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Long distance routes: Which to continue, which to cut?

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, June 30, 2013 10:37 AM

So, many posts and days later, the answers to the thread question are varied, but with the same usual responses:

1. LD should be retained in entirety or expanded for various reasons:

     a. For the handicapped, seniors, airline haters and graduated college students.

     b. For some small towns, especially in winter.

     c. To get votes in Congress.

     d.  Any elimination is the beginning of the end for all of Amtrak.

     e. Roads are cross subsidized or get more than Amtrak.

     e.  Every other transport mode is subsidized so why not LD?

2. LD should be entirely eliminated.

     a.  As part of deficit/debt reduction.

 

3. The reasons advocates give for any passenger rail are specious. 

      a. The subsidy per passenger mile for rail is much higher than highways.

4. Eliminate the worst performing LD routes to save Amtrak.

      a. Convert overnight sleeper trains to day trains or segment corridors.

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Posted by CMStPnP on Sunday, June 30, 2013 10:57 AM

I think if I were in charge I would hang onto the LD trains but I would also eliminate some.

Trains I would eliminate:

1.  Cardinal - This train is purely political and only survived the cuts in the 1970's and 1980's because of a few powerful Congress Critters.

2. Southwest Limited - Again was a candidate many times for dropping and failed.

3. Southwest Ltd - Would keep it to Kansas City but drop west of there. 

New Trains:

1. Dallas, TX  connection to Southern Crescent via Shreveport, LA.

2. Dallas, TX train to New Orleans, LA

3. New Orleans, LA to Mobile.

4. Atlanta, GA to Jacksonville, FL via Savannah, GA

5. Chicago to Green Bay, WI via Oshkosh.

6. Maintain Chicago to Indianapolis, IN

7. Start Indianapolis, IN to Sanford, FL Auto-Train via Atlanta, GA.

8. Another Chicago to St. Paul / Minneapolis frequency

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Posted by John WR on Sunday, June 30, 2013 11:41 AM

There is another argument for keeping current long distance trains, the argument Joe Boardman uses.  That argument is that Amtrak is the result of a contract between the Congress and the American people.  Related to that argument is that there are people in smaller cities and towns who need Amtrak because they have no alternative public transportation and the number of places with no alternative transportation is increasing.  This is not the argument that the places need Amtrak; that is a different argument.  It is an argument that many people need Amtrak, people who live in places to small to be profitable to private carriers.  

Whether or not Amtrak routes that are not now part of our national passenger transportation system is a different question.   Whether or not individual routes should be dropped is a related question; however it needs to be considered in terms of the whole system.    

Finally, there are many arguments both for and against Amtrak.  These arguments have varying degrees of validity and need to be considered individually.  

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, June 30, 2013 2:55 PM

Under any conceivable scenario the government, not Amtrak, will have to put up the front money to expand passenger rail.  A key question is whether the taxpayers, who own the government, at least in theory, will get their money back.

Passenger rail corridors could be developed and operated by multiple operators. That is how passenger rail developed before Amtrak.  That is how the California High Speed Rail Project is being developed.  And that is how the Trinity Railway Express (TRE) between Dallas and Fort Worth was developed.  Amtrak did not have anything to do with them.  

Amtrak has become a large, lumbering bureaucracy.  A strong argument can be made that smaller, regional developers and operators could be  more effective in delivering passenger rail than a highly centralized Washington based bureaucracy.

Maybe a better approach would be to open the routes up to contractors, as per Australia, with the appropriate subsidies, and see what happens.  A small centralized coordinating staff in the DOT probably would be helpful in calling balls and strikes, but opening passenger rail to competitive bids per route could produce a better outcome.

The nation does not have one airline, one bus company, one power grid, etc. Why should it have just one intercity passenger rail operator?  Come to think of it, when the California High Speed Rail Project comes on line, assuming that it does, the nation will not be locked into just one true intercity passenger train operator.

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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, June 30, 2013 3:01 PM

John WR

There is another argument for keeping current long distance trains, the argument Joe Boardman uses.  That argument is that Amtrak is the result of a contract between the Congress and the American people.  Related to that argument is that there are people in smaller cities and towns who need Amtrak because they have no alternative public transportation and the number of places with no alternative transportation is increasing.  This is not the argument that the places need Amtrak; that is a different argument.  It is an argument that many people need Amtrak, people who live in places to small to be profitable to private carriers.  

