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DM&E Financing revisited.
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[quote user="futuremodal"]<p>And what is the "worst" that may come to pass? That we the taxpayers get to own our own railroad for a change? And this is bad because..........?</p>[/quote]<br> <br> They would get to own a railroad who's prospects for running profitably were so poor that it couldn't attract private investment to build it's own plant,.. for one<br> <br> A railroad that even with a gov't loan, STILL couldn't earn it's own keep (remember, we are assuming failure here because you posed the 'what if?")...for another<br> <br> And, because deferred maintenance is the early refuge of a declining railroad, if such a failure did materialize, my heartfelt suspicion is that the condition of the repossessed plant would end up being fit for the scrapper only. <br> <br> In a nut shell, if this is such a great deal, then why isn't private money just dying to jump into it? That is the litmus that I use to validate my related concerns.<br> <br> Here is why I suspect they (private sources of capital) are not overly enthusiastic.<br> <br> Let's assume that once the plant is rebuilt with the $2.5B, that it ends up being worth $3B. Just as a given, OK?<br> <br> That still assumes that a buyer could be found with an interest in paying $3B to buy then operate it.<br> <br> Something just tells me that if DM&E trys their best, and fails.. lets say that the Borg decides to undercut the rate structure and DM&E (in consequence) never gets traction to build market share...how many buyers would be jumping at the opportunity to stick their head in the same barrel?<br> <br> My guess is very few. Not for the full $3B anyway.<br> <br> So, the value of the repossessed collateral becomes a fraction of the assumed value up front<br> <br> Shrinkage on a massive scale. with Joe Taxpayer holding the bag.<br>
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