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Why the Huge price difference????

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Why the Huge price difference????
Posted by Anonymous on Monday, August 8, 2005 12:53 AM
[%-)] Hello All: You will need the Sept. CTT for this one. A Lionel 24111 Swing Bridge Listed for sale On page 43, Top add Bottom right corner is $399.00, the same Item on page 37 Bottom left is $169.00 , page 28 third row near the bottom $159.00, page 23 $199.95, page 88 199.99, page 93 $ 279.95. Seem's to be some wild pricing going on here, Somebody want to try & explain this one. I didn't mention dealers name's, My Intent is not to bash a person's business, but a reasonable answer would be nice. Regard's Steve
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Posted by trigtrax on Monday, August 8, 2005 1:41 AM
Lionel sells to dealers two ways. Through regular distribution and then it get rid of unsold inventory through it's top ten dealers by closeout. Roughly normal wholesale is 60% of list. Msrp on that bridge was $399 so it comes to a cost of $240 for some sellers.
But the swing bridge didn't sell well because of size so Lionel ran a closeout of 20% of MSRP. The top Ten picked up the excess for $80.. They are the ones who decide what to hold and what to blow-out. so the guy selling for $160 is actually doubling his money and the guy selling for MSRP is stuck with his inventory and an undeserved reputation as a price gouger.
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Posted by brianel027 on Monday, August 8, 2005 1:46 PM
What you describe here Rehawk, is one of the most hurtful practices to the overall future health of the model train business, as far as growing the hobby goes.

The train business is not the only one with blowouts. But when the remainder / inventory overstock blowouts happen and are only offered to a select few dealers it hurts the hobby in the long run.

1) Small dealers become increasingly reluctant to preorder merchandise for fear it will be blown out later on and sold at sale prices that by far beat the local dealers wholesale price. When dealers don't preorder, items get cancelled or made in smaller numbers.
2) The consumer becomes increasingly reluctant to preorder or to buy when the train item first comes out because they suspect if they wait a little bit, they can purchase the item at a substantial savings.

This is already happening big time in the hobby. Notice on the train forums when a blowout gets posted, how many are quick to buy. I strongly suspect there are many who like the higher end, more expensive trains and wait patiently and act quickly when the blwouts happen.

Of course (IMHO) many of the blowout prices are actually more realistic when it comes to train prices. Again (IMHO) many of the list train prices, especially on the Lionel postwar reissues are way way too excessive. If the Vapor Records caboose ($80 list)or the postwar Boat Loader ($60 list) had a reasonable price in the first place, manybe they wounln't have ended up as blowouts for a few select dealers. Which makes all the other who already have those items in stock as greedy price gougers, as said above.

A current example of excessive list is the Lionel PW reissue of the 9-inch sheet metal framed Rocket Fuel Tank Car for $48 list! You gotta be kidding! Even at 25% off, I'd have to REALLY want that car to pay $36 for it. I'm sorry to differ with Mr. Calabreese, but I think many of Lionel's list prices are ridiculous and it is no wonder that so much of it ends up being blownout... that's when the prices start getting reasonable. Even the Lionel starter cars at $27 list is a royal ripoff given what they cost to be made in China. Obviously other consumers agree with me, as you see the starter cars on eBay for much less.

But meanwhile (while clearing out inventory and gnerating needed money) these blowouts are shooting the whole retail end of the train business straight in the behind. It would not surprise me at all given this reality to see the numbers of local dealers (who are the front line infantry soldiers when it comes to growing the train market to newcomers) continue to decrease at an increasing rate.

So Red, (I'm being sarcastic here) help put a local dealer out of business - Lionel and the others approve! - and wait for the blowout and order then. Of course too bad when you call "Train On-Line Unlimited" they don't want to be bothered with questions or sales of screws, wire, and other train doo-dads. Essential items for any train modeler, yet items that don't make anyone any real money. The big guys who are privy to the big blowouts figure the small dealers can survive on sales of screws, wire and doo-dads.... big news: they can't.

brianel, Agent 027

"Praise the Lord. I may not have everything I desire, but the Lord has come through for what I need."

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Posted by trigtrax on Monday, August 8, 2005 2:40 PM
This close-out business is not Calabrese's fault. Lionel's been doing this for years. They do not want to stock unsold goods and the Big Ten have the ca***o buy it all out. The result of this is the decreasing Death Spiral.. The general public cannot be exposed to trains in their local Hobby Shops, because frankly only a fool would do business under these conditions.. So trains are sold Mail Order through magazine ads in CTT and OGR. Of course the only people who ever see these ads are Hobbyists anyway.
Now the reality has finally set in and as Brianel points out fewer are pre-ordering and actually forcing the closeouts..
An Ironic example is Lionel's Acela.. The catalog stated they'd only make 2000 and they'd only do the run if they had 2000 preorders... So why is it offered at 20% discount in some ads? And what's the effect on the customer who now knows he would have saved $400 if he didn't order it?
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Posted by brianel027 on Monday, August 8, 2005 3:12 PM
Good points Trigtrax. The blowouts have been going on for years, although when I renentered the hobby 15 years ago, it took a year or two for items to end up as blowouts. Now items get reudced before the next catalog is even out.

