TomDiehl wrote: oltmannd wrote: TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote:I accept your concession. oltmannd wrote:Deja vu all over again!Must have gone back for a couple more rounds of "getting hit on the head leasons" not knowing that "abuse" was in room 12.And he still "got a whole lot of nothing."Proof, that this is never about the topic at hand for which the poster is uniformly unequipped to discuss reasonably or rationally, but always about how clever he thinks he can be .... see the link above which was ultimately locked for these identical reasons. A link that takes us to a reference that you "looked at a book of railroad statistics." You made a statement that you can's support, but I'm the "uninformed" one.Is the limbo the only dance you know?I know several types of dance. But your and Michael's "Tap Dancing" aren't telling us anything.
oltmannd wrote: TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote:I accept your concession. oltmannd wrote:Deja vu all over again!Must have gone back for a couple more rounds of "getting hit on the head leasons" not knowing that "abuse" was in room 12.And he still "got a whole lot of nothing."Proof, that this is never about the topic at hand for which the poster is uniformly unequipped to discuss reasonably or rationally, but always about how clever he thinks he can be .... see the link above which was ultimately locked for these identical reasons. A link that takes us to a reference that you "looked at a book of railroad statistics." You made a statement that you can's support, but I'm the "uninformed" one.Is the limbo the only dance you know?
TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote:I accept your concession. oltmannd wrote:Deja vu all over again!Must have gone back for a couple more rounds of "getting hit on the head leasons" not knowing that "abuse" was in room 12.And he still "got a whole lot of nothing."Proof, that this is never about the topic at hand for which the poster is uniformly unequipped to discuss reasonably or rationally, but always about how clever he thinks he can be .... see the link above which was ultimately locked for these identical reasons. A link that takes us to a reference that you "looked at a book of railroad statistics." You made a statement that you can's support, but I'm the "uninformed" one.
MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote:I accept your concession. oltmannd wrote:Deja vu all over again!Must have gone back for a couple more rounds of "getting hit on the head leasons" not knowing that "abuse" was in room 12.And he still "got a whole lot of nothing."Proof, that this is never about the topic at hand for which the poster is uniformly unequipped to discuss reasonably or rationally, but always about how clever he thinks he can be .... see the link above which was ultimately locked for these identical reasons.
TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote:I accept your concession. oltmannd wrote:Deja vu all over again!Must have gone back for a couple more rounds of "getting hit on the head leasons" not knowing that "abuse" was in room 12.And he still "got a whole lot of nothing."
MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote:I accept your concession. oltmannd wrote:Deja vu all over again!Must have gone back for a couple more rounds of "getting hit on the head leasons" not knowing that "abuse" was in room 12.
TomDiehl wrote:I accept your concession.
oltmannd wrote:Deja vu all over again!Must have gone back for a couple more rounds of "getting hit on the head leasons" not knowing that "abuse" was in room 12.
Must have gone back for a couple more rounds of "getting hit on the head leasons" not knowing that "abuse" was in room 12.
And he still "got a whole lot of nothing."
Proof, that this is never about the topic at hand for which the poster is uniformly unequipped to discuss reasonably or rationally, but always about how clever he thinks he can be .... see the link above which was ultimately locked for these identical reasons.
A link that takes us to a reference that you "looked at a book of railroad statistics." You made a statement that you can's support, but I'm the "uninformed" one.
Is the limbo the only dance you know?
I know several types of dance. But your and Michael's "Tap Dancing" aren't telling us anything.
...that was a rhetorical question....
'nuff said.
