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HSR under new scrutiny
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<P mce_keep="true">[quote user="schlimm"] <P>[quote user="Sam1"]</P> <P>[quote user="schlimm"] </P> <P>Generally it is preferable to provide a link to the actual article rather than summarize and put quotes around it. <BR></P> <P><A href="http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-high-speed-rail-20100701,0,1714268.story" mce_href="http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-high-speed-rail-20100701,0,1714268.story">http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-high-speed-rail-20100701,0,1714268.story</A> [/quote]</P> <P>Your are entitled to your views. I disagree. </P> <P>The quoted points, which were lifted from a recent Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainman Publication, captured the essense of the full article. The key point is clear. The estimates of ridership and revenue are unreliable.</P> <P>[/quote] </P> <P>There are many good reasons for using the original article, if available. For example, in the actual article, it stated that the projections were: </P> <P>"The authority estimates that the system would have between 88 million and 117 million passengers a year by 2030. However, under various scenarios offered by the agency, the number of passengers could be as low as 40 million a year."</P> <P>This is quite a contrast to your summary, which indicates 41 million. You are applying the conclusion of the Berkley study that the numbers are unreliable to this low, outlying figure,. Given that the population of California is expected to be 46 million by 2030 (currently 38 million) , a ridership estimate in which each resident uses the HSR service only one time per year does not seem especially optimistic.[/quote]</P> <P>It was not my estimate. It was from a summary of the article contained in the BLE&T news letter. Again, the key point is crystal clear. The estimates are suspect, as tends to be the case for all long term estimates. </P>
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