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Impossible Question

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Impossible Question
Posted by Mookie on Friday, December 25, 2015 10:14 PM

The Driver says I have a question that has no real answer, so that is why I will ask it.  

Lots of rain in the northwest.  Mudslide onto the rails and train derails. Question is, if I own a class 1 railroad, is there any technology available to let me know if a mudslide is very possible in a certain area?   Surely you don't want to send a crew with a very expensive train loaded with very expensive goods without some idea if they are going to make it through this rain soaked area?  

Am I missing something or is he right?  

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Posted by BaltACD on Friday, December 25, 2015 10:20 PM

On my carrier, when Flood Warnings are issued, the MofW personnel are immediately notified of the warnings are are required to get Track Inspectors out to inspect the affected territory.  Train operations will continue at reduced speeds through the affected territory with crews warned to be on the lookout in known trouble areas.  The railroad is not shut down unless the MofW personnel see conditions in their inspections that warrant it.  Part of T&E personnel being qualified on their territory is also knowing the routine trouble areas.

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Posted by chutton01 on Friday, December 25, 2015 11:48 PM

Probably misunderstanding the question, but I was under the assumption that landslide (and hence mudslide) detection fences have been around for many decades (wiki entry). The article even mentions a few UP and BNSF locations where landslide/rockslide fences are used.
New technology using patterns of sensors, among other ideas, continues to be developed.

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Posted by ChuckCobleigh on Saturday, December 26, 2015 1:39 AM

I seem to recall a Trains article in the past two or three years about slide fence sensors on BNSF in northern Arizona between Williams and maybe Seligman or farther west.  DC or MC might have a better recollection than I do.

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Posted by ndbprr on Saturday, December 26, 2015 6:07 AM
PRR had them in the 1940s. A series of horizontal wires that were electrified. If one broke it activated a stop signal. But mud may have just oozed through. Much more effective with rocks or landslides.
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Posted by Paul_D_North_Jr on Saturday, December 26, 2015 6:38 AM

Track inspections and fences will detect the mudslide (landslide/ rockslide) after it has happened.

To identify mudsldies before they happen: Identify a troublesome area - bad soils, 'slip plane' dipping down towards the tracks, etc.

This geology class presentation on "Slope Failure" might be of interest:

http://geology.isu.edu/wapi/envgeo/EG4_mass_wasting/EG4-MassWasting_notes.pdf 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slope_stability 

The most important factor is how wet the soil is, often referred to as soil moisture, degree of saturation, pore water volume & pressure, etc.  There are sensors on the market which can be installed to monitor that continuously - see, for example: http://www.controls-group.com/eng/soil-mechanics-testing-equipment/pore-water-pressure-measurement.php  

http://www.gdsinstruments.com/gds-products/pore-pressure-transducers 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pore_water_pressure  

The next thing is to measure any very small, tiny, early motion of the slope to predict a larger motion, using an inclinometer - see:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inclinometer 

http://www.slopeindicator.com/instruments/inclin-intro.php 

Installing a network of these instruments is possible, assuming the RR owns or has access rights to the land above the tracks - and below, sometimes.  Not always the case, esp. in the Pacific NW where there are often homes on the bluffs above the tracks.    

But I'm not saying it's always effective enough, practical or economic - yet.

- Paul North. 

"This Fascinating Railroad Business" (title of 1943 book by Robert Selph Henry of the AAR)
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Posted by Wizlish on Saturday, December 26, 2015 6:44 AM

Mookie
... is there any technology available to let me know if a mudslide is very possible in a certain area?

This is a very different thing from slide fences or other devices that only indicate after a slide has occurred. 

Theoretically, the answer is 'yes'; you might for example maintain a network of simple sensors for ground moisture at various depths combined with seismometers and devices to detect relative motion.  It has become dramatically cheaper -- at least in principle -- to build, power, and monitor this sort of thing in the past few years.  But it is not exactly rocket science to understand when slides are 'likely' in most of these slide-prone regions, and I suspect that the warnings of actual incipient sliding might not be much quicker than those produced 'after the fact' by much simpler detectors like slide fences ... particularly if vibration from a train induces the start of the actual slide.

This is a question that I expect someone like MC or PDN can provide extensive thought and experience on...  [edit: I was writing this while PDN provided just such an analysis]

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Posted by diningcar on Saturday, December 26, 2015 8:26 AM

ChuckCobleigh
seem to recall a Trains article in the past two or three years about slide fence sensors on BNSF in northern Arizona between Williams and maybe Seligman or farther west. DC or MC might have a better recollection than I do.

The 1959-1960 Santa Fe Williams-Crookton line change created rock excavations over 110 feet deep and in one case over one mile long. The exposed geology had volcanic material next under the decayed surface material followed by sedimentary deposits from materials deposited in layers when this area was under water. And finally there was ancient rock similar to that found in the deepest part of the Grand Canyon.

