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article about second MSP - CHI train

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article about second MSP - CHI train
Posted by blue streak 1 on Tuesday, July 14, 2015 5:26 PM
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Posted by CMStPnP on Tuesday, July 14, 2015 8:38 PM

The good news is there is about $400 million available in one of the Fed Budgets I read for mass transit or Amtrak startups (was it FRA)?

The bad news is I agree with the spokes person from MN, it might not have high priority in that state.     However, they were the ones pushing this along with La Crosse.

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Posted by CMStPnP on Tuesday, July 14, 2015 8:55 PM

BTW, in regards to one of the comments to the news story link above.   One of the readers raises a good point about Amtrak connections in Chicago.    Seems to me that might be a marketing opportunity for Amtrak to negotiate a one night discounted stay rate for Chicago and help alleviate the cost.     The problem is not that Hotels are expensive in Chicago, the problem is Amtrak has no agreement with Chicago Hotels and just pretty much leaves it up to the passenger.    I have no issue getting a discounted Hotel room via my Credit Cards in Chicago.     So there is ample supply and they are selling discounted rooms there.  

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Posted by MidlandMike on Thursday, July 16, 2015 9:36 PM
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Posted by CMStPnP on Friday, July 17, 2015 3:40 PM

MidlandMike

 That is interesting.    Still I am a believer that some of those asked for up front costs for line capacity improvements can be negotiated downwards.

OTOH, it would be really, really cool if an agreed upon industry wide formula (not railroad specific) that was slightly more fair was agreed upon by all parties (Amtrak and the Railroads) and Congress allowed the railroads to write off the improvements made for passenger trains against their taxes.   I think that would fix these huge balloon payments once and for all.

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Posted by kgbw49 on Friday, July 17, 2015 8:07 PM
I think the only chance of this happening - albeit a very, very long shot - is to look at a route from Winona through Rochester and the Mayo Clinic and thence to the Twin Cities. One inexorable demographic factor is the Baby Boom generation getting older and people living much longer - all those septugenarians, octogenarians and nonagenarians will need more medical care. Mayo and Minnesota itself are working on the Destination Medical Center concept and also ZipRail. The ZipRail concept includes a downtown railroad station and connection to SPUD perhaps via a route with a ZipRail stop across the Mississippi from MSP International Airport, just a people-mover ride away. Health care is an enormous and growing business in Minnesota, and as such is a huge revenue driver to the State of Minnesota. More people coming to Mayo Clinic will also translate ultimately to more dollars flowing to State coffers. MnDOT is studying the ZipRail proposal for stub-end 200 mph service between the Twin Cities and Rochester, but the cost is going to be significant and might be unreachable. However, with the Siemens Charger and other 125 MPH locomotives coming on line, a new passenger only Higher Speed Rail alignment between the Twin Cities and Rochester that does not need catenary (but with curves aligned for future higher speeds) could be constructed for significantly less money. And with diesel propulsion, it would not be difficult for some of those 125 mph SPUD-Rochester "commuter" trains to continue on to Milwaukee and Chicago via Minnesota City, Winona and La Crosse. With a significant "commuter" segment, funding might be procured from the US DOT funds that fund light rail lines, such as the 14 mile, $1.75 billion Southwest LRT being constructed in the Twin Cities. A combination of a "commuter" 125 mph line to Rochester, single tracked for starters with large double track passing segments, plus perhaps doing the $175 million additional work between Minnesota City and Milwaukee (maybe even double tracking that segment where it shares the line with high freight traffic) would result in a through route to Chicago. From a Minnesota perspective, think of those aging Baby Boomers in Chicago or Milwaukee catching a train to Mayo in Rochester for health care and being dropped right at the Mayo Clinic station, with climate-controlled skyway access to the Mayo Clinic, hotels, restaurants and entertainment. No car is needed either getting there, staying there, or heading home, except for the home to station-station to home legs of their trip. Mayo Clinic becomes a virtual "home" medical center for any significant procedure that might be needed. The result is that the HrSR service drives health care revenue into the State, which it is reasonable to think would likely be, in the overall State financial picture, significantly more than the amount of an operating subsidy. Finally, once the 125 mph HrSR system is "in the ground", future incremental speed enhancements (e.g. Caltrain electrification as an example) could be implemented as ridership increases and the incremental funds become identified. Again, a very, very long shot, but with LRT projects the mantra seems to be "go big or go home". Why not look at this as a version of a megalopolis HRT system done with HrSR between Chicago, Milwaukee, Rochester and the Twin Cities? Just some conceptual, maybe "pie-in-the-sky" thoughts for the discussion hopper.
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Posted by jrbernier on Tuesday, July 21, 2015 1:32 PM
Zip Rail has a long way to go. Hostile landowners/farmers on one of the two proposed routes, and political infighting on the routing of the northern part of the route.
The Winona-Rochester-MSP route would require new construction. Airline/vans are less expensive alternatives (RST-MSP van shuttles). The van shuttle is $29 one way, and for $5-10 extra, they will pick you up at your house.

Jim

Modeling BNSF  and Milwaukee Road in SW Wisconsin

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Posted by kgbw49 on Tuesday, July 21, 2015 5:05 PM

True that for most of the way from SPUD-RST. New construction is definitely needed from SPUD-RST from the UP (Old Omaha Road) east of MSP International to RST.

 

On the other hand, RST-Winona could be upgraded on the existing route with some new construction likely to ease passage down from the plains to the river valley in the Stockton area.

