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Fast Track To Public Rail Electrification
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<P mce_keep="true">[quote user="HarveyK400"]I don't think speed is irrelevant, even in the sustainability mode. That is the carrot enticing travel mode choices if energy cost is not wildly excessive and rationing is not involved. The point is achieving a balance that saves some energy overall by diversion to rail, notwithstanding the small proportion of rail.[/quote]</P> <P mce_keep="true"> </P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>I agree that speed is not irrelevant.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>Some degree of speed is essential just to accomplish transportation.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>The question is all about how much speed destroys the mission.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>I also agree that the higher the speed, the more it will entice people to take the train rather that flying or driving.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>But the whole point of doing that is not a private investment wager that high-speed trains will become profitable.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>On the contrary, it is a government sector, publicly financed response to a crisis on behalf of the U.S. citizens.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>Specifically, the most critical purpose for HSR, which is the reduction of CO2, is intended to avert an incredibly dire catastrophe.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>It is not even asked to make a profit, let alone expected to do so.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>It is intended to save our lives.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></P><FONT face=verdana,geneva> <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></FONT> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>There are three possible ways to power HSR:</FONT></P><FONT face=verdana,geneva> <o:p></o:p></FONT> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in; TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; mso-list: l2 level1 lfo3; tab-stops: list .5in"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>1)<FONT size=2><SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN>Diesel.</FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in; TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; mso-list: l2 level1 lfo3; tab-stops: list .5in"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>2)<FONT size=2><SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN>Electricity generated from coal or other fossil fuels.</FONT></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in; TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; mso-list: l2 level1 lfo3; tab-stops: list .5in"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>3)<FONT size=2><SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN>Electricity generated from renewable sources such as wind and solar.</FONT></FONT></P><FONT face=verdana,geneva> <o:p></o:p></FONT> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>With method #3, no CO2 is produced regardless of train speed, so there is no conflict between speed and CO2 emissions.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>With methods #1 and #2, there are CO2 emissions, which rise with train speed.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>At the highest speeds contemplated for HSR, trains produce, per passenger mile, CO2 emissions similar to that of flying and driving.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>So what would be the point of fossil fueled HSR running at those highest speeds if it fails to reduce the earth’s CO2?</FONT></P><FONT face=verdana,geneva> <o:p></o:p></FONT> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>With fossil fueled HSR, to the extent it attracts travelers away from air and highway, it succeeds in its mission.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>But to the extent that it increases its speed, it fails in its mission. </FONT><FONT face=verdana,geneva>But then again, to the extent that HSR is fueled by renewable energy, it succeeds at its mission</FONT></P><FONT face=verdana,geneva> <o:p></o:p></FONT> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>The objective should be to get people to trade air and highway for rail and then to produce as little CO2 as possible.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>It is true that rail speed is an enticement for people to ride it, and the train speed needs to be exceptionally high in order to get people to choose it over flying.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>High train speed is the carrot all right.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>But the government has sticks as well as carrots to get people to behave properly.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>The government can give the people the new train as a carrot, and get them to ride it by raising the price of gasoline, as the stick.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"><FONT face=verdana,geneva> </FONT></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><FONT face=verdana,geneva>Here is a New York Times blog piece that is critical of the green claims for HSR, and it is followed by lots of interesting comments.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><FONT face=verdana,geneva></FONT></SPAN> </P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><A href="http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/24/high-speed-rail-and-co2/" mce_href="http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/24/high-speed-rail-and-co2/"><FONT face=verdana,geneva size=2>http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/07/24/high-speed-rail-and-co2/</FONT></A></SPAN></P>
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