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Private Amtrak?

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, July 17, 2011 6:40 PM

Thanks for clarifying that for this syntactically-puzzled one!!

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Posted by Paul Milenkovic on Sunday, July 17, 2011 2:38 PM

schlimm

In plain words, what are you attempting to say?  That an employee of NS is the final arbiter of everything, even passenger service?

What I am saying all along is that the advocacy community has gotten more and more skeptical of change with respect to how Amtrak operates or in this case how commuter trains operate.  At one time, perhaps, the advocacy community welcomed changes, but I think people in the community have become more and more skeptical of change, especially when many "reform" ideas come from quarters that are otherwise not sympathetic to passenger trains.

Railroads and railroad people, traditionally and famously, have been resistant to change and especially to suggestions from people "from the outside" thinking they can set right whatever ails the railroad industry.  But members of the advocacy community have become so skeptical of change from the way things are done that a bunch of advocacy people are giving the "son, we don't do things around here that way" line to a railroad person.  In the journalism biz, that is called a "man bites dog story" because when a dog bites a man, it is unfortunate but it is not major news because dogs do that sometimes, but when a man bites a dog, that is something quite out of the ordinary.

I was going to comment that I thought Don to be wrong on this one.  Our local bus service has those GPS destination signs and automatic announcements of landmarks along the bus route to aid people in finding their stop, probably even more important because the bus service makes substantial money from "bus wraps", large banner ads that darken and cloud the bus windows, so a person can hardly see out sometimes.  I am just guessing and speculating, but I am guessing that these electronic GPS gizmos are perhaps the cheapest thing on the bus on account that electronics are so ubiquitous these days.

On the other hand, the bus service is acquiring more of those hybrid buses, which cost multiples of a conventional bus and saves maybe 20 percent on fuel, about the same percentage as a hybrid car saves over a regular car when you compare the same size class.  My rough back-of-the-envelope calculations suggests they are never going to get that money back in fuel savings, and given that hybrids costs multiples of a conventional bus, buying those things will put a crimp in the ongoing replacement of the old, worn-out buses.  I am thinking that thy hybrid buses are a PR gimmick to "go green", but I am open to changing my mind if someone shows me some cost numbers.

With respect to the advocacy community becoming even more "stick in the mud" than the railroad people, a big deal was made in our local Wisconsin advocacy group that one of the leaders in the Illinois advocacy community who played a role in the new Illinois trains came up to visit and that the membership should meet this person.  Said person from Illinois was explaining about how the Illinois trains are capacity constrained owing to shortage of equipment, and the shortage was acute on weekends as much of the travel is college students going home on weekends.

I suggested that perhaps Metra gallery cars could provide supplemental capacity for the weekend peak given the Metra peak to be rush hour on work days.  I was met with the most venomously snarky response to my suggestion, something to the effect "should we have passengers ride in gondola cars"?

Just weeks later, our advocacy group invited to a breakfast meeting one of the principal passenger rail people in WisDOT.  Mind you this is all pre "we got the Talgo" followed by "oops, we don't got the Talgo", and we were reminding the WisDOT person of the interest of the advocacy community in Wisconsin in a second daily Chicago-St Paul train to supplement the Empire Builder service in that corridor.  Our "friend at WisDOT" told us how WisDOT lobbied Amtrak to increase the Hiawatha consists up to 6 cars to handle the record levels of ridership on that train, but that was the result of the WisDOT person combing Amtrak rosters to find the last remaining "spare equipment laying around that Amtrak didn't know they still had."  For there to be a second Chi-St Paul Train, it was suggested that "we get creative", even to the point of using "Metra bi-levels for this service."

In plain words, what am I attempting to say?  Simply that out-mainstream-thinking ideas shouldn't be dismissed out-of-hand.

If GM "killed the electric car", what am I doing standing next to an EV-1, a half a block from the WSOR tracks?

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Posted by daveklepper on Sunday, July 17, 2011 2:26 PM

Again, properly done, rail audio-visual for passengers shows a return on the investment and contributes to reduction of the deficit by skillfill, appropriate, and reasonably listenable and viewable advertizing.  But its main purpose is to insure maximum safety in emergencies.   It certainly contributes to passenger comfort and peace of mind, as well.

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, July 17, 2011 9:30 AM

In plain words, what are you attempting to say?  That an employee of NS is the final arbiter of everything, even passenger service?