-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/)
MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: The only thing I've seen is the concept that the two could be compared, but nothing about an actual comparison, a purpose for the comparison, or any useful data generated by the comparison.I asked a direct question earlier that you ignored: what personnel in Amtrak's Maintenance Department, by trade or locaton, could be cut and still fulfill their job?If there's some other useful data generated by this exercise of statistial methodology, why don't you enlighten us.The link was posted to the former thread. The only "link" on the former thread takes us to a collection of raw data, but nothing on the actual comparison of the statistical data to yield a useful conclusion.And the questions posed still remain unanswered.After the "Steam v. Diesel" thread, in which you fabricated, wholesale, every bit of "evidence" you felt you needed to argue for the sake of arguing -- and got caught "red-handed" at it -- I doubt anyone wants to take the time to discuss anything in which you could obviously care less about the answer, rather than simply to argue for the sake of arguing.People who actually do invest time and careers in obtaining educations and experience in evaluating data and managing organizations have no incentive whatsoever to answer any "question" you might, in typical fashion, demand an answer to, because it is never an honest question in the first place.The matter was discussed at length in the prior thread. You didn't understand the question, you don't understand the answer, and there's no incentive to waste everyone's time any time further with yet another thread of your endless and pointless gainsaying. There's no point in revisiting the ordeal all over again on this thread.
TomDiehl wrote: MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: The only thing I've seen is the concept that the two could be compared, but nothing about an actual comparison, a purpose for the comparison, or any useful data generated by the comparison.I asked a direct question earlier that you ignored: what personnel in Amtrak's Maintenance Department, by trade or locaton, could be cut and still fulfill their job?If there's some other useful data generated by this exercise of statistial methodology, why don't you enlighten us.The link was posted to the former thread. The only "link" on the former thread takes us to a collection of raw data, but nothing on the actual comparison of the statistical data to yield a useful conclusion.And the questions posed still remain unanswered.
MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: The only thing I've seen is the concept that the two could be compared, but nothing about an actual comparison, a purpose for the comparison, or any useful data generated by the comparison.I asked a direct question earlier that you ignored: what personnel in Amtrak's Maintenance Department, by trade or locaton, could be cut and still fulfill their job?If there's some other useful data generated by this exercise of statistial methodology, why don't you enlighten us.The link was posted to the former thread.
TomDiehl wrote: The only thing I've seen is the concept that the two could be compared, but nothing about an actual comparison, a purpose for the comparison, or any useful data generated by the comparison.I asked a direct question earlier that you ignored: what personnel in Amtrak's Maintenance Department, by trade or locaton, could be cut and still fulfill their job?If there's some other useful data generated by this exercise of statistial methodology, why don't you enlighten us.
The only thing I've seen is the concept that the two could be compared, but nothing about an actual comparison, a purpose for the comparison, or any useful data generated by the comparison.
I asked a direct question earlier that you ignored: what personnel in Amtrak's Maintenance Department, by trade or locaton, could be cut and still fulfill their job?
If there's some other useful data generated by this exercise of statistial methodology, why don't you enlighten us.
The link was posted to the former thread.
The only "link" on the former thread takes us to a collection of raw data, but nothing on the actual comparison of the statistical data to yield a useful conclusion.
And the questions posed still remain unanswered.
After the "Steam v. Diesel" thread, in which you fabricated, wholesale, every bit of "evidence" you felt you needed to argue for the sake of arguing -- and got caught "red-handed" at it -- I doubt anyone wants to take the time to discuss anything in which you could obviously care less about the answer, rather than simply to argue for the sake of arguing.
People who actually do invest time and careers in obtaining educations and experience in evaluating data and managing organizations have no incentive whatsoever to answer any "question" you might, in typical fashion, demand an answer to, because it is never an honest question in the first place.
The matter was discussed at length in the prior thread. You didn't understand the question, you don't understand the answer, and there's no incentive to waste everyone's time any time further with yet another thread of your endless and pointless gainsaying. There's no point in revisiting the ordeal all over again on this thread.
To paraphrase Jamie Hyneman, "you got a whole lot of nothing."
I accept your concession.
TomDiehl wrote:The only thing I've seen is the concept that the two could be compared, but nothing about an actual comparison, a purpose for the comparison, or any useful data generated by the comparison.I asked a direct question earlier that you ignored: what personnel in Amtrak's Maintenance Department, by trade or locaton, could be cut and still fulfill their job?If there's some other useful data generated by this exercise of statistial methodology, why don't you enlighten us.
MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: I have yet to see anyone's evaluation of costs. You can compare costs of anything, but to what end? What useful data can be calculated from such a comparison?Well, in this instance, you had a combination of education, experience, and a statistical analysis on the part of two contributors. That's usually how its done under such circumstances, and, in fact, is done all the time. You haven't done it, so you wouldn't know.
TomDiehl wrote: I have yet to see anyone's evaluation of costs. You can compare costs of anything, but to what end? What useful data can be calculated from such a comparison?
I have yet to see anyone's evaluation of costs. You can compare costs of anything, but to what end? What useful data can be calculated from such a comparison?
Well, in this instance, you had a combination of education, experience, and a statistical analysis on the part of two contributors. That's usually how its done under such circumstances, and, in fact, is done all the time. You haven't done it, so you wouldn't know.
TomDiehl wrote:Since the reference to a hypebole was an afterthought on your part, it seems a lame coveup.
Since the reference to a hypebole was an afterthought on your part, it seems a lame coveup.
Yes, "hypebole" usually doesn't have to be announced in advance to most people. They "get it." You didn't and that was purely my miscalculation.
Well, in this instance, you had a combination of education, experience, and a statistical analysis on the part of two contributors. That's usually how its done under such circumstances, and, in fact, is done on that basis all the time. You haven't done it, so you wouldn't know.
PS--My experience is the ability to recognize a line of BS when I see it.
I'm impressed.
MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: The basis for discussion was the lack of foundation for the claim that comparing the maintenance cost of passenger cars could be equated with the cost for maintaining a diesel locomotive.So after you ran this comparison, how many of Amtrak's maintenance employees, by trade or location, could be laid off and the remaining staff could still accomplish their job?I hope this so called "Vice President of Passenger Services" was working for a tourist railroad. Unless you can name another place that a passenger car is "a bunch of seats bolted to a platform."And "hyperbole" still isn't another word for sticking your foot in your mouth.Well, hang on to that one, it must be all you've got. I will announce, in the future, all uses of hyperbole in advance, just for you.Now, what is your basis -- experience, education and/or training -- for evaluating these costs or challenging anyone else's evaluation of these costs?
TomDiehl wrote: The basis for discussion was the lack of foundation for the claim that comparing the maintenance cost of passenger cars could be equated with the cost for maintaining a diesel locomotive.So after you ran this comparison, how many of Amtrak's maintenance employees, by trade or location, could be laid off and the remaining staff could still accomplish their job?I hope this so called "Vice President of Passenger Services" was working for a tourist railroad. Unless you can name another place that a passenger car is "a bunch of seats bolted to a platform."And "hyperbole" still isn't another word for sticking your foot in your mouth.
The basis for discussion was the lack of foundation for the claim that comparing the maintenance cost of passenger cars could be equated with the cost for maintaining a diesel locomotive.
So after you ran this comparison, how many of Amtrak's maintenance employees, by trade or location, could be laid off and the remaining staff could still accomplish their job?
I hope this so called "Vice President of Passenger Services" was working for a tourist railroad. Unless you can name another place that a passenger car is "a bunch of seats bolted to a platform."
And "hyperbole" still isn't another word for sticking your foot in your mouth.
Well, hang on to that one, it must be all you've got. I will announce, in the future, all uses of hyperbole in advance, just for you.
Now, what is your basis -- experience, education and/or training -- for evaluating these costs or challenging anyone else's evaluation of these costs?
Since I didn't offer such a flawed comparison, why would I be offering anything like that?
MichaelSol wrote: TomDiehl wrote: But the guy that claimed that a passenger car was "a bunch of seats bolted to a platform" supposedly DID kinow what he was talking about?????Oh, since my immediate supervisor my last two years of working for a railroad was Vice President of Passenger Services, I probably had some meagher idea of what a railroad passenger car was ... [warning: "meagher" -- possible hyperbole alert!]I don't recall, what was your basis for being in that discussion? I'm pretty sure it was experience, or was it education? Your statistical analysis showed what? Or did I leave the real reason out?
