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50,000 coal cars

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50,000 coal cars
Posted by chicagorails on Friday, April 27, 2012 10:38 AM

With most of the coal hoppers used today, they may be converted into grain hoppers by weilding tops onto them. Cause most wont be needed when all the coal power plants will be shut down by 2018. 

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Posted by mudchicken on Friday, April 27, 2012 10:43 AM

Comment doesn'y fly.......twice.

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Posted by henry6 on Friday, April 27, 2012 11:03 AM

It is doubtful there will be a total loss of coal mining and transportation as many nations overseas are buying up coal.

And just putting a top on  coal car doesn't make it a hopper for grain, plastics, or anything else.  Size, mechanics, and cleanliness as well as ability to be cleaned and kept clean are all factors which many coal hoppers would not be able to meet.  Stone and other ores maybe...maybe...but probably not grains.

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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Friday, April 27, 2012 12:08 PM

IC tried putting temporary lids on their coal hoppers to use them in grain service.  As far as I know, the plan didn't work out since the bottom hatches leaked badly and the cars couldn't be kept clean.

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Posted by bubbajustin on Friday, April 27, 2012 1:40 PM

THEY ARE SHUTTING DOWN ALL COAL FIRED POWER PLANTS?

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Friday, April 27, 2012 3:03 PM

bubbajustin

THEY ARE SHUTTING DOWN ALL COAL FIRED POWER PLANTS?

   Yep!  April 1st.  The electrical output lost by shutting down the coal fired plants will be replced by the energy produced by pigs that fly. Sigh

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Posted by Paul_D_North_Jr on Friday, April 27, 2012 3:26 PM

Mischief  No, the discontinued thermal energy from the coal in our nation's energy portfolio will be replaced by the huge amount of otherwise useless  'hot air' emanating from D.C. and the capital cities of the several states . . . Whistling 

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Posted by BaltACD on Friday, April 27, 2012 3:57 PM

Paul_D_North_Jr

Mischief  No, the discontinued thermal energy from the coal in our nation's energy portfolio will be replaced by the huge amount of otherwise useless  'hot air' emanating from D.C. and the capital cities of the several states . . . Whistling 

- Paul North.

 

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Posted by samfp1943 on Friday, April 27, 2012 4:05 PM

BaltACD

 

 Paul_D_North_Jr:

 

Mischief  No, the discontinued thermal energy from the coal in our nation's energy portfolio will be replaced by the huge amount of otherwise useless  'hot air' emanating from D.C. and the capital cities of the several states . . . Whistling 

- Paul North.

 

 

 

Political alert! 

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Not to mention the gas emanating  from the swamps of D.C.

CryingBang HeadSigh

 

 

 


 

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Posted by Stourbridge Lion on Friday, April 27, 2012 4:12 PM

LOL!!!!!!! No I think we can let that one slide since it's not specific to any party affiliation and/or ideology.

Laugh

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Posted by Andrew Falconer on Friday, April 27, 2012 9:43 PM

Perhaps in 100 to 150 years they might have to get out of the coal business, when the coal supply RUNS OUT.

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Posted by BaltACD on Friday, April 27, 2012 9:55 PM

Andrew Falconer

Perhaps in 100 to 150 years they might have to get out of the coal business, when the coal supply RUNS OUT.

Andrew

NS & CSX have been shipping West Virginia all over the country and overseas for over 100 years - and it is still there.

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Posted by greyhounds on Friday, April 27, 2012 10:12 PM

chicagorails

With most of the coal hoppers used today, they may be converted into grain hoppers by weilding tops onto them. Cause most wont be needed when all the coal power plants will be shut down by 2018. 

I'm just curious.  Where did you get the information that all the coal power plants will be shut down in six years?   Do you know something we don't know?  If so, how do you know it?  What B your source?

 

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Posted by Semper Vaporo on Friday, April 27, 2012 10:28 PM

Do a Google search using the following line:

shut down coal power plants 2018

And enjoy an evening of reading about SOME power plants closing.

Semper Vaporo

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Posted by Bruce Kelly on Friday, April 27, 2012 10:57 PM

The Northwest's two remaining coal-fired powerplants (located at Centralia, WA, and southwest of Boardman, OR) were targeted by environmental pressure and have both agreed to end their use of coal by 2020-2025. Having smelled success, environmental groups are now going after export coal that rolls through the same territory on its way to Asia via Canadian ports, and they're vigorously fighting any effort to build new coal ports on U.S. shores. As for those "50,000 coal cars", if that figure includes rotary -dump gons, I think it's gonna take more than just a roof with loading hatches to convert those to grain service.