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Posted by Paul Milenkovic on Sunday, July 17, 2011 8:39 AM

A group from Trains Forums lecturing a dude who works for NS on "your proposed changes can't be done", "it's always been done this way", and "you really don't understand the railroad industry" . . .

Priceless!

If GM "killed the electric car", what am I doing standing next to an EV-1, a half a block from the WSOR tracks?

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Posted by henry6 on Thursday, July 14, 2011 5:18 PM

Your listing of "one seat ride" is indicative of why air conditioning on hot days, heat on cool and cold mornings, visual and voice messages are also important.  Modern commuters are somwhat spoiled and want to be more than accomodated.  Inexpensive tickets  is a given.  But more than anything else, a commuter wants reliability of ontime performance and his same seat in the same place at the same time each morning and each afternoon.  What you are looking at  as "beyond essential" may actually be essential for crowd control and uniformity of equipment for management.  It may be marketing and operating rolled into one.  Buses go the extra mile with your "non essentials", trains have to too.

 

RIDEWITHMEHENRY is the name for our almost monthly day of riding trains and transit in either the NYCity or Philadelphia areas including all commuter lines, Amtrak, subways, light rail and trolleys, bus and ferries when warranted. No fees, just let us know you want to join the ride and pay your fares. Ask to be on our email list or find us on FB as RIDEWITHMEHENRY (all caps) to get descriptions of each outing.

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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, July 14, 2011 1:16 PM

Comrad_Durandal

 

 oltmannd:

 

 

 henry6:

 

As I indicated earlier, I travel a lot of commuter trains with my Ride With Me Henry groups: LIRR, MNRR, NJT, PATH, PATCO, SEPTA, AMTRAK, light rail, buses, subways,...all of it.   And nothing is gold plated...every item you complain about Oltman adds to the ease of finding the right train,the right destination, where to get on and off, etc.  At peak times, it probably elminates several on the platform people to guide riders, and even on the train there are fewer trainmen than years ago.  Unless you have really ridden any commuter service, peak or off peak, weekday or weekend, you probably don't understand why all these things are essential and make the system work better.  Join us sometime!

 

 

I'm not saying they are useless, but they certainly aren't "essential".  They just aren't worth the cost to purchase and maintain.  Equipment procurement is all done with "other people's money".

I have ridden commuter trains, peak, off peak, here and there, hither and yon.  Lots of them.  MUs, converted LD coaches,  Gallery cars, bi-levels, open window, slow, fast, you name it.

 

 

The problem is if you only look at what's "essential" - you eliminate one of the prime motivators for travel.  If I wanted to be limited to what's barely essential, I can do that at home - zero cost.  Of course, I'll never go anywhere, see anything, do anything, experience anything, or meet anyone - but those aren't "essential" either.

Stripping everything down to 'essential' might save money, but it doesn't make it better.  It just makes it cost less.

The "holy triad" for transit/commuter service is:

-Single seat ride

-Trip time

-Cost

In that order.

All other things are "nice to have" but aren't strong drivers of ridership.

Does anyone think that a commuter coach that has the AC system separate from the heating system, like a transit bus, will really attract significantly fewer riders than one with an integrated system?  Does a commuter really car if his 72 degree coach has a dew point of 65 or 55 degrees?  He's only going to be on there for 45 minute or so, not all day long.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by Comrad_Durandal on Thursday, July 14, 2011 1:02 PM

oltmannd

 

 henry6:

 

As I indicated earlier, I travel a lot of commuter trains with my Ride With Me Henry groups: LIRR, MNRR, NJT, PATH, PATCO, SEPTA, AMTRAK, light rail, buses, subways,...all of it.   And nothing is gold plated...every item you complain about Oltman adds to the ease of finding the right train,the right destination, where to get on and off, etc.  At peak times, it probably elminates several on the platform people to guide riders, and even on the train there are fewer trainmen than years ago.  Unless you have really ridden any commuter service, peak or off peak, weekday or weekend, you probably don't understand why all these things are essential and make the system work better.  Join us sometime!

 

 

I'm not saying they are useless, but they certainly aren't "essential".  They just aren't worth the cost to purchase and maintain.  Equipment procurement is all done with "other people's money".

