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Could political pressure force the railroads onto a specific "Oil Alley"?

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Posted by BaltACD on Tuesday, March 10, 2015 10:39 PM

tree68

This morning there was a tanker on its side on I95 in Maryland.  Leaking fuel.

 http://www.wbaltv.com/news/leaking-tanker-overturns-closing-i95-near-beltsville/31713086

 

Incident was caused by a 'Unsafe Lane Change' of a Ford Focus which caused several vehicles to take evasive actions.

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Posted by tree68 on Tuesday, March 10, 2015 4:06 PM

This morning there was a tanker on its side on I95 in Maryland.  Leaking fuel.

 http://www.wbaltv.com/news/leaking-tanker-overturns-closing-i95-near-beltsville/31713086

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Posted by csxns on Tuesday, March 10, 2015 3:47 PM

BaltACD
- they should also be restricted

Just this past saturday on I-85 on my way to spencer saw two gas tankers trucks going 10 miles over the limit.

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, March 10, 2015 12:32 PM

Euclid
 
zugmann
 
Euclid
I don’t know if it could result in a single primary route, but I think it could result in an executive order by President Obama to stop shipping Bakken oil by rail until it can be proven to be safe.

 

The price of gasoline would definitely rise, but so what?  Do you think that would stand in the way of banning Bakken shipping by rail?  The green left would love to price fossil fuels right out of the market.  Keep in mind that this hysteria over oil train safety is a perfect tool serving the interests of the anti-oil agenda.  Public safety is their perfect pretext.  They want public hysteria, and the oil trains are delivering it. 
 

Oil  before fracking = $100 a barrel.  After fracking = $60 a barrel.  Take away a chunk of fracking = between $60 and $100 a barrel.  QED

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Posted by oltmannd on Tuesday, March 10, 2015 12:28 PM

CatFoodFlambe
they'll all be sitting in Retzenberger vans

and PTI vans...

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Posted by BaltACD on Tuesday, March 10, 2015 12:22 PM

Since 'fuel' trucks can't stay shiny side up and dirty side down - they should also be restricted - that will really help the flow of traffic on the Interstates.

http://news.yahoo.com/fuel-truck-spill-shuts-down-most-interstate-near-161928210.html

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Posted by CatFoodFlambe on Monday, March 9, 2015 9:36 PM

n012944
 
CatFoodFlambe

It might be done on a rotating-route basis to spead the impact (both operationally and politically)- but if a railroad knew well advance that a route of their choosing would be effectively slowed to 25 mph while eastbound oil loads were operating over them for, say, a ten-day period, a long range plan could be developed to minimize the effect on the more time-sensitive cargo.  

 

 

So, you want to have a bunch of crews laying around being paid to only be used over a ten day period evey month or so?  Good luck with that.

 

Not at all.  But what happens when a politically motiviated STB slaps a 25mph limit on loaded oil trains?  You won't have crews laying around - they'll all be sitting in Retzenberger vans at a grade crossing in Indiana waiting to dogcatch oil trains, coal trains, containers, vehicle trains and everything short of the track inspector's Hi-Railer.

 

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Posted by edblysard on Sunday, March 8, 2015 10:49 PM

Euclid
I don’t know if it could result in a single primary route, but I think it could result in an executive order by President Obama to stop shipping Bakken oil by rail until it can be proven to be safe. 
Right now, there are two things happening. One is the alarming frequency of oil train wrecks with each one faithfully producing spectacular fireballs that are scaring the public.
The other thing that is happening is the sudden realization that the industry has failed to deliver the tank car safety that was promised as a means to end the fireballs.
Both of these factors are combining to produce a crisis that calls for immediate action that might radically modify the developing Federal specifications for tank cars.  Secretary Foxx has recently said that he now thinks that we need an entirely new type of tank car.  That sounds like a big change in direction.  A couple more fireball wrecks, and an even greater change might occur. 
 

 

Last time I looked, no major railroad had or wished to have facilities to produce complete railcars anymore.

 

So when you say "The other thing that is happening is the sudden realization that the industry has failed to deliver the tank car safety that was promised as a means to end the fireballs" you seem to be indicating that the railroads (carriers)are the ones responsible for the design and manufacture of safer rail cars.

 

I would think that responsibility would rest with the railcars manufacturing companies, if and when they are given the final approved specifications.

 

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Posted by erikem on Sunday, March 8, 2015 9:58 PM

samfp1943

 When was the last time you saw a story about a pipeline jumping the rails, and causing such a conflagration, or polluting a river?