TomDiehl wrote: But the guy that claimed that a passenger car was "a bunch of seats bolted to a platform" supposedly DID kinow what he was talking about?????
But the guy that claimed that a passenger car was "a bunch of seats bolted to a platform" supposedly DID kinow what he was talking about?????
Oh, since my immediate supervisor my last two years of working for a railroad was Vice President of Passenger Services, I probably had some meagher idea of what a railroad passenger car was ... [warning: "meagher" -- possible hyperbole alert!]
I don't recall, what was your basis for being in that discussion? I'm pretty sure it was experience, or was it education? Your statistical analysis showed what? Or did I leave the real reason out?
MichaelSol wrote: JT22CW wrote: MichaelSol wrote:Wellll, actually we did do something like that on another threadCare to link that thread? I wouldn't mind seeing if "something like that" is what I'm looking for, or might have holes in it.http://www.trains.com/trccs/forums/6/1249018/ShowPost.aspx#1249018Don Oltmann had focused on one particular Amtrak line-item, the numbers of shop personnel and costs of maintenance. In his experience, Amtrak seemed quite high. As you can see from the locked thread, he was engaged on the matter by someone who didn't have the faintest idea what he was talking about, but who had decided that was going to be his particular target for the week. I thought the premise was interesting and, lacking the practical background myself on the point to make an educated guess one way or another, wondered if there might be a statistical means of looking at the question.
JT22CW wrote: MichaelSol wrote:Wellll, actually we did do something like that on another threadCare to link that thread? I wouldn't mind seeing if "something like that" is what I'm looking for, or might have holes in it.
MichaelSol wrote:Wellll, actually we did do something like that on another thread
http://www.trains.com/trccs/forums/6/1249018/ShowPost.aspx#1249018
Don Oltmann had focused on one particular Amtrak line-item, the numbers of shop personnel and costs of maintenance. In his experience, Amtrak seemed quite high. As you can see from the locked thread, he was engaged on the matter by someone who didn't have the faintest idea what he was talking about, but who had decided that was going to be his particular target for the week. I thought the premise was interesting and, lacking the practical background myself on the point to make an educated guess one way or another, wondered if there might be a statistical means of looking at the question.
Comparing three arbitrary years of passenger car maintenance figures from a Class 1 railroad that ran a modern, streamlined car fleet with large numbers of bilevel cars in service, with the diesel-electric maintenance and repair costs from the same road, it appeared that there was a relationship in costs -- a confidence level measured by the R squared value -- suggesting that a modern railroad passenger car ought to cost for repairs and maintenance about one-third the cost of a modern diesel-electric locomotive; "modern" representing post-1955 technologies. In that fashion, it appeared that modern diesel-electric repair and maintenance costs offered a useful surrogate for comparing Amtrak's shop operation; partly because of the apparent statistical reliability of the comparison, and partly because Amtrak has a high proportion of diesel-electric locomotives. I use the word "apparent" because I do not want to suggest that the use of three random years of data represents anything like an exhaustive study -- but the results were consistent enough to go with them for the purposes of discussion.
Don Oltmann, using a more conservative approach, estimated that the cost, including labor, of maintaining a single modern passenger car should not, in any case, exceed the cost of maintaining a diesel-electric locomotive and by this suggested that the size of Amtrak's shop employment appeared of a size to support a far larger operation than Amtrak actually had ... or needed.
Notwithstanding that these were two distinct approaches to looking at the question, both reached the same conclusion by comparison with modern shop forces at NS and BN that Amtrak appears to have a very inefficient shop maintenance operation and that there is a substantial and inexplicable cost of that operation, even though Amtrak is almost entirely centralized for that purpose whereas NS and BN each operates numerous duplicating facilities.