I made the reference to Mr. Calabrese about Lionel's sometimes excessive list prices because he specifically answered a question I submitted about Lionel's pricing on one of the on-line chats. Of course, he disagreed. But I suspect he's not buying trains. And if he is, is probably in a better position to do so than many.

There are lots of good examples in addition to the Acela. The thing I would imagine might be causing some concern to someone is when limited production items end up going on sale. Another example, The Greendale Set. What did they make? Around 500? At the $500 list price, the thing was in my opinion, to quote a Neil Young song "A Piece of Crap." Had the set been half the list price, maybe... it was still a cheap set with a single motored Alco diesel... not even 2 motors. And I see the limited production Greendale Set is still available. You might have thought will the Neil Young tie-in that it would be gone already?

brianel, Agent 027

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Posted by trigtrax on Monday, August 8, 2005 4:31 PM
Originally posted by brianel027

. The blowouts have been going on for years, although when I renentered the hobby 15 years ago, it took a year or two for items to end up as blowouts. Now items get reudced before the next catalog is even out.

It's actually the Big Ten who decide if and when an item is blown out. They can buy low and hold if they think the item is a sleeper or they can cash in quickly. Lionel's role is just emptying their warehouse

I made the reference to Mr. Calabrese about Lionel's sometimes excessive list prices because he specifically answered a question I submitted about Lionel's pricing on one of the on-line chats. Of course, he disagreed. But I suspect he's not buying trains. And if he is, is probably in a better position to do so than many.

There are times when Lionels prices are down right evil.. Like the Boys Train $500 for blue painted starter Set. But the Polar express came in at the price of a Williams Set. So they can do a reasonable price if they need to.

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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, August 8, 2005 7:52 PM
The O gauge segment of the hobby is slowly but surely strangling itself with an ever-tightening noose. Perhaps that is inevitable in a situation where a highly competitive and expanded industry developed to serve what is, in fact, a relatively finite market, at best, and a slowly shrinking market at worst. Anyone who can't see what is happening is just not paying attention. And when you look closely enough, you'll see that the blame for all of this doesn't really rest with the manufacturers and dealers; nor is it only a matter of disparate pricing. It rests squarely on the shoulders of consumers who, by their own actions, have created a market that simply cannot be sustained in the way it has been for the past decade or so, or even earlier. The bubble has burst, as the saying goes, and that should be readily apparent to anyone who has been closely involved with O gauge for a number of years.

It certainly doesn't mean the end of O gauge by any means. It only means that the O gauge segment of the hobby that you see in 2010 will be very different from the one you see in 2005 (which is already significantly different than the one you saw in 2001).
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Posted by 3railguy on Monday, August 8, 2005 10:52 PM
Speaking as a hobbiest, we the hobbiests are part of the problem too. We tend to be fickle and I'm not counting myself out on this. Ask 100 hobbiests what they want and you will get 100 different answers. Ask them two months later and you will get different answers from the same people. This causes gluts and shortages in the market place.

When the Lionel swing bridge for example was first announced, it caused a lot of excitement. Dealers and Lionel came up with production numbers accordingly. Once it came out the excitement weened off and dealers were stuck with them. Some dealers want to move them quickly so they lower their price. Other dealers would rather wait until the blowouts are gone so they hold on to them at a higher price. In the case of the swing bridge, it is likely Lionel had factory overstock and sold them to a large mail order clearing house which results in the super low price. It is likely they will move quickly.

The Polar Express set was the opposite. It did not spark a lot of interest in the beginning so Lionel came up with production numbers accordingly. To everyone's surprise, including Lionel, they sold out quickly. To compound matters more, because nobody had them everybody wanted them. They went on ebay for almost twice the MSRP. Lionel simply made more. An easy cure.

Lionel appears to believe in forseeing the demand. This is so the product is in stores and can be seen in person. The risk is in Lionel's hands. You gotta give Lionel credit there. MTH believes in the pre-order philosophy to control the supply and demand. However, this puts the risk in the hobbiest's hand (it may not turn out to his expectations).

Both Lionel and MTH have had their share of blowouts. And it's not just the train industry. Walmart has blowout tables for everything from day old doughnuts to color TV's. In the end, you win some and you loose some and it all comes out even. Otherwise Lionel and MTH would of been out of buisiness long ago.
John Long Give me Magnetraction or give me Death.
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Posted by Anonymous on Tuesday, August 9, 2005 3:08 PM
I bought one of these swing bridges. I got it for 149.99. The thing about these bridges is that they are oversized. I was going to buy it for 169.99 from another company. the shipping cost is about 20 dollars on this item anywhere you buy it. UPS ships it at the same rate as a 70 lb package. My total cost for the bridge was 169.99 instead of 189.99.
I love lionel, MTH and kline closeouts !!!
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Posted by Anonymous on Monday, August 15, 2005 8:08 PM
I just got my swing bridge in. It is huge and the box is massive. I can see why they are charging so much for shipping. It measures aprox 4ft by 3 ft by 1ft. If you have the room buy it if not don't.

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