The Yellowstone River has been polluted a couple of times by broken pipelines recently - Laurel, MT in 2011 and Glendive, MT in the last couple of months. The 2011 incident was memorable as I had driven across the US-212 bridge a few hoours before the break.

There have been several incidents of pipeline conflagrations...

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Posted by n012944 on Sunday, March 8, 2015 9:35 PM

CatFoodFlambe

It might be done on a rotating-route basis to spead the impact (both operationally and politically)- but if a railroad knew well advance that a route of their choosing would be effectively slowed to 25 mph while eastbound oil loads were operating over them for, say, a ten-day period, a long range plan could be developed to minimize the effect on the more time-sensitive cargo.  

So, you want to have a bunch of crews laying around being paid to only be used over a ten day period evey month or so?  Good luck with that.

An "expensive model collector"

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Posted by n012944 on Sunday, March 8, 2015 9:32 PM

M636C

 

 

The axle loads in the USA are higher than in most other countries, yet the track is often not maintained to a high enough standard to take these heavier loads.

 

 

Are you a qualified track inspector?  

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Posted by MidlandMike on Sunday, March 8, 2015 8:52 PM

Euclid
 
I am not advocating a ban.  All I am doing is reading the tea leaves and commenting on where I think this is headed.  If I am creating hysteria, it would have to be in the oil/rail industry, and I think they are immune to hysteria.  Short of banning oil trains, I don’t see a solution to the problem, or an end to the problem.  I think that is where we are at.  So I am left to wonder if such a radical solution as a ban might be forthcoming.  I think that outcome is entirely feasible.  There is no magic protection that says the Bakken oil must go to market.
But this outcome may not be the result of an executive order to simply stop oil trains.  It may be a DOT regulation to mandate a quick phase out of existing tank cars and a new regulation for tank cars that are so uneconomical that they won’t be built. 
 

The Bakken now comprises a little over 10% of domestic crude oil production.  Last I knew, a majority went by rail.  There is no way this will be shut-off until an alternative transport option is in place.  It is a basic political fact of life.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Sunday, March 8, 2015 5:10 PM

I have no idea whether tank sloshing is a problem. However driving a TT tanker half full is no picnic.  But why are the RR tank cars built with a greater volume capacity than its weight limit?.  Are the cars built to carry the least dense product possible and what would that product be ?

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Posted by M636C on Sunday, March 8, 2015 4:35 PM

A number of the recent derailments of oil trains involve basically new tank cars.

It is unlikely that these tank cars were the cause of the derailments.

That leaves track conditions as the most likely cause.

The axle loads in the USA are higher than in most other countries, yet the track is often not maintained to a high enough standard to take these heavier loads.

Presumably it is a commercial decision to run heavier axle loads while not upgrading track and this decision is looking a bit unwise.

There is a "unit train problem" where a train of identical heavily laden vehicles can cause track problems because every car has the same effect on a weakness in the track. Intermodal trains are fast, but individual cars can vary in weight and length and don't have the same repetitive effect.

Coal trains have the unit train problem, but coal rarely catches fire, even in a serious derailment (although it is good to keep it out of rivers).

If you are going to select a route, it should have new 136lb rail on concrete ties with 24" of ballast with no contamination. Then you can start blaming the tank cars if something goes wrong.

M636C

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Posted by dehusman on Sunday, March 8, 2015 4:04 PM

We seen to be retreading the same territory again and again.

Rerouting to "less sensitive areas" tends to mean rerouting to secondary routes.  Since most of the derailments that weren't caused by human error seem to have been caused by track, rail or subgrade issues, the idea of rerouting oil trains onto secondary routes which do not have the same inspection or maintenance regimien that the primary routes have would seem to be a counterproductive move.  After all, the worst incident on record happened on just such a secondary route through a less sensitive area (the MMA and Lac Megantic).  If the idea is to reduce incidents, then why would anybody intentionally putting them on routes that would be more likely to have incidents?

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Posted by BaltACD on Sunday, March 8, 2015 2:38 PM

Oil trains run from 'well head' to refineries or export terminals.  There are many refineries and export terminals across the country - not in a neat and clean 'alley'.

Those refineries and export terminals are not going anywhere in the short term.  Suprisingly, most of them are located in population centers where their existance provides substansial employment opportunities for the inhabitants of those population centers.

