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(Tropical storm) now hurricane Dorian CAT 3 hurricane now CAT 4, now CAT 5

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Posted by CMStPnP on Sunday, September 1, 2019 11:52 AM

blue streak 1
Brightline suspending service modified Saturday none Sun and Mon.  With the present track of Dorian heading direct to just north of Palm Beach where is Brightline going to hide its trains?  Can we expect the train maintenance shed to be able to withstand 140 MPH winds ?

Too early to tell because the storm is moving too slowly to predict where it is going to actually go.  They are making predictions based on the current map of high and low pressure zones which could shift overnight and push the hurricane back out to sea.   Once it gets past the Bahamas and within 50-60 miles of the shore the predictions will be more acurate.   

Also, the boost in category has more to do with the total time it has spent over warm water (because it is slow moving) more than it does with the warm water itself.   Most hurricanes are faster moving than this and do not have the time to intensify as much as this one did over the batch of warm water ocean.    Faster moving hurricanes would have been well up the seaboard by now.

In my view the damage done to FEC and Virgin Trains will be minimal, only because of all the railroads in the United States I think FEC is the most experienced with hurricanes via it' past.   Also, note the Virgin Rail stations are built to the most recent Hurricane standards and are concrete and steel.    Time will tell though what actually does happen.

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Posted by Erik_Mag on Sunday, September 1, 2019 1:08 PM

Predictions are being made based on where the high and low pressure zones are expected to be in the next few days. I suspect one of the reasons that it is intensifying is the lack of wind shear, as the shear interferes with cyclonic convection.

While it looks like the east coast of Florida will be spared having the eye of the storm making landfall, there will be problems with wind, rain and storm surge (which was the big troublemaker with Sandy in 2012).

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Sunday, September 1, 2019 11:08 PM

a sobering thought.  what if Dorian turns north after passing North Carolina ?  the cone of unreliability does include a portion of "Sandy's" track .  All indications so far are that Dorian will turn east past NC ?  

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Monday, September 2, 2019 8:47 AM

Yesterday afternoon ( Sunday ) an outer band of Dorian dumped 1/2 inch rain on our area.  600 some miles fom eye yet a band dumped on us.  Wind was not very strong so band moved slowly over us.

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Posted by BaltACD on Monday, September 2, 2019 9:12 AM

blue streak 1
Yesterday afternoon ( Sunday ) an outer band of Dorian dumped 1/2 inch rain on our area.  600 some miles yet a band dumped on us.  Wind was not very strong so band moved slowly over us.

Latest NWS report show the storm moving at 1 MPH

Never too old to have a happy childhood!

              

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Monday, September 2, 2019 12:40 PM

BaltACD

 Latest NWS report show the storm moving at 1 MPH

 

Slower than hump speeds.  Double low girl walking speed.

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Posted by BaltACD on Tuesday, September 3, 2019 4:35 PM

blue streak 1
 
BaltACD

 Latest NWS report show the storm moving at 1 MPH 

Slower than hump speeds.  Double low girl walking speed.

Now moving at 'overspeed coupling' speed - 6 MPH

Never too old to have a happy childhood!

              

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Tuesday, September 3, 2019 4:53 PM

Has there been any notices or talk that mentions a possible storm surge from Va to New England ? 

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Posted by zugmann on Tuesday, September 3, 2019 4:58 PM

BaltACD
Now moving at 'overspeed coupling' speed - 6 MPH

"pin won't drop speed"

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

The opinions expressed here represent my own and not those of my employer, any other railroad, company, or person.t fun any

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Posted by Overmod on Tuesday, September 3, 2019 5:43 PM

blue streak 1
Has there been any notices or talk that mentions a possible storm surge from Va to New England ? 

See the link to the information bulletins earlier in the post.  Each version has a set of linked "graphics" one of which is an explicit storm-surge predictive map that updates each time the bulletin does.  Keep consulting that as the storm tracks north and east.

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Posted by Overmod on Friday, September 6, 2019 12:22 PM

.

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Posted by charlie hebdo on Friday, September 6, 2019 1:10 PM

zugmann

 

 
BaltACD
Now moving at 'overspeed coupling' speed - 6 MPH

 

"pin won't drop speed"

 

I wonder if any tracks are left in Alabama? 

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