Demand is reduced, not falling off a cliff. Prices are not rising up to the moon. 8% year over year. And long term inflation, per those who are actaully investing huge amounts of money, are expected as about 3.5%.
charlie hebdo Murphy Siding Some of you don't seem to understand economics very well, tending towards conspiracy theories. There are three things that affect the price of everything:1) Supply2) Demand3) All things done by those with a vested interest to manipulate #1 & #2 above, since the beginning of time, whether legal or illegal. It's a bit more complicated than that. You must also consider competitiveness and elasticity along with behavioral economic, a relatively more recent subfield.
Murphy Siding Some of you don't seem to understand economics very well, tending towards conspiracy theories. There are three things that affect the price of everything:1) Supply2) Demand3) All things done by those with a vested interest to manipulate #1 & #2 above, since the beginning of time, whether legal or illegal.
Some of you don't seem to understand economics very well, tending towards conspiracy theories. There are three things that affect the price of everything:1) Supply2) Demand3) All things done by those with a vested interest to manipulate #1 & #2 above, since the beginning of time, whether legal or illegal.
It's a bit more complicated than that. You must also consider competitiveness and elasticity along with behavioral economic, a relatively more recent subfield.
Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.
Murphy Siding. Just because you don't understand economics, it doesn't mean that a big conspiracy is out to get everyone.
Sincerely Murph, I don't see where you get "comspiracy" from the specific example as I laid it out?
What I described was a single source exploiting a temporary monopoly, and then (as Balt correctly perceived) using double speak to excuse their "enthusiasm".
You might recall from back in the Hemphill era discussion in trains magazine about BNSF's "heavy handed" negotiations with disgruntled (price) customers. He conceptualized BNSF's posture as having "market power". And in essence that's the concept I was driving at here. (but in this case resulting from the snarl in the offshore sources supply line)
And using your earlier mentioned 3rd factor, as the example I was fleshing out. If my use of parody offended you, it was not targeted at you, but rather towards the target of said double speak.
No foul intended.
Convicted One Murphy Siding All things done by those with a vested interest to manipulate #1 & #2 above, since the beginning of time, whether legal or illegal. Exacto!! If I'm the only one still manufacturing a particular widget in North America, and my 3 main competitors are all out sourcing from Asia......seeing the west coast ports tied in knots the way they were.......why I HAD to raise my prices, to curb run-away demand. It wasn't "gouging", it was a public service to assure those with the most acute need, still had product available. On top of all that, expanding production to 3 shifts was not greed, it was purely a sense of patriotic duty.
Murphy Siding All things done by those with a vested interest to manipulate #1 & #2 above, since the beginning of time, whether legal or illegal.
Exacto!! If I'm the only one still manufacturing a particular widget in North America, and my 3 main competitors are all out sourcing from Asia......seeing the west coast ports tied in knots the way they were.......why I HAD to raise my prices, to curb run-away demand.
It wasn't "gouging", it was a public service to assure those with the most acute need, still had product available. On top of all that, expanding production to 3 shifts was not greed, it was purely a sense of patriotic duty.
Thus masterful double politician talk.
Never too old to have a happy childhood!
Murphy SidingAll things done by those with a vested interest to manipulate #1 & #2 above, since the beginning of time, whether legal or illegal.
Convicted One Murphy Siding They probably have a lot of longterm contracts they have to honor. Hey Murph! Nows the time to stock up on doors, while container rates are depressed.
Murphy Siding They probably have a lot of longterm contracts they have to honor.
Hey Murph! Nows the time to stock up on doors, while container rates are depressed.
I'm encouraged by San Fran's rejection of its DA. Maybe enough people are waking up to the collective illusion. Hope it doesn't take going back to the 1700's.
Feature there has been a lot of collusion and 'market making' affecting the USA for the past decade or more.
Convicted One Euclid Gaming the system with gouging requires the customer to not have the opportunity to switch to an alternative product at a lower price or to do without the product. Or in other words, it requires that no competition is possible Central to my assertion,.... the shortages induced by "the ordeal" throttled availability sufficient that collusuion was not necessary. You don't have to completely halt production of widgets to induce scarcity. 33% reduction might induce frenzied demand. How we get to 33% could be any number of ways during an "emergency", not all of them nefarious.
Euclid Gaming the system with gouging requires the customer to not have the opportunity to switch to an alternative product at a lower price or to do without the product. Or in other words, it requires that no competition is possible
Central to my assertion,.... the shortages induced by "the ordeal" throttled availability sufficient that collusuion was not necessary.
You don't have to completely halt production of widgets to induce scarcity. 33% reduction might induce frenzied demand. How we get to 33% could be any number of ways during an "emergency", not all of them nefarious.
But if just one manufacture cut production to increase demand, the others would move in and gobble up that extra demand created by that one manufacturer.
The one key to success would be for our country to raise revenue before spending it. But the national solution is likely to be the opposite. Just hand out a little “package” to everyone to tide them over as they lose their life savings.
Convicted One So back to the central theme of this thread, if consumer demand tanks to the point that rail transport is sent into decline. how with the railroads respond? By shortening the monster trains dividing communities for hours at a time that we've heard all the ruckus about, (shorter trains running on the same frequency) Or waiting longer for sufficient traffic to accumulate, so that present "efficiencies" are maintained? (same monster trains, just less frequent) If the latter, I'd think that would give further advantage to trucks.
So back to the central theme of this thread, if consumer demand tanks to the point that rail transport is sent into decline. how with the railroads respond?