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Posted by bubbajustin on Saturday, April 28, 2012 5:02 AM

OHH GOD WHAT WILL THE RAILROADS DO? Crying

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Posted by edbenton on Saturday, April 28, 2012 9:18 AM

If I was anyone at the EPA right now I would lay LOW for a LONG time after one of the Region heads said he liked to Crucify Companies to get them into Compliance a couple years ago and it came out this year that this is teh EPA's Enforcement Doctorine.  Think about it we have a Goverment Agency that has No Congressional Power by Law yet they can by making a Threat shut down a Industry.  Something wrong there.  Read the Clean Air Act the EPA Never was given Enforcement Power or Regulatory Power they made that up ThEMSELVES. 

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Posted by jeffhergert on Saturday, April 28, 2012 11:33 AM

Murphy Siding

 bubbajustin:

THEY ARE SHUTTING DOWN ALL COAL FIRED POWER PLANTS?

 

   Yep!  April 1st.  The electrical output lost by shutting down the coal fired plants will be replced by the energy produced by pigs that fly. Sigh

There's probably a Government program looking into that (pig idea) right now.  Part of the "green" energy "revolution."

The other day I did see a spokesperson for some coal group on a right leaning network who said that we have probably seen our last new coal burning plant built.  While there might be some truth to that, I think it was more hyperbole for the viewers.  Most of whom probably don't have an aversion to the burning of coal to begin with.  I feel that eventually for a few reasons, the price of natural gas will go up enough to make coal viable again.  At least to everyone except for those who have bought into or have a vested interest in extreme environmentalism.

Jeff 

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Saturday, April 28, 2012 12:32 PM

bubbajustin

OHH GOD WHAT WILL THE RAILROADS DO? Crying

     Losing the coal business would pale in comparison to what  traffic would dry up after losing 42% of our country's electrical output , and what that would do to the economy.

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Posted by zugmann on Saturday, April 28, 2012 2:49 PM

BaltACD

 

 

 

NS & CSX have been shipping West Virginia all over the country and overseas for over 100 years - and it is still there.

 

Only the railroad could figure out how to ship something, yet leave it where it was.

 

Whistling

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by Paul_D_North_Jr on Saturday, April 28, 2012 4:28 PM

Laugh  Violates one of old Isaac Newton's Laws of Conservation of something or another . . . Smile, Wink & Grin

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Posted by zugmann on Saturday, April 28, 2012 4:37 PM

Paul_D_North_Jr

Laugh  Violates one of old Isaac Newton's Laws of Conservation of something or another . . . Smile, Wink & Grin

 

Is that the one that goes:  "a conductor at rest tends to stay at rest until poked with something sharp by his hogger?"

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by Lake on Saturday, April 28, 2012 4:49 PM

Oh, Yes. That is the one.Big Smile

Since coal is such a big need in the production of electricity some one or some company will come up with the pollution controls needed.

There is just to much money being made off of coal for North American and world wide use.

The rules also change depending what party is in power at the time.

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Posted by GP40-2 on Sunday, April 29, 2012 12:48 PM

chicagorails

With most of the coal hoppers used today, they may be converted into grain hoppers by weilding tops onto them. Cause most wont be needed when all the coal power plants will be shut down by 2018. 

I'd wait until after the 2012 elections before making any proclamations about the future of coal. If the Republicians take control of the White House & Senate you will see a total  revamp of the EPA's current enforcement policies. The first thing gone will be the EPA's ability to regulate CO2 without a strict congressional mandate, with other issues being put off until way into the future.

The bottom line, with the current technology, the only way to provide this country with enough electricity is either by coal or a massive investment in new nuclear technology. "Green" energy might be able to supply the final 5%, but that's it.

I'd add, you will see more electricity from natural gas fired turbine plants. However, the current administration is trying very hard to make it impossible to get cheap gas from the Marcellus Shale formation. They aren't endearing themselves to the voters of the energy producing states to say the least.

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Posted by zugmann on Sunday, April 29, 2012 1:20 PM

PA is doing a lot of the natural gas/shale thing.  Problem is that nat. gas prices are too low, so they aren't drilling very much right now. But believe me, this state has bent over backwards (thanks to our paid for Governor) to "assist" the gas companies.

 

No matter what the laws and regulations are, they do very little to trump global energy costs/and/or supply and demand.