Whether or not Amtrak routes that are not now part of our national passenger transportation system is a different question.   Whether or not individual routes should be dropped is a related question; however it needs to be considered in terms of the whole system.    

Finally, there are many arguments both for and against Amtrak.  These arguments have varying degrees of validity and need to be considered individually.  

I don't know of a Texas community served by Amtrak that could not be served equally well or better by buses.  Moreover, I am skeptical that any of the communities served by Amtrak's long distance trains in other parts of the country could not be served by commercial buses, but I may be missing something. Perhaps there are some places  where the bus operator would have to be subsidized, but my guess is that they are few and far between.

Amtrak was cobbled together by the Nixon Administration and sold to the peoples representatives. Calling it a contract with the American people is a stretch. I doubt many people knew the issues surrounding the creation of Amtrak or even cared.

By the time Amtrak came into being most Americans had given up on passenger trains. Today, if my friends and former colleagues are any indication, most Americans, especially those who don't live in or near the corridors, i.e. NEC, California, Chicago, etc., don't know that Amtrak exists.  

The best indicator of the importance of a service is the extent to which it is used.  As per Table I-42, National Transportation Statistics 2012, Long Distance Travel in the United States by Selected Trip Characteristics, only .08 per cent of all trips of more than 50 miles from home were by train. These numbers are for 2001.  Unfortunately, they are the latest numbers. However, more recent statistics showing the percentage of intercity trains miles to total intercity miles shows a similar picture. The percentage traveling by train may be a bit higher today, but probably not by much.

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, June 30, 2013 4:23 PM

John WR
There is another argument for keeping current long distance trains, the argument Joe Boardman uses.  That argument is that Amtrak is the result of a contract between the Congress and the American people.  Related to that argument is that there are people in smaller cities and towns who need Amtrak because they have no alternative public transportation and the number of places with no alternative transportation is increasing.  This is not the argument that the places need Amtrak; that is a different argument.  It is an argument that many people need Amtrak, people who live in places to small to be profitable to private carriers.  

1.  Joe Boardman also said in the same speech that LD routes should not be subsidized in part by operating surpluses from Acela but that congress should directly subsidize them in entirety.

2.  "The greatest good for the greatest number" has been a sound utilitarian basis for services for years.  Why should Amtrak be forced to provide a very inefficient service to people primarily in rural areas (where the population is stagnant or decreasing)?  If it is so needed, congress should adopt an EBS program, patterned after the EAS program.  Buses are more efficient and flexible in reaching widely scattered people.

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Posted by daveklepper on Sunday, June 30, 2013 4:38 PM

The elderlly and handicapped who cannot flly also cannot stand a bus ride more than a few hours.

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, June 30, 2013 5:55 PM

daveklepper

The elderlly and handicapped who cannot flly also cannot stand a bus ride more than a few hours.

You are justifying this on the basis of a small minority of the elderly and challenged who cannot fly (Why not?) or ride a bus more than a few hours, who also don't live near metropolitan areas or shorter rail routes?   The numbers must be miniscule, given how small the total ridership of LD routes is.

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Posted by John WR on Sunday, June 30, 2013 6:17 PM

Sam.

According to Amtrak's Texas Fact Sheet there were 465,300 boardings and alightings at Texas stations in 2012.  This is up 9.3 per cent from 2011.  

But is there any desire in Texas to do away with Amtrak?  The places I know of want to keep their Amtrak service.   Service to the Gulf Coast states was suspended after Hurricane Katrina and those states have asked that it be returned.

As far as the historical picture is concerned, I think there is substantial evidence that private railroads had given up on American passengers as well as the other way around.   And I did not expect you personally to buy into Joe Boardman's contention that Amtrak is the result of a contract between Congress and the American People.   But regardless of that when Amtrak started ridership began to increase and in the last decade or so it has increased markedly.  

John     

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, June 30, 2013 7:04 PM

John WR
I did not expect you personally to buy into Joe Boardman's contention that Amtrak is the result of a contract between Congress and the American People.   But regardless of that when Amtrak started ridership began to increase and in the last decade or so it has increased markedly.  

