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SRen,One book a trend does not make.  All kinds of people get their views published.  Some of them are creditable; some of them are not.As I have said repeatedly, I don't know what the future will bring.  However, I don't think that Armageddon is just around the corner.  Neither do most of the people with whom I worked or with whom I interact at the University of Texas.I worked for the electric utility industry for decades.  This is the world that I know best.  We faced and face many challenges.  But from the Edison Electric Institute to my company's first line supervisors, which includes hundreds of engineers, technicians, IT people, etc., everyone that I knew and know believes that we can overcome the many problems that beset the industry.  And technology will be the enabler.  The same applies to the other problems that are and will be a challenge.When someone claims that there is only one scenario for the future, I am suspect.  No one knows the future; they can only put together likely scenarios of how things might be.  "The Art of the Long View" by Peter Schwartz and "The Fifth Discipline" by Peter Senge are excellent introductions to scenario planning and systems thinking, which are important models for developing and assessing scenarios.
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