As Don notes above, the conversation was hacked and evolved into something less than enlightening and less than useful and, as so often happens, was locked, following a consistent forum policy of punishing the conversation rather than the trolls. In that instance, I may have asked that it be locked -- the experience with the individual involved has repeated itself on these forums so many times to the same result that it was clear there was not going to be any further useful discussion of the issue on that thread.
Paul Milenkovic wrote:The U.S. serves 300 million people with an Amtrak subsidy of about 1 billion/year and provides .1 percent of passenger miles. France serves 60 million people with a public expenditure of 10 billion/year and provides 5 percent of passenger miles. Based on this cursory comparison, passenger trains in France require just as much subsidy per passenger mile as they do here
Perhaps airline travel would be much more expensive if government run -- think pre deregulation air fares
And if we're going to continue to harp on RPMs, it's only fair that we do not forget ASMs. Amtrak's current carrying capacity is directly due to ASMs and nothing else. RPMs and ASMs cannot be separated.
As to the question regarding whether Amtrak could be run cheaper, better, faster, there is always the comparison to Europe.
I get criticized for being dismissive of 20 percent differences and for arm-waving with numbers, but I am an electrical engineer for whom 5-20 percent is component tolerance and that one only worries about order-of-magnitude differences (scale factors of 3-10).
The U.S. serves 300 million people with an Amtrak subsidy of about 1 billion/year and provides .1 percent of passenger miles. France serves 60 million people with a public expenditure of 10 billion/year and provides 5 percent of passenger miles. Based on this cursory comparison, passenger trains in France require just as much subsidy per passenger mile as they do here.
Of course I am comparing oranges and pommes. France has the TGV, you can get places by train in France while Amtrak is our national shame and so on and so forth. But it appears that the rate of subsidy per passenger mile for Amtrak is not an artifact of it being of skeletal network and of uncreative management -- it appears that passenger trains cost that amount of money.
You could say that both Amtrak and SNCF are government run, and that government operations have a culture that affect costs -- there are political consequences to the kinds of economic ruthlessness practiced by corporations. Perhaps airline travel would be much more expensive if government run -- think pre deregulation air fares.
If GM "killed the electric car", what am I doing standing next to an EV-1, a half a block from the WSOR tracks?
MichaelSol wrote: JT22CW wrote: oltmannd wrote:.... and it's obvious to some of us that Amtrak could be a whole lot more and a whole lot better and a whole lot cheaper to run.So obvious that nobody brings along a spreadsheet with figures showing us how. Wellll, actually we did do something like that on another thread.
JT22CW wrote: oltmannd wrote:.... and it's obvious to some of us that Amtrak could be a whole lot more and a whole lot better and a whole lot cheaper to run.So obvious that nobody brings along a spreadsheet with figures showing us how.
oltmannd wrote:.... and it's obvious to some of us that Amtrak could be a whole lot more and a whole lot better and a whole lot cheaper to run.
Wellll, actually we did do something like that on another thread.
Deja vu all over again!
ndbprr wrote: why would anyone who likes trains not like AmtrakBecause some of us are old enough to remember a time when train travel was all the things you mention and railroads took pride in service.
why would anyone who likes trains not like Amtrak
Because some of us are old enough to remember a time when train travel was all the things you mention and railroads took pride in service.
Amen, brother.
Mark
SR1457 wrote: I think Amtrak is one of the best run organizations in the USA., always there 24/7, with good food, clean cars., very attentive employees., who always keeps you well informed,gets you to your destination on time, sometimes early., good place to meet new people., wonderful scenery., prices right., why would anyone who likes trains not like Amtrak I just dont understand.Well thats my story and im sticking to it!
I think Amtrak is one of the best run organizations in the USA., always there 24/7, with good food, clean cars., very attentive employees., who always keeps you well informed,gets you to your destination on time, sometimes early., good place to meet new people., wonderful scenery., prices right., why would anyone who likes trains not like Amtrak I just dont understand.Well thats my story and im sticking to it!
OK. I get it. This was sarcasm. Sorry it didn't sink in the first read ....
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