By shortening the monster trains dividing communities for hours at a time that we've heard all the ruckus about, (shorter trains running on the same frequency)
Or waiting longer for sufficient traffic to accumulate, so that present "efficiencies" are maintained? (same monster trains, just less frequent)
If the latter, I'd think that would give further advantage to trucks.
I think the whole economy would just slow down; that is fewer trains and fewer trucks. The extent to which they compete would not be much of a game changer compared to the same slow economy that they both must deal with.
Convicted OneSo back to the central theme of this thread, if consumer demand tanks to the point that rail transport is sent into decline. how with the railroads respond? By shortening the monster trains dividing communities for hours at a time that we've heard all the ruckus about, (shorter trains running on the same frequency) Or waiting longer for sufficient traffic to accumulate, so that present "efficiencies" are maintained? (same monster trains, just less frequent) If the latter, I'd think that would give further advantage to trucks.
At present management of the carriers have only one answer to anything that happens in the world. Fewer Bigger trains.
EuclidBut the “free lunch” of course is not really free. It comes at the price of destroying wealth by lowering the value of money. Often added to the price is a recession. Add Quote to your Post
You are correct Euclid. Thanks for clearly explaining it.
Convicted One Euclid nobody needs an excuse to raise their price I suspect you are interpreting the word "excuse" a bit more literally than I intended it. But then you go on to demonstrate the conept of suppliers using the pandemic as an opportunity to game the system, so I don't believe we are that far apart in our thinking.
Euclid nobody needs an excuse to raise their price
I suspect you are interpreting the word "excuse" a bit more literally than I intended it.
But then you go on to demonstrate the conept of suppliers using the pandemic as an opportunity to game the system, so I don't believe we are that far apart in our thinking.
I wonder how the market for Amish buggies has been affected?
A Honda salesman I know told me it's now gonna take a year to get a new Odyssey. Late model used vehicles are new car priced.
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Euclidnobody needs an excuse to raise their price
EuclidWe have been told that the point of causing this fuel shortage was to usher in the grand transition to electric vehicles. ...
Demand for fuel fell off a cliff during the pandemic lockdowns. Marginal production was shut down, Drilling rigs were stacked idle. Some old refinery capacity was retired. When demand came roaring back, activest investors told the oil companies not to spend the money on capacity expansion, since they were making big profits on tight supplies. Then the Russian oil embargo hit. You could have picked this up in any newspaper. Are you saying that the point of the pandemic was to cause a fuel shortage, or that Russia invaded Ukraine to usher in electric vehicles?
Convicted One Euclid But, only the retailer cannot pass the increase on to another link that won’t complain. Instead, the retailers must pass the increase onto their customers. And the customers do complain, and they reduce their consumption I was thinking pretty much the same, but with a sightly different twist. I believe there was substantial pent-up desire to raise prices before the pandemic. Increases that the supply chain knew would never be accepted by rational consumers, especially where they had alternatives to choose from. Enter the pandemic......finally, a chance to exploit irrational consumers thankful to find whatever object they need just sitting on the shelf. A gift horse to vendors who had been seeking a workable excuse to raise prices for years.
Euclid But, only the retailer cannot pass the increase on to another link that won’t complain. Instead, the retailers must pass the increase onto their customers. And the customers do complain, and they reduce their consumption
I was thinking pretty much the same, but with a sightly different twist. I believe there was substantial pent-up desire to raise prices before the pandemic. Increases that the supply chain knew would never be accepted by rational consumers, especially where they had alternatives to choose from.
Enter the pandemic......finally, a chance to exploit irrational consumers thankful to find whatever object they need just sitting on the shelf. A gift horse to vendors who had been seeking a workable excuse to raise prices for years.
EuclidBut, only the retailer cannot pass the increase on to another link that won’t complain. Instead, the retailers must pass the increase onto their customers. And the customers do complain, and they reduce their consumption
BaltACDHave yet to see any print paper offering their subscriptions for OVER $2 a day.
Well we had one here brother.
I should add the paper wasn't locally owned anymore, some out of state group bought it a while back and that's when the downhill slide began.
Flintlock76 Gramp We subscribe to local Gannett newspaper online. Received email today. 20% increase end of June. Good bye subscription. We dropped our subscription to the local paper last year. It wasn't the same paper it was when we moved here in 1987, much less content, news articles regurgitated from the AP, and the local reportage nowhere near as good as it was. When I asked the wife what the yearly subscription cost (split into payments every six months) was she said $750. I asked "Are the comics worth $750 a year?" Needless to say, no. So good-bye paper. Just to show how screwed up they are they continued to deliver for two months after we cancelled! They didn't stop until I sent an e-mail to the publisher saying "Well if you want to keep giving it away..." And we don't miss the comics as much as we thought we would.
Gramp We subscribe to local Gannett newspaper online. Received email today. 20% increase end of June. Good bye subscription.
We subscribe to local Gannett newspaper online. Received email today. 20% increase end of June. Good bye subscription.
We dropped our subscription to the local paper last year. It wasn't the same paper it was when we moved here in 1987, much less content, news articles regurgitated from the AP, and the local reportage nowhere near as good as it was. When I asked the wife what the yearly subscription cost (split into payments every six months) was she said $750.
I asked "Are the comics worth $750 a year?" Needless to say, no. So good-bye paper. Just to show how screwed up they are they continued to deliver for two months after we cancelled! They didn't stop until I sent an e-mail to the publisher saying "Well if you want to keep giving it away..."
And we don't miss the comics as much as we thought we would.
Have yet to see any print paper offering their subscriptions for OVER $2 a day.
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