1.  Joe Boardman also said in the same speech that LD routes should not be subsidized in part by operating surpluses from Acela but that Congress should directly subsidize them in entirety.

2. Amtrak has had ups and downs in ridership, peaking in 1991 and then dropping, recovering and finally surpassing that level only in the last few years.  

3. After Boardman testified at a hearing, on 5/21/13,  Subcommittee Chairman Jeff Denham (R-Calif.) noted in his opening statement that Amtrak's long-distance routes are losing money.

"In 2012, they lost a combined $600 million," Denham said. "We simply cannot afford to continue these levels of subsidized losses year after year."

Since the current Passenger Rail Investment and Improvement Act (PRIIA) became law in 2008, Amtrak's Northeast Corridor increased its profits by 143 percent and state-supported routes have reduced their losses by 24 percent, but long-distance routes have increased their losses by 11 percent, he noted.

"It is clear that the FRA and Amtrak did not follow PRIIA's intent to reduce long-distance costs, so it is up to us on this committee to find better solutions," Denham said.

4. So it becomes very important to note that the PRIIA supersedes any "mandate" Congress gave Amtrak in 1971 and long distance service is a millstone around Amtrak's neck.


http://www.progressiverailroading.com/amtrak/news/Amtraks-Boardman-defends-need-for-longdistance-routes--36254

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Posted by John WR on Sunday, June 30, 2013 7:06 PM

Schlimm,  

I completely agree with your first point.  

"The greatest good for the greatest number" is one basis for government services but it is not the only one.  One example of another is the Pareto Optimum.  

If Congress would guarantee bus service to unserved areas then we might discuss bus vs train service.  But I see no reason to believe that Congress is about to do that.

Finally, even if the number of people who, because of age or infirmity, need passenger train service is small do you really believe that is a reason to dismiss their needs?  

John

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, June 30, 2013 7:14 PM

John WR
Finally, even if the number of people who, because of age or infirmity, need passenger train service is small do you really believe that is a reason to dismiss their needs?  

"You can't always get what you want."

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Posted by A McIntosh on Sunday, June 30, 2013 9:09 PM

One fact needs to be realized here. The freight railroads have stated through the AAR that with regards to intercity rail passenger service, they will deal with only Amtrak. That being said, Amtrak needs to function less like a government agency and be more proactive regarding intercity routes and services. It may be that the states that support corridor passenger trains should select the majority of the directors and that board would select the CEO rather than politicians in Washington. I know that this sounds off topic, but it might bring a bit of reform.

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Posted by schlimm on Sunday, June 30, 2013 9:12 PM

No, that sort of shake up might be what is need.  but would need congress.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Sunday, June 30, 2013 9:21 PM

schlimm

John WR
Finally, even if the number of people who, because of age or infirmity, need passenger train service is small do you really believe that is a reason to dismiss their needs?  

"You can't always get what you want."

Wait a moment.   This is equaling need with want ?
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Posted by Anonymous on Sunday, June 30, 2013 10:04 PM

In 2011, which is the latest year for comparative numbers, Amtrak's average daily boardings at Dallas and Fort Worth, the DFW Metroplex anchor cities, was 251. Amtrak skews the numbers by reporting entrainments and detrainments.  I halved the totals to come up with the averages. Most of the people getting off the trains in Dallas and Fort Worth got on there; most of the people getting on the trains will return to Dallas and Fort Worth. Amtrak has two trains (Texas Eagle and Heartland Flyer) serving the Metroplex.

I don't know whether there is an active move to do away with Amtrak. It probably flies under the radar for most Texans, although when the cops shot a bad guy on the Eagle in Dallas, that got some local coverage. Most of my friends and acquaintances are not aware of its existence. 

To the extent that the votes of the Texas Congressional delegation reflect the wishes of the Texans that sent them to Washington, one can say that the people of Texas don't support Amtrak. Senator Hutchison was an Amtrak supporter, although to the best of my knowledge she never rode it.  Senator Cornyn has tended to vote against it. Senator Hutchison was replaced by Senator Cruz, who is a Tea Party favorite, and is not likely to support government monies for Amtrak. The majority of the Texas delegation in the House, the last time I looked, had voted against Amtrak.  