There were seams between the various layers of sedimentary deposits which after the excavation were exposed to current precipitation. These seams were tilted due to millions of years of the continuing creation of geology in this area. After moisture penetrated to these seams slippage resulted and a large rockslide causing a train to derail. Slide detector fences were subsequently installed which were connected with the newly installed CTC signal system so that trains would have ample time to stop if a slide occurred. They are still in place today.

 

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Posted by mudchicken on Saturday, December 26, 2015 8:38 AM

(1) The bigger issue is the slides usually start off the railroad's own R/W.. (witness BNSF's headaches in Washington State)

(2) Inclinometers/Wheatstone bridges can help matters by telling when a hillslide is likely, but PDN and Balt have filled-in that side of the equation.

(3) The water is the trigger, whatever you can do to run off water before it lubricates the slips/slumps/slides is what railroads try to do, but generally the big headaches are off the property.

(4) Mother Nature has a vicious mean streak and she is anything but predictable. 

Mudchicken Nothing is worth taking the risk of losing a life over. Come home tonight in the same condition that you left home this morning in. Safety begins with ME.... cinscocom-west
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Posted by Deggesty on Saturday, December 26, 2015 9:29 AM

Is Mother Nature guilty of child abuse?Smile

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Posted by PNWRMNM on Saturday, December 26, 2015 12:07 PM

Mookie,

The mudslide situation between Seattle and Everett is unique for a couple of reasons which I will explain. I also explained once on the mudslides north of Seattle thread on the passenger forum. I am not an expert, but have seen the line several times from dome cars and locomotive cabs so I can generally describe it. I am interested in Geology so know the basic geology of the area.

Geography. For the roughly 25 miles between Salmon Bay Drawbride in Seattle and Everett the former GN main line, now BNSF Seattle Subdivision, sits about 25 feet above sea level atop a stone wall constructed of very large hunks of granite hauled down from the Cascade mountains. Eastward Puget Sound is on the left, and a series of roughly 200 foot high hills are on the right. The western crests of these hills are highly coveted for their view of the Sound and the snow capped Olympic mountains. Each of these hundreds of homes has a million dollar view. 

Geology. The hills are "drumlins" deposited by the late Continental Glaciers some 15,000 years or so ago. The are north-south trending elongated hills composed of unconsolidated mud, sand, and occassional rocks. Their west slopes are relatively steep, steeper than the angle of repose of the material that makes them up. They are too new, in a geologic sense to have eroded to their angle of repose. That is why they slide.

Climate. It rains more or less continually for about nine months per year, so these drumlins are usually saturated. Come November and December winter storms are more or less continuousthru March, and some of them bring several inches of rain. That tends to oversaturate the drumlins, making them less stable than usual.

Note that virtually all of this action takes place off of and above the railroad's right of way, which is probably 100 feet wide, or about 20-25 feet beyond the right of way ditch.

The GN relocated about 1.5 miles of line north of Edmonds in the 1950's striking out across a shallow bay. God only knows whether the Federal and State governments would ever allow a thing like that today. In addition, the shoreline does not offer many such opportunities.

If you are going to railroad here, you have to accept some risk of slides. You may not like it, and as others have noted there are ways to mitigate the risk, but it is what it is.

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Posted by blue streak 1 on Saturday, December 26, 2015 2:10 PM

PNWRMNM:  Good explanation.  In western North Carolina there is an entirely different problem.  Much of the area is on shale and tectonic movement over the years has caused it to tilt. Roads are often built above this shale increasing the weight on the shale. When it rains and water gets in the seams gravity pressure from above causes slip slides.  AAA reports that many  roads from all this rain have given way in the western NC area.

Many years ago I-26 was being built across the gorge from Saluda grade. Grading was finished and paying was due to start shortly. Minor hurricane remanents dropped a lot of water and a very long segment of the road washed away.  Immediate bankruptcy for contractor. 

Afterward when replacement was put out to bid no bids.  Finally US DOT had to agree for a cost plus contract for anyone to bid. All due to shale.

The I-40 shutdown west of Ashville at the Tennessee border a few years ago has been attributed to a shale problem. 

 

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Posted by Mookie on Saturday, December 26, 2015 6:13 PM

I read through all the postings very carefully.  I did learn quite a bit.  No need to worry, however.  Your jobs are all safe.  And it looks like the railroads do have this pretty well covered, especially since safety is top priority.

Thanx for input!

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Posted by ChuckCobleigh on Saturday, December 26, 2015 6:16 PM

Mookie
 And it looks like the railroads do have this pretty well covered...

Actually, I think that's what they're trying to avoid.Whistling

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Posted by Mookie on Saturday, December 26, 2015 8:03 PM

ChuckCobleigh

 

 
Mookie
 And it looks like the railroads do have this pretty well covered...

