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How much power is generated by dynamic braking?
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Ok, since we're in scribble-on-envelope mode here, i spliced in a few of my own numbers: <br />(and using your simplifiying assumption of 100% electrical efficiency) <br /> <br />-off-road Diesel Fuel, Delivered to the property: $1.00/ Gallon <br />-prime movers produce roughly 14hp/hr per gallon in notch 8 (that's a number out of the air based on aircraft numbers that are 15 years old; modify to suit) <br />-8 trains down implies 8 trains up the same grade, same time at max power (might be a bit of a stretch, but we're playing here. Up time seems like it would be longer than down.) <br />-neglecting costs of converting the locomotives (might be reasonable as the locomotives could be used on many 'wire-hybrid' grades) <br />-assuming free maintenance of wires and connections (emphatically NOT valid, but again, we're playing with numbers here) <br />-50% power gets recycled in moving trains up-grade, also 'billed' at $0.04/KwH <br /> <br />I come up with just shy of $2k/day in avoided cost of diesel, which, when added to your numbers gives an 'accelerated' payback of 15 years or so. <br /> <br />On the face of it, I agree: that's not a terribly tempting investment, even at today's low interest rates. (which i see we've neglected) <br /> <br />I predict, however, that the rate of increase in the cost of grid power will be lower than the rate of increase of diesel fuel; particularly with the available sources of low-sulphur crude shrinking and the EPA already thinking about Tier III. So that improves the return on investment a bit. <br />Then some improvement in traffic control might be feasable, based on someone's "micro-block" suggestion, and might get more trains over the hill (up and down) which would bring the payoff horizon closer still. <br /> <br />the question becomes one of "when does the payoff horizon get close enough?" I submit that we (as a nation) are going to be increasingly in competition with China and the pacific rim nations for all mineral resources, not just oil; and that the longer we put off major upgrades to our infrastructure, the more expensive (in real GDP) we're going to find those upgrades.
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