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by DwightBranch on Sunday, April 29, 2012 1:58 PM

GP40-2

 

 chicagorails:

 

With most of the coal hoppers used today, they may be converted into grain hoppers by weilding tops onto them. Cause most wont be needed when all the coal power plants will be shut down by 2018. 

 

 

I'd wait until after the 2012 elections before making any proclamations about the future of coal. If the Republicians take control of the White House & Senate you will see a total  revamp of the EPA's current enforcement policies. The first thing gone will be the EPA's ability to regulate CO2 without a strict congressional mandate, with other issues being put off until way into the future.

The bottom line, with the current technology, the only way to provide this country with enough electricity is either by coal or a massive investment in new nuclear technology. "Green" energy might be able to supply the final 5%, but that's it.

I'd add, you will see more electricity from natural gas fired turbine plants. However, the current administration is trying very hard to make it impossible to get cheap gas from the Marcellus Shale formation. They aren't endearing themselves to the voters of the energy producing states to say the least.

They are endearing themselves to the voters who drink tap water, however.

There is no doubt that electricity generation through the burning of coal will need to be dramatically reduced, to around 50% of the current usage, and renewable such as wind and solar increased (Germany, with a cloudy climate like Illinois or Wisconsin not ideal for solar is getting close to 20% already). And yes it will cost more, because taking out your garbage (in this case, rather than dumping CO2 for free into the atmosphere) costs money. But back to the original argument, coal gondolas will not be sitting idle, they will exceed their FRA lifetime restrictions before that.

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, April 29, 2012 3:59 PM

A search on Google for power plants shutting down in 2018 produced three or four articles regarding the closure or mothballing of select coal power plants by 2018 or before.  The first article related to the shutdown for two coal fired power plants in the Chicago area.  The other articles mentioned power plants in Washington, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Texas.  

Several factors are driving the shutdowns.  In Chicago politics appears to have played a major role.  Some of the other plants are near the end of their optimum life spans, and they will be shutdown irrespective of planned EPA regulations.  Others will be mothballed because of economics.  

The decision whether to install scrubbers, as well as gear the plants for clean coal technology, is a function of economics.  Because of the dramatic drop in the cost of natural gas, the optimum business decision is to switch to natural gas fired generation as opposed to upgrading (scrubbers) the coal plants. In other words, given the steep decline in natural gas prices, many utilities will switch to natural gas irrespective of the EPA. 

Coal fired electric generation is likely to be an important element in the nation's electric generation mix for the foreseeable future.  In 2009, for example, according to the Energy Information Administration, 45% of the electricity in the United States came from coal fired steam electric stations.  This was down from 52% in 2000.  During the same period electricity generated by gas fired stations increased from 13% to 24% of the load.  Moreover, nearly all of the new generation completed in the United States during the last decade is fired by natural gas.  

Texas is amongst the many states that rely heavily on coal fired power plants. In 2010 coal accounted for 40% of the electricity generated in the Lone Star state compared to 38% for natural gas, 13% for nuclear, 8% for wind, and 1% for other.  However, installed generation is another matter, which is important to recognize, because people frequently confuse the two.  Again, in Texas, which is somewhat representative of the country as a whole, coal fired plants make up installed capacity of 23% compared to 57% for natural gas, 6% for nuclear, 12% for wind, and 2% for other.    

Fuel diversity is a key to affordable and dependable electric energy. In this case, wind, solar, and hydro are considered to be fuels, although most people, I suspect, don't think of them that way. The ability to switch from one source of fuel to another as cost parameters change is critical to being able to supply the nation with dependable and affordable electric energy.  

Those who argue for clean energy now as an alternative to fossil fuel and nuclear generation, primarily wind and solar, overlook the fact that wind and solar are not ready for prime time. They will not be ready until the ability to store power when the wind is not blowing or the sun is not shinning is ready for prime time.  Battery technology, which is only one of several storage methods, is not ready to handle the huge demands placed on the grid.  Thus, for every megawatt of wind and solar generated power, one needs a megawatt of coal, natural gas, or nuclear power back-up, unless one is willing to live with interrupted power. Most Americans have shown that they will not accept interrupted power.

The reason wind represents 12% of the installed capacity in Texas, but only generated 8% of the load in 2010 is due to the fact that the wind does not blow steadily each day, or sometimes it does not blow at all.  Also, the reason Texas generates 38% of its power from natural gas, although it represents 57% of installed capacity, is because of the load imposed by air conditioning in the summer.  So, at the end of the day, the dynamics associated with the generation of electric energy is more complex than most people realize.   