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Posted by Euclid on Sunday, March 8, 2015 2:25 PM
CatFoodFlambe

It's possible that the railroads might choose to keep the existing trains on the current routes and just run 'em at 25mph - but the thought of what a slug of 25mph trains would do to the flow of traffic on the NS and CSX mains east of Chicago is not pretty.    By concentrating the slow trains on one route for a relatively brief period of time, the feds would be able to say they did something to lessen the potential danger, while rails how have the ability to plan around it and recover.

Of course, they might choose to use different routes for the them (NS is supposeded routing some along the old PRR Chicago-Pittsburgh line, which has potential to serve as a "slow main").  My thought, though, is that the towns that get =all= the trains on a full-time basis would kick like mules.

 

 
Well, rerouting oil trains to less sensitive areas is a plan on the table.  But I think the devil is in the details.  As you point out, nobody who is threatened by the prospect of being annihilated by an exploding oil train is going to agree that they are in a less sensitive area.
 
Incidentally, Transportation Secretary Foxx, in conjunction to developing a better tank car design, is developing a plan to control the routing and speed of oil trains.    
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Posted by tree68 on Sunday, March 8, 2015 2:07 PM

Norm48327

When all those environmentalists are riding bicycles 50 miles one way to their jobs they may have a valid argument.

They work in ivory towers not too far from their lofts.  Many probably don't own a car.

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Posted by CatFoodFlambe on Sunday, March 8, 2015 1:06 PM

It's possible that the railroads might choose to keep the existing trains on the current routes and just run 'em at 25mph - but the thought of what a slug of 25mph trains would do to the flow of traffic on the NS and CSX mains east of Chicago is not pretty.    By concentrating the slow trains on one route for a relatively brief period of time, the feds would be able to say they did something to lessen the potential danger, while rails how have the ability to plan around it and recover.

Of course, they might choose to use different routes for the them (NS is supposeded routing some along the old PRR Chicago-Pittsburgh line, which has potential to serve as a "slow main").  My thought, though, is that the towns that get =all= the trains on a full-time basis would kick like mules.

 

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Posted by Norm48327 on Sunday, March 8, 2015 1:00 PM

When all those environmentalists are riding bicycles 50 miles one way to their jobs they may have a valid argument.

Norm


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Posted by Euclid on Sunday, March 8, 2015 12:56 PM
I will clarify what I meant when I said:  “The price of gasoline would definitely rise, but so what?”
It really needs the context that includes the next two sentences:  “Do you think that would stand in the way of banning Bakken shipping by rail?  The green left would love to price fossil fuels right out of the market.”
I do not mean “so what?” as though I do not care if the price rises.  I mean it as though the fossil fuel opposition does not care if the price rises.  They have long complained that we do not pay enough for gasoline, and if we did pay more, we would use less of it, and the earth would be better off because of it.  They say that if the market won’t dive up the price of gasoline, the government should raise the price by adding more taxes.  Their whole point is to get us to stop using gasoline.  So when I said “so what?” I was speaking for them, not for me.  I want cheap gas.  I also want a strong economy.  I am just illustrating what we are up against.     
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Posted by zugmann on Sunday, March 8, 2015 12:41 PM

And even with the wrecks, I have yet to see much of a frenzy whipped up.  Just people pushing for the Keystone XL pipeline, many of which have very little understanding of where it will actually run.   I swear half the populance of Pennsylvania (the Keystone State) think it will run through here.

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Sunday, March 8, 2015 12:15 PM

Euclid
The price of gasoline would definitely rise, but so what?  . 
 



 The price of gasoline has become something of an economic and political barometer for those who don't pay attention to the world outside their field of vision.  Politicians that are perceived as being the ones pushing the price way up are the same ones perceived as needed to think about future career options. 

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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Posted by Dakguy201 on Sunday, March 8, 2015 11:32 AM

Euclid
 
The price of gasoline would definitely rise, but so what?  Do you think that would stand in the way of banning Bakken shipping by rail?  The green left would love to price fossil fuels right out of the market.  Keep in mind that this hysteria over oil train safety is a perfect tool serving the interests of the anti-oil agenda.  Public safety is their perfect pretext.  They want public hysteria, and the oil trains are delivering it. 
 

 
I think Euclid has it right.  The industry can not continue with the current "fireball of the week" scenerio for long before the public gets whipped into a frenzy by those who have a bigger agenda than public protection from those exploding trains.  The industry may have been lucky in the last few wrecks occuring in unpopulated areas, but that can't go on forever.   We can lay the blame (in part at least) for Lac-Megantic on a shoestring organization with sloppy procedures; but it seems if the current situation continues, it is just a matter of time until one of the major railroads repeats it.
 
