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Ohio passenger rail service killed by Governor elect.
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">Here is the problem I see with Keynesian economic stimulus.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>As SRen mentioned, a recession can occur because of an oversupply of goods that results in relatively less demand.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It can also be caused by a reduced demand that results from other reasons.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>For instance, if the public is merely told that a recession is coming by someone they believe, they will reduce their demand just in anticipation of it.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Therefore, society can be jawboned into, as well as out of a recession.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">In a recession, if the government had a pile of money in reserve, they could indeed spend it, and that spending would constitute demand.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>And fulfilling that demand would stimulate the economy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>On the contrary, if the government raised taxes during the recession, everybody would have less money to spend when they are already reluctant to spend money.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So raising taxes deepens the recession.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">The problem is that the government does not have a pile of money in reserve.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So the government must borrow the money that it uses to stimulate the economy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>When it does so, it is ultimately borrowing the wealth that the citizens will produce in the future.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>In other words, it is attempting to stimulate the current economy by taxing future production.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">Future taxes can be a drag on the present economy just as present taxes are.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The investment aspect of the economy is always looking to the future.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Investment bets on the future.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is the risk of investment, and the bet is that the risk will be rewarded by profit.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>So pessimistic expectations worsen the odds of the bet, and slow an economy or deepen a recession already in progress.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="font-size: small;">So, today when the government spends money to stimulate the economy, the stimulation is offset by the drag that is produced by future need to pay the money back in the form of additional taxes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>It is like bailing out the boat by scooping water out of the front of the boat and dumping into the back of boat.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>That is what I mean when I say the Keynesian economic stimulus is nonsense.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The only thing that is actually stimulated is the growth of government.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></span></p>
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