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collectible trains of tomorrow
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John, you're ignoring the market for limited run HO structure kits. While I do buy them, I don't "collect" them; I build them and put them on my layout. But there is a huge collector's market for these kits - and they sell for top dollar in their original boxes. Check out the ads for FSM, South River, SierraWest, for example. Two years ago, I bought South River's Brick Roundhouse (which I still have to assemble) for $325. I recently saw an ad for the kit; someone was offering $650 for an "unassembled in original packing" kit! My feeling is that there will still be a market for these kits many years from now. Why? Because of supply and demand. There were only a few hundred of these made and sold world-wide. As they become scarcer over the coming years, their value will increase. <br /> <br />My ex-brother-in-law collects Monopoly games (of all things!). He only buys those which were published during the 1930's and '40's. Needless to say, they are extremely rare, and - to a collector - quite valuable. I have a neighbor who collects pre-Depression stemware. She spends a small fortune when she finds a collection or individual pieces to fill out a collection. <br /> <br />The point is, 30, 40, 50 years from now, there will very likely be a market for HO stuff. There are all sorts of people who collect all sorts of things. Why not model railroad items?
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