I have ridden commuter trains, peak, off peak, here and there, hither and yon.  Lots of them.  MUs, converted LD coaches,  Gallery cars, bi-levels, open window, slow, fast, you name it.

The problem is if you only look at what's "essential" - you eliminate one of the prime motivators for travel.  If I wanted to be limited to what's barely essential, I can do that at home - zero cost.  Of course, I'll never go anywhere, see anything, do anything, experience anything, or meet anyone - but those aren't "essential" either.

Stripping everything down to 'essential' might save money, but it doesn't make it better.  It just makes it cost less.

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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, July 14, 2011 12:02 PM

henry6

As I indicated earlier, I travel a lot of commuter trains with my Ride With Me Henry groups: LIRR, MNRR, NJT, PATH, PATCO, SEPTA, AMTRAK, light rail, buses, subways,...all of it.   And nothing is gold plated...every item you complain about Oltman adds to the ease of finding the right train,the right destination, where to get on and off, etc.  At peak times, it probably elminates several on the platform people to guide riders, and even on the train there are fewer trainmen than years ago.  Unless you have really ridden any commuter service, peak or off peak, weekday or weekend, you probably don't understand why all these things are essential and make the system work better.  Join us sometime!

I'm not saying they are useless, but they certainly aren't "essential".  They just aren't worth the cost to purchase and maintain.  Equipment procurement is all done with "other people's money".  

I have ridden commuter trains, peak, off peak, here and there, hither and yon.  Lots of them.  MUs, converted LD coaches,  Gallery cars, bi-levels, open window, slow, fast, you name it.

 

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by henry6 on Thursday, July 14, 2011 6:38 AM

As I indicated earlier, I travel a lot of commuter trains with my Ride With Me Henry groups: LIRR, MNRR, NJT, PATH, PATCO, SEPTA, AMTRAK, light rail, buses, subways,...all of it.   And nothing is gold plated...every item you complain about Oltman adds to the ease of finding the right train,the right destination, where to get on and off, etc.  At peak times, it probably elminates several on the platform people to guide riders, and even on the train there are fewer trainmen than years ago.  Unless you have really ridden any commuter service, peak or off peak, weekday or weekend, you probably don't understand why all these things are essential and make the system work better.  Join us sometime!

RIDEWITHMEHENRY is the name for our almost monthly day of riding trains and transit in either the NYCity or Philadelphia areas including all commuter lines, Amtrak, subways, light rail and trolleys, bus and ferries when warranted. No fees, just let us know you want to join the ride and pay your fares. Ask to be on our email list or find us on FB as RIDEWITHMEHENRY (all caps) to get descriptions of each outing.

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Posted by oltmannd on Thursday, July 14, 2011 5:35 AM

daveklepper

There are deaf people who use the trains who need visual announcements and there are people who don't see well who need vocal announcements.   In addtion to routine next stop and next train announcements, Audio-Visual excellence is essential in emergencies.   And that is its real prime purpose.    And it can reduce the deficit by appropriate advertising!!     Complaints about this being gold plating are comp[lete and utter hogwash.

 

There is absolutely no computer authority or transit system in North Ameerica that is gold plated.

 

Switaerland, yes.   Go there and enjoy!

Would love to go to Switzerland.  

As long as there are trainmen on the train and there is no automatic fare collection.  All that trainlined, added cost, not gonna shop the train when it breaks stuff is "nice to have", not necessary and is being included in the specs because the vendors come by the RRs and their consultants and sell it.  Neither has skin in the game that would lead to lower costs, so "why not"?  Don't be naive....

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Posted by daveklepper on Thursday, July 14, 2011 5:25 AM

There are deaf people who use the trains who need visual announcements and there are people who don't see well who need vocal announcements.   In addtion to routine next stop and next train announcements, Audio-Visual excellence is essential in emergencies.   And that is its real prime purpose.    And it can reduce the deficit by appropriate advertising!!     Complaints about this being gold plating are comp[lete and utter hogwash.

 

There is absolutely no computer authority or transit system in North Ameerica that is gold plated.

 

Switaerland, yes.   Go there and enjoy!

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Posted by schlimm on Wednesday, July 13, 2011 9:04 PM

I don't know about other transit systems but in terms of ticket checking, Metra will be moving into modern times in 2015.  Perhaps less ticket punching and inspection by fewer collectors so that announcement through a PA system along with visual are important.

