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Semi-trailer plowed into an Amtrak train in rural Nevada: 2 killed
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<p>[quote user="schlimm"]</p> <p>When all the physical damages to the CZ plus the truck, plus the grade crossing gates and signals plus whatever damages are paid out to the injured (even if only for medical care) and the deceased heirs, it certainly sounds like an overpass for the highway would have ended up costing a lot less. </p> <p>As they say, "Penny wise, pound foolish."</p> <div style="clear:both;"></div> <p>[/quote]</p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">Your comparison of the cost of the damage in this crash to the cost of an overpass that would have prevented it may be accurate.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>However, the cost of crashes must be weighed against the cost of overpasses collectively, on an average basis rather than individually.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Not every grade crossing is destined to suffer a catastrophic crash.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So you don’t know ahead of time what each overpass will offset in crash costs.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">I think a better analysis would be to pick a random sample of grade crossings based only on their similarity in train and vehicle traffic and physical characteristics.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The sample selection would be intentionally blind to the actual crash history of the crossings.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Say we pick 100 crossings on that sampling basis.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">Then do the following:</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: -18.75pt; margin: 0in 0in 0pt 36.75pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.75pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;">1)</span> <span style="font-size: small;">Research the crash history and calculate the cost.</span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: -18.75pt; margin: 0in 0in 0pt 36.75pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.75pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;">2)</span> <span style="font-size: small;">Calculate the cost of replacing those crossings with bridges.</span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: -18.75pt; margin: 0in 0in 0pt 36.75pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.75pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;">3)</span> <span style="font-size: small;">Compare the totals of those two cost summaries.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">If the cost of the total crash history is greater than the cost of replacing those crossings, then I think one could conclude that the payback is there.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">But, as I mentioned elsewhere, I believe a layer of automatic vehicle management will soon be in all of our vehicles.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>With that system, keeping cars out of the way of trains will be a walk in the woods.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p>
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