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Is Amtrak Crash Nevada’s Fault?
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<p>[quote user="tree68"]</p> <p><span style="font-family:comic sans ms,sans-serif;color:#003300;font-size:small;">A vehicle travelling at 70 MPH is covering 102.67 feet per second. Per <a target="_blank" href="http://www.csgnetwork.com/stopdistinfo.html" title="http://www.csgnetwork.com/stopdistinfo.html">this site</a>, reaction time at 70 MPH will mean travelling 154 feet, with actual braking accounting for 234 feet, a total of 388 feet, well under your hypothetical 500 feet. I believe those numbers assume an automobile and "normal" road conditions. </span></p> <p><span style="font-family:comic sans ms,sans-serif;color:#003300;font-size:small;">In addition, the site suggests that the gates generally take between 5 and 10 seconds before being fully lowered. My own experience with local crossings indicates that the gates don't begin to lower until several seconds after the lights begin to flash.</span></p> <p><span style="font-family:comic sans ms,sans-serif;color:#003300;font-size:small;">From all of that, we can conclude that if one were 500 feet from a crossing when the lights activated, travelling at 70 MPH, a driver should either be able to safely stop his automobile, or even clear the crossing before the gates were down if he maintained his speed.</span></p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <p>[/quote]</p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">I need to clarify something about my example above.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I should have stipulated that it applied to a truck such as the one involved in the crash.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>However, it is not an example based on the exact circumstances of the crash.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>My example deals with what happens when such a truck approaches the crossing at 70 mph and the signals activate when it is 500 feet away.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In this example, there is no collision.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">The point of my example is to highlight a defect in the crossing setup.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>However, this defect will not lead to a crash, but rather, it places the driver into dilemma, which might cause the truck to skid and jackknife.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The issue is a crossing protection system presenting a driver with a “red board” right in the face at 70 mph with the additional prospect of the gates lowering before the driver can get across.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Regarding my 500 ft. stopping distance assumption</span>:</span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">You are also right that the average stopping distance is 388 feet, but that is for cars.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The average stopping speed for trucks is 465 feet.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The category “truck” is broad, so I don’t know what how the stopping distance is affected by the range from large trucks to small trucks.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But I thought it fair to pick a round number of 500 feet, considering that this was a big truck, and it was pulling two trailers in tandem.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The actual stopping distance for such a truck is fairly likely to be higher than the average, and it might be much higher.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The driver skidded 320 feet and still has some speed left over.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">It may well be that the driver can get across before the gates are far enough down to foul the vehicle.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But a driver does not know that ahead of time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The UMTCD says there must be at least a 3-second delay between the activation of the flashing lights and the start of the descent of the gates.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So an informed driver would know that he or she has at least three seconds for that to occur.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">But three seconds is not enough for the 70 mph road.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>At the 500-foot example I have outlined, the driver would crash through the gates if he or she kept moving at 70 mph, or if he or she attempted to stop, but found that 500 feet was not enough room to stop.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Therefore, because the three-second delay is not enough, the owner of the crossing should have set the equipment to provide a longer delay.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>However, there is no way for a driver to know what that actual delay is.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So a driver can only assume a three-second delay and hope for more.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">Therefore, I don’t think a driver is likely to know how much time he or she has between the activation of the red lights and the decent of the gate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Any conclusion as to this interval must be an assumption unless you just might happen to be privy to the technical information for that particular crossing. </span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">However, in the final analysis, the questions of the stopping distance and the timing of the gate descent are beside the point because the driver cannot know the answer to those questions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is the point. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is what produces a dilemma for the driver.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So it is not an issue of getting hit by the train in this example.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The issue is requiring a driver to perform a panic stop in what is fundamentally a life or death situation in the mind of a driver assessing what the signals mean.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>From a driver’s point of view, he or she is confronted with amounts to a traffic light changing from green to red, with no yellow in between.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">According to your assumption about the gate timing, and your stopping distance, you concluded that a driver should be able to stop in time, and then you apply this to all drivers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>From that, you conclude that there is no issue.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>But I asked what you would do if you were the driver, and you did not answer my question.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>You have to put yourself into the position of a driver to understand my example.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>You cannot just passively project your knowledge of what you think drivers should do onto drivers confronting this situation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">So I ask again.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>What would you do if you were driving that truck at 70 mph approaching that crossing and the lights activated when you were 500 feet away?</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">So far, nobody has answered that question.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>I can’t even answer it for myself if I were the driver.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The inability of anyone here to answer the question makes my point.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></p> <p> </p>
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