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Posted by oltmannd on Wednesday, July 13, 2011 8:29 PM

schlimm

#1. In the Chicago area, purpose built commuter cars go back to the 1920's on the C&NW, and the double deck gallery cars to the 1950's.

#2.  Where would commuter lines find old hand-me-down cars today?

Slim pickings, for sure, but not completely.

Amfleet. (soon - except Amtrak seems to be against selling them off when they're done with them)

Gallery cars from Chicago.

RDCs.

Amtrak Heritage coaches (last ran in Clocker/Keystone service)

I'm not saying "hand me down" is the answer, but a lot of the new equipment is really a lot more complex than it needs to be to fulfill it's mission.

Lets just take the message boards in the cars.  When they work, great.  When they don't, what do you do?  Drill the car out?  Not likely.  Annul the train?  Nope.  You run the train with a defective message board.  Oh my gosh!  How ever will the passengers find their stop?  Maybe, you announce it?  Maybe you have lit signs at every station?  Gee, what a concept!  

 

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Posted by oltmannd on Wednesday, July 13, 2011 8:20 PM

henry6

 

 oltmannd:

 

 

Historically, locomotive hauled commuter equipment was "hand me down" intercity equipment with linoleum floors and walk-over seats installed.  Purpose-built locomotive hauled commuter coaches were the exception, not the rule, until the state gov'ts got involved with the purchasing.  Those that were purpose built, were bare bones such as an LIRR "ping-pong" coach or a PRR MP-54 MU car. 

Quite to the contrary.  Commuter cars were more likely specifically manufactured just for that purpose.  They did not need the plush and roominess, etc.  Same with the locomotives...you did not need a behemoth to haul one or two cars.  Every commuter fleets I am aware of had specific cars and specific locomotives, rarely hand me downs.

Just off the top of my head, here are some things current commuter cars don't need:

-electronic message boards

-integrated HVAC systems - just use RV/transit bus/reefer stand-alone AC and baseboard strip heaters.

-power doors (brake system interlock goes away with them)

-PA system - signs in the stations and trainmen are good enough

All they really need to be is a weather-proof metal box on wheels with a minimal level of comfort.  Their value is in where they go, not how they go.

Again, to the contrary.  If you can keep people comfortable and happy and informed and able to move quickly, you are making things easier and quicker for everybody involved.  Do you look so far down at commuters to say that they need a minimal level of comfort?  The value is where they go and how quickly, safely, and comfortably they go.  

I don't know where you're from, Oltmannd, nor how old you are or what experiences you have had travelling on trains or otherwise,  but you have a lot of misconceptions about passenger rail in general and commuter rail specifically.  I hope, no, I urge you to go to any commuter city and ride a rush or peak hour train.

 

As for passenger loadings and use of trains...six to ten times a year my Ride With Me Henry friends will travel with me to the NYC area just to ride trains.  Peak hours, off peak hours, weekdays, weekends,  NJT, LIRR, MNRR, SEPTA, Amtrak, light rail, subways, buses and ferry boats.  And it is definitely a lot different than you portray it to be.  The LIRR most often gets way behind on weekends to and from the far end of the island because of the huge passenger counts that cause long dwells at stations.   It is fascinating to watch and fun to ride from a railfan prospective, but drudgery for the hapless daily round tripper!  Give him air, a comfortable seat, and a quick and on time ride, gently tell him where to get off before he tells you where to go!

 

 

A regular rail and transit (and bus) commuter for 33 years!  I've also sampled commuter rail and transit in more than a few cities.  In fact, every time I travel, I try to arrange my trip around rail and transit.  I've managed to pass through 49 states, so I've seen and experienced quite a bit.

Wouldn't argue that a commuter needs a quick, timely, comfortable ride.  He doesn't need all the gold-plated, over spec'd, more things to break, $2+M per copy commuter coach that so many agencies are purchasing.

Where did the PRR P70s run their last miles?  How about the NYC's 200+ post war PS coaches?  Harriman coaches?  

 

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Private Amtrak?
Posted by blue streak 1 on Wednesday, July 13, 2011 8:00 PM

The report cited in today's news wire about making AMTRAk private would be unconstitutional.

Of all the arguments I've heard that one completely took me by surprize. I would like for trains to cite the study so we could all puruse it. At first blush that argument seems iffy. But can't wait for Mica's reaction?.

