~G4
19 Years old, modeling the Cowlitz, Chehalis, and Cascade Railroad of Western Washington in 1927 in 6X6 feet.
I don't think any type of virtual model railroading will ever replace physical layouts. I think most modelers want that hands on experience that virtual modeling can't give you. I don't know enough about holograph technology to speak directly to that, but I think computer graphics will continue to progress to the point where a virtual layout will be almost indistinguishable from a video of an actual layout. It might even look more like prototype railroading than model railroading. Even if it reaches that level of sophistication, I think a majority of modelers will still opt for a physical layout.
Virtual modeling does have its advantages. A layout could be built much faster and cheaper in virtual world than in someone's basement. I still don't think that will appeal to the vast majority of modelers.
Onboard power is one advance that many, including me, have predicted will be the next big thing. Others have proposed animation of non-railroading features such as traffic or people movements. There have already been some ventures into these areas but so far I have been unimpressed with the realism. The one exception I would make to that is the Wonderlandz (I think that's I it's spelled) layout in Germany. This might be the proving grounds for this sort of technology and soon it might become practical for home layouts.
jecorbett The one exception I would make to that is the Wonderlandz (I think that's I it's spelled) layout in Germany. This might be the proving grounds for this sort of technology and soon it might become practical for home layouts.
You probably are trying to refer to "Miniatur Wunderland" (Miniature Wonderland) in Hambug, Germany.
http://www.miniatur-wunderland.com/exhibit/technology/
Stein
steinjr: Yes that is the one. I think places like that which have a need for technology, will be the ones to pioneer the Model Railroad Technology Industry.
In a word? Nanotechnology.
A modeler will purchase a workforce of nanites, program them to build almost any structure, loco, or rolling stock, and watch it slowly take shape. The RTR crowd will complain that it takes the joy out of the hobby.
Once, I saw an article in a technology magazine titled, "Whatever happened to the atomic-powered car?"
It was about the predictions of "futurists" who envisioned all sorts of things that would appear over the next 20 years or so. Nuclear energy was going to be "too cheap to meter." In "2001 - A Space Odyssey," we had a permanent Lunar colony in the 1990s. Cancer was supposed to have been another disease of the past by this time, too.
In parallel, though, I've grown up from a 7-year-old boy with a Lionel train to a 62-year-old boy with an HO layout. 55 years of model railroading, and, really, not much has changed. Yes, the engines look and run better, and, inflation adjusted, they're actually cheaper. The track is nickel-silver and not brass anymore, but otherwise a piece of Atlas sectional track is identical to one a half-century older.
The biggest thing I've seen in all those years is DCC.
The next biggest thing, my young friend, is one that you will also experience as the future of model railroading: I now have enough money to buy what I want for my trains!
It takes an iron man to play with a toy iron horse.
Mister Beasley, I resemble that!
In the years between Christmas, 1937, when I received my first Lionel 027 tinplate set, and the present, not much happened:
Note that I didn't list DCC. The only electronics in the layout space is a radio tuned to the local PBS station.
As for those futurists, look at any of the semi-technical magazines from about 1943 to 1945 - all the wonderful things that would be available to everyone once the War was won...
I'm still waiting to see my mass-market flying car.
Chuck (Modeling Central Japan in September, 1964)
We will see what it will be like when we get there.
Rich
If you ever fall over in public, pick yourself up and say “sorry it’s been a while since I inhabited a body.” And just walk away.
I'm waiting for usable onboard battery power in HO. Imagine- no more dirty track, no more confusing reverse loop wiring. Give me an hour or two of run time with a half hour recharge time. life would be grand.
The next really big change will be manufacture to order. You take in a picture (or pictures) and a kit or RTR product is produced - Initially very expensive, but eventually affordable for everyone.
The other big change is wireless electricity which will kill the battery producers.
Enjoy
Paul
I personally equate model railroading to painting or sculpture, an art form as much as it is a hobby. I don't think you'll be seeing a true artist replace his paint brushes and pallet knives for a digital whatchamacallit or a lazer bean to carve his modeling clay.
We are a group that can blend new technology with old school modeling to make some really cool stuff.
The one thing I would really like to see gained from all this rage in new technology is vehicles that move and who knows maybe little people that walk but no talking thats where I draw the line.