Usage projections go way up in all the various Twin Cities-Chicago studies that MnDOT, Rochester, etc., have had completed over the last 15 years or so when they include a Rochester stop compared to the all-river-valley route and the relative dearth of habitation between Winona and Hastings.

Then again, Megabus is already undercutting a second Amtrak Twin Cities-Chicago frequency in the same way the aforementioned shuttles may be doing already to the Zip Rail project. Maybe added lanes on I94-I90 from the Twin Cities to Rockford and Chicago is the best use of limited Federal and State funds.

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Posted by schlimm on Tuesday, July 21, 2015 9:23 PM

kgbw49
Why not look at this as a version of a megalopolis HRT system done with HrSR between Chicago, Milwaukee, Rochester and the Twin Cities? Just some conceptual, maybe "pie-in-the-sky" thoughts for the discussion hopper.

I think those ideas are well worth consideration, but you won't find much suspport on here.

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Posted by kgbw49 on Wednesday, July 22, 2015 10:20 PM
I used to serve on the Rochester-Olmsted Council of Governments which dealt with transportation issues in the area. One interesting tidbit is that while the tracks are gone, the former Chicago Great Western roadbed along Highway 56 between Dodge Center through Randolph to the Koch Refinery in Inver Grove Heights is largely intact and could be, relatively speaking, somewhat easily reclaimed. So new right of way to bridge the gap between the Twin Cities and Dodge Center is not out of the realm of possibility. If that rail ever gets restored, another through rote option between the Twin Cities and Chicago will be available. Provided, however,mthat the aforementioned shuttles and Megabus don't completely carry the day for out of state medical oatients needing the services of the Mayo Clinic.
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Posted by schlimm on Wednesday, July 22, 2015 11:16 PM

kgbw49
One interesting tidbit is that while the tracks are gone, the former Chicago Great Western roadbed along Highway 56 between Dodge Center through Randolph to the Koch Refinery in Inver Grove Heights is largely intact and could be, relatively speaking, somewhat easily reclaimed.

I believe there are many abandoned RoWs that could be reclaimed and used for dedicated HrSR and HSR passenger-only servces, along with some underutilized routes.   Quality passenger rail services are largely incompatible with freight lines as they are operated here.

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Posted by CSSHEGEWISCH on Thursday, July 23, 2015 7:54 AM

Trying to build a new line on those abandoned ROW's could keep several law firms fully employed for a while depending on the land ownership.  The mudchicken has commented several times on this issue.

The daily commute is part of everyday life but I get two rides a day out of it. Paul
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Posted by schlimm on Thursday, July 23, 2015 8:29 AM

The RoWs are narrow, much narrower than an Interstate, so most land occupants would be OK with the payment.  If not, eminent domain could be used, as it was for Interstates

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Posted by petitnj on Thursday, July 23, 2015 8:57 AM

Marketing studies of a second MSP-CHI train are hampered by the fact that the Empire Builder has been so unreliable in the past years. Today (7/23/2015) #8 is 8 hours late and won't make CHI until nearly 11 PM. Ironicially, the Megabus leaves from St. Paul Union Depot every 3 hours and arrives in Chicago 8 hours later for $24. Amtrak cannot do this with the present delays. 

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Posted by CMStPnP on Thursday, July 23, 2015 9:57 AM

I'd like to see the stats on MegaBus eroding Amtraks or even rail passenger loads.   I don't think that is true and unless the Bus Service has a direct Amtrak connection I don't see more than 10-15% of Amtrak passengers switching between modes of travel.    Pretty sure the University of Texas study on the Hiawatha Service between Milwaukee and Chicago mentioned this at some point (but not 100% sure).    I have seen it mentioned by state DOT's as well as NARP that there is not a huge cross transfer between bus and rail when they are competing between the same city / pairs.

Also on the additional Chicago to Mn frequency, pretty sure the Feds would pay for most of the startup funds (thats in the Amtrak bill under new / startup services) and the states would only be responsible for the annual subsidy and a percentage portion of the startup costs.  The problem there of course is convincing the Feds to spend the majority $175 million.

Wisconsin and Minnesota would have a fairly strong case in that this is an existing route that already has Amtrak service on it so basically they could cover the relatively reasonable annual subsidy (if it is that high)......additionally the increased frequency would boost Amtrak equipment and employee productivity.     For the eariler proposed HSR, Canadian Pacific was discussing shifting some of it's Twin City trains via the West Line out of Chicago and Savanna, IL to accomodate some of the future HSR frequencies (probably low priority freight where time is not important).

As for relaying the rail on an abandoned route.   It's happening in Wisconsin currently on several former C&NW routes for freight but my understanding is Wisconsin has a more robust rail preservation program than does Minnesota.   However I do not see that out of the realm of possibility and it depends on passenger counts, distance to relay the rail, local resistance to it, etc.

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Posted by CMStPnP on Thursday, July 23, 2015 10:02 AM

schlimm

The RoWs are narrow, much narrower than an Interstate, so most land occupants would be OK with the payment.  If not, eminent domain could be used, as it was for Interstates

True in part but I think RR RoWs in Texas (the old ones created more than a century ago by H&TC were 200 feet wide for single track) are not as narrow as one would expect them to be even for single track.   Not sure how narrower the newer ones would be but if they are using eminent domain, chances are they are going to plan ahead and grab too much land vs not enough.

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