

 I keep reading about congestion, car shortage, increased oil traffic pushing the grain to the back seat, etc...  In a capitalist economy, isn't this just a classic case of supply and demand? 

..... And in a related story AAR carloading figures just released show that grain carloadings YTD are 19% above 2013 levels for US roads and 17% above 2013 for Canadian roads.

https://www.aar.org/newsandevents/Freight-Rail-Traffic/Documents/2014-09-04-railtraffic.pdf

 

Dave H. Painted side goes up. My website : wnbranch.com

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Posted by The Butler on Friday, September 19, 2014 12:00 PM

Mookie - I think it is the wholesalers and retailers anticipating an increase in price.  The same as when oil goes up $50 a barrel and the gas price at the local station goes up the next day or week.  My 2 Cents

James


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Posted by Mookie on Friday, September 19, 2014 10:12 AM

Paul - They can run to Congress all they want right now since it is in recess until mid-November.  Meanwhile a roast for two will run about $15-20.  Relief won't come very fast that I can see.  So why the big jump now?

She who has no signature! cinscocom-tmw

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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Friday, September 19, 2014 10:00 AM

In theory this would be true.  Since you live in a farm state, I'm sure that you're quite aware that this just isn't going to happen.  As soon as rates rise based on increased demand, the farmers are going to run to Congress demanding that rates, car supply, etc. be regulated.

The daily commute is part of everyday life but I get two rides a day out of it. Paul
  • Member since
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Harvest and higher prices
Posted by Murphy Siding on Friday, September 19, 2014 8:54 AM

    Being an election year, and living in a farm state, we're hearing a lot right now about the railroads inability to move grain instantly and cheaply.  I keep reading about congestion, car shortage, increased oil traffic pushing the grain to the back seat, etc...  In a capitalist economy, isn't this just a classic case of supply and demand?  In which case, the cost for rail shipment would rise, allowing the railroads to afford more capacity?

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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