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Posted by Comrad_Durandal on Friday, July 1, 2011 11:24 AM

Perhaps the best way to explain it is with a quote from Frank Zappa, "Without deviation, forward progress is not possible" (or some such).

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Posted by zardoz on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 10:45 PM

Phoebe Vet

...or perhaps we could just go back to pulling stage coaches with mules.

You have a strange conception of "gold plated".  Now how do I defend progress against "because that's the way we used to do it" without getting political?

I was going to say, "With Logic", but the realized that might be too...involved.  Instead, I went to the dictionary;

Progress:

1. Movement, as toward a goal; advance.
2. Development or growth.
3. Steady improvement, as of a society or civilization.
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Posted by schlimm on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 11:30 AM

#1. In the Chicago area, purpose built commuter cars go back to the 1920's on the C&NW, and the double deck gallery cars to the 1950's.

#2.  Where would commuter lines find old hand-me-down cars today?

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Posted by henry6 on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 11:10 AM

oltmannd

 

Historically, locomotive hauled commuter equipment was "hand me down" intercity equipment with linoleum floors and walk-over seats installed.  Purpose-built locomotive hauled commuter coaches were the exception, not the rule, until the state gov'ts got involved with the purchasing.  Those that were purpose built, were bare bones such as an LIRR "ping-pong" coach or a PRR MP-54 MU car. 

Quite to the contrary.  Commuter cars were more likely specifically manufactured just for that purpose.  They did not need the plush and roominess, etc.  Same with the locomotives...you did not need a behemoth to haul one or two cars.  Every commuter fleets I am aware of had specific cars and specific locomotives, rarely hand me downs.

Just off the top of my head, here are some things current commuter cars don't need:

-electronic message boards

-integrated HVAC systems - just use RV/transit bus/reefer stand-alone AC and baseboard strip heaters.

-power doors (brake system interlock goes away with them)

-PA system - signs in the stations and trainmen are good enough

All they really need to be is a weather-proof metal box on wheels with a minimal level of comfort.  Their value is in where they go, not how they go.

Again, to the contrary.  If you can keep people comfortable and happy and informed and able to move quickly, you are making things easier and quicker for everybody involved.  Do you look so far down at commuters to say that they need a minimal level of comfort?  The value is where they go and how quickly, safely, and comfortably they go.  

I don't know where you're from, Oltmannd, nor how old you are or what experiences you have had travelling on trains or otherwise,  but you have a lot of misconceptions about passenger rail in general and commuter rail specifically.  I hope, no, I urge you to go to any commuter city and ride a rush or peak hour train.

 

As for passenger loadings and use of trains...six to ten times a year my Ride With Me Henry friends will travel with me to the NYC area just to ride trains.  Peak hours, off peak hours, weekdays, weekends,  NJT, LIRR, MNRR, SEPTA, Amtrak, light rail, subways, buses and ferry boats.  And it is definitely a lot different than you portray it to be.  The LIRR most often gets way behind on weekends to and from the far end of the island because of the huge passenger counts that cause long dwells at stations.   It is fascinating to watch and fun to ride from a railfan prospective, but drudgery for the hapless daily round tripper!  Give him air, a comfortable seat, and a quick and on time ride, gently tell him where to get off before he tells you where to go!

RIDEWITHMEHENRY is the name for our almost monthly day of riding trains and transit in either the NYCity or Philadelphia areas including all commuter lines, Amtrak, subways, light rail and trolleys, bus and ferries when warranted. No fees, just let us know you want to join the ride and pay your fares. Ask to be on our email list or find us on FB as RIDEWITHMEHENRY (all caps) to get descriptions of each outing.

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Posted by Phoebe Vet on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 10:34 AM

...or perhaps we could just go back to pulling stage coaches with mules.

You have a strange conception of "gold plated".  Now how do I defend progress against "because that's the way we used to do it" without getting political?

Dave

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 10:22 AM

henry6

What do you mean "gold plated equipment"?  I don't see such equipment being purchased or used by commuter agencies.  And if you actually get into the operations of most commuter agencies you will see that equipment is rotated for the most part and utilized for a maximum amount of service over time. Equipment has to stand up to the service, weather, abuse, and use.  

And the how is the value of service determined?  If a community with no air and no four lane highway service gets a stop in each direction a day, what is the value of that service to that community?  