 
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Posted by Euclid on Sunday, March 8, 2015 10:49 AM
zugmann
 
Euclid
The price of gasoline would definitely rise, but so what? Do you think that would stand in the way of banning Bakken shipping by rail? The green left would love to price fossil fuels right out of the market. Keep in mind that this hysteria over oil train safety is a perfect tool serving the interests of the anti-oil agenda. Public safety is their perfect pretext. They want public hysteria, and the oil trains are delivering it.

 

 

No, but if it rises enough, it will further damage a fragile economy.  You accuse the green left of hysteria, but you do the very same thing in this forum.  It's not just the "green left" causing panic, but the majority of people who have no clue about anything outside their own little circle.  Oil trains can be seen.  They'd rather have a pipeline under their feet.  Out of sight and all that.

 

So yeah, that is "what".

 

I am not advocating a ban.  All I am doing is reading the tea leaves and commenting on where I think this is headed.  If I am creating hysteria, it would have to be in the oil/rail industry, and I think they are immune to hysteria.  Short of banning oil trains, I don’t see a solution to the problem, or an end to the problem.  I think that is where we are at.  So I am left to wonder if such a radical solution as a ban might be forthcoming.  I think that outcome is entirely feasible.  There is no magic protection that says the Bakken oil must go to market.
But this outcome may not be the result of an executive order to simply stop oil trains.  It may be a DOT regulation to mandate a quick phase out of existing tank cars and a new regulation for tank cars that are so uneconomical that they won’t be built. 
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Posted by samfp1943 on Sunday, March 8, 2015 10:31 AM

Euclid
 
zugmann
 
Euclid
I don’t know if it could result in a single primary route, but I think it could result in an executive order by President Obama to stop shipping Bakken oil by rail until it can be proven to be safe.

 

The price of gasoline would definitely rise, but so what?  Do you think that would stand in the way of banning Bakken shipping by rail?  The green left would love to price fossil fuels right out of the market.  Keep in mind that this hysteria over oil train safety is a perfect tool serving the interests of the anti-oil agenda.  Public safety is their perfect pretext.  They want public hysteria, and the oil trains are delivering it. 
 

A brief thought on a Sunday morning:

This, and the one in WV about 2 weeks ago, (and the other derailments that have made news, and thses Forum Discussions)... While the POTUS (will still/has vetoed) a bill on the Keystone pipeline... When was the last time you saw a story about a pipeline jumping the rails, and causing such a conflagration, or polluting a river?                                                                                                  Just a note: Galena, Ill, is the home of General & President Ulysses S Grant.                               [ For Me, and Firelock76]Whistling

 

 


 

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Posted by zugmann on Sunday, March 8, 2015 10:03 AM

Euclid
The price of gasoline would definitely rise, but so what? Do you think that would stand in the way of banning Bakken shipping by rail? The green left would love to price fossil fuels right out of the market. Keep in mind that this hysteria over oil train safety is a perfect tool serving the interests of the anti-oil agenda. Public safety is their perfect pretext. They want public hysteria, and the oil trains are delivering it.

 

No, but if it rises enough, it will further damage a fragile economy.  You accuse the green left of hysteria, but you do the very same thing in this forum.  It's not just the "green left" causing panic, but the majority of people who have no clue about anything outside their own little circle.  Oil trains can be seen.  They'd rather have a pipeline under their feet.  Out of sight and all that.

 

So yeah, that is "what".

It's been fun.  But it isn't much fun anymore.   Signing off for now. 


  

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Posted by Euclid on Sunday, March 8, 2015 10:00 AM
zugmann
 
Euclid
I don’t know if it could result in a single primary route, but I think it could result in an executive order by President Obama to stop shipping Bakken oil by rail until it can be proven to be safe.

The price of gasoline would definitely rise, but so what?  Do you think that would stand in the way of banning Bakken shipping by rail?  The green left would love to price fossil fuels right out of the market.  Keep in mind that this hysteria over oil train safety is a perfect tool serving the interests of the anti-oil agenda.  Public safety is their perfect pretext.  They want public hysteria, and the oil trains are delivering it. 
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Posted by Firelock76 on Sunday, March 8, 2015 9:52 AM

Brother, if you want rants you should read Tom Nemeth's Jersey Transit rants in "Railpace" magazine.  Man, those are fun!  Justified, but fun! 

I have a hard time equating Fred's laid-back Texas style with a "rant."

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