According to the American Association of Railroads, coal is the most important single commodity carried by the nation's railroads.  In 2009 it accounted for 47% per cent of the tonnage and 25% of the revenues for the Class I carriers.  Coal is also an important commodity for the non-Class I railroads.  Seventy per cent of the coal produced in the United States is shipped by rail.  The number of tons shipped in 2009 and 2010 declined from previous years, primarily because of a decline in electric energy demand and a corresponding switch to natural gas fired power stations.  

Clearly, if the United States were to move away abruptly from coal fired electric generation, which is not probable, it would have a dramatic impact on the fortunes of the nation's railroads. But it would not kill them. It could be a cloud with a silver lining, depending on the alternative outcomes. In 2008 (last good numbers) the average revenue per ton mile for coal was 2.43 cents, which was the lowest revenue per ton mile for any commodity hauled by the railroads. The average revenue per ton mile for all commodities was 5.38%. Assuming coal car loadings continue to decline as a per cent of traffic hauled, if they can be replaced by items commanding higher revenue, the railroads could come out a winner. Also, the average load per coal car in 2009 was 115 tons.  This is 230,000 pounds plus the tar weight of the car.  Assuming that the coal load could be replaced by less dense, higher value freight, reduced coal traffic might mean less wear and tear on the system.  Hopefully, one of our engineer participants could address this issue. 

If the nation suddenly bans the use of coal in electric generation or greatly restricts its use, as it did with natural gas in the 70s before it became clear that a huge mistake had been made, it would have a dramatic impact on the availability and affordability of electric energy, without which we would not be able to share views on these forums. 

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Posted by MidlandMike on Sunday, April 29, 2012 9:40 PM

edbenton

If I was anyone at the EPA right now I would lay LOW for a LONG time after one of the Region heads said he liked to Crucify Companies to get them into Compliance a couple years ago and it came out this year that this is teh EPA's Enforcement Doctorine.  Think about it we have a Goverment Agency that has No Congressional Power by Law yet they can by making a Threat shut down a Industry.  Something wrong there.  Read the Clean Air Act the EPA Never was given Enforcement Power or Regulatory Power they made that up ThEMSELVES. 

I am not a lawyer, but I know enough about environmental regulation to know that at the start of enforcement procedures, the agency must cite the laws that were apparently violated.  In addition they must have jurisdiction.  The link below cites the sections of the Clean Air Act that enable them to do this.  Companies may certainly disagree with the EPA over interpretation of the laws, but that is why there are courts.  Courts would probably find a agency in contempt for "making things up themselves."

http://www.epa.gov/compliance/civil/caa/gdcenfprocess.html

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Posted by DwightBranch on Sunday, April 29, 2012 10:29 PM

MidlandMike

 

 edbenton:

 

If I was anyone at the EPA right now I would lay LOW for a LONG time after one of the Region heads said he liked to Crucify Companies to get them into Compliance a couple years ago and it came out this year that this is teh EPA's Enforcement Doctorine.  Think about it we have a Goverment Agency that has No Congressional Power by Law yet they can by making a Threat shut down a Industry.  Something wrong there.  Read the Clean Air Act the EPA Never was given Enforcement Power or Regulatory Power they made that up ThEMSELVES. 

 

 

I am not a lawyer, but I know enough about environmental regulation to know that at the start of enforcement procedures, the agency must cite the laws that were apparently violated.  In addition they must have jurisdiction.  The link below cites the sections of the Clean Air Act that enable them to do this.  Companies may certainly disagree with the EPA over interpretation of the laws, but that is why there are courts.  Courts would probably find a agency in contempt for "making things up themselves."

http://www.epa.gov/compliance/civil/caa/gdcenfprocess.html

You are absolutely right, in this case the Clean Air Act gives the EPA authority. Here is a quote from it:

“The Administrator shall by regulation prescribe (and from time to time revise) in accordance with the provisions of this section, standards applicable to the emission of any air pollutant from any class or classes of new motor vehicles or new motor vehicle engines, which in his judgment cause, or contribute to, air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.”

And in the case of  Massachusetts v. Environmental Protection Agency (1997) the US Supreme Court ruled on behalf of several states and against the Bush II EPA that the clean air act REQUIRES the EPA to regulate greenhouse gas emissions.

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Posted by Stourbridge Lion on Monday, April 30, 2012 3:19 PM

Let's try to keep the topic related to the OP's post and not stray into areas outside of Railroading.

Thanks...

Cowboy

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