Historically, locomotive hauled commuter equipment was "hand me down" intercity equipment with linoleum floors and walk-over seats installed.  Purpose-built locomotive hauled commuter coaches were the exception, not the rule, until the state gov'ts got involved with the purchasing.  Those that were purpose built, were bare bones such as an LIRR "ping-pong" coach or a PRR MP-54 MU car.

Just off the top of my head, here are some things current commuter cars don't need:

-electronic message boards

-integrated HVAC systems - just use RV/transit bus/reefer stand-alone AC and baseboard strip heaters.

-power doors (brake system interlock goes away with them)

-PA system - signs in the stations and trainmen are good enough

All they really need to be is a weather-proof metal box on wheels with a minimal level of comfort.  Their value is in where they go, not how they go.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by Phoebe Vet on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 10:19 AM

We keep hearing the argument that people will not take mass transit because they are in love with their cars.  The facts, however, do not agree with that.  When you have a well developed mass transit system, people use it.  The airlines transport very large numbers of people even thought they only serve large cities and treat everyone like a criminal.  I know several people who live in Manhattan who don't even own a car.  On the rare occasions when they need to go somewhere the transit system doesn't they rent.  I know one man born and raised in NYC, age 40 something who has never had a driver license.  He has never needed one.

People own cars because they NEED them to get around in our society where we have put all our transportation money into road building.

Dave

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Posted by henry6 on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 9:12 AM

What do you mean "gold plated equipment"?  I don't see such equipment being purchased or used by commuter agencies.  And if you actually get into the operations of most commuter agencies you will see that equipment is rotated for the most part and utilized for a maximum amount of service over time. Equipment has to stand up to the service, weather, abuse, and use.  

And the how is the value of service determined?  If a community with no air and no four lane highway service gets a stop in each direction a day, what is the value of that service to that community?  

RIDEWITHMEHENRY is the name for our almost monthly day of riding trains and transit in either the NYCity or Philadelphia areas including all commuter lines, Amtrak, subways, light rail and trolleys, bus and ferries when warranted. No fees, just let us know you want to join the ride and pay your fares. Ask to be on our email list or find us on FB as RIDEWITHMEHENRY (all caps) to get descriptions of each outing.

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 9:00 AM

henry6

We keep arguing passenger transportation equipment without defining passenger.  There are so many different reasons people ride trains.  I know it is difficult for one who lives in a midwest farm state to envision commuter operations like NY, Boston, Philadelphia, Chicago or non commuter corridors like Boston-NY-DC.  Equally an Empire Builder of California Zepher is foreign to a commuter in such cities.  But each circumstance is a different service with different needs, marketing, schedules, and equipment.  A long distant train my provide the same service in Montana as a commuter or regional service does on the Northeast Corridor.  We seem to lump passenger trains into one basket to rationalize the cost rather than rationalizeing the service.

A good point, but really, it's both cost and service.  The value of the service is reflected in the price you can charge for it. The trick is then to balance the cost and value.  Things with low value and high cost should not be done.  Things with high value and low cost should be done.  Normally, the marketplace takes care of this.

If a commuter coach can only make on turn a day, why are transit agencies buying, new, gold-plated equipment?  Because they can?

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by henry6 on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 7:57 AM

We keep arguing passenger transportation equipment without defining passenger.  There are so many different reasons people ride trains.  I know it is difficult for one who lives in a midwest farm state to envision commuter operations like NY, Boston, Philadelphia, Chicago or non commuter corridors like Boston-NY-DC.  Equally an Empire Builder of California Zepher is foreign to a commuter in such cities.  But each circumstance is a different service with different needs, marketing, schedules, and equipment.  A long distant train my provide the same service in Montana as a commuter or regional service does on the Northeast Corridor.  We seem to lump passenger trains into one basket to rationalize the cost rather than rationalizeing the service.

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 7:19 AM

Paul Milenkovic

 

 oltmannd:

 

A quick comparison.  A new, Boeing 737 costs $60M and seats 150.  A new LD train (2 sleepers, 3 coaches, baggage/dorm,diner,lounge, two locomotives costs about $30M and seats about 250.  Airlines average 80% load factor.  A good LD train, about 60%, so the typical 737 load would be 120 and 150 for the train. 