 

Actually, I think that's what they're trying to avoid.Whistling

 

You been talkin' to Murphy?  Hmm

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Saturday, December 26, 2015 8:38 PM

Mookie

 

 
ChuckCobleigh

 

 
Mookie
 And it looks like the railroads do have this pretty well covered...

 

Actually, I think that's what they're trying to avoid.Whistling

 

 

 

You been talkin' to Murphy?  Hmm

 

 

Hey now....

        I was just thinking that the surefire way to do what you're asking about would be to have Radar O'Reiley as the train's conductor.  He'd also be able to tell you when to expect choppers.

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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Posted by MidlandMike on Saturday, December 26, 2015 8:41 PM

Paved areas and the roofs of the trophy homes on the bluff over the Puget Sound will shed a lot of water quickly during rain, and lawns also shed water faster than natural ground surface.  Any cuts into the bluff along the rail line might also aggravate the problem.  Shoreline erosion probably oversteepened the bluffs in the first place.  There may also be subaeral erosion going on below the surface of the Puget Sound.

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Posted by Paul_D_North_Jr on Saturday, December 26, 2015 9:54 PM

Further on PNWRMNM/ Mac McCulloch's very informative comment above:

A technical (but still readable by laypeople) paper by USGS personnel in 2008 titled:

"Capturing landslide dynamics and hydrologic triggers using near-real-time monitoring" (pp. 179-191) - apparently from this book:

Landslides and Engineered Slopes Chen et al. (eds)

© 2008 Taylor & Francis Group, London, ISBN 978-0-415-41196-7

can be found at this link:

http://landslides.usgs.gov/docs/reid/Reid_etal_ISL_2008.pdf 

The BNSF situation near Edmonds, Wash. as a test site is discussed on pgs. 187 (lower right) through pg. 189 (left side).  

In general, this report reflects and corroborates most of the important points of the posts above.  

- Paul North. 

"This Fascinating Railroad Business" (title of 1943 book by Robert Selph Henry of the AAR)
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Posted by Mookie on Saturday, December 26, 2015 10:56 PM

PDN - cool - especially the very end.  

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Posted by ChuckCobleigh on Sunday, December 27, 2015 12:38 AM

Murphy Siding
        I was just thinking that the surefire way to do what you're asking about would be to have Radar O'Reiley as the train's conductor.  He'd also be able to tell you when to expect choppers.

Especially helpful when buying mail-order false teeth.  (An obscure Milton Berle quip from live TV.  Remember that?)

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Posted by Murphy Siding on Sunday, December 27, 2015 10:06 PM

     Fortunately,  I am too young to remember Milton Berle.

Thanks to Chris / CopCarSS for my avatar.

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Posted by NorthWest on Tuesday, December 29, 2015 9:32 PM

PDN-thanks for the link to that PDF. I learned a lot!

As has been repeated many times, the combination of the most expensive houses in the PNW and an active and ever-busier railroad has not been a happy one. Allowing slide sensors and mitigation work would help prevent slides and the concurrent destruction of those houses, but that would be giving in to the railroad and is thus unacceptable...

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Posted by Mookie on Tuesday, December 29, 2015 9:44 PM

Murphy Siding

     Fortunately,  I am too young to remember Milton Berle.

 

Trust me - I think you would have liked him.  

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Posted by schlimm on Tuesday, December 29, 2015 9:49 PM

He was unique but other comedians claimed he stole jokes.

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Posted by Deggesty on Tuesday, December 29, 2015 9:58 PM

I never watched Milton Berle, but I knew something of Jack Benny. I was happy when I reached his age--and he died just a few days after I reached his age.

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Posted by ChuckCobleigh on Tuesday, December 29, 2015 10:32 PM

Mookie

 

 
Murphy Siding

     Fortunately,  I am too young to remember Milton Berle.

 

 

 

Trust me - I think you would have liked him.

Especially in "It's a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World" where he had some great bits with Terry Thomas.

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Posted by BaltACD on Tuesday, December 29, 2015 10:42 PM

Deggesty

I never watched Milton Berle, but I knew something of Jack Benny. I was happy when I reached his age--and he died just a few days after I reached his age.

Benny only admitted to 39!

Never too old to have a happy childhood!

              

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Posted by Deggesty on Wednesday, December 30, 2015 7:55 AM

BaltACD

 

 
Deggesty

I never watched Milton Berle, but I knew something of Jack Benny. I was happy when I reached his age--and he died just a few days after I reached his age.

 

Benny only admitted to 39!

 

Yes. I could claim to be as old as he was for only a few days.

Johnny

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Posted by tree68 on Wednesday, December 30, 2015 9:31 AM

BaltACD
Benny only admitted to 39!

I just admit to anniversaries thereof...

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