The average daily enplanements at Dallas Love Field and DFW were 85,949. In addition, several hundred if not a thousand or two additional people departed the Metroplex on Greyhound and Megabus. 

Amtrak's Texas ridership figures for 2012 are up from 2011 as noted.  So too are the loses on its two trains.  In FY12 the Eagle lost $34.5 million before depreciation, interest, and miscellaneous charges. This was up from $30.1 million in 2011 or 14.6 per cent. The loss for the Heartland Flyer was $3.8 million, up from $2.7 million in FY11.  This was a 40.7 per increase in the loss.  So Amtrak may have increased the number of passengers it entrained in FY12 in Texas, but it appears that it is buying market share or trying to.

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Posted by John WR on Monday, July 1, 2013 6:20 PM

schlimm

"It is clear that the FRA and Amtrak did not follow PRIIA's intent to reduce long-distance costs, so it is up to us on this committee to find better solutions," Denham said.

Schlimm,  

Representative Jeff Denham is chairman of the Railroad Committee so he is certainly important.  But I think he is enigmatic.  

You quote him saying he wants to reduce long-distance costs.  He is also reported as supporting high speed rail in the northeast and being willing to spend "billions" on it.  But he opposed HSR for his home state, California.  

California has 20 per cent of all Amtrak routes and they all run on freight railroads.  AAR President Edward Hamberger is concerned about his opposition to HSR in California.  Most imports from Asia come through California and are shipped by freight railroads to other parts of the country.  In California congestion on the rails, if it is not already a problem, could well become a problem.  So AAR is concerned about Representative Denham's positions.  

At the same time Representative Denham is joining Amtrak in its special hiring outreach to Veterans and has appeared in public with Joe Boardman to support it.  Denham is also a critic of Amtrak food service. However, food service is a place that traditionally has a relatively high turnover and offers positions to people looking for jobs.   Here he seems to send a mixed message.  

Finally, Representative Denham has sponsored a bill to allow people to take their pets on all trains.  That has to have cost implications, especially for long distance trains and especially for having employees with special training to look after them both on trains and in stations.   Again, he seems to send a mixed message.  

John

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Posted by Kahless the Unforgettable on Tuesday, July 16, 2013 10:55 AM

Don't prune or cut anything! if it can be avoided. You might end up like Via Rail and have limited service between big cities like Montreal and Halifax.

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, July 23, 2013 11:44 AM

schlimm
"It is clear that the FRA and Amtrak did not follow PRIIA's intent to reduce long-distance costs, so it is up to us on this committee to find better solutions," Denham said.

It is also clear that a lot of the recommendations were not so easy to put in place.  But, Amtrak and FRA didn't act like it was very important, either.  They just listed all the excuses "why not" and carried on.

-Don (Random stuff, mostly about trains - what else? http://blerfblog.blogspot.com/

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Posted by schlimm on Tuesday, July 30, 2013 5:39 PM

(from MHSRA)

"Please call your Congressman and Senators today!  You can get their phone numbers 
here.

This is the last week before Congress adjourns for summer recess, and as with most groups, Congress tends to act at the last minute.

In the Senate, it is possible that a Reid/McConnell deal tonight will agree on cloture, agree on which amendments will get votes, and enable final passage on Thursday.  Senator Flake (R-AZ) has offered an amendment, that we hope will fail, ending food service on trains.

In the House, voting could begin as early as 5 or 6 PM tonight. The meeting could last until midnight tonight or tomorrow (the latter if enough members don’t show up today).  Some Amtrak amendments which have surfaced include:
* Broun (R-GA)- Eliminate Amtrak Capital Funds
* Broun- Eliminate Amtrak Operating Funds
* Blackburn (R-TN)- Eliminate Amtrak Capital Funds 
* Mica (R-FL)- Eliminate/Reduce Food & Beverage Service on Amtrak 
* Mica- Allow for certain Amtrak routes to be contracted out to other operators


Our general message to the House and Senate is we want them to oppose anti-Amtrak amendments – and recognize the food & beverage proposals as the killers they are. 

It is important that you call today.  You can get the phone numbers here, and then send a follow up email.  "

Rick Harnish

Executive Director
Midwest High Speed Rail Association
4765 N. Lincoln Ave.
Chicago, IL 60625

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