For a 1000 mile route, the train can make one, one way trip per day.  The plane,  3 round trips per day.

Assume the commercial life of the plane is 20 years (Delta's current avg age for their fleet is 15 yrs) and the train 20 years (Amtrak has stated this for the train)

in 20 years, the train will carry  150 x 365 x 20 = 1.1M trips

in 20 years the plane will carry 120 x 3 x 2 x 365 x 10 = 2.6M trips

Double the equipment cost gets you more than double the passengers.

And that's just equipment cost.  Anyone dare to look at employee  man-hours per trip?

Imagine what it would cost for a 1000 mile trip by Conestoga wagon!

 

 

Don, I think you made a small math error.  You have the train down for a 20 year lifetime, but you only have the plane down for a 10 year lifetime owing to the x10 instead of x20 factor you have in the plane calculation.

The other thing is that the train cars can be made of stainless steel and have a 40-50 year lifetime whereas the locomotives might need to be replaced every 20 years because they simply wear out in mainline service.  But maybe locomotives last longer in passenger service where they are at full power only to accelerate trains but cruise at part power, where mainline freight locos spend more time at high power settings?

So it might take 4-5 30 million dollar train sets to replace one 60 million dollar airplane?  But the coaches and sleepers (not locos) might last twice as long?  Maybe in rough, round numbers, the train comes out even to the jet?

But where I am thinking the cost problem may be is that it may take 3 times the mainenance crew hours per passenger mile on Amtrak as it does on Southwest.  Think about doing the maintenance on one 737 jet vs the work on 4-5 trainsets: about 8-10 locomotives plus 32-40 railroad passenger cars?  Even if that jet is maintenance intensive, you have to maintain an awful large number of separate vehicles for the train.

But with respect to the train, we keep thinking, how can the maintenance of a jet, a very fragile and complicated piece of equipment, be much less expensive than even maintaining a small fleet of railroad cars, that are essentially hunks of steel with wheels turning underneath? 

But there seems to be something expensive about maintaining railroad passenger equipment.  When I usually post the rhetorical argument, "A rail passenger car is just a hunk of steel with some wheels underneath, or at least when you compare it to a jetliner", someone chimes in to correct me, "Oh no, a rail passenger car has lighting, HVAC, power operated doors, braking systems, etc. that needs all manners of careful maintenance."  This correction often comes from someone who perhaps has some actual experience on how much work needs to be done to keep a passenger railroad car out on the road.

But that's exactly my point -- a passenger railroad car is a much more complex piece of machinery than you think, and the maintenance costs of passenger service on a per passenger mile basis are much higher than you think, and the economics of passenger rail is less favorable than you would think.

Trying to get a quick ballpark number on the life of the equipment was difficult.  I looked at a couple airlines to get a handle on average fleet age and saw quite a large variation.  I took Amtrak at it's word that the average "commercial" life of a passenger car is 20 years.  That's from their fleet replacement strategy document of 2010, I think.  

Both airliners and passenger cars can have really long lives if you keep rebuilding them.  Airliners often have problems with the fatigue life of the airframe that can put a hard limit on their life but innovation usually puts them to rest economically before that point.  Then, you have to figure what the frequency and cost of mid-life "capital" rebuilding goes on.   That was way beyond what I could figure...

So, rather squishily, I estimated an airliner's life to be half of that of a railcar.

And, the point was to show that the lower initial cost of the rail equipment was offset by it's lousy productivity (passenger-miles/seat hour) due to relatively low speed operation.

It would be really interesting to see what the passenger-miles/employee-hour labor productivity works out to.

A really good example of how speed help is Acela.  The 20 train sets, which are <10% of Amtrak's fleet, generate 25% of the total revenue.  Part of this is because their speed allows them to demand a higher rate per passenger mile, but also because you can get more equipment turns per year.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 7:02 AM

mdw

What you may be forgetting in the consideration of the passenger count on a LD passenger train is that any passenger count is kind of a "snapshot" because people are continually getting on and off along the length of the route.  That 150 passengers at one isolated point may actually be 400-500 when you consider the ons and offs at 20 stops along the way.

That's why you use the load factor for each.  It takes care of that.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

mdw
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Posted by mdw on Tuesday, June 28, 2011 12:47 AM

You have to remember that only small minority of LD train passengers actually make the trip from end point to end point, so that is a rather flimsy argument.

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